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Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

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  • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

    Originally posted by croz24 View Post
    just to be clear about flynn physically, he is 30lbs heavier than ford and had the highest no step verticals and max verticals of anybody in the draft.

    i want a leader. and a leader is exactly what flynn is.
    Actually Lawson weighs 197, one more pound than Flynn. And as for leading, Lawson lead his team to the National Championship.

    Comment


    • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

      Originally posted by ESutt7 View Post
      Can anyone post Ford's Draft Rater?
      It's actually Hollinger's Draft Rater, but here it is:

      Rankings: The Top 12

      Top 12-Rated Collegians For 2009
      Player School Draft Rater
      1. Ty Lawson North Carolina 16.34
      2. Blake Griffin Oklahoma 16.21
      3. Tyreke Evans Memphis 15.02
      4. Austin Daye Gonzaga 14.24
      5. Stephen Curry Davidson 14.18
      6. Nick Calathes Florida 13.66
      7. DeJuan Blair Pittsburgh 13.56
      8. Danny Green North Carolina 13.28
      9. Jonny Flynn Syracuse 12.99
      10. James Harden Arizona St. 12.97
      11. Hasheem Thabeet Connecticut 12.90
      12. Earl Clark Louisville 12.88
      For starters, let's talk about two of the players who play multiple positions -- this matters now that we're rating players in part based on position.

      Stephen Curry graded out at 14.18 as a wing, but only 12.86 a point guard. Either way it puts him in the top dozen players, but by this rating he's a much better prospect if he's able to defend against wings.

      The difference for Earl Clark was less dramatic, but he rated slightly better as a wing than as a big man (12.14), which would have dropped him from 12th to 15th.

      A couple other names on here are likely to raise eyebrows:

      Austin Daye may not have had a great season, but the Draft Rater looks favorably upon a 6-11 small forward who can shoot (assuming he can play the 3 in the NBA). His numbers were strongest in the categories that project best to the pros, including 42.9 percent on 3s and 2.1 blocks per game, which is why he moves all the way up to No. 4 on this list.

      Nick Calathes is under contract in Greece but still will be draft-eligible, and he rates higher than the hot point guards most teams are discussing in the top 15. Though knocked for his athleticism, he had high rates of rebounds and steals and a strong 2-point shooting percentage. Teams in luxury tax trouble should look particularly hard at him since he can be stashed in Europe for a year or so.

      Danny Green is the other surprise on this list. He's rated highly every year I've done this, so seeing him doesn't shock me anymore, but he's received little attention nationally. Still, he's a great shooter who can defend and he rates as the third-best wing after Daye and Tyreke Evans.

      Rankings: 13 To 25

      Collegians: No. 13 through 25
      Player School Draft Rater
      13. Jrue Holiday UCLA 12.73
      14. Jeff Teague Wake Forest 12.50
      15. Gerald Henderson Duke 12.17
      16. Paul Delaney UAB 11.85
      17. Aaron Jackson Duquesne 11.83
      18. Darren Collison UCLA 11.80
      19. Terrence Williams Louisville 11.80
      20. Leo Lyons Missouri 11.53
      21. Eric Maynor VCU 11.35
      22. John Bryant Santa Clara 11.30
      23. DeMarre Carroll Missouri 11.18
      24. Tyler Hansbrough North Carolina 11.11
      25. Wayne Ellington North Carolina 11.04
      This part of the list is an interesting mishmash of potential sleepers and potential busts. In general, players in this range have some kind of NBA career but can always count on getting some quality time with the family during All-Star Weekend.

      We're awash in point guards in this draft and the six of the top nine names in this section play the position. The lesson is this: If you're in the market for a point guard, one will fall to you and they're more or less the same after the first couple.

      Down at No. 13, Holiday is a bit of a surprise -- given that he's projected to go higher -- but he has the two characteristics that produce the greatest error rate in the Draft Rater: he's a point guard and he's played only one year. In other words, his real value might be much higher or much lower, and since the consensus is much higher, it wouldn't bother me to use a top-8 pick on him.

      Delaney and Jackson are second-round sleepers at the point, but since projections for point guards are a bit more volatile, perhaps they shouldn't really be this high. The other "who's he?" on the list, Bryant, is a 6-11, 275-pound center from Santa Clara who could have a fine 10-year career as a third center in the Greg Kite/Aaron Gray mold.

      Rankings: Potential Disappointments

      Collegians: Other Notables
      Player School Draft Rater
      26. Jordan Hill Arizona 10.97
      28. B.J. Mullens Ohio State 10.81
      30. James Johnson Wake Forest 10.63
      31. Chase Budinger Arizona 10.51
      45. Derrick Brown Xavier 9.55
      48. DaJuan Summers Georgetown 9.38
      51. Jodie Meeks Kentucky 9.35
      52. Sam Young Pitt 9.34
      54. DeMar DeRozan USC 9.26
      62. Toney Douglas Florida St. 8.56
      68. Patrick Mills St. Mary's 8.36
      83. Jack McClinton Miami 6.64
      And here's where we get the players the Draft Rater is down on.

      Several potential first-round picks don't pass muster here, with short, shoot-first combo guards in particular bearing the brunt of the Draft Rater's wrath -- Jack McClinton, Patrick Mills and Toney Douglas were the three lowest-rated "name" prospects, and Jodie Meeks didn't fare a whole lot better.

      The other big surprise down here is Jordan Hill, who could go as high as No. 4 but rates 26th in the Draft Rater. Hill had solid rebounding and scoring numbers, but his percentages weren't off the charts and his poor assist and turnover numbers were a red flag. Though one might think that ball-handling categories wouldn't matter for a power forward, apparently they do -- pure point rating (a measure of how a player passes and handles the ball) is a pretty strong success indicator for frontcourt players, and only four prospects rated worse than Hill.

      One of those players was Mullens, who was the absolute worst at -2.85. Everyone concedes he's a project, so perhaps it's not such a big surprise to see him down this low. But the Draft Rater is saying that maybe even the middle of the first round is too high to be taking the risk on him.

      Pitt's Sam Young also graded out extremely poorly. He had the worst pure point rating of any wing player, and the other thing that hurt him is that he's one of the oldest prospects in the pool. How old? He's 19 days older than six-year vet Darko Milicic and a full half-decade older than Jrue Holiday.

      Comment


      • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

        Originally posted by Will Galen View Post
        Actually Lawson weighs 197, one more pound than Flynn. And as for leading, Lawson lead his team to the National Championship.
        yes, lawson also weighs 30lbs more...the difference between the talent on north carolina and syracuse was night and day last year. north carolina will have 4 players drafted this year, 3 likely in the first round. and at least 3 more drafted next year with ed davis being a probable top 3-5 pick. i could have lead unc to a national title this year...

        Comment


        • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

          Originally posted by PacerFreak31 View Post
          I think we will end up drafting both Ty Lawson and Tyler Hansborough. I am not sure if we trade down to get both or take one with the 13th pick and then pick up another pick. I just think that both fit what we are trying to do here. Everyone seems to think that players from 11-25ish are rated about the same but I think these two would be great for the Pacers.

          I like taking a point guard in this draft because there is NO guarantee that we keep Jack. Too many people on this board just assume we do keep Jack but I am sure many people thought we were just going to resign Brad Miller as well. I just don't want to assume that we are going to keep a player when we very well could not have the money to give him. Can you imagine if we don't resign Jack? Our point guard situation would be awful. We would have TJ, Maybe Travis, and no one else.... Where do we go from there? People that think the point guard position is in good shape are assuming that resigning Jack is a given. I think they wouldn't be more wrong. Lets say that we do resign Jack... I say draft a point guard anyway because Ford could leave in two years and even if we end up getting Jennings we would have two years to bring him along and at that time he will only be 21. I just don't want to be stuck without a solid backup PG and I dislike how we assume we will be able to resign Jack.

          I also like Hansborough as a PF prospect. I think he could step in and give us some good minutes and if we did end up Lawson and Hansborough they would at least know each other and have some on court chemistry. We could play them both together in the second unit and they would work well together. Well this is just some thoughts I have a week before the draft but am I not right in thinking that we DO need a PG because I have a bad feeling we won't be able to resign Jack?
          The scary thing about that is the Bobcats went the same route a couple years ago drafting the PG and PF off the UNC National championship team.

          Felton has been solid. May has been injured.

          Not sure I want to follow that same pattern, even though I don't think the players will turn out the same

          Comment


          • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

            Here is a compilation of the best Mock Drafts around the web.(I found this on NBA.com)

            DraftExpress
            06.16
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. James Harden
            3. Hasheem Thabeet
            4. Ricky Rubio
            5. Stephen Curry
            6. Tyreke Evans
            7. Jordan Hill
            8. Jrue Holiday
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Jonny Flynn
            11. Brandon Jennings
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. DeJuan Blair
            14. Earl Clark


            ESPN.com
            06.16
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. Ricky Rubio
            4. Jrue Holiday
            5. James Harden
            6. Tyreke Evans
            7. Stephen Curry
            8. Jordan Hill
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Jonny Flynn
            11. Tyler Hansbrough
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. Brandon Jennings
            14. Austin Daye


            SI.com
            06.17
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Tyreke Evans
            3. Ricky Rubio
            4. Jonny Flynn
            5. James Harden
            6. Hasheem Thabeet
            7. Demar DeRozan
            8. Stephen Curry
            9. Jordan Hill
            10. DeJuan Blair
            11. Jrue Holiday
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. Brandon Jennings
            14. Jeff Teague


            CollegeHoops.net
            06.15
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. Ricky Rubio
            4. Brandon Jennings
            5. Jordan Hill
            6. Tyreke Evans
            7. James Harden
            8. Ty Lawson
            9. DeMar DeRozan
            10. Earl Clark
            11. James Johnson
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. Jeff Teague
            14. Jonny Flynn


            Inside Hoops
            06.14
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. Ricky Rubio
            4. Stephen Curry
            5. James Harden
            6. Demar DeRozan
            7. Jordan Hill
            8. Jonny Flynn
            9. Tyreke Evans
            10. DeJuan Blair
            11. James Johnson
            12. Earl Clark
            13. Tyler Hansbrough
            14. Brandon Jennings


            SBNation
            05.21
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Ricky Rubio
            3. Hasheem Thabeet
            4. Brandon Jennings
            5. James Harden
            6. Demar DeRozan
            7. Tyreke Evans
            8. Stephen Curry
            9. Gerald Henderson
            10. Jordan Hill
            11. DeJuan Blair
            12. Jrue Holiday
            13. Jonny Flynn
            14. Earl Clark


            NBC Sports
            06.14
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. James Harden
            4. Ricky Rubio
            5. Jordan Hill
            6. Stephen Curry
            7. Jrue Holiday
            8. Tyreke Evans
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Brandon Jennings
            11. DeJuan Blair
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. Jonny Flynn
            14. Ty Lawson


            RealGM
            06.16
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Ricky Rubio
            3. Hasheem Thabeet
            4. Jrue Holiday
            5. Jordan Hill
            6. James Harden
            7. James Johnson
            8. Stephen Curry
            9. Tyreke Evans
            10. Jonny Flynn
            11. Earl Clark
            12. Gerald Henderson
            13. Brandon Jennings
            14. Jeff Teague


            HoopsWorld
            06.12
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. Ricky Rubio
            4. Tyreke Evans
            5. James Harden
            6. Jonny Flynn
            7. Jrue Holiday
            8. Stephen Curry
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Jordan Hill
            11. DeJuan Blair
            12. Austin Daye
            13. Earl Clark
            14. B.J. Mullens


            ProBasketballNews
            (1) | 6.06
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Ricky Rubio
            3. Hasheem Thabeet
            4. Jordan Hill
            5. James Harden
            6. Jrue Holiday
            7. Tyreke Evans
            8. Brandon Jennings
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Jonny Flynn
            11. DeJuan Blair
            12. James Johnson
            13. Gerald Henderson
            14. Stephen Curry


            ProBasketballNews
            (2) | 05.20
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Hasheem Thabeet
            3. Jordan Hill
            4. Ricky Rubio
            5. Brandon Jennings
            6. James Harden
            7. Tyreke Evans
            8. James Johnson
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Ty Lawson
            11. Stephen Curry
            12. Jrue Holiday
            13. DeJuan Blair
            14. Earl Clark


            Sporting News
            06.02
            1. Blake Griffin
            2. Ricky Rubio
            3. Hasheem Thabeet
            4. Jordan Hill
            5. Tyreke Evans
            6. Brandon Jennings
            7. Jrue Holiday
            8. James Harden
            9. Demar DeRozan
            10. Jonny Flynn
            11. DeJuan Blair
            12. Stephen Curry
            13. Gerald Henderson
            14. Chase Budinger
            @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

            Comment


            • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

              Originally posted by pwee31 View Post
              The scary thing about that is the Bobcats went the same route a couple years ago drafting the PG and PF off the UNC National championship team.

              Felton has been solid. May has been injured.

              Not sure I want to follow that same pattern, even though I don't think the players will turn out the same

              I think I am really liking Jennings more now than Lawson. I think he would be a good fit regardless of us resigning Jack or not. I found it very interesting in his interview today that he said he was working out for teams 4-8 and then the Pacers... I don't really see any team 4-8 taking him. I still like the idea of getting that second pick though. ATL's 19th would be a great spot for Tyler I think.

              Comment


              • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                Everything is pointing toward Jennings or Blair, that's a good position to be in.

                Comment


                • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                  Originally posted by croz24 View Post
                  just to be clear about flynn physically, he is 30lbs heavier than ford and had the highest no step verticals and max verticals of anybody in the draft.

                  i want a leader. and a leader is exactly what flynn is.
                  Flynn sounds very Joe Alexander-like to me. I never trust guys that boost themselves up so high right before a draft.

                  Comment


                  • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                    Originally posted by rexnom View Post
                    Flynn sounds very Joe Alexander-like to me. I never trust guys that boost themselves up so high right before a draft.
                    except that for 2 straight years, flynn was arguably the best pg in the big east...flynn brought much more substance than joe. and flynn's rise has more to do with his on/off court demeanor and attitude than any physical measurables. i'm confident i would actually be backed on here with that statement.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                      Flynn's rise has everything to do with his late season heroics and increased media coverage after the UConn game. He wouldn't even be top 15 if he didn't play the way he did down the stretch. I think he's going to be a pretty respectable player, but anyone drafting him in the top 8 is reaching a bit.

                      Comment


                      • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                        if teague, lawson, holiday, jennings, curry, and maynor are all possible top 15 picks, then so is flynn. don't diminish what flynn was able to accomplish in both seasons at syracuse. flynn has been consistently solid since entering college.

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                        • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                          I just said top 8 is a reach. Teague and Maynor aren't top 15 picks IMO and the rest of those guys are better than Flynn. I think he's a top 15 pick, but like I said, he's lucky that he got all that coverage at the end of the year.

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                          • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                            Honestly, I would take Jennings over anyone not named Griffin. I think his ceiling is amazing and once (and if) he completely embraces maturity, he will be a chris paul type of player. Coming out of highschool he was just plain silly, his goal in the McDonalds all-star game was to break the McDonalds all-star record for assists in the game. That type of mentality, that he would want to set an assist record, backs up his workout interview claims of he "is a team first guy" and "looks to get his teamates involved first." Most people who have a "score-first" mentality would be trying to set points records, not assists. The fact that assists are important to him in a game in which priority and entertainment are generally based off of points, says a lot about him to me. A lot of peoples negativity about him is based on this unproven claim that he is a "me-first" type of player. I think those that look away from the fact that he is only 19 are going to be kicking themselves down the road. If we have a chance to get him outright at 13 or could move down at a reasonable cost to get him, we have an elite-tier point guard in the making. I get nervous and feel bad about a lot of people being mentioned in this draft at the Pacers position, but I have followed Jennings since before he dropped the ball on Arizona and I have no hesitation about me when I say he is going to be great. Maybe not next year, or the year after, but he is going to have a hell of an NBA career.
                            Last edited by jmoney2584; 06-19-2009, 04:28 AM.
                            Roy Hibbert.... It's the POWER!!!

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                            • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                              Originally posted by jmoney2584 View Post
                              Honestly, I would take Jennings over anyone not named Griffin. I think his ceiling is amazing and once (and if) he completely embraces maturity, he will be a chris paul type of player. Coming out of highschool he was just plain silly, his goal in the McDonalds all-star game was to break the McDonalds all-star record for assists in the game. That type of mentality, that he would want to set an assist record, backs up his workout interview claims of he "is a team first guy" and "looks to get his teamates involved first." Most people who have a "score-first" mentality would be trying to set points records, not assists. The fact that assists are important to him in a game in which priority and entertainment are generally based off of points, says a lot about him to me. A lot of peoples negativity about him is based on this unproven claim that he is a "me-first" type of player. I think those that look away from the fact that he is only 19 are going to be kicking themselves down the road. If we have a chance to get him outright at 13 or could move down at a reasonable cost to get him, we have an elite-tier point guard in the making. I get nervous and feel bad about a lot of people being mentioned in this draft at the Pacers position, but I have followed Jennings since before he dropped the ball on Arizona and I have no hesitation about me when I say he is going to be great. Maybe not next year, or the year after, but he is going to have a hell of an NBA career.
                              Sebastian Telfair also tried to break the Mcdonalds All-American assist record if you ever watched "Through the Fire" (which I'd recommend to anybody). I'm not trying to diminish Jennings' ability and say he's going to end up like Telfair but the Mcdonalds All-American game can't be used to judge how a career is going to go. Jonathan Bender anybody?

                              "I've got an idea--an idea so smart that my head would explode if I even began to know what I'm talking about." - Peter Griffin

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                              • Re: Official 2009 NBA Draft Recruiting Center

                                By the way, from Daryl Morey's twitter (and the Rockets have two solid, young PGs already)
                                Originally posted by Daryl Morey
                                This is the deepest PG draft in a long time. Quality and quantity are high. Rule changes have indirectly driven the depth we are now seeing.

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