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Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

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  • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

    Here are Chad Ford's updates from ESPN insider. Admittedly I was upset with the pick, but I immediately felt "whatever, it was the 26th pick, maybe they know something I don't."

    Hopefully the NBA game is better for him.

    June 25 Update: Plumlee's stock has also risen dramatically over the course of the last month. Despite his pedestrian numbers at Duke, teams are intrigued with his elite athletic abilities and rebounding. Could be the next Jeff Foster.

    June 14 Update: For a guy who averaged 6.6 points and 7.4 rebounds per game as a senior, Plumlee sure is a hot name right now. His measurements and his elite performance in the athletic drills are the biggest reasons why. Would a team actually consider him in the first round? The Cavs, Heat and Warriors are all real possibilities.

    June 6 Update: Duke's Miles Plumlee didn't wow anyone in four years at Duke, but he's generating significant buzz thanks to some great individual workouts and a strong performance in the Minnesota group workout last weekend.

    I see why NBA teams are intrigued. While Plumlee didn't show particularly well at Duke, he looks terrific in the drills and 5-on-5 settings I saw in Chicago. He's strong, physical and jumps out of the gym. Duke has been a very perimeter oriented team the past few years and Plumlee rarely had plays called for him. He did his work on the boards, but little else that stood out.

    Part of what is driving the interest is Plumlee's physical abilities. He measured with a 41-inch vertical in the Minnesota workouts.

    I've been collecting pre-draft athletic testing numbers since 2001. The tallest player ever to hit 41 inches or higher was Jamario Moon (at 6-7 3/4). Plumlee measured 6-11 1/4 in Minnesota.

    The highest a player 6-11 or taller has ever jumped in the testing is 38 1/2 inches by Steven Hunter back in 2001.

    Clearly your vertical jump doesn't determine whether you'll be a great NBA player. But factor in Plumlee's size, NBA body and toughness on the boards and a number of GMs are convinced he could be an athletic rebounder and shot blocker off the bench for them in the mold of Jeff Foster.

    Nov 25 Update: A handful of scouts sitting next to me argued all week about whether Plumlee would get drafted. He looks the part. He's strong, a great athlete and has good size. But he doesn't produce. Some felt he has the profile to be a good backup big man in the league. Others scoffed at the idea. I'm impressed with the idea of Plumlee -- but not with the execution. If I were a GM, I'd probably pass.

    Apr 12 Update: Miles doesn't get nearly the same amount of love that his brother Mason does. He's not as good of an athlete and has already been surpassed by his brother statistically and in playing time. But he's big, physical and rebounds and may have a shot as a second round pick his senior year.
    Last edited by billbradley; 06-29-2012, 10:04 PM.

    Comment


    • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

      Hello friends.

      I am a longtime reader of this forum, but this probably is my first post.

      I would like to very respectfully ask the poster Naptown Seth to respond to the latest points exposed by Nuntius. It would really interest me to see what he has to say since I happen to have concurring opinions with him.

      What I believe is that you seem to be applying a little bit of the binary logic you were talking about earlier. That is, thinking that when someone says that Larry Bird is in a better position to make an informed decision, it means that they think it's impossible for him to be wrong or that he gets some kind of superpower from being GM or president, or whatever he is.

      I am personally very involved in mathematics, so subjetive evaluations are not my thing. Considering, I will state a fact that I know: Larry Bird is in a better position to make an informed decision regarding the Pacers' draft choice than anyone outside of the organization. That doesn't mean he's invincible, but that he has better data, and more interactions with the whole environment. I'm talking about knowing other team's intentions here. In essence, he has a better handle on the boundary conditions of the problem he's trying to solve.

      This pick could turn out to be very bad, or it could turn out to be very good. The thing is, that will be determined by the selected player's performance.

      On another note, if Bird felt that this was the best option, and it is already established that he's in the best position to make that call, then he was right to take him at 26 if he thought he couldn't have gotten this player later, as has been previously reported. Now this will not be known either way, so it shouldn't be a part of the analysis as it is pure conjecture, in a case similar to that of Hansbrough.

      Finally I would like to list two situations to make a point about a pick's success being determined by its own performance:

      - Three players selected after Plumlee are better players than him, and three players selected before are worse. Was this a good pick?

      - No player selected before Plumlee turns out to be worse than him, and only 2 players selected after turn out to be better. But they're not the players that have most frequently been listed on this board as preferable. Was this a good pick?

      This accounts for the fact that it would be impossible to know if the player Bird selected was going to be taken if we were to move down, or not.

      Thank you for your patience in reading this lengthy post that only represents my feelings in regards to this situation. By definition, I'm no more (or less) capable of establishing an evaluation of the Pacers' performance in these endeavors than anyone here, and, as always, I will gladly read and learn about all of your opinions.
      Last edited by valigranger; 06-30-2012, 12:29 AM. Reason: some writing mistakes

      Comment


      • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

        Originally posted by AusPACER View Post

        It SICKENS me that are our new front office needs to go to a press conference and try and defend a choice instead of promoting it due to the fans response. It SICKENS me even more that our latest all star needs to tweet all our fans to "get over it". Yeah, this is actually a guy who has done more for Pacers fans in his short stint here than anyone before. Area 55 I am looking at you.

        What kind of message does this send to any newcomers? To anyone we draft over the next few years? Everyone here says "***** the Knicks". Well guess what, we are looking exactly like their fan base now. It's disgusting.

        Whether we like it or now Miles is a PACER. He is one of our own. I never thought we turned on our own, especially when we haven't even had a chance to make our own judgement. All you can ask is that he leaves it all our there, and being an avid College Basketball fan also I can tell you he will do that. There is not much more HE can actually do.

        I have never been this disappointed about our fan base. Not like this. I can assure you that Miles has 0 chance of having a good basketball career at the Pacers if all has to put up with is the ******** from his own (hometown kid i might add) fans. He doesn't deserve this ****, what did he ever do to Pacer fans?

        Miles needs us right, and who knows..one day we might just need him.
        Mostly agreed, but I do have to mention if you look at the reaction Orlando is getting on Twitter from fans, its all positive. Hopefully one day those same fans who are praising Orlando but trashing Miles will get the idea.
        "Nobody wants to play against Tyler Hansbrough NO BODY!" ~ Frank Vogel

        "And David put his hand in the bag and took out a stone and slung it. And it struck the Philistine on the head and he fell to the ground. Amen. "

        Comment


        • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

          Let's cut through the crap with this "Bird knows more than you about the team needs, he saw things you didn't see, Roy liked the pick, he knows more about being a good big in the NBA than you, etc." 95% of us here that are Americans have inevitably seen this guy play at least once. Most of us have watched him multiple times. Did you watch this guy and ever, at any point, think he was worthy of a first round pick? Did he ever take over any games? Did he use his athletic gifts to his advantage on the court? Did you see one undeniable basketball skill that he possessed?

          I watch a lot of college hoops. I am not a huge fan of Duke, but they are on TV so often that it was hard to avoid them. I usually root against them just because they are Duke. When Miles Plumlee got the ball, as someone who disliked the team, I was actually relieved because I knew he couldn't do a damn thing with it. I wasn't the slightest bit concerned when someone from the team I was rooting for drove the lane when he was in the paint because I was confident he wasn't going to block or even significantly alter the shot. He was just a body.

          Comment


          • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

            Originally posted by AusPACER View Post
            I live on the other side of the world and have followed this team INTENSELY for more than a decade. My first visit to the states just managed to be in 2000 (our finals year) and have had many since. What I can't understand is how people can be so judgemental when the reality is 90% of you haven't even watched him play. Give the guy a god damn chance.
            Only you foreign posters haven't seen him play. Duke is on national TV in the States all the freaking time. He played four years there. Honestly, it would be hard to have not seen him play.

            We are all going to root for the guy in time, like you said, he is a Pacer now. But we are well within our rights to be all sorts of pissed off about the pick. You have your reaction, we have ours. The view from your high horse must be nice.

            Comment


            • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

              Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
              I don't think that what he meant. He simply meant that the FO probably knows the team's needs more than us. They could have plans that are still unknown to us and could justify the drafting of Plumlee.
              He only says that to justify his lack of actual experience. Seth is a good observer of the game and often is astute in his remarks. But he is also a judgemental and bitter blogger/message board expert. He can be quite snobby and condescending to all who don't agree with him 100%. He has never and never will have one single thing to do with running a professional basketball team. Neither will you or I. Which makes all of our fan opinions equal.

              Comment


              • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                Originally posted by cdash View Post
                Only you foreign posters haven't seen him play. Duke is on national TV in the States all the freaking time. He played four years there. Honestly, it would be hard to have not seen him play.

                We are all going to root for the guy in time, like you said, he is a Pacer now. But we are well within our rights to be all sorts of pissed off about the pick. You have your reaction, we have ours. The view from your high horse must be nice.
                I hate even commenting on anything having to do with this, considering how the world is apparently ending because of who we picked at #26, and also because you've always been one of my favorite posters on here. But I have to say that it really bothers me that hoping others can at least be respectful while disagreeing with the pick is seen as "being on a high horse."

                Comment


                • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                  Originally posted by WhoLovesYaBaby? View Post
                  He only says that to justify his lack of actual experience. Seth is a good observer of the game and often is astute in his remarks. But he is also a judgemental and bitter blogger/message board expert. He can be quite snobby and condescending to all who don't agree with him 100%. He has never and never will have one single thing to do with running a professional basketball team. Neither will you or I. Which makes all of our fan opinions equal.
                  Haha, I like you man. You sound like I did when I joined.

                  Comment


                  • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                    Originally posted by tsm612 View Post
                    I hate even commenting on anything having to do with this, considering how the world is apparently ending because of who we picked at #26, and also because you've always been one of my favorite posters on here. But I have to say that it really bothers me that hoping others can at least be respectful while disagreeing with the pick is seen as "being on a high horse."
                    You have to give me at least a week to recover from this. I'm certain that the post-Hansbrough draft elicited a similar amount of venom from me. That being said, the guy is acting like we are picking on a kid with a terminal illness with all his "SICKENS" stuff. If you have posted on this board for awhile, or even read this board for awhile, you had to know these reactions were coming. He is all preachy and most of us who are usually level headed will get over this in a few days and accept it. Right now, 24 hours after the pick, we are still venting. It's a process. Let it happen. I'm angry about the pick, but I know the sky isn't falling. I know that whoever we picked at 26 wasn't going to make us a title contender overnight. I know that we desperately need a backup to Roy Hibbert. I know all of these things. I'm still upset, and we just need to let this happen.

                    With roughly 75% of my venom out (still a healthy chunk left--sorry in advance), I appreciate the kind words, I really do.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                      Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                      Because no one can possibly know how good something is by observing it?

                      Being a good player has NOTHING to do with your ability to identify talent, to gauge market value, to gauge bluffs and run game theory on other competitors. Or did Larry go to MIT and get his PhD in game theory or physiology or psychology and I missed it?

                      I'm so tired of "only a player can know the game" crap. Then only players can be refs, right? No former player ever ended up as a bad GM, bad coach, bad scout, bad player agent, etc because learning the skill of playing basketball means learning all skills even remotely tied to the sport. I mean I like how you guys all think you know about jersey design and logo styles more than Larry Freaking Bird does. If Larry thinks the best team colors for the Pacers are purple and green that's good enough for me.


                      Sheesh. I don't even need to understand what a good player looks like to understand what the market value means. I don't know anything about some car, for example, but I sure know it would be dumb to pay 20000 for it when no one else is offering that much.



                      This misses the whole point of Larry going back to coach or GM, these are NEW CHALLENGES to him. By implication Larry himself is saying "I don't know if I'll be good at this because this isn't like playing ball, but I want to TRY". Larry's rep as GM will be based on his moves as GM. Right now, despite the EotY, Larry's got plenty of misses on his record, as well as some hits. He hasn't reached the GM results level of "don't bother questioning him".



                      And he's a big boy, he knows his rep is on the line each day. If he's right then a lot of people will be eating crow and his rep will get a huge boost. But he has to turn out to be right FIRST before you give him accolades for it. And even then it's still going to be a case of "why did you overpay when no one else was going to steal him from you".
                      What I meant was there is a chance that the guy you wanted to draft will bust too. Would I have chosen Plumlee if it was my choice to make, I don't know, but I do think Larry knows what he is doing, has been around the team and put a lot of hours into getting the guy he thinks will help the team win. Maybe he knows that there are bigger needs that needed to be addressed, but there wasn't a player available to us who could fill them. Who knows? My point was that Larry is in a better position to judge that than even the most informed of fans, and that has little to do with him being a former player. I don't personally know any of you. You could all be former players for all I know. I have no input or control over who is picked, so I just put my faith in the guy who is paid to make the decision. I just thought it was kind of funny reading that people think there is no way the guy can contribute when our front office obviously thinks he can. I understand doubt, just not the total lack of faith some seem to have. I didn't mean to offend anyone though.

                      Comment


                      • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                        Originally posted by cdash View Post
                        You have to give me at least a week to recover from this. I'm certain that the post-Hansbrough draft elicited a similar amount of venom from me. That being said, the guy is acting like we are picking on a kid with a terminal illness with all his "SICKENS" stuff. If you have posted on this board for awhile, or even read this board for awhile, you had to know these reactions were coming. He is all preachy and most of us who are usually level headed will get over this in a few days and accept it. Right now, 24 hours after the pick, we are still venting. It's a process. Let it happen. I'm angry about the pick, but I know the sky isn't falling. I know that whoever we picked at 26 wasn't going to make us a title contender overnight. I know that we desperately need a backup to Roy Hibbert. I know all of these things. I'm still upset, and we just need to let this happen.

                        With roughly 75% of my venom out (still a healthy chunk left--sorry in advance), I appreciate the kind words, I really do.
                        I completely understand that, but I can also see things from AusPACER's point of view as well, and it's not necessarily just limited to this forum. There are a few posters here in particular that are completely going overboard with the hyperbole about how he's basically the worst player in history, mocking him, calling him names, etc. He was getting killed on Twitter earlier during the ask the Miles thing on Pacers.com. It's been bad enough that the first question that was asked in the press conference was basically how he felt that nobody in the fan base wants him here. All of this has to be pretty tough to handle during a time that should be one of the most special events of his life. It's not exactly the pick I would have made either, but I can't help but feel bad for him and the situation he was put in.

                        Comment


                        • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                          I can't help but wonder if this draft pick is made pursuant to something the Pacers FO might have for this upcoming FA offseason. As fans, we often have the "parade view" in which we only see events as they go past. The FO might have the "skyscraper view" and thus have a more complete picture. Maybe? I'm a little disappointed in the pick still...but I'm trying to convince myself that it was an ok pick and that he'll fit in well in the grand scheme. I'll be happy if the FO brings in players that are considered to be better than the players we could have drafted as opposed to Miles.
                          Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

                          Comment


                          • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                            Originally posted by tsm612 View Post
                            I completely understand that, but I can also see things from AusPACER's point of view as well, and it's not necessarily just limited to this forum. There are a few posters here in particular that are completely going overboard with the hyperbole about how he's basically the worst player in history, mocking him, calling him names, etc. He was getting killed on Twitter earlier during the ask the Miles thing on Pacers.com. It's been bad enough that the first question that was asked in the press conference was basically how he felt that nobody in the fan base wants him here. All of this has to be pretty tough to handle during a time that should be one of the most special events of his life. It's not exactly the pick I would have made either, but I can't help but feel bad for him and the situation he was put in.
                            On the plus side, this gives us an opportunity to see how mentally tough he is! (for the record, I don't think I'd be able to handle it)
                            Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

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                            • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                              Originally posted by cdash View Post
                              That being said, the guy is acting like we are picking on a kid with a terminal illness with all his "SICKENS" stuff.
                              Did you see what was being submitted for the Ask Miles thing on Twitter? It was ******* EMBARASSING to call myself a Pacer fan and be associated with that garbage. People are acting like ******* BULLS parasite fans!

                              I'm ASHAMED of how a large part of the fanbase has acted in the 24 hours.

                              For the record, here's a few that I could repost within forum rules:

                              #AskMiles How are you 7 feet tall and suck so bad?

                              #AskMiles why did we even draft you...?

                              @Pacers #AskMiles how surprised were u to get drafted, let alone first round? Was there money under the table involved?

                              #askmiles i hate the fact that we drafted u ..

                              Theres a ton more of these. And these were the fairly tame offerings.
                              "Nobody wants to play against Tyler Hansbrough NO BODY!" ~ Frank Vogel

                              "And David put his hand in the bag and took out a stone and slung it. And it struck the Philistine on the head and he fell to the ground. Amen. "

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                              • Re: Let's talk about Miles Plumlee

                                Originally posted by Sandman21 View Post
                                Did you see what was being submitted for the Ask Miles thing on Twitter? It was ******* EMBARASSING to call myself a Pacer fan and be associated with that garbage. People are acting like ******* BULLS parasite fans!

                                I'm ASHAMED of how a large part of the fanbase has acted in the 24 hours.

                                For the record, here's a few that I could repost within forum rules:

                                #AskMiles How are you 7 feet tall and suck so bad?

                                #AskMiles why did we even draft you...?

                                @Pacers #AskMiles how surprised were u to get drafted, let alone first round? Was there money under the table involved?

                                #askmiles i hate the fact that we drafted u ..

                                Theres a ton more of these. And these were the fairly tame offerings.
                                what did you expect? fans are emotional and fans make knee jerk remarks. there's a reason i specifically withheld myself from posting substantially following the draft. it sucks that miles has to go through this, but he isn't the first draft pick to go through a lot of scrutiny before hitting the floor. i know it doesn't make our reactions "right," but it certainly isn't atypical of an adverse fan remark.
                                Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

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