Re: Ok, it's officially time to panic
I see some people saying Turner should be starting instead of Lance. I disagree, if you make a change like that it should be Butler who is starting. Honestly, I do not understand why people would rather play Copeland over Butler. With only one exception, whenever Butler has gotten significant playing time he has been nothing but a positive player for us. I don't think the same could be said for Copeland.
On Vogel. I don't think you even consider firing him this offseason no matter the outcome of this season. He isn't a veteran coach who has been around the block. This is his first stop, and he has shown a lot of potential. I am more concerned with how he will react, change, and learn from this season than what actually happens. This means throwing out everything he has done the past 3 seasons on offense, finding an offensive minded assistant coach, studying in depth some of the great offenses, and implementing a brand new system next season.
On Paul and Roy. They have been playing like crap, which is the reason why we can't even beat Cleveland. There is no excuse for their play, but sometimes players just have bad months. There isn't anything you can do about it other than just play through it. You can make minor adjustments (i.e. have Paul shoot 14 shots per game instead of 17), but it isn't like you are going to bench them. There is another problem that goes beyond just some slumping play, and is probably only working to accentuate the slump. As well I could see them being tired as having an affect, especially Paul since he hasn't carried the number one option rule for a whole season prior to this season.
On Lance, him being a main offensive threat in the half court with the starters just is not a good idea. He doesn't know how to play within the team concept within this role. Within the half court with the ball in his hands his only offense is shake 'n bake, and he isn't very reliable at that. He might be great as a bench scorer, but he isn't a scorer as a starter. What got Lance attention for the all-star game was not what he was doing with the starters, but what he was doing with the bench especially the first 13ish games after Granger came back. When he was playing unselfish ball, and helping Granger to come out of the gates playing extremely well (everyone still seems to forget this period of the season). That was when Lance started to get All-Star consideration, which shortly followed by Lance playing more and more selfishly. That was also when things seemed to start to change. It comes down to this. Lance can do a lot of things that can lift an offense up, but not when he is looking to score in the half court.
Last year our starters had an offense as efficient as Miami, it was just our bench could be dominated by a high school team. That was with an offense focused around West, Hill, Hibbert, and Paul. At the beginning of the season it was very similar just with a little more Lance, but not a lot. Now we have an offense focused around Paul, Lance, and West dabbled in. Paul and Lance are not Lebron and Wade or Durant and Westbrook, or even Granger and Dunleavy (they averaged almost 40ppg between the two of them that one season). They simply are not that good of offensive players to be so heavily focused on their individual abilities. They are both at their best when they are playing within an offense that isn't focused on them.
From Roy's comments it seems Lance kind of took it upon himself to increase his role instead of following Vogel's plan. This has obviously rubbed the team in the wrong way. Causing problems with their chemistry, and on-the-court production. The simple, and really only, answer is to get back to what we were doing at the beginning of the season and last season. Lance can enforce his will with the bench if he wants, but with the starters he needs to take a backseat. Get most of his points on fast break opportunities, and cuts to the basket. Cause Lance, you aren't as good as you think you are.
On Granger. To think not having him couldn't have a negative affect on the team because his stats weren't great, or because he didn't play last year is just a sign of ignorance towards how people act and think. From previous comments it has been made obvious that you for some reason think making millions of dollars means these people no longer act and think like normal human beings. Like they suddenly mutated into a different species. Which simple is not the case. Right now having Granger in the lockerroom would be a good thing. He was a player that just about everyone in the lockerroom looked up to, and respected. He might not have played last year, but he was almost always with the team and was certainly a voice in the lockerroom. I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't act sort of like a coach a lot of the times. To ignore the importance of a leader in the lockerroom is honestly stupid.
I'm going to echo a bit, with some added flavor, what others have said. I do not believe in "if it ain't broke, don't fix it", what I am a believer in is "if it ain't broke, don't make any rash changes". This is something I have learned from programming. You can always make it better, but you better know exactly what you are doing. If you do not take the time to work through the logic, plan properly, and test it you are bound to create a change that screws something up 10, 15, or even 100 steps down the line. Everything is interconnected, and one change can cause a cascading affect over the whole program. Multiple changes, can become exponentially more harmful. I do not think Bird accurately assessed the situation, and the players skills involved when making this decision. He looked at it from Turner and Granger in vacuum, and did not consider all the possible ramifications. If he did he would not have traded away such an important piece to the lockerroom for a young player whose skill set mimics the skill sets of players already on the team.
I see some people saying Turner should be starting instead of Lance. I disagree, if you make a change like that it should be Butler who is starting. Honestly, I do not understand why people would rather play Copeland over Butler. With only one exception, whenever Butler has gotten significant playing time he has been nothing but a positive player for us. I don't think the same could be said for Copeland.
On Vogel. I don't think you even consider firing him this offseason no matter the outcome of this season. He isn't a veteran coach who has been around the block. This is his first stop, and he has shown a lot of potential. I am more concerned with how he will react, change, and learn from this season than what actually happens. This means throwing out everything he has done the past 3 seasons on offense, finding an offensive minded assistant coach, studying in depth some of the great offenses, and implementing a brand new system next season.
On Paul and Roy. They have been playing like crap, which is the reason why we can't even beat Cleveland. There is no excuse for their play, but sometimes players just have bad months. There isn't anything you can do about it other than just play through it. You can make minor adjustments (i.e. have Paul shoot 14 shots per game instead of 17), but it isn't like you are going to bench them. There is another problem that goes beyond just some slumping play, and is probably only working to accentuate the slump. As well I could see them being tired as having an affect, especially Paul since he hasn't carried the number one option rule for a whole season prior to this season.
On Lance, him being a main offensive threat in the half court with the starters just is not a good idea. He doesn't know how to play within the team concept within this role. Within the half court with the ball in his hands his only offense is shake 'n bake, and he isn't very reliable at that. He might be great as a bench scorer, but he isn't a scorer as a starter. What got Lance attention for the all-star game was not what he was doing with the starters, but what he was doing with the bench especially the first 13ish games after Granger came back. When he was playing unselfish ball, and helping Granger to come out of the gates playing extremely well (everyone still seems to forget this period of the season). That was when Lance started to get All-Star consideration, which shortly followed by Lance playing more and more selfishly. That was also when things seemed to start to change. It comes down to this. Lance can do a lot of things that can lift an offense up, but not when he is looking to score in the half court.
Last year our starters had an offense as efficient as Miami, it was just our bench could be dominated by a high school team. That was with an offense focused around West, Hill, Hibbert, and Paul. At the beginning of the season it was very similar just with a little more Lance, but not a lot. Now we have an offense focused around Paul, Lance, and West dabbled in. Paul and Lance are not Lebron and Wade or Durant and Westbrook, or even Granger and Dunleavy (they averaged almost 40ppg between the two of them that one season). They simply are not that good of offensive players to be so heavily focused on their individual abilities. They are both at their best when they are playing within an offense that isn't focused on them.
From Roy's comments it seems Lance kind of took it upon himself to increase his role instead of following Vogel's plan. This has obviously rubbed the team in the wrong way. Causing problems with their chemistry, and on-the-court production. The simple, and really only, answer is to get back to what we were doing at the beginning of the season and last season. Lance can enforce his will with the bench if he wants, but with the starters he needs to take a backseat. Get most of his points on fast break opportunities, and cuts to the basket. Cause Lance, you aren't as good as you think you are.
On Granger. To think not having him couldn't have a negative affect on the team because his stats weren't great, or because he didn't play last year is just a sign of ignorance towards how people act and think. From previous comments it has been made obvious that you for some reason think making millions of dollars means these people no longer act and think like normal human beings. Like they suddenly mutated into a different species. Which simple is not the case. Right now having Granger in the lockerroom would be a good thing. He was a player that just about everyone in the lockerroom looked up to, and respected. He might not have played last year, but he was almost always with the team and was certainly a voice in the lockerroom. I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't act sort of like a coach a lot of the times. To ignore the importance of a leader in the lockerroom is honestly stupid.
I'm going to echo a bit, with some added flavor, what others have said. I do not believe in "if it ain't broke, don't fix it", what I am a believer in is "if it ain't broke, don't make any rash changes". This is something I have learned from programming. You can always make it better, but you better know exactly what you are doing. If you do not take the time to work through the logic, plan properly, and test it you are bound to create a change that screws something up 10, 15, or even 100 steps down the line. Everything is interconnected, and one change can cause a cascading affect over the whole program. Multiple changes, can become exponentially more harmful. I do not think Bird accurately assessed the situation, and the players skills involved when making this decision. He looked at it from Turner and Granger in vacuum, and did not consider all the possible ramifications. If he did he would not have traded away such an important piece to the lockerroom for a young player whose skill set mimics the skill sets of players already on the team.
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