Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

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  • CableKC
    Member
    • Mar 2005
    • 36687

    Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

    Originally posted by vnzla81
    They actually hate me because I'm right must of the time
    Well, this time...you were wrong in the way that you spelled "most".
    Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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    • aamcguy
      Member
      • Mar 2012
      • 4134

      Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

      Originally posted by McKeyFan
      You know, they don't process the evidence with a computer to get a verdict. They ask 12 jurors to vote, having reviewed the evidence, with their "gut."
      Actually, the whole reason behind havng multiple jurors is to eliminate the influence of gut feelings. If literally everybody in the courtroom knows a defendant committed a crime but the only evidence condemning the defendant is thrown out because it was obtained illegally, according to law the defendant hasn't been proven guilty and will walk away free if no further evidence can be found.
      Time for a new sig.

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      • McKeyFan
        Intuition over Integers
        • Jan 2004
        • 15077

        Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

        Originally posted by Since86
        The topic was lawyers/dectectives not jury. Kind of fitting in this thread, considering a main complaint about the discussion is how one thing is said, and people run with something that wasn't.
        Reread his post. It was about judging someone guilty or not. It was about Intuition not being over Integers. But human judgment (intuition) trumps documentation and analysis in the court of law.
        "Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." —Kevin Pritchard press conference

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        • McKeyFan
          Intuition over Integers
          • Jan 2004
          • 15077

          Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

          Originally posted by aamcguy
          Actually, the whole reason behind havng multiple jurors is to eliminate the influence of gut feelings. If literally everybody in the courtroom knows a defendant committed a crime but the only evidence condemning the defendant is thrown out because it was obtained illegally, according to law the defender hasn't been proven guilty and will walk away free if no further evidence can be found.
          Yes, but it is always "humans" making the final decision, not a formula. Not a computer. And that guy whose case was thrown out—he went free because of a law drafted by . . . wait for it . . . humans.
          "Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." —Kevin Pritchard press conference

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          • Since86
            Member
            • Dec 2004
            • 27818

            Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

            Originally posted by McKeyFan
            Reread his post. It was about judging someone guilty or not. It was about Intuition not being over Integers. But human judgment (intuition) trumps documentation and analysis in the court of law.
            I'm pretty sure he was talking about the process of bringing charges, not the guilt/innocence. The process of weighing evidence from a lawyer/detective is different than the process a jury goes through. EDIT: Hence the "to try to piece together what happened at the scene of a crime" part.
            Last edited by Since86; 11-04-2013, 03:15 PM.
            Just because you're offended, doesn't mean you're right.” ― Ricky Gervais.

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            • Hicks
              Member
              • Jun 2004
              • 53117

              Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

              Originally posted by McKeyFan
              You know, they don't process the evidence with a computer to get a verdict. They ask 12 jurors to vote, having reviewed the evidence, with their "gut."
              Right, and I'm saying you're in the jury ignoring any of the evidence you don't care for because it contradicts your gut instincts.

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              • Hicks
                Member
                • Jun 2004
                • 53117

                Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                Originally posted by Since86
                I'm pretty sure he was talking about the process of bringing charges, not the guilt/innocence. The process of weighing evidence from a lawyer/detective is different than the process a jury goes through. EDIT: Hence the "to try to piece together what happened at the scene of a crime" part.
                A little of both, I suppose, but the main point being we don't just ignore evidence (well, we do, but we're not supposed to do it) that doesn't agree with our gut, we're supposed to document and consider ALL of the evidence. Whether we're a detective, a lawyer, a juror, or a judge. The main point is, I see "intuition over integers," and I think, "He wants to pick and choose the evidence."

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                • aamcguy
                  Member
                  • Mar 2012
                  • 4134

                  Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                  Originally posted by McKeyFan
                  Yes, but it is always "humans" making the final decision, not a formula. Not a computer. And that guy whose case was thrown out—he went free because of a law drafted by . . . wait for it . . . humans.
                  Who has ever said that you don't have to interpret statistics? Statistics are not right or wrong, they're observations of what happened. The problem with statistics is that it is possible for people to draw incorrect conclusions from them. This does not, however, mean that all conclusions drawn from statistics are incorrect.
                  Last edited by aamcguy; 11-04-2013, 03:22 PM.
                  Time for a new sig.

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                  • aamcguy
                    Member
                    • Mar 2012
                    • 4134

                    Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                    The thing that really hasn't been talked about much is how good Lance has been statistically this season. Right now, he's getting results. There's no way he continues at the pace he is now, but if Lance can shoot around 50% for the season and above 35% from 3, he will have a lot more "believers" before half of the season is even gone. If he really is going to be this good all year, it is ultimately statistics that will convince the "haters" that he is for real.

                    The only reason there's resistance right now is because people are waiting to see what level he's performing at when he comes back down to earth. He is quite clearly on a hot streak right now, but if he's going to be shooting 12+ shots a game all season we are also going to be watching a change from a power-post offense to an offense where we use power post players to set up our perimeter scorers.
                    Time for a new sig.

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                    • McKeyFan
                      Intuition over Integers
                      • Jan 2004
                      • 15077

                      Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                      Originally posted by Hicks
                      Right, and I'm saying you're in the jury ignoring any of the evidence you don't care for because it contradicts your gut instincts.
                      Both sides present "evidence." The jurors decide which "evidence" is valid or not.
                      "Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." —Kevin Pritchard press conference

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                      • Bball
                        Jimmy did what Jimmy did
                        • Jan 2004
                        • 26906

                        Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                        Originally posted by Hicks
                        Aye, and it's amazing how posters hop back and forth between "I don't need stats" and "here's some stats" depending on how well the stats back up their eyes...

                        And otherwise, saying you watch the games means nothing on a forum where everybody is watching the games.

                        Also, spoiler-alert:

                        Statistics are a collection of observations put down on paper! They are 100% generated BY WATCHING THE GAME.
                        I know Danny Granger slipped quite a bit. I know Lance has improved quite a bit. Also, they are very different players. With very different skillsets. Danny's slippage might've been due to age, his knee, or too much time spent with Jim O'Brien. Or all of the above. I don't need stats to tell me any of that stuff.

                        Here's the big thing with me, even IF Granger can fully recover and play the game like a 25 year old.... Both he and PG are natural SF's. Lance is more a natural guard. Sure there is some crossover in ability and those roles (SF/SG) but all things being equal I prefer players to play the positions that are naturally suited for. In this case, all things aren't equal.... Lance is up and coming, started all year for the ECF finalist Pacers, continues to improve, was part of a starting lineup that wasn't the weak spot of the team, and fits very well with the starting lineup.

                        Granger is 30 years old, coming off injury, has barely played in over a year, has looked rusty, is currently wearing a suit, hasn't proven to be able to stay healthy or consistent, and is a prototypical SF. The position where we already have a budding star.

                        This whole argument is really moot in my mind because really the argument should be between Danny or PG at SF.... and that has been settled a long long time ago.

                        Right now I think the place for Granger is to try to find a role off the bench. And the longer he wears a suit and the more success the team has I'm going to be even less inclined to want to try very hard to find a place for Granger. IMHO the only place on this team that might be able to utilize Granger is the bench. There is no role to carve out for Granger with the starters. He's a SF and we have that position covered. He should be penciled in to backup Paul George with some time together in matchups where interchangeable SF/SG roles work. Neither PG or DG have superstar potential at the SG spot. Lance gives us more of a prototypical SG and some potential to be fairly special and perhaps even the batman and robin combo we've all talked about in Pacerland for years.

                        And for those who'd argue it doesn't matter who starts, then why would you argue that Granger should start?
                        Last edited by Bball; 11-04-2013, 04:03 PM.
                        Nuntius was right for a while. I was wrong for a while. But ultimately I was right and Frank Vogel has been let go.

                        ------

                        "A player who makes a team great is more valuable than a great player. Losing yourself in the group, for the good of the group, that’s teamwork."

                        -John Wooden

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                        • Hicks
                          Member
                          • Jun 2004
                          • 53117

                          Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                          Is now a good time to mention that Jim O'Brien was the first person I'm aware of who said after the 2010 draft that the acquisitions of Paul George and Lance Stephenson were going to be seen looking back as the real turning point for the franchise? It's true.

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                          • Heisenberg
                            u bum
                            • Jun 2010
                            • 25190

                            Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                            Originally posted by Hicks
                            Is now a good time to mention that Jim O'Brien was the first person I'm aware of who said after the 2010 draft that the acquisitions of Paul George and Lance Stephenson were going to be seen looking back as the real turning point for the franchise? It's true.
                            Irrelevant.

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                            • Sollozzo
                              Member
                              • Jan 2004
                              • 27440

                              Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                              Originally posted by Hicks
                              Is now a good time to mention that Jim O'Brien was the first person I'm aware of who said after the 2010 draft that the acquisitions of Paul George and Lance Stephenson were going to be seen looking back as the real turning point for the franchise? It's true.

                              Ha, I forgot about that.

                              It's looking like it will easily be the best Pacer draft in history. Heck, it would have a chance at that if it were just Paul. But when you add Lance to the mix, it's going to be a runaway.

                              Comment

                              • Since86
                                Member
                                • Dec 2004
                                • 27818

                                Re: Four big IF's about Lance Stephenson.

                                Originally posted by Bball
                                This whole argument is really moot in my mind because really the argument should be between Danny or PG at SF.... and that has been settled a long long time ago.
                                So really we need to dig back up the Vogel quotes where he says it doesn't make a difference on who is the 2 and who is the 3 then, because the sets aren't for a specfic position, but rather for specific players?

                                EDIT: Here's the link if you'd like to pay for it, but the second sentence sums it up.
                                Indiana Pacers coach Frank Vogel said there's not a significant difference.
                                Last edited by Since86; 11-04-2013, 04:05 PM.
                                Just because you're offended, doesn't mean you're right.” ― Ricky Gervais.

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