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Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

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  • #46
    Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

    the trick to ending the negotiations will be blending a hard cap with the MLE exception.

    the players, the vast majority of players, are guys not superstars, but instead just average players. who want to make an average salary, ie the MLE. under the owners plan, the superstars will get the same big bucks they do now, but the rest of the league will be making the vets min. there is no way the players will go for that.

    what will it take to settle the lockout? some combination of salary cap with a MLE combined with a hard cap instead of the current luxury tax. something like a salary cap of ~$50M with a MLE but a hard cap of ~$60 to $65M. but the final agreement will have to keep some kind of MLE in order to get the players to say yes.

    Comment


    • #47
      Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

      Originally posted by xIndyFan View Post
      the trick to ending the negotiations will be blending a hard cap with the MLE exception.

      the players, the vast majority of players, are guys not superstars, but instead just average players. who want to make an average salary, ie the MLE. under the owners plan, the superstars will get the same big bucks they do now, but the rest of the league will be making the vets min. there is no way the players will go for that.

      what will it take to settle the lockout? some combination of salary cap with a MLE combined with a hard cap instead of the current luxury tax. something like a salary cap of ~$50M with a MLE but a hard cap of ~$60 to $65M. but the final agreement will have to keep some kind of MLE in order to get the players to say yes.

      The problem with the MLE exception is look at Posey he has been playing under the MLE and he has sucked the majority of the contract. The middle class needs to be killed Posey should make 1-3m dollars not 6.7m. MLE you cam use every year I would suggest limit the years of the MLE to only 3. Thats the main problem in the NBA the players need shorter deals and have to earn the money. But what you suggest just would not work if they are allowed to sign 5 year deals with the MLE. After you give out 5 5 year MLE thats 25m over the cap you can go. It would take 5 years to get those 5 player but they could still go way over the cap that way.

      I suggest just a hard cap at like 70m. That is over the cap of the NHL and the NHL has way more players. The problem is the GM are still gonna have to compete against other GMs to sign these mediocre players and will still end up over paying if they keep the MLE. Unless there is a hard cap.

      Comment


      • #48
        Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

        I think both sides need to understand that the NBA probably will not survive a loss of a significant number of games or even a whole season.

        IMO.

        Comment


        • #49
          Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

          Originally posted by JEM View Post
          I think both sides need to understand that the NBA probably will not survive a loss of a significant number of games or even a whole season.

          IMO.
          exactly .. especially in this economy... and it's only gonna get worse before it gets better... They all should be thankful that the populace are still willing to pay the millions upon billions of dollars they are collectively earning as a whole to remain in business...

          Regardless if they get a cba ironed out or not... I see very hard economic times coming upon the U.S. All these NBA players will end up HAVING to go overseas to make any semblance of a fraction , of the kind of money they have been making in the NBA..

          Mark my words, if the NBA loses this season and we go into an economic depression.. There will not be an NBA anymore... and if there is... it will be on the scale of the ABA , and in small gymnasiums... That is IF anyone would be willing to part with a few dollars to watch a basketball game....

          Both the players AND the owners need to figure out something very soon and get what money they can , while they can..before there is none to be had... Because I just don't see things looking good for us economically in the very near future...



          .
          "Political Correctness is a doctrine fostered by a delusional, illogical minority, and rabidly promoted by an unscrupulous mainstream media which holds forth the proposition that it is entirely possible to pick up a turd by the clean end."

          Comment


          • #50
            Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

            Lots of people tweeting that the owners are "winning" big time in negotiations.

            Just check Hicks' Twitter Page. He's been on it with the Retweets. http://www.twitter.com/HicksPD
            Last edited by Day-V; 09-14-2011, 12:08 AM.

            Comment


            • #51
              Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

              I guess lock out it is.

              I really dont see anything further happening until about Nov 15th when the players dont receive their pay check in the mail
              "So, which one of you guys is going to come in second?" - Larry Bird before the 3 point contest. He won.


              Comment


              • #52
                Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                NBA Lockout: Don’t Panic, They are Posturing - Sheridan Hoops

                Originally posted by Chris Sheridan
                I am tweeting from afar on today’s lack of progress in NBA labor negotiations, and I am not the least bit surprised that everyone is emerging from the meeting in New York spewing doom and gloom.

                That is what always happens when the owners’ and players’ full bargaining committees get together. It is a total dog-and-pony show, and anyone who expected the sides to emerge today with a sense of optimism was fooling themselves.

                This dispute will get settled when there are a lot fewer people in the room. David Stern and Billy Hunter can reach a suitable middle ground by meeting by themselves for a couple hours, which was what happened back in 1999 when that lockout was settled.

                Why would the owners want to budge now, just two days before the Board of Governors meets in Dallas? That meeting will serve to inform all the owners how strong their negotiating position is or isn’t, and they’ll emerge with a plan for moving toward a settlement now that they know what additional concessions the players are willing to make.

                September 13 is not, and was never going to be, a movement day for the owners.

                The time for them to improve their offer will come later this month, when the calendar dictates that it is time to move toward closure. In a labor negotiation, both sides do not make small incremental moves toward the center. They make a big leap when it comes time to make a big leap.

                That time is not now. It is probably another two weeks away.

                Today was a day for the owners to instill fear and put whatever the union offered them into their wallets. I’d say their mission was accomplished.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                  Strangely enough, I'm actually a bit more optimistic now. I've thought for a while that the players would move on the revenue split, but not on the hard cap, and now it's finally being confirmed. For the owners on the other hand, Sheridan is right, why give up their leverage now when there is no threat to lose games? It's not like players will pull their offer off the table. At the end of the day though, I think it's all about the money, so the players' offer forms a reasonable basis for a compromise I think.

                  Did the owners "win"? In a way, yes, they got the players to improve their offer without moving their own position. I guess that's why the NBPA got so upset, judging from their reactions. And sadly, the truce seems to be at an end. Both sides going at it hard with their posturing.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                    Hard cap + 50/50 split should = deal. Simple as that. The players are being greedy and/or just trying to save face at this point.

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                      There wont be a hardcap, players will simply never agree to it.

                      Players are not fighting among themselves, gaining sympathy, owners divided, they always been, the BOG meeting is the most interesting part

                      And the solution is easy, change LT to $ 4 instead of $ 1 or $ 2 and it's settled, 300 million loss? the LT payments @ $ 4 would exceed that easily.
                      Players moved on split, so the financing for that part is in place as well, hence that most time was spend in the owner's powwow.

                      Season? if not than another major sport is bankrupt, the NBA will have lost the international interest and deals they have in the drawer, the cost of that alone is more than what the league loses a year and in future terms the league's survival depends on that.
                      There's a reason the NFL plays a game in London every year
                      The NBA just started doing the same, drop it a year and the likelyhood is that the NFL expanded and the NBA is dead (they are now piggy backriding the Olympics) in most of Europe.
                      So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

                      If you've done 6 impossible things today?
                      Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                        Everyone just needs to calm down, this is all just part of the negotiations. No the NBA is not going to fold, no all the players won't go overseas, no there will be plenty happening prior to November 15th. I do settlement negotiations for a living and things are always the darkest right before a settlement. (I'm not suggesting we are close to a settlement, but I still think the general path of negotiations are working towards an agreement, but there is still a long way to go.

                        It is interesting though, if you read all of these accounts, it appears the players have given the owners what they want as far as revenue split (or have basically given them that) so now they are just negotiating on the best system to administer that split.

                        If you want to read a very negative account of things read Yahoo's Adrian Wojnarowski article. If the agents take over as he suggests then things might go off the rails completely

                        http://sheridanhoops.com/

                        NBA Lockout update: Interpretations

                        September 14, 2011 By Chris Sheridan 1 Comment
                        By Chris Sheridan

                        I’ve already given you my take on yesterday’s collective bargaining negotiations in New York.
                        So we shall once again take a trip around the Internet to have a look at the views of the writers who have been closely covering this dispute.


                        September 14, 2011 By Chris Sheridan 1 Comment
                        By Chris Sheridan
                        I’ve already given you my take on yesterday’s collective bargaining negotiations in New York.
                        So we shall once again take a trip around the Internet to have a look at the views of the writers who have been closely covering this dispute.


                        _ Ken Berger, CBSSports.com: “The only thing both sides agreed on after this latest round of posturing and semi-negotiating was that the players had come to the table with economic concessions the owners and NBA negotiators could live with — or at least could envision writing into a new CBA. Though no written proposals were formally exchanged, hidden amid all the rhetoric and doomsday prognosticating was something extraordinary for how lost it became: the NBA and its union are on the verge of solving the biggest dispute between them, as in how much money each side gets.”


                        _ Howard Beck, New York Times: “ The gloomy commentary on Tuesday obscured the fact that the parties are inching toward each other on the financial component of a new labor deal. Each side put a new proposal on the board last week, when the top negotiators met in a smaller group, according to a league official. A significant gap remains in dollars, but it is gradually shrinking, the official said. Stern referred multiple times Tuesday to the prospect of an agreement on the financial parameters. “We have a sense that, within a certain tolerances, there’s a potential economic deal that may be within view,” Stern said.


                        _ Adrian Wojnarowski, Yahoo Sports: “The NBA wants everything, because they don’t believe they’ll need to compromise. They want everything, because they believe this union will crumble, and bow before them. Three hours of waiting, and Hunter had to be sick to his stomach on Tuesday. Now, the 2011-12 season is assured to be delayed, and yes, games will be lost. Perhaps Hunter gave too much, too fast, but the players desperately wanted to make a deal this week. They’ll lose this collective bargaining fight to the owners; they just don’t want to lose in a complete bloodbath. Now, the bigger issue looms for Hunter: When he goes to Las Vegas on Wednesday for the most important players meeting of his tenure as executive director, does he found a coup awaiting him? … He’s already lost the top agents, who are laying the groundwork for a coup, sources told Yahoo Sports. The decision to make a move on Hunter could come as soon as this week, agents privately said.


                        _ Steve Aschburner, NBA.com: “ The curtain was pulled back enough Tuesday on a conflict that is less about how much money goes to player compensation than about how it gets distributed. Hard salary cap vs. soft salary cap, to be specific. This is the Celtics vs. Lakers-like blood feud of the lockout, its Russell vs. Chamberlain rivalry, debate and matter of taste. It is the philosophical difference that most separates the warring factions.”


                        _ Henry Abbott, ESPN.com TrueHoop: “Amazingly, both the players and the league implied on Tuesday that a solution to the money problem is in sight, but talks have been broken off because they simply cannot see eye to eye. If it’s not money, what is it? It’s the structure of the salary cap. The players really want it to stay roughly like it is (with exceptions such as the mid-level and Bird rights), while the NBA simply does not want, in essence, the Lakers to spend more than twice as much on players as the Kings, which they currently do thanks to those same exceptions.”


                        _ J.A. Adande, ESPN.com (from Las Vegas): “ I believe the owners will enforce the lockout through the scheduled start of the season, and that when it ends it will be on the owners’ terms. In the meantime, I’ll pass along the advice that was given to me from a league source Tuesday: “Rhetoric will get louder, so bring your common-sense filter daily and don’t get too deep into public comments.”
                        Last edited by Unclebuck; 09-14-2011, 09:46 AM.

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                          Originally posted by able View Post
                          And the solution is easy, change LT to $ 4 instead of $ 1 or $ 2 and it's settled, 300 million loss? the LT payments @ $ 4 would exceed that easily.
                          Not sure how that follows. It means a transfer of existing income, an LT increase doesn't increase revenue.

                          The only way it might stem losses would be if it causes the high spending teams to stop spending so much, thus acting as a hard cap and being just as detrimental to player salaries.

                          In the minds of the players, LT is the revenue sharing solution, but it isn't a cost management solution. It would only work by itself if there are no losses when all league incomes/expenses are totaled.

                          How about a give - no hard cap, LT increase to $4 per $1, BRI split goes to players' proposal, and guaranteed contracts are brought down to 4 years?

                          LT change = rev sharing
                          BRI split drop = real expense savings
                          Guarantee change = better ability to correct bad situations over a shorter period of time.
                          BillS

                          A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
                          Or throw in a first-round pick and flip it for a max-level point guard...

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                            Originally posted by able View Post
                            There wont be a hardcap, players will simply never agree to it.

                            Players are not fighting among themselves, gaining sympathy, owners divided, they always been, the BOG meeting is the most interesting part

                            And the solution is easy, change LT to $ 4 instead of $ 1 or $ 2 and it's settled, 300 million loss? the LT payments @ $ 4 would exceed that easily.
                            Players moved on split, so the financing for that part is in place as well, hence that most time was spend in the owner's powwow.
                            Various tweets indicate that the owners apparently agree on at least one thing. They want to find a way to make all 30 teams competitive. Assisting the parity of competition will not be helped by merely boosting the LT to $4 because the big market / wealthy teams can pay that amount. They may resent the increase, but will easily be able to pay it.

                            So your solution does help split the pie better, and that helps meet one of the needs of the smaller market teams. To help achieve competitive parity, I don't see how it can be accomplished without attempting to negotiate into the agreement some form of hard cap that the players steadfastly oppose.

                            Perhaps it could be helped by making the LT ridiculously large, like $10, while also removing salary exceptions for teams that are above the cap. But doing so might eventually result in even the large market teams bringing their salaries more in line with the cap... which would then once again cause the small market teams to lag in revenues.

                            So the more I work through it, the more I believe that revenue sharing has to involve more than just LT dollars being sent to the small market teams.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                              B.S. aside, the current economy has NOTHING to do with this CBA negotiations. What happens with the NBA will NOT have an impact on my monthly fees when I watch games on TV/Internet. If you had money to go the games last season, then it's a good chance that you'll have money to go this season. The average person goes to NBA games they want too, not because it's "cheap" entertainment. Also, everyone is griping about the owners, but if you REALLY think about it...if the players continue to bleed their owners with their salaries, WHO do you think is going to pay the ultimate costs.

                              Personally, this CBA is REALLY about the owners who no longer want to give other owners the competitive advantage of "overspending". The NBA could raise the LT, but if the owner still has the money to overspend for Superstar players and win championships, do you REALLY think they care about an increase in the LT? Right now, a group of owners are trying to prevent another Miami Heat situation.

                              The problem with stopping overspending is that it will mean the removal of certain "benefits" that players get when a owner decides to overspend. The players are CLEARLY the receipts when owners overspend, hence the reason why they're trying so hard to keep the status quo. The BRI is just a red herring in this entire conversation.

                              For me, a hard cap is something that must occur. In my eyes, I just don't see why they don't set the hard cap at $75MIL which is high enough for players to get max salary contracts and teams to put together a nice squad.

                              BRI, contract lengths, revenue sharing, and guaranteed contracts...those are "minor" things of this whole process.


                              Remember when we could have gotten 1-2 solid players and a possible Top 3 draft pick in the 2017 NBA Draft by trading away Paul George?

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                              • #60
                                Re: Today's meetings are over: Don't expect NBA ball until 2012

                                I think there will be a hard cap or a more complex system with some player ideas that in the end equals a hard cap with every team spending about the same amount. The players are trying to save face and need to have some of their ideas implemented into the new cba. However, I really think 90% of the players want competitive balance. They've all made it to the big stage and they all have pride. As the system stands only a select few players get to play on the few teams that get to spend the money and draw the superstars to compete. Most players want systems in place to prevent what happened in Miami and NY last year so they can also play on a winning team. Just go back and read Grangers comments regarding this.
                                http://www.indy.com/posts/granger-do...ee-agent-trend
                                Why do teams tank? Ask a Spurs fan.

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