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Rule #1

Pacers Digest is intended to be a place to discuss basketball without having to deal with the kinds of behaviors or attitudes that distract people from sticking with the discussion of the topics at hand. These unwanted distractions can come in many forms, and admittedly it can sometimes be tricky to pin down each and every kind that can rear its ugly head, but we feel that the following examples and explanations cover at least a good portion of that ground and should at least give people a pretty good idea of the kinds of things we actively discourage:

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The Hammer comes to Philly

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  • #46
    Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

    I think we all suspected that they were not as good as their early season record indicated but I don't think anybody thought that they were this bad.

    From 4th to out of the playoffs in a month or so (looking like it anyway). Is this the worse fall (minus injury to key player) that any of you can remember? I'm trying to think of another recent team that has done this & I just can't.


    Basketball isn't played with computers, spreadsheets, and simulations. ChicagoJ 4/21/13

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    • #47
      Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

      I think the Bucks were the 4 seed at the midway point in 02 before going on a free fall collapse that left them out of the playoffs.

      Comment


      • #48
        Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

        The 2003 Pacers come to mind.

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        • #49
          Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

          Honestly guys, any time your leading scorer is averaging 16 PPG and he is coming off the BENCH, you probably are not a very good basketball team. The writing has been on the wall for this for some time, it's why I always found it humorous when anyone compared us to Philly as a "mirror". Yes, they are our mirror if that mirror is cracked in multiple places and really dusty. The fact that Igoudala was an all star this year was a bloody joke. 12 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists is an all star player now? Iggy has refused to rise to the moment for this team and they continually look to Lou Williams to come off the bench and give them any scoring. Jrue Holiday is just as inconsistent as DC maybe even more. Elton Brand has nothing left in the the tank. They start Jodie Freaking Meeks at shooting guard for most of the season. They are just not a great basketball team. They desperately need a good scorer in their starting lineup and Lou Williams is such a liability everywhere else but scoring they can't put him in.
          Last edited by Trader Joe; 04-09-2012, 10:37 AM.


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          • #50
            Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

            They did lose Hawes for a time to be fair.

            Of course the Pacers lost Hill, but that's not the same as losing Roy.


            And I fall into the "mirror image" camp, they do have a similar roster structure. Their issues are the level of competition and less home games, combined with declines after the AS break of Hawes and Turner. The Hawes injury and/or a slump independent of that injury really killed them, much like Roy's mini-slump was hurting the Pacers.

            I agree that while Iggy was ahead of Danny to start the year due to Danny's shooting slump, Danny has been far more active in the team's success. He probably was all along but with the scoring woes going away he's clearly more able to lead the Pacers offense than Iggy is able to do with Philly.

            Lou Williams also dropped off a little bit.

            Philly also lacks bigs off the bench which is hurting them.


            But honestly, down the line it's not like a massive drop in production. It really does look more like the schedule than anything. They were always a shadow of the Pacers more than a mirror. But it's really close at several spots.

            Some per36 on the year...

            Brand 13.5 - 9.1 - 2.1 - 49.1 eFG% - 1.3 stl - 1.8 blk
            West 14.9 - 8.0 - 2.7 - 48.0 eFG% - 0.9 stl - 0.8 blk

            Iggy 12.2 - 6.2 - 5.6 - 50.2 eFG% - 1.8 stl - 0.5 blk
            Granger 20.1 - 5.2 - 1.8 - 47.7 eFG% - 1.2 stl - 0.8 blk

            Hawes 13.1 - 10.7 - 3.7 - 50.7 eFG% - 0.6 stl - 1.8 blk
            Roy 15.6 - 10.6 - 2.0 - 49.7 eFG% - 0.6 stl - 2.4 blk

            Looking at those 3 I'd say that Philly had been slightly better. Of course Philly also loaded up numbers early on against bad teams. But apart from the Hawes injury it's pretty tough to distinguish these two teams by the numbers.

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            • #51
              Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

              The Sixers play a different style of basketball than us. They move the ball, find open shooters and take the first good look available. They don't work the ball inside, draw fouls or foul a lot. They play it safe.

              They play clean defense and run the floor well. It's a different philosophy.
              Originally posted by IrishPacer
              Empty vessels make the most noise.

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              • #52
                Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                But honestly, down the line it's not like a massive drop in production. It really does look more like the schedule than anything. They were always a shadow of the Pacers more than a mirror. But it's really close at several spots.
                Explain, please. The first half of the season, we put up similar numbers despite a significantly harder schedule. By the end of the season, the schedules should all even out. Our easy end-of-season schedule is because we had it hard early. Their hard schedule is because they already got their easy games.

                By this point in the season, "Team X had an easier schedule" is a much less effective excuse.
                This space for rent.

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                • #53
                  Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                  Well my post was a little confused because I went to find evidence of the decline, but it's a little hard to see how statistically they are doing worse, at least individually.

                  I mean I was always saying the schedule would catch up to them, but by their individual stats it's pretty hard to see this. Wouldn't facing tougher teams or tougher games (more road games) that resulted in losses mean that players were shooting a little worse, turning it over more, getting less steals or blocks?

                  But the main guys didn't really fall off much. So it's like what they were doing in basic stats was enough to win the easy games but not enough to win the tough games, but it was enough to put up similar stats.


                  I think you misunderstood me as well. I'm saying that their fall now is due to schedule. It 100% is. I just can't find the production fall off to go with it outside of the Hawes injury and loss of production there on his return.


                  I suspect that PPG allowed or DEF FG% has gotten worse perhaps.



                  Just to clarify one more time, if you were winning 100-90 with 5 guys scoring 20 each, and then you start losing 90-100 you wouldn't still have all 5 guys scoring 20. Something has to give.

                  We see it in the W-L, but what exactly has changed in the box score output the last month? It has to be something.

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                  • #54
                    Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                    Let me add that in reviewing my page 2 post I see that I mentioned the drops for Turner and Hawes but don't actually show the pre-post AS split (easy to find at places like basketball-reference). From that I didn't really see Brand or Iggy or Jrue doing worse since the AS break. They all look incredibly balanced pre-post.

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                    • #55
                      Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                      Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                      Well my post was a little confused because I went to find evidence of the decline, but it's a little hard to see how statistically they are doing worse, at least individually.

                      I mean I was always saying the schedule would catch up to them, but by their individual stats it's pretty hard to see this. Wouldn't facing tougher teams or tougher games (more road games) that resulted in losses mean that players were shooting a little worse, turning it over more, getting less steals or blocks?

                      But the main guys didn't really fall off much.
                      Dude, where are you going with this? Nobody's claiming that Philly's main guys would play worse. The idea is that their opponents would get better.

                      Same guys putting up the same stats, but that league-leading scoring discrepancy went negative. Why? They were playing against teams who put up more points.
                      This space for rent.

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                      • #56
                        Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                        ^ Yeah, but there's two ways for their opponents to put up more points. 1) The offenses of more recent teams the sixers have played are better, or 2) the defenses of the more recent teams the sixers have played are better, which holds PHI's scoring/offensive production down. It's a bit of both.

                        Sixers on O...first 28 games vs. last 28 games: drops from 107.4 pts per 100 possessions to 99.4 pts per 100 (-8.0)
                        Sixers on D: giving up 2.5 pts /100 more (97.2 up to 99.7).

                        So it's not so much that their opponents are putting that many more points up. It's that their opponents are better defenders that are holding the Sixers down...on the team level at least. Maybe the stars are still playing at the same level, or maybe the differences are pretty small (an extra turnover here, a drop in FG% of 2% there).
                        Last edited by ChicagoPacer; 04-10-2012, 12:51 AM.

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                        • #57
                          Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                          Originally posted by Anthem View Post
                          Dude, where are you going with this? Nobody's claiming that Philly's main guys would play worse. The idea is that their opponents would get better.

                          Same guys putting up the same stats, but that league-leading scoring discrepancy went negative. Why? They were playing against teams who put up more points.
                          Because if you bring the same TALENT against a tougher opponent who will end up with more points than you at the end of the night then it's virtually impossible to maintain the same stats.

                          You can't score 100 points if you just lost 90-100, and you can't lose 90-100 if you are scoring 100. If you lost instead of won then something you did wasn't as good. I get that the reason why is the level of competition, I mean I started this thread to say just that, but where is the resulting evidence of what's happened to them.

                          Someone has to be doing worse when they started playing these tougher games, but for the life of me I can't really identify where they started getting beat.

                          You play TOR and win by 20. You do this because their defense sucks and let's you shoot 54% as a team. This means individuals are shooting 45-60% on the night.

                          Then you play Boston and lose by 15. You do this because they bring the defense and you shoot 38% as a team. This means individuals are shooting 35-44% on the night.

                          That should show up in the pre-post AS stats for these guys. Losing games means worse scoring, less steals, blocks, rebounds, more TOs, more fouls, worse FG% against....something. Something suffers because you are playing a better team who reduces your ability to do as much as well as you were before.


                          But for the most part these guys look like nothing changed in their lines. They just stopped winning without doing much of anything worse.

                          Obviously something has slipped, or they are padding stats enough in the fewer wins to compensate for the extra losses.



                          And their PTS DIFF is just stupid. I can't believe it was so high that they've been able to maintain a pretty high ranking in it with all the losses and some of them by big margins.

                          Sorry, but I'm a stat geek and it fascinates me. By the numbers only you'd swear that Philly had the same W-L pre and post AS break. I guess by Madden-padding on the dogs they've been able to compensate.

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                          • #58
                            Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                            Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                            And their PTS DIFF is just stupid. I can't believe it was so high that they've been able to maintain a pretty high ranking in it with all the losses and some of them by big margins.

                            Sorry, but I'm a stat geek and it fascinates me. By the numbers only you'd swear that Philly had the same W-L pre and post AS break. I guess by Madden-padding on the dogs they've been able to compensate.

                            Lou Williams, Evan Turner, Spencer Hawes.

                            Spencer Hawes actually had better numbers than Hibbert when we met, pretty much across the board, and he had something like 4 APG. Once he got injured and returned, he hasn't played nearly as well. In fact, they have benched him.

                            Evan Turner was playing well early in the year, coming off the bench. Toward the middle of the season he started stinking it up. They started him, he exploded for a few games, then started playing worse than he has had all year. Really just passive. 76ers board complained nobody was getting him the ball, but he wasn't doing anything when he didn't have the ball to get open. He has since been benched, coinciding with their 2 game winning streak.

                            Lou Williams is a bit like Barbosa, except that he never EVER says no to a shot. His scoring has gradually dipped, but his bad shot selection has seemed even worse for the last half of the year or so because in the first half...he was so incredibly hot he was making so many ridiculous shots.


                            I don't know if stats can really back that up, completely, other than a long look at game log records, but a lot of reason for their success was the play of those three. And they just haven't brought it very much lately.
                            Time for a new sig.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                              Well let's get back to the main point which is the EPIC FAIL that is the Philly vs Hammer matchup.

                              I mean a home game vs New Jersey with a day rest is your respite from all the hard games. You have 2 home games left and 6 road games, and one of the home games is vs the Pacers on a back to back coming back from Orlando. And you blow that NJ game?!?

                              It's embarrassing. They now have one home game left all year, hosting the Pacers. GFL with that Philly, enjoy your trip to Orlando and then apparently every NBA city that can be squeezed into 5 games to finish the season.

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                              • #60
                                Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                                Your attention please:

                                For Tuesday night's performance the role of "The Hammer" will be played by the Indiana Pacers.

                                We are sorry for the inconvenience.







                                But not really. Come on Bucks, you've got to win them all but THR.

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