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Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

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  • #31
    Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

    One thing i love about Brandon is that he has that glide to him. Like when Lebron makes up a ton space to run down a transition lay-up and block it. Brandon has that. He's also go a Artest like build. He's strong. He wont get bullied by anyone. He cant be backed down by a post up and he's quick enough to play really good perimeter defense.

    My main problem with Rush is that he's too damn powerful of a 2 guard to not being taking the ball to the basket. He has some good finishing moves. He's got the strength to take it whenever he wants and he's a good enough threat from 3 to make defenders pay for cheating up on there perimeter defense. The guy could score 19 a night easily and make all defensive teams.

    It's been said already. He just doesnt know how to assert himself. And if we end up keeping him, this year is a make or break year. If he doesnt assert himself in the game like he should and could, then he might never .

    Comment


    • #32
      Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

      Originally posted by Foul on Smits View Post
      One thing i love about Brandon is that he has that glide to him. Like when Lebron makes up a ton space to run down a transition lay-up and block it. Brandon has that. He's also go a Artest like build. He's strong. He wont get bullied by anyone. He cant be backed down by a post up and he's quick enough to play really good perimeter defense.

      My main problem with Rush is that he's too damn powerful of a 2 guard to not being taking the ball to the basket. He has some good finishing moves. He's got the strength to take it whenever he wants and he's a good enough threat from 3 to make defenders pay for cheating up on there perimeter defense. The guy could score 19 a night easily and make all defensive teams.

      It's been said already. He just doesnt know how to assert himself. And if we end up keeping him, this year is a make or break year. If he doesnt assert himself in the game like he should and could, then he might never .

      I don't subscribe to this theory. I've seen Brandon miss too many shots around the rim to say he could score consistently if he wanted to.

      Comment


      • #33
        Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

        Originally posted by cordobes View Post
        True, but he also decides to not take many good shots - especially 3 pointers. I recall looking at his eff/usg numbers at one point last season and thinking he really needed to sacrifice his efficiency numbers a little bit to put up some more shots. He's too good of a sniper to take so few shots in a team like the Pacers. It seems to me that sometimes he just stays away from the action because he's mind is somewhere else and he's comfortable with that. Must be more consistent putting his mind in affecting the game.

        I like Rush, solid role-player. Modest starter, high quality backup. He just needs to take more shots.
        By not taking his open shots Brandon passes off to someone having a worse shot. That lack of assertiveness means missed opportunities for anyone to score. I disagree that his mind is somewhere else-IMO he doesn't shoot when he has the best shot because he doesn't want a bad stat sheet.

        Comment


        • #34
          Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

          His around-the-rim skills are bizarre, actually. He's got a decent first step and can generally get to the rim when he wants to, but he tends to tense up at the last minute and not finish the play. Very weird.
          This space for rent.

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          • #35
            Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

            That is exactly what I don't understand. When he does go hard to the basket he finishes extremely well, but there are a lot of times where he looks timid in which he tends to miss a lot. He has the ability to be better than Granger (well all except for leadership), but he just doesn't seem like he has the confidence around the rim to exploit his skill. He already plays great defense and is a great 3 point shooter, if he can just finishes strong he would have all the necessary elements to be a star in this league. It is just frustrating knowing what he can do, but just doesn't do it.

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            • #36
              Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

              Yeah when he goes hard and actually tries to dunk the ball, he gets his points. We've seen it, he has it in him...he jumps well and has strenght. But often times he goes up tentatively, as if he's surprised he managed to get there, and that's what's bothering us the most. He has it, but he doesn' play like that.

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              • #37
                Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                Forgive me if anther version of this reply also appears. My log-in apparently disappeared, and so I am trying again.

                I am delighted to see Rush getting more balanced treatment. I believe that he is one of our best defenders and has offensive potential that would show up in an offensive system that utilized a great passing PG.

                I don't think that Thomas Heurtel is the PG answer (because he appears to me to be weak on defense), but I saw Heurtel making great passes in a rookie team scrimmage tape, and it reminded me how much that could mean to the team, and especially to a player like Rush.

                So my three conclusions are:

                (1) Keep Rush as a reliable, high quality top eight player, probably a starter.

                (2) Do everything possible (short of trading Granger, Hibbert, and Rush) to get a true passing PG.

                (3) Keep working on getting some great passes coming from one or more of our bigs (I am interested in the McRoberts experiment in this regard).

                Comment


                • #38
                  Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                  I think a huge problem with looking at Brandon offensively, is that he is our fifth option. I have probably blown this horn and people don't agree, but he is literally the last player to touch the ball in most of our possessions. It is tough to ask a player to rotate along the three point line and make cuts from one baseline position to the other and not get him the ball until late in a possession. When he does get the ball, there is typically better ball movement within the possession and leaves him wide open for an uncontested three because there has been defensive rotation. Brandon shouldn't drive when he has a wide open three like that. It is tough for a player to drive the ball when he doesn't have possession of it.

                  I am still not going to make a decision on this kid offensively until I can see him without Troy Murphy throwing up threes before he even touches the ball in the offensive possession. I just want to see him play like an actual SG, not move over to the PF position, like he HAS to with our team makeup.

                  Another thing I would like for him to work on, besides finishing at the rim, is a go to move or two in a back-to-the-basket post up situation. There are so many undersized SG's that he could take advantage of, if we realized the weakness and he could exploit it. We know every other team does that to our PF. Why not let Brandon play PF and Murphy play SG.
                  "Your course, your path, is not going to be like mine," West says. "Everybody is not called to be a multimillionaire. Everybody's not called to be the president. Whatever your best work is, you do it. Do it well. … You cease your own greatness when you aspire to be someone else."

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                    Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                    I agree that he needs to be more assertive with his talent level, but he wasn't passing up a lot of open looks, cordobes. The reason he doesn't take a lot of shots is because our offense runs an average of 0-1 plays/game for him, and he cannot create off the dribble.

                    The problem last year is that we went away from the screening/cutting offense we had in '08-'09 so there are less opportunities for Brandon to shoot. Brandon does what the coach asks, to a fault.
                    Indeed, always though that a different system, with a coach who would call more plays and have more sets designed for him (especially having him curling off screens), or in a team with better ball movement, he'd improve his numbers.

                    But it's only a partial agreement because I believe he could have done much better even in the context he was. Just checking the numbers - he was 12th in usage rate for the Pacers last season (weathered by the fact he played most of the time along the starters) and only 9th in TS% among the 15 players they used. I think a few more 3s per game and he could climb in both those ranks.

                    Originally posted by speakout4 View Post
                    By not taking his open shots Brandon passes off to someone having a worse shot. That lack of assertiveness means missed opportunities for anyone to score. I disagree that his mind is somewhere else-IMO he doesn't shoot when he has the best shot because he doesn't want a bad stat sheet.
                    Partially agreement, I'm not a believer in your last sentence. He doesn't look that kind of guy. And if that's the case, he's getting some awful advise - scoring is what earns you money in the league. Just check the kind of contracts inefficient volume scorers have been getting through the years.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                      Originally posted by cordobes View Post
                      Partially agreement, I'm not a believer in your last sentence. He doesn't look that kind of guy. And if that's the case, he's getting some awful advise - scoring is what earns you money in the league. Just check the kind of contracts inefficient volume scorers have been getting through the years.
                      That was just a guess and more likely he is just unwilling to take risks. He seems to have his head in the game on defense but offense not so much. Perhaps he suffers from being around his brother who was criticized for taking bad shots.

                      As pointed out here he could improve his offense by going to the basket. He is a SG and on most teams that means he has to be a scorer.

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                        Originally posted by pacergod2
                        I think a huge problem with looking at Brandon offensively, is that he is our fifth option. I have probably blown this horn and people don't agree, but he is literally the last player to touch the ball in most of our possessions. It is tough to ask a player to rotate along the three point line and make cuts from one baseline position to the other and not get him the ball until late in a possession.

                        Is this right, though?

                        I don't have any sense about it based on watching/listening to games, but according to 82games shot clock info, the go-to guys with the shot clock running out were Hibbert and Watson. At least they were more apt to take those shots than Murphy or even Granger were.

                        Here's the percent of each player's field goal attempts taken in the first 10 seconds of the clock, and the percent of his shots taken in the last 5 seconds of the clock:

                        Hibbert (28 - 17)
                        Watson (44 - 15)
                        Rush (41 - 12)
                        D Jones (38 - 12)
                        Granger (46 - 11)
                        Murphy (45 - 9)

                        Now, this doesn't indicate the number of shots taken by each player. I agree that Rush isn't aggressive enough and doesn't take as many shots as a starting wing player should. This only indicates how many of each guy's shots come early and late. And it seems to suggest that Rush gets a fair share of the early shots.

                        What am I missing?
                        And I won't be here to see the day
                        It all dries up and blows away
                        I'd hang around just to see
                        But they never had much use for me
                        In Levelland. (James McMurtry)

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                          Originally posted by Putnam View Post
                          Is this right, though?

                          I don't have any sense about it based on watching/listening to games, but according to 82games shot clock info, the go-to guys with the shot clock running out were Hibbert and Watson. At least they were more apt to take those shots than Murphy or even Granger were.

                          Here's the percent of each player's field goal attempts taken in the first 10 seconds of the clock, and the percent of his shots taken in the last 5 seconds of the clock:

                          Hibbert (28 - 17)
                          Watson (44 - 15)
                          Rush (41 - 12)
                          D Jones (38 - 12)
                          Granger (46 - 11)
                          Murphy (45 - 9)

                          Now, this doesn't indicate the number of shots taken by each player. I agree that Rush isn't aggressive enough and doesn't take as many shots as a starting wing player should. This only indicates how many of each guy's shots come early and late. And it seems to suggest that Rush gets a fair share of the early shots.

                          What am I missing?
                          I think it has a lot less to do with the shot clock and more of the position they are in when they get the ball. 41% in the first ten seconds... ok what does that tell you then... that Rush is aggressive offensively? Or that he jacks up ill-advised shots a la Stephen Jackson? Or that he gets most of his shots in the fast break? I don't think any of those are necessarily true. One thing I do notice is that most of our team has a HEAVY skew toward the first ten seconds of the shot clock. Go back to Rick Carlisle's offense and this would be much more even, IMO. The problem I have is that Roy Hibbert has a lot fewer attempts in the first ten seconds and we aren't prioritizing him as the first or second touch in our offense.

                          I am going off of what I noticed in games, so I don't have great stats for you Putnam. I notice that most of Brandon's touches come after several passes in the offense. They also typically come from beyond the arc ranging from the baseline until the arc moves away from the sideline. Usually Watson has the ball and gets it to Granger or Murphy initially and the offense "flows" from there. One thing that your stat does show for my thoughts is that Murphy and Granger have much higher usage rates in a "First ten seconds" to "Last ten seconds" ratio, i.e. Murphy>Granger>Rush/DJones>Watson>Hibbert. Murphy and Granger tend to eat up most of the early shot clock with their touches. I don't think the ball movement last year was nearly what it was two years ago. I would like to see Murphy gone, since I doubt we would move him to the low block or high post. This would push Rush into a scenario where he is one of the first people passed to and therefore a higher priority in the offense. Of course, I would love to have a more traditional PF, but that's a whole different can of worms.

                          When you have four perimeter players, the PG is at the top, two wings (Granger and Murphy), and the fourth player that it takes two passes to get the ball to. That position is Rush's. I don't think Rush gets nearly the volume of touches that other players do. The ones he does get, I wish he was more aggressive with obviously, but if teams realize his three point proficiency, then this will allow him to get to the basket more hopefully with more touches. I felt like he was more aggressive when he was with the second team and when Granger was out, because he seemed to be getting more touches. You may not agree with me, but that's an observation I have had. Brandon needs to work on his offensive game clearly, I just hate the way we use him (and plenty of other players as well).

                          PS - Putnam, you gave me a comlpement a few weeks ago that I never really responded to. Thank you very much for your kind words.
                          "Your course, your path, is not going to be like mine," West says. "Everybody is not called to be a multimillionaire. Everybody's not called to be the president. Whatever your best work is, you do it. Do it well. … You cease your own greatness when you aspire to be someone else."

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                            Originally posted by Anthem View Post
                            In other words, could he eventually become Bruce Bowen / Shane Battier?

                            I think that's achievable.
                            Achieved.

                            Bowen did two things, he played great on-ball defense (and overall as well) and he shot the "keep 'em honest" 3. Rush dropped the 3 at a 40% clip, over 40 in several months.

                            What else is there on that Bowen list?


                            On his aggression, I think he could do more but I was the one who scouted him as "unselfish to a fault" about 3-4 months before the Pacers drafted him. His game is a team game and JOB is asking him to be a more selfish scorer.

                            I agree that if you need a guy trying to take over the scoring late then this isn't Brandon. But I don't care about that because that's what Danny is for, or Roy if you have him rolling.

                            Brandon is a solution at SG. He makes the outside shot at a high rate and defends his spot. You have a scoring SF who is a modest but sometimes good defender.

                            What you need is solid PG play, a good defensive PF (ie, not Troy) and to have Roy putting in 14-16 ppg from the 5 spot. Plus 4 bench guys that feature at least 2 scorers so that your offense never runs dry.


                            I'm not against moving Rush if it's a really good deal, but he's as good a pick at his spot as Dale was. The difference is no one minded that Dale wasn't Kemp or Malone or Barkley putting up big points from the PF spot.

                            Only your top 2-3 guys are going to do everything. The rest of the guys have strong and weak points.

                            Indeed, always though that a different system, with a coach who would call more plays and have more sets designed for him (especially having him curling off screens), or in a team with better ball movement, he'd improve his numbers.
                            This is exactly the issue. His choices reflect a strong aversion to the style of offense JOB runs. He's adapting, but it's a poor use of his offensive style.
                            Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 07-06-2010, 03:00 PM.

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                            • #44
                              Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                              Seth, I would thank your post 10 times if I could. You have an extra pair of sticks to beat that drum with? I have been saying this so much that my sticks are broken.
                              "Your course, your path, is not going to be like mine," West says. "Everybody is not called to be a multimillionaire. Everybody's not called to be the president. Whatever your best work is, you do it. Do it well. … You cease your own greatness when you aspire to be someone else."

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Re: Brandon Rush's Defense (statistical breakdown)

                                I'm reading through some posts here and imagining how Rush would look in a system that had far more of the offense running through Hibbert and Granger inside (i.e., Danny playing more inside and varying his game rather than shooting jumpshots). Put our PF inside with Hibbert; I actually think McRoberts could probably help Hibbert a lot in such a setup if he is still intact after JOB's Murphy-ize assimilation treatments. I sincerely believe we would have a pretty decent team if we had a coach who truly understood his players' talents and adjusted his coaching to play to their strengths. We have a serious talent with Hibbert in particular; he could be among the best centers in the entire league with the right guidance, and Rush would thrive in a system that fully utilized an interior presence like that. We could use the phrase "spread the floor" without it being a joke; it's actually a relevant concept if you have a big interior presence and punish them outside with high percentage sharpshooting like Rush is capable of providing when open.

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