WITNESS THIS
-VS-
Game Time Start: 3:30 PM ET
Where: The Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Officials: S. Foster, B. Kennedy, B. Spooner, D. Jones
Media Notes: Indiana Notes, Miami Notes
Television:
Radio: ESPN Radio (national) / WFNI 1070 AM, 107.5 FM / WJFK 106.7 FM, WFED 1500 AM
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PACERS None reported HEAT None reported |
John Schuhmann: Heat-Pacers matchup will bring out the best in all It was early December when an Eastern Conference finals rematch appeared inevitable. The Indiana Pacers were off to a 16-1 start, the Miami Heat were the defending champs, and the rest of the East was pretty awful. A lot has happened (especially to the Pacers) since then. But here we are. Indiana and Miami -- the only two East teams that were ever considered title contenders -- are back in the conference finals. Your dreams of a Nets-Wizards matchup have been vanquished. These two teams know each other too well. They've split their 14 meetings over the last two seasons, with the home team winning 12 of the 14. "In terms of Xs and Os, we know who they are, they know who we are," the Pacers' David West said after his team closed out the conference semifinals in Washington. "It's going to come down to the details and who's able to impose their will, particularly on the defensive end." The team that did that in last year's series was the Heat. They couldn't put two straight wins together, but completely shut down the Pacers' offense in Game 7 in Miami. This year, Indiana has the home-court advantage that they worked so hard for. But home-court advantage has had no bearing on the first two rounds. The Pacers are just 3-4 at home in the playoffs, while the Heat are 3-1 on the road. More importantly, you never know what you're going to get from Indiana on any given night, no matter where they're playing. The Pacers survived the first two rounds, but have had a few stinkers along the way and continue to struggle offensively. As poorly as they've played over the last few months, the Pacers did beat the Heat at home in late March. And with Paul George and Roy Hibbert, they have the defense that can slow down LeBron James and the champs. The playoffs are about matchups more than momentum. And this matchup is still a fascinating one. Five quick questions (and answers) 1. Will the Heat play small or big? Erik Spoelstra may choose to start Udonis Haslem instead of Shane Battier, like he did in these two teams' final regular-season meeting. Asking Battier to bang with West at this point in his career may be too much. He played just 3:15 in the last two regular-season meetings, and Miami has been successful (plus-20) in 84 minutes against the Pacers with two bigs on the floor. But the Heat might still play more minutes with just one big, staying true to their floor- spacing identity. Playing Chris Bosh at center could pull Roy Hibbert away from the basket, or make him pay for staying there. 2. Does Indiana have a bench this time? A little more than they had last time. In last year's conference finals, the Pacers were a plus-46 with their starting lineup on the floor and a minus-74 when any of the five starters went to the bench. Thus far in this postseason, there hasn't been nearly the same dropoff, mostly because the starters haven't been that great and because George has logged some major minutes (41.4 per game). 3. Is this where the Pacers miss Danny Granger? Yes. Against the Miami defense, you need weak-side shooters. In that regard, Granger was missed in last year's conference finals. But before the Pacers could get back, they traded him for Evan Turner, who isn't as willing to shoot from distance and who dribbles a lot. And against the Heat, you can't dribble a lot. The ball must move. 4. Is this the series the Heat signed Greg Oden for? Yes, but Oden has yet to play a minute in the postseason. He was on the active list for the Charlotte series, so Spoelstra was apparently ready to use him if needed. But the coach has three other bigs -- Bosh, Haslem and Chris Andersen -- that he's more likely to trust at this point. Oden could be active again (he was inactive for the Brooklyn series), but only for emergencies. 5. Will Vogel leave Hibbert on the floor for a last-second defensive possession? Let's hope we find out. Of course, the dilemma that Vogel faced on the last possession of last year's Game 1 still exists. If he keeps Hibbert on the floor, he runs the risk of losing a shooter on the perimeter. If he takes him off, he's not protecting the rim. When the Pacers have the ball ... Lance Stephenson will look for easy baskets in transition, which will be necessary to keep the Indiana offense afloat, because in the half-court, things will bog down. Only the Atlanta and Memphis offenses were less efficient than Indiana's has been in the playoffs. The one thing that the Pacers did well last season (and in the conference finals) -- grab offensive boards -- hasn't been a strength this year. The Heat will hedge hard on pick-and-rolls, looking to pressure the Indiana ball-handlers and force turnovers. The key for the Pacers will be those ball-handlers getting rid of the ball quickly, so they can play 4-on-3 on the weak side. West will be asked to make plays from the top of the key and make shots from the wing when he pops out after setting a screen. The Pacers' weak-side perimeter shooting will be critical, but Hibbert will also get decent looks inside if the ball moves faster than Miami's rotations. When the Heat have the ball ... The Indiana defense starts with the Indiana offense. If the Pacers commit too many turnovers and allow the Heat to get out in transition, they're in trouble. But if they can limit the transition opportunities, nobody defends the champs better. In the half-court, James will have the Pacers' full attention. They will hope that George can stay attached through screens, so that everyone else can (basically) stay at home and prevent open looks on the perimeter. Hibbert, of course, will look to protect the rim. Over the last two seasons, 41 percent of James' shots have come from the restricted area, but that number has been only 30 percent with Hibbert on the floor. In the clutch Despite their offensive issues, the Pacers had the league's second-best record (26-11, behind only 22-8 San Antonio) in games that were within five points in the last five minutes, in part because they were actually a good offensive rebounding team in clutch situations...CONTINUE READING AT NBA.COM |
Rey-Rey: 2014 East Finals Preview (Pacers Vs Heat) Despite all the difficulties in the last few months, the very up-and-down Indiana Pacers have gotten their wish and are now back in a rematch with the Miami Heat for the right to go to the NBA Finals. The Pacers got rid of the Washington Wizards in six games. On the other side, the Heat have gotten away relatively unscathed as they only lost one game in the entire postseason thus far. The difference in this match-up this time? Indy has the home court advantage. Who will go to the NBA Finals? Let's talk to Tim Donahue (8p9s) and Hayley Barnes (Hot Hot Hoops) about this, shall we? The Pacers won four of their last five games. How encouraged are you right now? TIM: I'm relieved that their season didn't end in abject failure, but I wouldn't say I'm encouraged. This team's performance fluctuates so wildly, that you can never entirely be comfortable with them...or give up on them. The defense that made this team a serious contender made a reappearance in the Washington series, but the offense is still largely a hot mess. But, more than anything else, it's hard to judge how good performances against a promising, but not-there-yet team like the Wizards will translate against a been-there -done-that team like the Heat. Dwyane Wade looked especially good in Game 5 of the Nets series. Do you expect him to keep it up in the upcoming series? HAYLEY: A year ago, Wade's knees troubled him throughout the Pacers series. However, now he's coming off his most productive effort of the playoffs. Again, he has been in this position numerous times; he's now in the homestretch. I think we will definitely see another effort like that against the Pacers. Is it fair to say that if Roy Hibbert goes, so do the Pacers? TIM: It's more accurate to say, "If Hibbert is a disaster, the Pacers are cooked." He doesn't need to be dominant for the Pacers to play well, he just has to contribute. When he is able to contribute, he stays engaged and will be a factor defensively. For Indiana to have a shot, their starting five has to be extremely effective. The important thing about Hibbert is that he not go into another funk. When he does, it bleeds through the whole team...CONTINUE READING AT THE NO-LOOK PASS |
Paul Flannery: Calm before the storm - The Heat's quiet quest Unlike years past, the Miami Heat have stayed out of the spotlight and away from controversy. As the conference finals approach, they seem more relaxed and at ease with their championship quest. There is a calmness about the Miami Heat this season that is perfectly understandable. Since their inception in the summer of 2010, they have existed within the withering eye of public consciousness where their every move has been dissected and debated. "The noise," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra calls it. If they did not learn how to deal with the noise, they wouldn't be two-time defending champs. "You get more comfortable with it," Spoelstra told me after a Miami practice last week. "We were all uncomfortable our first year. That's why I coined it, ‘Noise,' and that's all it was. It was just noise and we had to learn how to block it out. Very few of us have been through anything like that. There's strength in going through that together. When you live in that world after three straight years you learn not to overreact to it." Yet, it's still a bit strange that the Miami Heat, of all teams, have been as tranquil and controversy-free as the San Antonio Spurs. They have been practically normal this season. "I don't analyze that," Spoelstra said. "I don't know if it's been normal. There's been enough speculation about our team positively and negatively." The issues for Miami have been almost quaint by comparison to past seasons. LeBron James turned in yet another outstanding season, but conceded the MVP race to Kevin Durant before it was officially over. The Pacers challenged them from the start of the season and Miami's answer was ambivalence. Even when there was a chance to steal home court late in the season, the Heat let that opportunity pass without much comment or fight. Not even the pending possibility of free agency for James, Wade and Chris Bosh (all have early termination clauses after this season) has given rise to chatter beyond the normal whispers and speculation. "The main thing is to differentiate what's real and what's not real, not to get caught up in all the different storylines," Spoelstra said. "Whatever your main thing is to get the win the next time that's the only thing that matters. Not all the other noise." The real concerns are as old as time itself. Dwyane Wade missed almost 30 games for routine maintenance and rest and has had uncomfortable moments in the postseason. Shane Battier has said that he will retire after the season, and his play has indicated that it's time. There is not the proven depth of prior seasons when Spoelstra could call on a Mike Miller or a Joel Anthony, depending on circumstances. These issues are potentially more damaging than all the manufactured drama and controversy that came before it...CONTINUE READING AT SBNATION |
Ben Dowsett: Miami’s Rebounding Concerns The Heat hit a speed bump in what had been an otherwise smooth postseason Saturday night, falling amid a storm of Brooklyn 3’s, including nine combined from Joe Johnson and Mirza Teletovic. The disparity from beyond the arc was a big factor, to be sure – the Nets shot an even 60% on 25 attempts while the Heat were just 33.3% on their 24. In some ways, the game was a lesson on how simple shooting variance can dramatically swing singular outcomes, with Miami shooting just over 44% on their uncontested field-goal tries, per NBA.com’s SportVU box score tracking, and Brooklyn going over 58% on just two more of such attempts. Such numbers are obviously prone to large swings from game to game, and it is indeed true that more even totals here would have likely produced a different result. Of course, both the eye test and the numbers say there was something more to Saturday’s game than shooting randomness. The Nets were far more active, to be expected for a desperate team looking to avoid the dreaded 3-0 hole, and whether or not that’s sustainable over the remainder of the series may determine whether Brooklyn can indeed claw their way back into things. They doubled Miami up in the assist column, and the same SportVU tracking from above shows they recorded eight secondary assists, or “hockey assists”, to just one for the Heat. Deron Williams looked something like his former self, time and again initiating the kind of crisp rotations necessary to out-pace Miami’s speedy recoveries. Perhaps most telling, though, was the huge rebounding disparity between the teams. The Heat were out-boarded 43-27 in total, including a 34-22 disadvantage on the defensive glass. LeBron James led them with eight, and no one else had more than five, in many cases the result of a simple lack of effort. Chris Bosh was particularly ineffective on the defensive boards, overpowered for much of their mutual time on the court by Andray Blatche. Per SportVU data, Bosh had five defensive rebounding chances on the game (defined as the number of times a player was within 3.5 feet of an available rebound), and pulled down only two of them – Blatche got the other three, winning battles against the more accomplished veteran: A very small single game sample, to be sure, but it was Bosh’s second consecutive game with trouble on the defensive glass. He recovered just three of six defensive rebounding chances in Game 2, making him five-of-11 in the pair of games, and was caught out of position against the far less agile Kevin Garnett: This is lazy boxing out by Bosh, and really the entire Heat team – no one picks up Teletovic darting in from the perimeter, and Bosh makes the worst possible choice between him and Garnett: neither. This sort of thing has been too common for a Heat team predictably trying to coast their way through as much of the early rounds as they can get away with, as they’ve now collected just 52 of 76 available defensive rebounds over the past two contests, an unacceptable sub-70% number that would have ranked worse than the last-place team league-wide over the regular season. They managed to survive...CONTINUE READING AT HICKORY-HIGH |
Pacers Candace Buckner @CandaceDBuckner Jared Wade @8pts9secs Tim Donahue @TimDonahue8p9s Tom Lewis @indycornrows Ian Levy @HickoryHigh Whitney @its_whitney |
Heat Brian Windhorst @windhorstESPN Tom Haberstroh @tomhaberstroh Ira Winderman @iraheatbeat Joseph Goodman @JoeGoodmanJr Surya Fernandez @SuryaHeatNBA Tim Reynolds @ByTimReynolds |
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