http://www.nba.com/2011/news/feature...ne/index.html#
I would like to think our marketsize would be "medium" instead of "small"
"We're trying to formulate a new agreement that will allow teams like Portland -- smaller markets in the league -- to have an opportunity to be both profitable and competitive on the court," deputy commissioner Adam Silver told the Oregonian newspaper in March. He and David Stern have offered variations on that theme a hundred times since; this lockout is about making sure that every team has a chance to compete. But what system can guarantee that?
Of course, the league has one in mind -- a hard, or at least, hard-er cap system in which the disparity between what the top teams pay in salary and their lesser brethren is greatly reduced. In the league's mind, getting rid of the current system, where the luxury tax has had no impact on the five or six teams that are willing to pay it, is paramount.
But ... what have those teams gotten for their money?
According to cap avatar Larry Coon, these are the teams that paid the tax from 2004-2005 to 2009-10: the Knicks (five times, at a total of about $131 million), Mavericks (five times, $85 million), Cavaliers (three times, $43 million), Lakers (three times, $33 million), Celtics (three times, $31 million), Nuggets (three times, $21 million), Magic (twice, $18 million), Suns (three times, almost $14 million), Heat (twice, $11 million), Spurs (three times, almost $10 million), Blazers (once, $5.9 million), Pacers (yeah, surprised me, too--once, at $4.7 million), Grizzlies (once, $3.7 million), Jazz (once, $3.1 million) and Timberwolves (once, $1 million). Reportedly, the Lakers, Magic and Mavericks were the only teams that paid the tax this past season, at around $20 million each.
The Knicks didn't make the playoffs once in the five seasons they paid the luxury tax. The Mavs made it each of the six years -- including this past one -- that they paid the tax. But they made the postseason in the five previous seasons (2000-2005) in which they did not pay a luxury tax as well. The Lakers have paid the tax when they lost in the Finals (2007-08), the two years they won the championship ('08-09 and '09-10) and this past year, when they got smoked in the semis. Boston paid tax when it won its last championship (2007-08) and the year it lost to Orlando in the conference semifinals (2008-09).
The Nuggets have paid the tax three times, but they didn't pay it in 2008-09, the year they made the Western Conference finals for the first time in 24 seasons.
More to the point, Utah -- which has paid the tax once in its history -- has made the playoffs 24 times in the last 28 years. The Blazers -- who've paid the tax once -- have made the playoffs 24 times in the last 29 years.
I'm sure Stern and Silver would say that they're not literally looking for guarantees that every team in the league be competitive every year, only that financial limitations shouldn't be decisive in determining how competitive a team can be. The Commish often cites the disparity between the Lakers' $110 million payroll last season and Sacramento's $45 million to exemplify how the Kings simply cannot field a team that can play with L.A.'s. And they would argue that things are much different now than they were in the mid-80s. Fair enough.
So I have tried to look at a more fair comparison.
I have taken a look at the last 13 seasons since the implementation of the 1999 Collective Bargaining Agreement between the league and the players that ended the '98 lockout. I used that line of demarcation because that CBA produced much of the modern salary structure in the game. It capped salaries of the top players, meaning the exponential growth in max player salaries that culminated in Kevin Garnett's $126 million from small-market Minnesota in 1996 would be stopped dead in its tracks. It created the mid-level exception, tied to the average salary paid in the league. And it established the luxury tax and escrow payments from the players to owners.
I tried to look at how teams' decisions affected their on-court performance. I tried to see if there was any difference between how teams in large markets, medium markets and small ones fared when it came to making the playoffs. (The delineation between "major," "midsize" and "small" markets is mine, as are any mistakes in those listings.)
"Smart Moves" refer to decisions that weren't obvious to do and had a major impact on the franchise. For example, the Bulls were fortunate to get the first pick in the 2008 Draft, but it was a no-brainer to take Derrick Rose with the first pick (or for the Cavs to take LeBron James first overall in 2003). They don't get credit for that.
"Questionable and/or Bad Moves" doesn't necessarily mean bad Draft picks or trades, though if a particular one was so egregious to the franchise's future or ability to win has been included.
The question "have they competed for championships?" does allow for some interpretation. I created four categories: yes (meaning they've won a title during the 12-season stretch, made The Finals, or made at least two conference finals), no (meaning they haven't made the playoffs or haven't gotten past the second round more than once), not really (defining teams that may have made the playoffs a few times, but haven't been real title contenders) and briefly (defining teams that had a small window of contention that was closed by injury to a key player or some other traumatic experience).
ATLANTA HAWKS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Trading for Joe Johnson (2004); taking Al Horford (third overall) in 2007 Draft
Questionable/Bad Moves: Drafting Marvin Williams in first round (2005) instead of Chris Paul or Deron Williams; max contract ($124 million) for Johnson in 2010
External Factors: Former ownership group (Atlanta Spirit) beset by internal struggles
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
BOSTON CELTICS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Acquiring Kendrick Perkins (2003) and Rajon Rondo (2006) in Draft day deals; trading for Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen (2007)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Perkins to Oklahoma City for Jeff Green (2010)
External Factors: Increasing operating capital with local cable TV deals
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring Larry Brown as coach (2008)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Front office purge under former owner Robert Johnson
External Factors: An NFL team (Carolina Panthers, founded in 1995) competing for discretionary income
Have they competed for championships?: No
CHICAGO BULLS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Not trading for Kobe Bryant (2007), which would have gutted roster (Luol Deng) and cost future Draft picks (Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson, etc.)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Hiring Vinny Del Negro as head coach (2006) instead of Mike D'Antoni
External Factors: Incomparably loyal fan base continued to generate revenue during down seasons
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring a virtual unknown, Mike Brown, as coach (2005)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Never getting LeBron James a legitimate superstar partner (Jason Kidd, 2008; Amar'e Stoudemire, 2010)
External Factors: Carlos Boozer's departure to Utah (2004) under murky circumstances
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DALLAS MAVERICKS
Playoff appearances: 11
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Embracing defense-first philosophy (Avery Johnson, Rick Carlisle), acquiring Jason Kidd (2008)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Steve Nash (2004)
External Factors: Mark Cuban working more behind the scenes with league instead of daily confrontations
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DENVER NUGGETS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Successfully salvaging Carmelo Anthony trade request (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Max contract for Kenyon Martin (2004), which limited flexibility for other moves once Martin became injured
External Factors: George Karl's cancer battle (2010)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DETROIT PISTONS
Playoff appearances: 10
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Signing Chauncey Billups (2002), hiring Larry Brown (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Billups for Allen Iverson (2008); hiring Michael Curry (2008-09) and John Kuester (2009-10) as head coaches
External Factors: Death of longtime owner Bill Davidson (2009) threw franchise into limbo
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Putting together strong front office with Larry Riley, Bob Myers, Jerry West; hiring Mark Jackson as head coach (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Everything before that
External Factors: Former owner Chris Cohan's IRS issues
Have they competed for championships?: No
HOUSTON ROCKETS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Hiring excellent head coaches (Rudy Tomjanovich, Jeff Van Gundy, Rick Adelman)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Tracy McGrady/Yao Ming pairing never meshed into dynamic duo due to injuries
External Factors: Chinese Basketball's insistence on Yao playing every summer for national team
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
INDIANA PACERS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Building Conseco Fieldhouse, which is still a state-of-the-art stadium 12 years after opening
Questionable/Bad Moves: 2007 trade with Warriors (Al Harrington, Stephen Jackson, et.al, for Mike Dunleavy, Jr., Troy Murphy, et.al)
External Factors: Malice at The Palace (2004)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Baron Davis-Mo Williams trade (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Signing Baron Davis ($65 million in 2008-09) didn't work out as planned
External Factors: Owner Donald Sterling. 'Nuff said
Have they competed for championships?: No
LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Playoff appearances: 12
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Pau Gasol trade (2008), not trading Kobe Bryant (2007)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Shaq (2004)
External Factors: Emergence of Jim Buss as power broker, beating out Jerry West, Phil Jackson
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Playoff appearances: 4
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Pau Gasol trade (2008), Zach Randolph trade (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Jury's out on recent spending sprees ($80 million for Rudy Gay; $45 million for Mike Conley)
External Factors: University of Memphis' stall as national college power helps Grizzlies' bottom line, though entities work with one another
Have they competed for championships?: No
MIAMI HEAT
Playoff appearances: 10
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: The Super Friends (2010) and the three years of planning it took to make that happen
Questionable/Bad Moves: Running coach Stan Van Gundy out of town
External Factors: Aligning of Creative Artists Agency into basketball power broker
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Playoff appearances: 7
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Gambling on Brandon Jennings (10th pick, 2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Big contract ($91 million, 2005) for Michael Redd, whose knees wouldn't let him live up to it
External Factors: Inability to get new arena built to replace Bradley Center further hamstrings team compared to NBA's haves
Have they competed for championships?: No
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Hiring Rick Adelman (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Drafting Jonny Flynn (2009) instead of Steph Curry, Brandon Jennings, Ty Lawson
External Factors: Illegal contract for Joe Smith (2002), costing franchise four first-round picks
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
NEW JERSEY NETS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Jason Kidd trade (2001)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Kenyon Martin (2004)
External Factors: Former majority owner Bruce Ratner's payroll strip in advance of new Brooklyn complex gutted promising squad
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Tyson Chandler trade (2006)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Firing Byron Scott (2009)
External Factors: Hurricane Katrina (2005) wiped out local economy for years
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
NEW YORK KNICKS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Signing Amar'e Stoudemire (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Acquiring Eddy Curry (2005), signing Jerome James (2005, $30 million), trading Trevor Ariza for Steve Francis (2006), hiring Larry Brown (2006) ... do we have to go on? Knicks fans' eyes are about to explode
External Factors: Sexual harassment lawsuit (2007) exposed all of MSG's dirty laundry
Have they competed for championships?: No
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Playoff appearances: 5 (3 as Seattle SuperSonics)
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Drafting Russell Westbrook (2008), keeping Serge Ibaka (taken in 2008, left overseas for a season)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Relocation from Seattle (2006). Nothing against the folks in OKC; I happen to have a soft spot for the Emerald City
External Factors: Only pro game in town makes Thunder a must ticket
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
ORLANDO MAGIC
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Opting for Stan Van Gundy instead of Billy Donovan (2007) as head coach; signing Hedo Turkoglu (2004)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading for Gilbert Arenas (2010)
External Factors: Can anyone believe the Magic don't want a settlement of the lockout to have an offseason to get more talent around Dwight Howard before he becomes a free agent next summer?
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Drafting Thaddeus Young (2008), hiring Doug Collins (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Ousting former team president Pat Croce; $80 million contracts apiece for Elton Brand, Andre Iguodala (2008)
External Factors: Former owner Ed Snider, Comcast-Spectactor group were Flyers/NHL -first kind of people
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
PHOENIX SUNS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Signing Steve Nash (2004), hiring Mike D'Antoni (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Joe Johnson (2004), firing D'Antoni (2008), trading for Shaquille O'Neal (2008)
External Factors: Selling first-round picks (Rajon Rondo, Rudy Fernandez) to save cash
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Hiring Nate McMillan (2005), not trading Nicolas Batum
Questionable/Bad Moves: Firing GMs Kevin Pritchard (2010), Rich Cho (2010)
External Factors: Health of owner Paul Allen
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
SACRAMENTO KINGS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Max contract ($121 million, 2001) for Chris Webber
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing core of title contending team to avoid paying luxury tax
External Factors: Recession has hit Maloof Family, which owns team, as hard as any owners in the league
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Playoff appearances: 13
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Late-round Draft success (Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Tiago Splitter, DeJuan Blair, George Hill, etc.)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Luis Scola (2007) to save money
External Factors: "Brain Drain" of executives (Sam Presti, Dell Demps) in recent years
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
TORONTO RAPTORS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring Dwane Casey (2011) as coach
Questionable/Bad Moves: Never surrounding Chris Bosh with quality talent
External Factors: Team's owners (Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment) are hockey-first people
Have they competed for championships?: No
UTAH JAZZ
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Signing Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur (2004), trading for Deron Williams (2005), finding Wes Matthews (2009) as undrafted rookie
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Ronnie Brewer (2010)
External Factors: Death of owner Larry Miller (2007)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Playoff appearances: 4
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Gilbert Arenas free agent signing (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Gilbert Arenas $111 million extension (2008)
External Factors: Gunplay in the locker room (2009)
Have they competed for championships?: No
So, what do all of those numbers mean?
Sixfteen -- just more than half -- of the NBA's teams have made the playoffs more than half of the time (at least seven appearances) in that 13-season stretch. Another four teams have made it six times in 13 seasons, meaning two-thirds of the teams in the NBA have been fairly regular visitors to the playoffs under this system.
Only five teams -- Charlotte, Golden State, the Clippers, Memphis and Washington -- have made the playoffs less than a third of the time. Do those teams have anything in common? Washington, the Clippers and Golden State are in major markets; Memphis and Charlotte are in small ones. The Wizards and Warriors have spent big on players; the Grizzlies and Bobcats have limits, and we all know that winning is hardly important to Sterling.
The league would probably say that teams like the Kings and Suns, which had championship-level squads, couldn't maintain them because of the current system when the Lakers' payroll dwarfs theirs. Of course, the Lakers can do that, in part, because of their prohibitive advantage over most teams in local televsion money. It's an edge that's only going to grow once L.A.'s new deal with Time Warner Cable -- reported at $3 billion over 20 years -- starts in 2012. And the union maintains that those local TV dollars, along with other money that teams don't share with one another is where the have-nots can be made whole.
Stern reiterated last week that a new revenue sharing plan will be in place when the new CBA gets hammered out, and will pay out at least three times -- or $180 million -- what the current revenue sharing deal splits between teams.
But teams make decisions. The Spurs, Magic and Jazz went all in the last couple of years, willing to pay luxury tax to give, respectively, Tim Duncan a couple more shots at a ring, Dwight Howard his best chance at a title and to try and keep Williams and Boozer happy enough to stay around. (It doesn't look promising for the Spurs, the Magic's hopes of keeping Howard are teetering and we know how it worked out for the Jazz, who also lost coach Jerry Sloan in the process.)
Michael Heisley, the Grizzlies' owner, got ripped for much of the decade for being cheap, but he always said he'd spend for players he thought were worth it. In the last two years, Memphis has given extensions to Rudy Gay ($80 million), Mike Conley ($45 million) and Zach Randolph ($68 million), and says it won't let Marc Gasol -- the centerpiece of the Pau Gasol trade in 2008 -- get away as a free agent.
Memphis not only made the playoffs last season, but knocked the Spurs out and almost beat Oklahoma City in the semis, taking the Thunder to a Game 7. The Grizz traded a veteran small forward, Shane Battier, for Gay in 2006. They drafted Conley in the first round in 2007. They picked up Randolph from the Clippers in 2009 for little-used Quentin Richardson. And last season, they got Battier back in a deadline-day deal that helped fuel the Grizzlies' run. Smart drafting, smart signings, smart trades -- isn't that the very definition of "being competitive" in a small market?
The league, of course, will say that the losses that teams are taking has grown exponentially in the last five to seven years, and no matter if you believe the losses are $300 million or less than that, I don't doubt more teams are losing more money than they did in 1999.
There's no question that there have to be better ways for teams to get out of underperforming contracts. There's no question that owners shouldn't have to go bankrupt to keep their teams. But the tried and tested formula of good management -- draft the right guys, trade for the right guys, keep the right guys, and pay the right guys the right amount of money -- still works. And there is nothing that can -- or should -- protect a team from its own bad, dumb decisions.
"There are 30 teams," free agent guard T.J. Ford said Thursday. "That means somebody has to lose."
It's kind of hard to argue with that logic.
Of course, the league has one in mind -- a hard, or at least, hard-er cap system in which the disparity between what the top teams pay in salary and their lesser brethren is greatly reduced. In the league's mind, getting rid of the current system, where the luxury tax has had no impact on the five or six teams that are willing to pay it, is paramount.
But ... what have those teams gotten for their money?
According to cap avatar Larry Coon, these are the teams that paid the tax from 2004-2005 to 2009-10: the Knicks (five times, at a total of about $131 million), Mavericks (five times, $85 million), Cavaliers (three times, $43 million), Lakers (three times, $33 million), Celtics (three times, $31 million), Nuggets (three times, $21 million), Magic (twice, $18 million), Suns (three times, almost $14 million), Heat (twice, $11 million), Spurs (three times, almost $10 million), Blazers (once, $5.9 million), Pacers (yeah, surprised me, too--once, at $4.7 million), Grizzlies (once, $3.7 million), Jazz (once, $3.1 million) and Timberwolves (once, $1 million). Reportedly, the Lakers, Magic and Mavericks were the only teams that paid the tax this past season, at around $20 million each.
The Knicks didn't make the playoffs once in the five seasons they paid the luxury tax. The Mavs made it each of the six years -- including this past one -- that they paid the tax. But they made the postseason in the five previous seasons (2000-2005) in which they did not pay a luxury tax as well. The Lakers have paid the tax when they lost in the Finals (2007-08), the two years they won the championship ('08-09 and '09-10) and this past year, when they got smoked in the semis. Boston paid tax when it won its last championship (2007-08) and the year it lost to Orlando in the conference semifinals (2008-09).
The Nuggets have paid the tax three times, but they didn't pay it in 2008-09, the year they made the Western Conference finals for the first time in 24 seasons.
More to the point, Utah -- which has paid the tax once in its history -- has made the playoffs 24 times in the last 28 years. The Blazers -- who've paid the tax once -- have made the playoffs 24 times in the last 29 years.
I'm sure Stern and Silver would say that they're not literally looking for guarantees that every team in the league be competitive every year, only that financial limitations shouldn't be decisive in determining how competitive a team can be. The Commish often cites the disparity between the Lakers' $110 million payroll last season and Sacramento's $45 million to exemplify how the Kings simply cannot field a team that can play with L.A.'s. And they would argue that things are much different now than they were in the mid-80s. Fair enough.
So I have tried to look at a more fair comparison.
I have taken a look at the last 13 seasons since the implementation of the 1999 Collective Bargaining Agreement between the league and the players that ended the '98 lockout. I used that line of demarcation because that CBA produced much of the modern salary structure in the game. It capped salaries of the top players, meaning the exponential growth in max player salaries that culminated in Kevin Garnett's $126 million from small-market Minnesota in 1996 would be stopped dead in its tracks. It created the mid-level exception, tied to the average salary paid in the league. And it established the luxury tax and escrow payments from the players to owners.
I tried to look at how teams' decisions affected their on-court performance. I tried to see if there was any difference between how teams in large markets, medium markets and small ones fared when it came to making the playoffs. (The delineation between "major," "midsize" and "small" markets is mine, as are any mistakes in those listings.)
"Smart Moves" refer to decisions that weren't obvious to do and had a major impact on the franchise. For example, the Bulls were fortunate to get the first pick in the 2008 Draft, but it was a no-brainer to take Derrick Rose with the first pick (or for the Cavs to take LeBron James first overall in 2003). They don't get credit for that.
"Questionable and/or Bad Moves" doesn't necessarily mean bad Draft picks or trades, though if a particular one was so egregious to the franchise's future or ability to win has been included.
The question "have they competed for championships?" does allow for some interpretation. I created four categories: yes (meaning they've won a title during the 12-season stretch, made The Finals, or made at least two conference finals), no (meaning they haven't made the playoffs or haven't gotten past the second round more than once), not really (defining teams that may have made the playoffs a few times, but haven't been real title contenders) and briefly (defining teams that had a small window of contention that was closed by injury to a key player or some other traumatic experience).
ATLANTA HAWKS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Trading for Joe Johnson (2004); taking Al Horford (third overall) in 2007 Draft
Questionable/Bad Moves: Drafting Marvin Williams in first round (2005) instead of Chris Paul or Deron Williams; max contract ($124 million) for Johnson in 2010
External Factors: Former ownership group (Atlanta Spirit) beset by internal struggles
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
BOSTON CELTICS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Acquiring Kendrick Perkins (2003) and Rajon Rondo (2006) in Draft day deals; trading for Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen (2007)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Perkins to Oklahoma City for Jeff Green (2010)
External Factors: Increasing operating capital with local cable TV deals
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring Larry Brown as coach (2008)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Front office purge under former owner Robert Johnson
External Factors: An NFL team (Carolina Panthers, founded in 1995) competing for discretionary income
Have they competed for championships?: No
CHICAGO BULLS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Not trading for Kobe Bryant (2007), which would have gutted roster (Luol Deng) and cost future Draft picks (Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson, etc.)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Hiring Vinny Del Negro as head coach (2006) instead of Mike D'Antoni
External Factors: Incomparably loyal fan base continued to generate revenue during down seasons
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring a virtual unknown, Mike Brown, as coach (2005)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Never getting LeBron James a legitimate superstar partner (Jason Kidd, 2008; Amar'e Stoudemire, 2010)
External Factors: Carlos Boozer's departure to Utah (2004) under murky circumstances
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DALLAS MAVERICKS
Playoff appearances: 11
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Embracing defense-first philosophy (Avery Johnson, Rick Carlisle), acquiring Jason Kidd (2008)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Steve Nash (2004)
External Factors: Mark Cuban working more behind the scenes with league instead of daily confrontations
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DENVER NUGGETS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Successfully salvaging Carmelo Anthony trade request (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Max contract for Kenyon Martin (2004), which limited flexibility for other moves once Martin became injured
External Factors: George Karl's cancer battle (2010)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
DETROIT PISTONS
Playoff appearances: 10
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Signing Chauncey Billups (2002), hiring Larry Brown (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Billups for Allen Iverson (2008); hiring Michael Curry (2008-09) and John Kuester (2009-10) as head coaches
External Factors: Death of longtime owner Bill Davidson (2009) threw franchise into limbo
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Putting together strong front office with Larry Riley, Bob Myers, Jerry West; hiring Mark Jackson as head coach (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Everything before that
External Factors: Former owner Chris Cohan's IRS issues
Have they competed for championships?: No
HOUSTON ROCKETS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Hiring excellent head coaches (Rudy Tomjanovich, Jeff Van Gundy, Rick Adelman)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Tracy McGrady/Yao Ming pairing never meshed into dynamic duo due to injuries
External Factors: Chinese Basketball's insistence on Yao playing every summer for national team
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
INDIANA PACERS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Building Conseco Fieldhouse, which is still a state-of-the-art stadium 12 years after opening
Questionable/Bad Moves: 2007 trade with Warriors (Al Harrington, Stephen Jackson, et.al, for Mike Dunleavy, Jr., Troy Murphy, et.al)
External Factors: Malice at The Palace (2004)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Playoff appearances: 1
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Baron Davis-Mo Williams trade (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Signing Baron Davis ($65 million in 2008-09) didn't work out as planned
External Factors: Owner Donald Sterling. 'Nuff said
Have they competed for championships?: No
LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Playoff appearances: 12
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Pau Gasol trade (2008), not trading Kobe Bryant (2007)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Shaq (2004)
External Factors: Emergence of Jim Buss as power broker, beating out Jerry West, Phil Jackson
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Playoff appearances: 4
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Pau Gasol trade (2008), Zach Randolph trade (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Jury's out on recent spending sprees ($80 million for Rudy Gay; $45 million for Mike Conley)
External Factors: University of Memphis' stall as national college power helps Grizzlies' bottom line, though entities work with one another
Have they competed for championships?: No
MIAMI HEAT
Playoff appearances: 10
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: The Super Friends (2010) and the three years of planning it took to make that happen
Questionable/Bad Moves: Running coach Stan Van Gundy out of town
External Factors: Aligning of Creative Artists Agency into basketball power broker
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Playoff appearances: 7
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Gambling on Brandon Jennings (10th pick, 2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Big contract ($91 million, 2005) for Michael Redd, whose knees wouldn't let him live up to it
External Factors: Inability to get new arena built to replace Bradley Center further hamstrings team compared to NBA's haves
Have they competed for championships?: No
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Hiring Rick Adelman (2011)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Drafting Jonny Flynn (2009) instead of Steph Curry, Brandon Jennings, Ty Lawson
External Factors: Illegal contract for Joe Smith (2002), costing franchise four first-round picks
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
NEW JERSEY NETS
Playoff appearances: 6
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Jason Kidd trade (2001)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Kenyon Martin (2004)
External Factors: Former majority owner Bruce Ratner's payroll strip in advance of new Brooklyn complex gutted promising squad
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Tyson Chandler trade (2006)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Firing Byron Scott (2009)
External Factors: Hurricane Katrina (2005) wiped out local economy for years
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
NEW YORK KNICKS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Signing Amar'e Stoudemire (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Acquiring Eddy Curry (2005), signing Jerome James (2005, $30 million), trading Trevor Ariza for Steve Francis (2006), hiring Larry Brown (2006) ... do we have to go on? Knicks fans' eyes are about to explode
External Factors: Sexual harassment lawsuit (2007) exposed all of MSG's dirty laundry
Have they competed for championships?: No
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Playoff appearances: 5 (3 as Seattle SuperSonics)
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Drafting Russell Westbrook (2008), keeping Serge Ibaka (taken in 2008, left overseas for a season)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Relocation from Seattle (2006). Nothing against the folks in OKC; I happen to have a soft spot for the Emerald City
External Factors: Only pro game in town makes Thunder a must ticket
Have they competed for championships?: Not really
ORLANDO MAGIC
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Opting for Stan Van Gundy instead of Billy Donovan (2007) as head coach; signing Hedo Turkoglu (2004)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading for Gilbert Arenas (2010)
External Factors: Can anyone believe the Magic don't want a settlement of the lockout to have an offseason to get more talent around Dwight Howard before he becomes a free agent next summer?
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Drafting Thaddeus Young (2008), hiring Doug Collins (2010)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Ousting former team president Pat Croce; $80 million contracts apiece for Elton Brand, Andre Iguodala (2008)
External Factors: Former owner Ed Snider, Comcast-Spectactor group were Flyers/NHL -first kind of people
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
PHOENIX SUNS
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Signing Steve Nash (2004), hiring Mike D'Antoni (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing Joe Johnson (2004), firing D'Antoni (2008), trading for Shaquille O'Neal (2008)
External Factors: Selling first-round picks (Rajon Rondo, Rudy Fernandez) to save cash
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Hiring Nate McMillan (2005), not trading Nicolas Batum
Questionable/Bad Moves: Firing GMs Kevin Pritchard (2010), Rich Cho (2010)
External Factors: Health of owner Paul Allen
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
SACRAMENTO KINGS
Playoff appearances: 8
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Max contract ($121 million, 2001) for Chris Webber
Questionable/Bad Moves: Losing core of title contending team to avoid paying luxury tax
External Factors: Recession has hit Maloof Family, which owns team, as hard as any owners in the league
Have they competed for championships?: Briefly
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Playoff appearances: 13
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Late-round Draft success (Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Tiago Splitter, DeJuan Blair, George Hill, etc.)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Luis Scola (2007) to save money
External Factors: "Brain Drain" of executives (Sam Presti, Dell Demps) in recent years
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
TORONTO RAPTORS
Playoff appearances: 5
Market size: Midsize
Smart Moves: Hiring Dwane Casey (2011) as coach
Questionable/Bad Moves: Never surrounding Chris Bosh with quality talent
External Factors: Team's owners (Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment) are hockey-first people
Have they competed for championships?: No
UTAH JAZZ
Playoff appearances: 9
Market size: Small
Smart Moves: Signing Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur (2004), trading for Deron Williams (2005), finding Wes Matthews (2009) as undrafted rookie
Questionable/Bad Moves: Trading Ronnie Brewer (2010)
External Factors: Death of owner Larry Miller (2007)
Have they competed for championships?: Yes
WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Playoff appearances: 4
Market size: Major
Smart Moves: Gilbert Arenas free agent signing (2003)
Questionable/Bad Moves: Gilbert Arenas $111 million extension (2008)
External Factors: Gunplay in the locker room (2009)
Have they competed for championships?: No
So, what do all of those numbers mean?
Sixfteen -- just more than half -- of the NBA's teams have made the playoffs more than half of the time (at least seven appearances) in that 13-season stretch. Another four teams have made it six times in 13 seasons, meaning two-thirds of the teams in the NBA have been fairly regular visitors to the playoffs under this system.
Only five teams -- Charlotte, Golden State, the Clippers, Memphis and Washington -- have made the playoffs less than a third of the time. Do those teams have anything in common? Washington, the Clippers and Golden State are in major markets; Memphis and Charlotte are in small ones. The Wizards and Warriors have spent big on players; the Grizzlies and Bobcats have limits, and we all know that winning is hardly important to Sterling.
The league would probably say that teams like the Kings and Suns, which had championship-level squads, couldn't maintain them because of the current system when the Lakers' payroll dwarfs theirs. Of course, the Lakers can do that, in part, because of their prohibitive advantage over most teams in local televsion money. It's an edge that's only going to grow once L.A.'s new deal with Time Warner Cable -- reported at $3 billion over 20 years -- starts in 2012. And the union maintains that those local TV dollars, along with other money that teams don't share with one another is where the have-nots can be made whole.
Stern reiterated last week that a new revenue sharing plan will be in place when the new CBA gets hammered out, and will pay out at least three times -- or $180 million -- what the current revenue sharing deal splits between teams.
But teams make decisions. The Spurs, Magic and Jazz went all in the last couple of years, willing to pay luxury tax to give, respectively, Tim Duncan a couple more shots at a ring, Dwight Howard his best chance at a title and to try and keep Williams and Boozer happy enough to stay around. (It doesn't look promising for the Spurs, the Magic's hopes of keeping Howard are teetering and we know how it worked out for the Jazz, who also lost coach Jerry Sloan in the process.)
Michael Heisley, the Grizzlies' owner, got ripped for much of the decade for being cheap, but he always said he'd spend for players he thought were worth it. In the last two years, Memphis has given extensions to Rudy Gay ($80 million), Mike Conley ($45 million) and Zach Randolph ($68 million), and says it won't let Marc Gasol -- the centerpiece of the Pau Gasol trade in 2008 -- get away as a free agent.
Memphis not only made the playoffs last season, but knocked the Spurs out and almost beat Oklahoma City in the semis, taking the Thunder to a Game 7. The Grizz traded a veteran small forward, Shane Battier, for Gay in 2006. They drafted Conley in the first round in 2007. They picked up Randolph from the Clippers in 2009 for little-used Quentin Richardson. And last season, they got Battier back in a deadline-day deal that helped fuel the Grizzlies' run. Smart drafting, smart signings, smart trades -- isn't that the very definition of "being competitive" in a small market?
The league, of course, will say that the losses that teams are taking has grown exponentially in the last five to seven years, and no matter if you believe the losses are $300 million or less than that, I don't doubt more teams are losing more money than they did in 1999.
There's no question that there have to be better ways for teams to get out of underperforming contracts. There's no question that owners shouldn't have to go bankrupt to keep their teams. But the tried and tested formula of good management -- draft the right guys, trade for the right guys, keep the right guys, and pay the right guys the right amount of money -- still works. And there is nothing that can -- or should -- protect a team from its own bad, dumb decisions.
"There are 30 teams," free agent guard T.J. Ford said Thursday. "That means somebody has to lose."
It's kind of hard to argue with that logic.
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