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JOB got what he asked for

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  • #46
    Re: JOB got what he asked for

    Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
    Pacers are currently the 6th best FG% defense in the NBA. so the defense is better this season. I think JOB has gotten them playing better defense
    Defense is a lot more than just limiting FG percentage. It includes the concept of boxing out, deflections, steals and a multitude of other things that don't show up in the stat sheet (e.g. an intimidating presence in the paint).

    Also, Pacers have the 6th worst offensive FG%. Basically, playground ball rules unless we put in players who can defend better....and last years infamous 4th quarter collapses should be enough proof that teams are playing down to us...getting lazy and launching wild shots...until it counts.

    Let's not repeat last year.

    Edit: BTW, the large differentials we have seen where the Pacers get down bby 20 points will switch to 4th quarter collapses as the season wears on. I don't believe the blow-outs are likely at all with a better set of defenders on the floor. JMHO
    Last edited by BlueNGold; 11-29-2009, 02:30 PM.

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    • #47
      Re: JOB got what he asked for

      Originally posted by BlueNGold View Post
      Defense is a lot more than just limiting FG percentage. It includes the concept of boxing out, deflections, steals and a multitude of other things that don't show up in the stat sheet (e.g. an intimidating presence in the paint).
      Tell that to the Cavs, Magic, Celtics, Lakers, Nuggets, Rockets - because those were the top 6 teams in defensive FG% last season and they also all just happen to make the final 8 last Spring. Defensive FG% is the most important team defensive stat.

      Pacers are currently - 16th in steals. Pacers are 1st in block shots by over 1 block per game which is a wide margin. Pacers are currently 12th best in opponents turnovers. Pacers are 15th best in defensive rebounding %.

      Deflection stats are not available.

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      • #48
        Re: JOB got what he asked for

        Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
        Tell that to the Cavs, Magic, Celtics, Lakers, Nuggets, Rockets - because those were the top 6 teams in defensive FG% last season and they also all just happen to make the final 8 last Spring. Defensive FG% is the most important team defensive stat.

        Pacers are currently - 16th in steals. Pacers are 1st in block shots by over 1 block per game which is a wide margin. Pacers are currently 12th best in opponents turnovers. Pacers are 15th best in defensive rebounding %.

        Deflection stats are not available.
        Stats are an interesting subject. One reason they lie is that there are simply too many factors.

        You mention 16th in steals. However, the number of steals they get depend in large part on the number of possessions. In fact, teams that play at a quick pace by definition have more opponent possessions which dramatically inflate the Pacers' defensive stats like steals, blocks, etc. It also affects how recklessly the opponent plays against the Pacers if they know they will get the ball right back.

        It is simply a complex subject...too complex to even limit it to one stat.

        The fact is, if the Pacers play a free wheeling style and the opponent knows they will get a ton of possessions, they simply value those possessions less throughout the course of the game.

        Until the 4th quarter. Again, we don't need another lesson on the 4th quarter collapses...and whatever style JOb had last year needs to change if we don't want a repeat...because the talent level of those types of players on offense is not going to be any better.

        Comment


        • #49
          Re: JOB got what he asked for

          Originally posted by IndyPacer View Post
          Defense seems to be chronically undervalued. I don't understand why, but it's always seemed that way to me. I was extremely pleased to see D. Jones added and definitely don't see him as being overpaid. Few players these days play tough defense. It seems like this would drive the price of defensive-oriented players way up, but it doesn't seem like it does. People are still very quick to throw around the "overpaid" label for defensive-oriented players even though having them wins games. Defensive weakness on the other hand are often overlooked if the player puts up points.
          I will add to this what I think is a critical point. You are only as good as your weakest link on defense. I don't believe that's true on offense where there are more 1 on 1 plays...and the offense can choose to exploit a weakness. The weakest link issue is a huge one for the Pacers on defense...and that link was pretty strong during the "legendary" streak. There is a special synergy that happens on the court when you have solid defensive players at each position. It can literally suffocate an offense. If you noticed the swarming defense, you know what I'm talking about.

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          • #50
            Re: JOB got what he asked for

            Originally posted by BlueNGold View Post
            Stats are an interesting subject. One reason they lie is that there are simply too many factors.

            You mention 16th in steals. However, the number of steals they get depend in large part on the number of possessions. In fact, teams that play at a quick pace by definition have more opponent possessions which dramatically inflate the Pacers' defensive stats like steals, blocks, etc. It also affects how recklessly the opponent plays against the Pacers if they know they will get the ball right back.

            It is simply a complex subject...too complex to even limit it to one stat.

            The fact is, if the Pacers play a free wheeling style and the opponent knows they will get a ton of possessions, they simply value those possessions less throughout the course of the game.

            Until the 4th quarter. Again, we don't need another lesson on the 4th quarter collapses...and whatever style JOb had last year needs to change if we don't want a repeat...because the talent level of those types of players on offense is not going to be any better.


            The myth is that the pacers play a really quick pace. 14 teams get off more FG attempts pe game, which indicates to me that the Pacers are approx an average team as far as pace goes

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            • #51
              Re: JOB got what he asked for

              Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
              The myth is that the pacers play a really quick pace. 14 teams get off more FG attempts pe game, which indicates to me that the Pacers are approx an average team as far as pace goes
              Facts are a stubborn thing.

              Comment


              • #52
                Re: JOB got what he asked for

                Originally posted by McKeyFan View Post
                Over the summer, JOB complained that he couldn't win because he didn't have good defensive players.

                Larry Bird went out and got him Watson, DJones, and Solo.

                When Murphy and TJ were injured, the new defensive players, much needed in order to win according to JOB, got lots of minutes and went on a five game winning streak, the longest in JOB's career as the Pacers coach.

                The last few games, JOB has decreased the minutes of the defensive players he asked for over the summer to win games: Watson, DJones, and Solo.

                For me, JOB does not back up his talk with action.
                Watson is not a defensive player or a defensive minded pg by any means- when he was on the floor we won only because he was shooting outlier-likely hot in our 5 game win streak.

                D.Jones I will critique below.

                S.Jones is a 4th/5th string energy big. He's nothing more than that. Sure- those players can have deceptively good games- See Ryan Hollins v Tim Duncan last season in the playoffs, but when it's all said and done they shouldn't be called up to be a defensive stopper.

                Originally posted by McKeyFan View Post
                Well, JOB said he needed some defensive players and Bird went out and got him some. Either:

                - JOB was not genuine in his request
                - Bird did not deliver good enough players
                - JOB decided not to go with the defensive emphasis he demanded was necessary

                And I don't care if people want to label Dahntay third rate or journeyman or whatever. I saw with my own eyes that he had the heart, mindset, leadership, and aggressive style necessary to ignite a chemistry in our team that resulted in the only five game win streak in JOB's tenure here.

                You can call him whatever you want. I call him a key ingredient to winning for this Indiana Pacers team.
                He's an overpaid offensive black hole who happens to on a good shooting streak this season, who loves to drive and doesn't look to pass often out of those drives. His defense is above average but not defensive stopper by any means. He is a very tough player however.

                As for the defensive players we got- we got one above average one in D.Jones, and an energy defensive big in S.Jones. Two players to sure up some holes after we lost a good post defensive big in Rasho and Marquis.

                Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
                Pacers are currently the 6th best FG% defense in the NBA. so the defense is better this season. I think JOB has gotten them playing better defense.

                Pacers are the 6th worst FG% shooting team in the NBA right now
                I wanted to quote all your statistical posts- but that would be too much. I really liked all of them and thought they illustrated things that we couldn't see on the court but is actually happening.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Re: JOB got what he asked for

                  Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
                  The myth is that the pacers play a really quick pace. 14 teams get off more FG attempts pe game, which indicates to me that the Pacers are approx an average team as far as pace goes
                  If you take just the games Murphy played in, only 11 teams got off more FG attempts. But I must say that is not as big of a difference as I expected.

                  As I looked at the numbers a little more, I did notice one thing. In games with Troy in the lineup, we shoot an average of 22 threes a game....8 more than the opponent. Without Troy, we have shot only 2 more than the opponent. But again, these stats are far from conclusive.

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                  • #54
                    Re: JOB got what he asked for

                    Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
                    The myth is that the pacers play a really quick pace. 14 teams get off more FG attempts pe game, which indicates to me that the Pacers are approx an average team as far as pace goes
                    Not a myth. They are the 3rd "fastest" team in the league, with an average of 96.7 possessions per game. (GSW is first with 101.5 and NYK is 2nd, also with 96.7). League average is 93.0 possessions per game so Indy is not this ridiculous barnstorming team that just straight out-runs everyone, but 4 extra possessions per game is actually a lot in the grand scheme of things and should lead to, at worst, 4-5 extra points per game.

                    Unfortunately, the 2009-10 Pacers have an abysmal offense ... so even though they play faster than everyone, they are still a lowly 19th in the NBA in points per game at 98.3 per. Being 19th in PPG is below average for even for a "slow" team. But for a "fast" team? It's borderline pathetic.

                    The main two causes of this have been a teamwide FG% of 43.5% that would make even Allen Iverson blush. That ranks them 25th in a league where an average team shoots 45.6%. (Meanwhile, the Suns are leading the league at 50.7%.) By comparison, the Pacers shot 45.5% as team last season, which was only good for 19th place as well. The second major reason would be turnovers. The Pacers average 14.9 TOs per game, good for 7th worst in the league. (Even when adjusted for pace, the Pacers are 8th worst.)

                    Essentially, what these numbers say is that, sure, the Pacers play a style that gives them more possessions and more opportunties to score than most other NBA teams get in any given game. But they waste so many of those possessions by taking low-percentage jumpshots (or good jumpshots that they just miss...you be the judge of that) and they waste others with turnovers, that this "pace" advantage doesn't actually lead to more points. Basically, they don't value possessions or use them efficiently.

                    And if their 45.5% last season wasn't even good then that should really illustrate why their current 43.5% puts them in place where they really can't expect to compete.

                    We can talk about all the defensive match-ups and lineups we want. But until this team can become even a passable NBA offense — something it by no means has been consistently so far this season — most everything else becomes moot. Neither the 2004 Pistons D nor the 2005 Spurs D nor the 2001 Lakers D coud win games shooting 43.5%. So we really can't expect any personnel on this roster to overcome such offensive deficiencies either.

                    EDIT: The third reason that, as UB points out, they don't get a ton of extra FGAs out of their quick pace is that they don't get any offensive boards. Usually, an offensive board will lead to an extra shot. But the Pacers only get 10.2 offensive boards per game, which is fifth worst in the NBA.
                    Last edited by JayRedd; 11-29-2009, 11:46 PM.
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                    • #55
                      Re: JOB got what he asked for

                      Originally posted by duke dynamite View Post
                      Isn't that what the coach is supposed to do? Put in the best players he thinks he has?

                      One thing people don't realize is that the coach is around during practice, and to everyone's surprise leading such practices. He sees things that we don't during the games. Am I wrong?

                      No of course you're not wrong. But all these fans know better!!!
                      Ahh, it's all in good fun. That's what these boards are for, so all the wanne be GM's can tell us how it SHOULD be done!

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Re: JOB got what he asked for

                        Originally posted by MLB007 View Post
                        No of course you're not wrong. But all these fans know better!!!
                        Ahh, it's all in good fun. That's what these boards are for, so all the wanne be GM's can tell us how it SHOULD be done!
                        You can be sarcastic as much as you like, but according to this logic Johnathan Bender was a 4 time NBA MVP and the best player in Pacer history.

                        Individual practice success means very little if you don't do your job during the game. We see the important part of the scenario.

                        -- Steve --

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                        • #57
                          Re: JOB got what he asked for

                          Originally posted by D-BONE View Post
                          I don't think there's any question that DG is by far our best all around option at PF. Sure, there will be nights when he may be at a disadvantage.
                          Applying JOB logic, then there are nights that he should not start because of the matchup...(like Roy...)
                          http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-tr...nce-stephenson
                          "But, first, let us now praise famous moments, because something happened Tuesday night in Indianapolis that you can watch a lifetime’s worth of professional basketball and never see again. There was a brief, and very decisive, and altogether unprecedented, outburst of genuine officiating, and it was directed at the best player in the world, and that, my dear young person, simply is not done."

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                          • #58
                            Re: JOB got what he asked for

                            Originally posted by flox View Post
                            He's an overpaid offensive black hole who happens to on a good shooting streak this season, who loves to drive and doesn't look to pass often out of those drives. His defense is above average but not defensive stopper by any means. He is a very tough player however.
                            I have to agree with that...I like him, though.
                            http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-tr...nce-stephenson
                            "But, first, let us now praise famous moments, because something happened Tuesday night in Indianapolis that you can watch a lifetime’s worth of professional basketball and never see again. There was a brief, and very decisive, and altogether unprecedented, outburst of genuine officiating, and it was directed at the best player in the world, and that, my dear young person, simply is not done."

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Re: JOB got what he asked for

                              Essentially, what these numbers say is that, sure, the Pacers play a style that gives them more possessions and more opportunties to score than most other NBA teams get in any given game. But they waste so many of those possessions by taking low-percentage jumpshots (or good jumpshots that they just miss...you be the judge of that) and they waste others with turnovers, that this "pace" advantage doesn't actually lead to more points. Basically, they don't value possessions or use them efficiently.
                              This is why I liked Rick. To me his method was to spend more time in your area of strength. Great shooting teams like the 98-2000 team wanted to get up the court and see more possessions because they knew they would win a shooting contest. Then the defensive teams he had later wanted to grind the game down to avoid being outshot, and too eliminate the opportunities for teams to avoid facing the Pacers' lock down halfcourt defense.

                              If you alter the players to fit a different style then it benefits you to also alter the overall strategy.



                              BTW, one outstanding offensive strategy for a defensive oriented team, like say the 90's Knicks, is to feed a low-post attack and draw their players toward their own baseline. This cuts down on their chances to get out ahead of you the other way, slows the tempo, makes them work enough to dial down their offensive energy a bit, and hides some of your outside shooting concerns. You apply some of your physicality to the offensive end.

                              Or you just dribble drive into a quick shot, either a long jumper that you won't rebound or a wild lane attack that leaves your man going the other way even before you've missed the shot...which you won't rebound.

                              I also recommend giving up a lot more FTAs than you get.

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                Re: JOB got what he asked for

                                Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
                                Some fans will agree with you, but I would argue a larger percentage of fans just will complain about who ever the coach is, will complain about the coaches system, complain about who the coach is playing and who he isn't and I don't care who the coach is
                                But I am not one of them. I NEVER complained about Rick, I hated the GS trade due to the talent/money exchange and felt there were more reasonable options out there to resolve PR issues (plus you don't solve W-L issues by adjusting for non W-L reasons), and I had strong concerns about JOB right from the start.

                                Wasn't it you that started the offensive rebounding thread where we basically showed that you should expect really low OFF REB from JOB teams. And that has held true strongly.


                                I don't think Rick was too rigid at all. I think he had spoiled brats. And in fact I think you saw some of his best coaching with Dunleavy. When Dun first arrived you saw a high volume of 3PAs with poor results. Within a month or so the plays run for Dun were adjusted so that he was mostly getting the catch/curl shot at the elbow, which he hit consistently. His 3P% stayed poor, but his 2P% was through the roof and this greatly improved his output at the time.

                                Rick had 3 or so mid-season months to figure out how to make JO/Tins/Dun/Troy work. JOB had a whole season and it ended with Tins on the bench with Bird's blessing and JO traded away that summer. In other words, JOB had his own epic fail in making that roster work out.

                                Do you really think he'd be winning with AJ/Fred/Reggie/James Jones/Dale/Foster? A 32% shooting Reggie no less.


                                Let's not act like we have zero way of comparing situations. 3 times Rick got MORE out of a team than anyone expected (DET, Indy, Indy post-brawl).


                                You can call him whatever you want. I call him a key ingredient to winning for this Indiana Pacers team.
                                I agree. In person my opinion has been that he's the top Pacer on the court, by far the most well-rounded player, and at least his misses often come close to the rim after pressuring the defense. He rarely settles for plays, certainly he doesn't settle on defense.

                                Not a stopper? When Baron lit up Ford DJ got moved right too him till he cooled down. As soon as Ford returned Baron took off again.

                                Jones covers EVERYONE. I watch him bump cutters off their line, cut space before a screener can get there, shade guys to force their dribble just far enough over to let their man catch up.

                                Where guys like Troy look at plays like "not my guy" DJ is ALWAYS looking to help out, and without leaving his man completely like the AI types like to do.

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