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Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

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  • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

    Originally posted by HeartlandFan View Post
    What?

    How can you say this years group of guys is better than last years when Henderson, Evans, Harden, Jennings, and Curry haven't even played a single NBA game? I have a hard time believing any of those guys will have a more successful transition to the professional game than Gordon and Westbrook did this year.
    Well you're reading something from someone who said Brandon Rush would be out of the league in a couple of years. Hopefully he goes out and says the same thing about Hibbert so he too can have a career game right after he says it.

    I don't know what kind of player we'll get from this draft. Last year's draft was EXTREMELY good for us, maybe the best draft in recent Pacers history if these guys continue to pan out. We have our Smits and our McKey, we just need to avoid getting our George McCloud this year and we'll be alright.

    Comment


    • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

      I suspected Tyreke Evans would be drafted ahead of James Harden, and after watching the tournament, I'm gonna go ahead and guarantee it. Evans' superior size, body, and athleticism will impress GMs far more than Harden's superior shooting. That Harden was a complete dud in the three biggest games of his career while Evans brought the goods pretty much sealed the deal.

      Comment


      • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

        I figured if I did T-Will, might as well do Earl Clark. Here's my breakdown:

        Defense

        Great defender. He is a tremendous shot blocker because he is so quick off the ground and has incredible length. His length gives him the ability to guard bigger forwards, and his incredible footwork and quickness allows him to stay in front of quicker forwards and even most 2-guards. In fact, his combination of length and quickness makes him a slightly better on-ball defender than even T-Will. It's his off-the-ball D that gets him into trouble, which NaptownSeth has already pointed out so well.

        Rebounding

        This guy absolutely grabs every rebound in sight. He cleans up on both ends too, as he is a GREAT offensive rebounder. I've never had as great of an appreciation for rebounding than I've had now just because I've had the pleasure of watching Earl and T-Will over the past two years. Again, length and leaping ability allow him to get to balls that most could never dream of getting to.

        Hands

        Here's the thing... and this is not going to make any sense considering his nimbleness, agility, and athleticism. His hands are like baseball mitts when handling passes, rebounds, or loose balls from about chest level to the ceiling. But any bounce pass at the knees or a loose ball off someone's leg and he can be butterfingers. I have no explanation for this. Overall, great hands.

        Passing/Ball Handling

        Great vision and passing. This is probably his greatest asset because he is such a terrific passer at his size and position. He also has above average handles for his size, but not reliable enough to play a point-forward role like T-Will

        Shooting/Offense

        He can hit the open 3 at times, but I'd say his comfortable range is just inside 20 feet. If he floats around the perimeter and just shoots long-range jumpers all day, he will KILL you. Something that Louisville fans have had to deal with in the past. He is at his best when he is either attacking the basket or playing inside with his back to the basket. Since he is normally a mismatch problem for opposing defenders, he can get to the basket with ease. He has also developed a pull-up midrange jumper this season, which is great to see and scary at the same to think how much better this kid can become.

        Attitude

        I've heard a lot of "analysts" say that he sometimes coasts and doesnt give it his all. This only seems to be the case because of his demeanor. He's just one of those guys who looks like he's not exerting himself. Maybe it's because he's so fluid, smooth, and always calm, but he definitely gives it 110% each time he steps on the floor. He gets visibly upset with himself when he makes a mistake and occasionally shows emotion after a big moment. I am sympathetic cause I played sports the same way. People would always say that it looked like I wasnt trying when I knew I was busting my *** off on every play. He is a quiet kid and wont give you any problems off the court.

        Final Comments

        Here's my take on the very controversial Earl Clark. You always hear of players with tremendous upside but many question marks that lead people to say, "He will either be a great one or a bust." I dont think this applies to Earl. While Earl's ceiling is as high as anyone's, his 'basement level' isnt as low as some project. But it's just that Earl is not very likely to reach his full potential. Best case scenario: he'll find himself in a couple of All-Star games and average 18 pts/9 rebs/4 ast year-in, year-out. Worst case scenario: he'll be a guy coming off the bench who can give you 10 and 6, which is not that bad, it's just not Top 10 pick worthy. He wont be a star or a guy who can carry you to the promise land, but he can be a good sidekick or a great third option... it's up to GMs to decide what pick he is worth. Part of his success will depend on development, but his success will mostly be determined by his situation and his mindset in the pros. In terms of situation, if he is a 4, he has no chance. He is a 3, no if's, and's, or but's about it.

        The biggest problem I see with him is mental. He has all the tools and skills to absolutely dominate each game he plays in; but he lacks that killer instinct. I mean, with his ability to get to the basket and his athleticism, he should be telling his opponent, "I'm going to dunk on you so hard you're going to end up on my kid's bedroom poster." How many times has he done this over his three years in college? I've only seen it once (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9XRZZlGa3M). I was so shocked when I saw he did that that I spilled my beer all over my shirt (a very nice one, too). But he either pulls up for a jumper or when he gets near, he'll either float it or try to hang in the air and put it over the defender. He can get away with this on the college level, but not in the pros.

        My opinion is that he is worth a late lottery or mid-round pick, but if we're picking inside 10, I say pass.
        Last edited by UncleReg; 03-28-2009, 03:48 PM.

        Comment


        • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

          Originally posted by Plax80 View Post
          Yes.......but those comparisons are the ceilings not the likely case. And although everybody has been dissing this draft, and rightfully so.........I personally think its a much better class than last year especially the first 8-10 picks. Gerld Henderson, Tyreke Evans , james Harden, Brandon Jennings and Curry are much better prospects than Jarryd Bayless, Eric Gordon, Brandon Rush, Russell Westbrook and the Knicks' import IMO .......which means the Pacers have a chance of adding a legit second piece to pair with Granger. And maybe Hibbert develops enough to supplement them.
          make comparisons by all means, i'm all for it, but at least make them accurate comparisons. some of those "ceilings" are incredibly off in terms of the style of play of the collegian and the professional. unless you mean that's how good those kids can become as opposed to what type of player the kid will be.

          Comment


          • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

            Some of the opinions about talent are radically different. It is pretty amazing. And I think it shows why mock drafts are so outrageous to truly base your opinions on.

            I really really like the draft this year. But for me, I think the late first and second round picks this year will be as stand out as the top ten. And I am not high on most of the top 10. So much is dependent on who declares. I think there is some solid talent among the juniors and seniors this year. A lot of the younger guys are getting the hype at the top, but the substance will be seen starting at about pick 10. This is a GREAT year to trade down if you can. I would look for the Wizards to trade their pick toward the top for some lower picks, assuming they don't get #1 overall.
            "Your course, your path, is not going to be like mine," West says. "Everybody is not called to be a multimillionaire. Everybody's not called to be the president. Whatever your best work is, you do it. Do it well. … You cease your own greatness when you aspire to be someone else."

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            • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

              Originally posted by Plax80 View Post
              I personally think its a much better class than last year especially the first 8-10 picks. Gerld Henderson, Tyreke Evans , james Harden, Brandon Jennings and Curry are much better prospects than Jarryd Bayless, Eric Gordon, Brandon Rush, Russell Westbrook and the Knicks' import IMO ........
              4+8=15, imo

              Comment


              • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                Originally posted by HeartlandFan View Post
                What?

                How can you say this years group of guys is better than last years when Henderson, Evans, Harden, Jennings, and Curry haven't even played a single NBA game? I have a hard time believing any of those guys will have a more successful transition to the professional game than Gordon and Westbrook did this year.
                Gordon's a tweener and Westbrook is a decent PG prospect.......but the #4 pick in the draft ?????

                Come on. Harden and Jennings are much better guard prospects than either of those two and they went 4th and 7th.

                He was like the 4th option at UCLA.

                Mayo has big potential but i'm not quite sure what his ceiling is. Harden, Curry and Henderson are all older than he is and I like Henderson better than Mayo.

                Thabeet, Aminu and Griffin are MUCH better prospects than Love who went 5th. Only Beasley would rank with thos ethree and he wouldn't rank ahead of Thabeet or Griffin.

                Most of those guys were 1 yr college players coming into the draft last year so why is it so much different. Brandon Rush stayed at Kansas forever because he wasn't much of a prospect and he waited for a weak draft class to come out which was smart.

                In this class he wouldn't go nearly as high.

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                • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                  Originally posted by dcpacersfan View Post
                  Well you're reading something from someone who said Brandon Rush would be out of the league in a couple of years. Hopefully he goes out and says the same thing about Hibbert so he too can have a career game right after he says it.

                  I don't know what kind of player we'll get from this draft. Last year's draft was EXTREMELY good for us, maybe the best draft in recent Pacers history if these guys continue to pan out. We have our Smits and our McKey, we just need to avoid getting our George McCloud this year and we'll be alright.
                  Glad I could help Brandon out. Thats a great game for him but even George Mccloud had a few nights like those near the end of March when no one cared.........not even the family.

                  He isn't a top prospect ...........not even close. Maybe out of the league in two yrs is harsh but I don't see him being significantly better than his brother Brandon who has managed to collect a check for many years but rarely plays meaningful minutes.

                  How anyone can call him a cornerstone player on a championship contending team is beyond ludicrous. He's James Posey without the lateral movement to defend his position or a right handed Mo Pete at best.

                  Hibbert I like much more as a contributing player and have said so even prior to draft day. I thought his slide in the draft was overblown. Georgetown obviously misses him. He doesn't have the defensive skills that you would like for someone of his height but he can improve in that area...............and offensively he's already pretty solid.

                  Best draft in many years is totally insane when you consider that we traded JO to get the 2nd pick and a useless PG who won't be here in two years.

                  But I suppose you think Larry Legend is a great GM too.

                  Comment


                  • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                    Originally posted by croz24 View Post
                    make comparisons by all means, i'm all for it, but at least make them accurate comparisons. some of those "ceilings" are incredibly off in terms of the style of play of the collegian and the professional. unless you mean that's how good those kids can become as opposed to what type of player the kid will be.
                    I mixed in both and did them quickly so you are right.

                    Blake Griffin for instance is a guy that I can't think of anyone to compare to. Much better than Beasley IMO from a year ago. Duncan, not a great comparison but I think thats the kind of career and impact that he can have.

                    Thabeet really does remind me of Hakeem................the agility at 7-0, the ability to run the floor..........block shots, rebound and his offense isn't as raw as some say. Olajuwan didn't really develop his offense early in college either.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                      Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                      4+8=15, imo
                      I forgot...........no one on here is allowed to say anything even slightly negative about Eric Gordon or Brandon Rush on a Indiana board. They truly are the two greatest guards since Oscar Robertson and Michael Jordan.............I keep forgetting.

                      Comment


                      • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                        Originally posted by croz24 View Post
                        yes, mocks can be pretty far off most of the time but let's not get carried away thinking a player's rookie season is his ONLY season.
                        Fair enough, but I'm honestly not the least bit surprised with him. I never saw him do anything specific where he truly took control of a game. To me he was always more athlete than ballplayer. I didn't get the sudden interest in him out of nowhere.

                        Still there is plenty of time for an "I told you so" back at me on him, I do agree with that. My point with him was that his main rise was the camps, not the season or the tourney. I just don't get how scouts gain all that interest after they stop playing ball. Same with the NFL.

                        The guy had that same speed, wingspan, whatever when his team was playing real games and how'd that work out for him. Did he impose his will or did he fill up the box with empty stats that didn't really drive the team along very much.


                        Yes, we all did and still do.............
                        No kidding. And the award for worst timing of an already iffy post goes to....

                        "We" didn't know that. Some of us knew just the opposite. Anyway, I'm with Croz on some of those comparisons. I watched Phi Slamma Jamma and Dream was nowhere near as raw as Thabeet. Hell, Sampson was more raw of the twin towers IMO (NBA Houston).

                        Dream dished out 1.3 assists his senior year compared to the .4 by Thabeet (for the 3rd year in a row, talk about progress). 1.5 steals about for Dream, .6 for Thabeet. About 1.5 TOs for Dream, 1.9 for Thabeet.

                        Dream was much better handling the ball, was one of his team's main go-to guys on offense and was a far better on-ball defender.


                        Gordon's a tweener and Westbrook is a decent PG prospect.......but the #4 pick in the draft ?????
                        Oh, so it's just flame bait. I thought you were being serious for a second. Nevermind.

                        Comment


                        • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                          UncleReg - my outside take on Clark has been he's just not a very smart player. He's still pretty confused by his role in the zone. He's often not active in plays, several trips in a row in fact, and that's either laziness or IMO just uncertainity.

                          However, he's silky smooth on his jumper with strong range for a guy with his height. He's pretty good with the ball, but not beyond fumbling it more than he should. He can be an effective rebounder when he's in the game, but he is prone to the stand and watch syndrome.

                          I was really down on him a few months ago, but lately he's picked it up so I'm interested again. I think you are dead-on with the "not in top 10" assessment. It seems like he will go top 10 but that he shouldn't. Of course I feel about the same on Harden, though I like Clark more than him by a fair amount.



                          Quis - agree that it would appear that Evans seems likely to pass Harden in the draft now. Timing is key, plus you have to consider the moment and how each guy did or didn't step up, and then Harden just isn't Mr. Athletic where he can hit camps and wow teams with his hops and speed.



                          Sam Young continued to impress tonight. He's got to be ahead of Blair at this point, I don't see how he can't be. Pitt's biggest mistake was not going to him a bit more often. Good slasher, good all-around scorer. It's too bad the Pacers can't use another scoring SF right now.

                          Comment


                          • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                            Olajuwan didn't really develop his offense early in college either.
                            It's Thabeet's THIRD YEAR. He still can not work his own post position. He can be denied most lane action with a simple bump up top as he ties to enter. He's got no serious hook, no turn-around jumper, he's not particularly comfortable facing up. He definitely has nothing remotely close to a Dream Shake.

                            UConn has one play to him, throw over the top on a face up and let him catch and dunk.


                            You can criticize anyone you want, but you're certainly going to get ripped if numbers and general opinions tend to strongly disagree with your view. I can say Jordan was one of the worst players ever, far worse than Greg Kite and definitely deserved to be drafted after Sam Bowie.

                            Now if anyone laughs at that I'll just pull out the old "I guess you can't have an opinion" card and storm off.


                            He was like the 4th option at UCLA.
                            No he wasn't. Shipp was the 4th option. Westbrook and Love were the top 2 options, but Collison kept thinking he was #1. Just like he did this year to Jrue. Westbrook dominated games for UCLA and not just a couple.

                            Not only that, but all these guys have ended the speculative portion of the debate. They are all having strong success at the next level already. It's perhaps the single deepest rookie class ever.

                            He's James Posey without the lateral movement to defend his position
                            Oh brother. Yes, because of all things Rush is criticized for his lateral defense. Either that or its one of the things he's most praised for.

                            "Reggie Miller is Ricky Pierce but without the range to hit the three."

                            Comment


                            • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                              Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                              UncleReg - my outside take on Clark has been he's just not a very smart player. He's still pretty confused by his role in the zone. He's often not active in plays, several trips in a row in fact, and that's either laziness or IMO just uncertainity.

                              However, he's silky smooth on his jumper with strong range for a guy with his height. He's pretty good with the ball, but not beyond fumbling it more than he should. He can be an effective rebounder when he's in the game, but he is prone to the stand and watch syndrome.

                              I was really down on him a few months ago, but lately he's picked it up so I'm interested again. I think you are dead-on with the "not in top 10" assessment. It seems like he will go top 10 but that he shouldn't. Of course I feel about the same on Harden, though I like Clark more than him by a fair amount.



                              Quis - agree that it would appear that Evans seems likely to pass Harden in the draft now. Timing is key, plus you have to consider the moment and how each guy did or didn't step up, and then Harden just isn't Mr. Athletic where he can hit camps and wow teams with his hops and speed.



                              Sam Young continued to impress tonight. He's got to be ahead of Blair at this point, I don't see how he can't be. Pitt's biggest mistake was not going to him a bit more often. Good slasher, good all-around scorer. It's too bad the Pacers can't use another scoring SF right now.
                              I cant decide if he just has a low basketball IQ or not. I tend to think that he just loses focus for extended periods of a game. He'll dominate for 5 minutes, making all the right plays on both ends of the floor and looking like Kevin Garnett, then he'll become invisible for the next 10. He's never been focused and dominant for an entire game. I'm not sure that's something you can develop, hence all the questions surrounding his potential.

                              I've been watching Pitt from a far for a while now because they are a fellow Big East team and I love how they play. I think Blair and Young have promising futures in the NBA. Blair is Boozer without a midrange game. Young is a great athlete with a jumper. IMO, Young would not be a good fit with us. But Blair could be an option should other desirable players be taken. I see him being taken in the mid-teens. A frontcourt of Hibbert, Blair, Murphy, and Foster would be pretty sick.

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                              • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                                Originally posted by Will Galen View Post
                                Most likely, but they already have to many wings.
                                Like that would stop Nellie from pushing for another trying to get another Point-Forward. Prior to this offseason, the Warriors had SJax, Monta, Azubuike, Bellinelli.....over the course of the season; they signed Anthony Morrow, signed Maggette while trading the closest thing that they had to a Tweener SF/PF for yet another ComboGuard. For Nellie, he can never have enough athletic Wing Men in his lineup.
                                Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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