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OJ Mayo

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  • #61
    Re: OJ Mayo

    Originally posted by xIndyFan View Post
    Which is why I don't see the pacers revisiting the trade anytime soon. Mayo was on the 40%-off rack at Dillards [or whatever the main store in Memphis is], and Bird was interested. Now Mayo looks to be back to full price and I just don't see the Pacers paying it.
    I like and agree with this analogy. If he is still available for a similar deal, I would love to get him. However, I doubt he is, and therefor I don't think it is worth it.

    Comment


    • #62
      Re: OJ Mayo

      I really resent the non-stop obsessing about OJ Mayo since that failed trade. Had the talk been in any way reasonable it would certainly be a more entertaining or worthwhile discussion but it hasn't at all.

      There has been the following:

      *The assumption the Pacers front office screwed up the trade
      *The assumption that OJ Mayo is, or will be a big time all-star
      *The assumption that he is a "leader"
      *The assumption that the trade only involved McBob and OJ
      *The assumption that OJ Mayo can be a number one scorer

      I'd first like to talk about OJ Mayo's so called scoring prowess. I admit if you watch OJ you realize the guy has talent. He can shoot, he can get to the rim when he wants too and he plays a little defense. After watching him display these obvious skills many assume he could take on a number one scoring load and score at will.

      I have no doubt in my mind that if OJ Mayo had a good head on his shoulders he could definitely do that. But there is so much more to the game than having a great crossover and a jumpshot. Guys like Dwayne Wade score so well because they're smart. They never make bad shots, and they get too the line. Constantly scoring well is what translates to actual wins, not looking very pretty the few times you do score.

      If we look at how OJ has produced his entire career as compared to a couple other players, you'll see how effective he really has been.

      OJ's regular seasons up too date:

      OJ has scored 18.5PPG, 17.5PPG and this past season 11.3PPG. Each of those seasons he shot .531 TS%, .551 TS%, and .499 TS% respectively.

      For general comparison I'll list the career TS% of Danny Granger, as well as some top scorers for perspective:

      Danny: .567%
      Lebron James .566%
      Dwyane Wade .567%
      Paul Pierce .569%
      Kevin Durant .576%
      Carmelo Anthony .545%

      (by the way I did not hand pick those players, it's an odd coincidence that their numbers are so similar)

      OJ's career TS% is .534%

      Now, many of you are not a fan of advanced statistics and this is generally for good reason. Nothing worse than putting too much credit too statistics when proper evaluation of game film is what is really needed. However stats can validate what we think we see. Also some stats are much more important than others.

      The smart way to understand true shooting percent is too understand it merely evaluates scoring efficiency. That's it. TS% would argue DG scores as efficiently as some of the top scorers in the league but only game film tells us that DG can score within the flow of the offense, but has no ability to create or score at will. However, we can know if a particular scorer is taking too many shots, or taking bad shots from using TS%.

      What we can conclude from the above information combined with game film is that although OJ Mayo is a skilled scorer, he is not an efficient scorer. That does not help translate to wins folks. What that tells you, and from also watching the games themselves that OJ does seem to have the big ego. He thinks he's better than he is, and instead of working to help his team too many times he's jacking up stupid shots. It's important to understand his what type of player we would be getting.

      Now that doesn't mean that OJ cannot someday contribute to a winning ball club. But what I don't want is that skilled player that can never actually help the team win. Those guys like Monta Ellis, Joe Johnson, are classic examples of very skilled offensive players with absolutely beautiful games that end up taking bad shot after shot which ends up in the other team winning. I don't think anyone here would enjoy winning with style like the Hawks or the Warrios would you? Because both of those team have a ton of skilled players that look good playing the game. They also do not win.

      And now, just for direct comparison here are James Harden's numbers as I feel they are very similar and have almost identical roles. Both are "starting caliber" players who come off the bench with the sole purpose of scoring.

      Just for fun, I've added Paul George's numbers.

      2010-11

      Minutes per game:
      OJ 26.3
      Harden 26.7
      George 20.7

      PPG:
      OJ 11.3
      Harden 12.2
      George 7.8

      PPG per 36:
      OJ: 15.5
      Harden: 16.4
      George 13.5

      True Shooting Percent:
      OJ .499%
      Harden .598%
      George: .542%


      Now for the fun part...this years playoffs;

      Minutes per game:
      OJ 27.8
      Harden 31.3

      PPG:
      OJ 11.3
      Harden 12.4

      True shooting percent:
      OJ .501
      Harden .620


      In identical roles, James Harden has clearly been a far superior player. Most likely the biggest reason as to why Harden contributes at a much higher level is Harden has completely bought into the team game and winning a championship. He gets to the line, he gets his teammates involved as much as he can, he does everything he can to win, while being fine with a bench role. Those are the guys that can win you games!

      Now the thing is, had Harden the opportunity, he could definitely start for a different team, have the chance to throw up 18 shots a game, get that beautiful 20ppg average, that dumb GM's value, and he'd get himself a nice contract. At point however, Harden is loving his role as is.


      Something that every winning team in the NBA and it's players have in common is they have scorers on their team that constantly get to the foul line. That's one of the biggest keys. Instead of dribbling around and looking pretty like Monta Ellis and Joe Johnson, they make strong basketball moves that draw fouls and get points on the board.

      OJ Mayo will probably never be that guy. At least at the current point in his career, after 3 years he has not shown that he can be that guy. After 2 seasons I know James Harden has. I know there are other players out there that we could acquire as well that can do that. If the Pacers are ever going to win, they must choose wisely when trading or signing new talent.

      Let's imagine now the following scenario that many on this board would love for us to do.

      If we went out and acquired both Nene and OJ Mayo in the offseason, then the following season we would have lost roughly an additional 20million in salary cap space. All that on a PF that can barely rebound as good as Tyler Hansbrough, and on a "scorer" OJ Mayo who clearly does not have the ability to score as well as we may have thought.

      20 million in cap space for that? Do we want that?

      If the Pacers are ever going to win we have to use that cap space extremely wisely because you spend it on a couple sub-par players here and there suddenly you have no room to spend money and you have a roster full of overrated talent.

      This is also another reason why I continue to preach that waiting around to sign players isn't the worse move in the world.

      Suppose we signed OJ. If the guy pans out beyond all expectations than it would definitely be a good move, but if we look at what he's done, he's never shown that he'll ever be that guy. So if instead of signing him, we assumed that Paul George next season will be the guy that can score 15ppg in the starting role, if he was incapable of being that player than the Pacers would then have an opportunity to go after someone like Eric Gordon the following season. Then we wouldn't be risking having an over paid, overrated player on our roster again.


      Finally, I'd like to do a quick comparison of both Monta Ellis and OJ Mayo. As Mayo is quite a skilled player, I think the best case scenario for OJ is to turn into a player like Monta Ellis. Many people who watch GSW have the opinion that he's a chucker. I think our statistics can back this up. And as you'll see, this honestly is the most we can hope from OJ. That he turns into a bigger contract, more shots, few points, and even less wins.

      Career totals:

      PPG
      Ellis 19.4
      OJ 16.0

      TS%
      Ellis .537
      OJ .534

      Once again, I only included the important stats that we are focusing on. I think if you're to compare the two you come to the conclusion both are very skilled players with excellent jump shots. This doesn't make them valuable however.

      Now in a quick conclusion I'd like to say that I'm not convinced that OJ Mayo will never be a good player. But the point I'm trying to make is this guy has glaring negatives and if we're paying attention it doesn't look like he'll ever be a guy that could truly help our team. As long as we're recognizing what type of player he has shown himself to be, then it's certainly not a complete waste of time discussing him. But let's just not act like OJ Mayo is some future all-star savior, that will lead the Pacers to the promise land. The Pacers would be much better off they were looking around for other guys that more fit our current needs.
      Last edited by mattie; 05-18-2011, 05:49 AM.

      Comment


      • #63
        Re: OJ Mayo

        I don't think that people expect Mayo to be the 1st option. Maybe there are a few. But then there are a few who would write anything to get some attention.

        I'd like to get Mayo and I'd expect him to be a Jason Terry type for us - a great 6th man on a contender. Someone who's not very physically gifted (certainly not close to Harden). But someone who's mentally tough, knows his role, defends, can really shoot and run the offense off the bench. A little more defensive minded Terry. Although Terry was a very good defender once upon a time, so there you go.

        I don't think that he can be like Monta. Monta is Iverson-esque. Mayo isn't nearly as physically gifted. On the other hand, Mayo plays his butt off on D even if his body limits him.
        Last edited by ballism; 05-18-2011, 06:25 AM.

        Comment


        • #64
          Re: OJ Mayo

          Originally posted by ballism View Post
          I don't think that people expect Mayo to be the 1st option. Maybe there are a few. But then there are a few who would write anything to get some attention.

          I'd like to get Mayo and I'd expect him to be a Jason Terry type for us - a great 6th man on a contender. Someone who's not very physically gifted (certainly not close to Harden). But someone who's mentally tough, knows his role, defends, can really shoot and run the offense off the bench. A little more defensive minded Terry. Although Terry was a very good defender once upon a time, so there you go.

          I don't think that he can be like Monta. Monta is Iverson-esque. Mayo isn't nearly as physically gifted. On the other hand, Mayo plays his butt off on D even if his body limits him.
          I agree with that. I'd love for him to be that guy. I'm just simply lowering expectations, as well as pointing out how somewhat ineffective he's been so far. OJ has a big ego. I don't know if someone like that will ever be ok with playing hard off the bench for a contender. Maybe I'm wrong, but nothing so far has indicated anything otherwise.

          Comment


          • #65
            Re: OJ Mayo

            I personally don't expect Mayo to be THE guy if he came to Indiana, nor do I look for him to be a sixth man. I want him to be a starter and a legit #2 scorer. I want someone who can create his own shot, who can play above the rim, and who we can count on for 38 minutes and 18 pts a game--i.e. Mayo's rookie year output--with many of those minutes spent creating mismatches and open looks for Granger.
            Last edited by Reginald; 05-18-2011, 08:42 AM.
            "Reggie Miller is the hardest player to guard." --Kobe Bryant

            "Playing Reggie Miller drives me nuts. It's like chicken-fighting with a woman." --Michael Jordan

            Comment


            • #66
              Re: OJ Mayo

              Originally posted by ballism View Post
              Nice, OJ Mayo just got compared to Ron Artest and Reggie Miller in the same thread.
              Talk about mixed views.
              And the truth is, he's really like neither.

              Comment


              • #67
                Re: OJ Mayo

                Originally posted by mattie View Post
                I really resent the non-stop obsessing about OJ Mayo since that failed trade. Had the talk been in any way reasonable it would certainly be a more entertaining or worthwhile discussion but it hasn't at all.

                There has been the following:

                *The assumption the Pacers front office screwed up the trade
                *The assumption that OJ Mayo is, or will be a big time all-star
                *The assumption that he is a "leader"
                *The assumption that the trade only involved McBob and OJ
                *The assumption that OJ Mayo can be a number one scorer

                .
                All those assumptions are very true, your going to be getting a big time talents if that trade gets revisted this off season.

                Comment


                • #68
                  Re: OJ Mayo

                  Originally posted by Scot Pollard View Post
                  Getting O.J. Mayo would finally solve our leadership issues.

                  He'd be the best thing since Reggie.

                  It sucked we couldn't get this deal done. Mayo is a proven leader and a star SG waiting to erupt.

                  BIRD MUST GET THIS DONE IN THE OFFSEASON!

                  Sometimes, I feel like I am the only one the sees this. It feels good to know that their are others like me out there.

                  In terms of playing style OJ is no Reggie in terms of moving without the ball, clutchness ( although is clutch), and pure scoring. He never is or will be the threat scoring the basketball Reggie was.

                  OJ really is more of a playmaker that has scoring ability, but simply isn't allowed to showcase that part of his talents. He needs to see big minutes to get effective. You won't see OJ go on many scoring bursts because he simply isn't an instant offense guy like a Jamal Crawford, Jason Terry, Manu GInobili. If you watch the tapes his game truely is similar to hybird mix of Brandon Roy/Ray Allen/Chauncey Billups, but with more talent.

                  He is awesome in the pick and roll game, but barely sees any action there.
                  Last edited by lilojmayo; 05-23-2011, 02:42 AM.

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Re: OJ Mayo

                    True or false:

                    The Grizzlies had no intention of re-signing McRobberts; therefore they would have traded O.J. Mayo for a first round pick.

                    When the playoffs conclude and the draft is under way, will the Grizzilies accept a first round pick for O.J. Mayo? On the other hand, could the Pacers add a small amount of sweetener, perhaps Lance Stephenson, or a second round pick?

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      Re: OJ Mayo

                      Originally posted by lilojmayo View Post
                      Sometimes, I feel like I am the only one the sees this. It feels good to know that their are others like me out there.

                      In terms of playing style OJ is no Reggie in terms of moving without the ball, clutchness ( although is clutch), and pure scoring. He never is or will be the threat scoring the basketball Reggie was.

                      OJ really is more of a playmaker that has scoring ability, but simply isn't allowed to showcase that part of his talents. He needs to see big minutes to get effective. You won't see OJ go on many scoring bursts because he simply isn't an instant offense guy like a Jamal Crawford, Jason Terry, Manu GInobili. If you watch the tapes his game truely is similar to hybird mix of Brandon Roy/Ray Allen/Chauncey Billups, but with more talent.

                      He is awesome in the pick and roll game, but barely sees any action there.
                      OJ and leader should be used in the same article.

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        Re: OJ Mayo

                        OJ Mayo is another player we could add who can score and create his own shot (which we don't have a lot of). That is the sole reason why anyone should want him, not because he's a #1 scorer or because he can assume the leadership of the team, because neither are true.

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          Re: OJ Mayo

                          Originally posted by lilojmayo View Post
                          If you watch the tapes his game truely is similar to hybird mix of Brandon Roy/Ray Allen/Chauncey Billups, but with more talent.
                          OJ shows more talent than a hybrid mix of Ray Allen / B-Roy / Billups? Nice.
                          Can I pre-order tickets for Mayo Hall of Fame ceremony?

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            Re: OJ Mayo

                            IMO

                            I think some of you are way over valuing OJ. Don't get me wrong, He is talented and I wouldn't mind having him on the Pacers and he is only 23..... But, He will be due 7.4 mil QO in 12/13 and if he doesn't progress this coming year, he won't be worth that much. I don't think he was all that in the last series. He averaged 35 minutes a game and was NBA average if that in most aspects of the game, again, he is just 23.

                            I guess, what I'm saying is, I won't lose any sleep if he doesn't come here. Not a big deal. I have already lost sleep just thinking about EJ coming here, what if!!
                            Garbage players get 1st round picks, (WTF)! All of the NBA must hate the Pacers! LOL

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              Re: OJ Mayo

                              Originally posted by Pacer Fan View Post
                              IMO

                              I think some of you are way over valuing OJ. Don't get me wrong, He is talented and I wouldn't mind having him on the Pacers and he is only 23..... But, He will be due 7.4 mil QO in 12/13 and if he doesn't progress this coming year, he won't be worth that much. I don't think he was all that in the last series. He averaged 35 minutes a game and was NBA average if that in most aspects of the game, again, he is just 23.

                              I guess, what I'm saying is, I won't lose any sleep if he doesn't come here. Not a big deal. I have already lost sleep just thinking about EJ coming here, what if!!:sigh:
                              He will try next year.

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                              • #75
                                Re: OJ Mayo

                                Does anyone else think Marshon Brooks could fill the role Larry was hoping Mayo could fill? Here's Chad Ford's blurb about him (from ESPN Insider):

                                May 16 Update: Every year I stumble across a player that causes me to radically re-evaluate where I have them ranked. This year that player is Providence guard Marshon Brooks. Within minutes of walking into the gym, it was clear that Brooks was playing at a completely different level than I'm used to seeing from college prospects. As I moved over to Grover, I began to grill him. "Who does he remind you of?" Grover grinned. I was afraid to answer. Grover smiled and said, "There's a little bit of Kobe in him, isn't there?" He had read my mind. When you consider that Grover trains Kobe, that's high, high praise. Brooks was dominant this year in the Big East. He averaged 24.6 ppg while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field. He had one of the best player efficiency ratings in the draft. He dropped 52 points on Notre Dame, 43 points on Georgetown and 33 points on Alabama. Every time he did it with scary efficiency. In the 52-point outburst against Notre Dame he was 20-for-28 from the field. He also proved to be a terrific rebounder, recording seven double-doubles this season. Factor in that Brooks has solid size for his position (6-foot-5), an amazing wingspan (7-foot-2) and above average athletic ability and you wonder why Brooks hasn't been in the lottery conversation all year. In February I spoke to a number of NBA GMs about him. While most acknowledged his talent, they had him as a first-round bubble guy at best. A few thought he'd go undrafted. Scouts said Brooks' numbers were inflated. They said his team was bad and he was a volume shooter despite his high shooting percentage and efficiency rating. A few called him selfish. Others questioned his attitude. I don't see it. Not only was he dominant in the Big East this year, he was also great in workouts. He was able to get to the rack against everyone, including Singleton (which is a feat in and of itself). Grover has been working on tweaking his shot mechanics and he's shooting the ball much better. But it's Brooks' ability to put the ball on the floor and get buckets that's notable -- even a little Kobe-esque. His lateral quickness, step-backs and aggressiveness were as impressive as anything I've seen this year. Off the court, Brooks came off as very focused and intense. He's very serious and confident in a way that could be read as cocky. But he has the respect of everyone in the gym and Grover said he's a very hard worker. There are red flags. He's already 22 years old. He didn't really blossom until this year. His team won just four Big East games this year. But in a draft that's devoid of quality 2-guards, I think Brooks would more than hold his own in any workout with Alec Burks and Klay Thompson. We moved him up more than 30 spots on our Big Board to No. 22. With great workouts? I don't think lottery is out of the question. The kid can play.
                                We wanted Mayo for instant offense off the bench. If we could get Brooks at 15, we wouldn't have to bother putting together a package for Mayo and paying him 5.6 mil.

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