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What moves do we make to get better next yr?

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  • #61
    Will be a fascinating offseason - do we add to a near 50 win team because we believe a couple of tweaks means a decent run at being a top Eastern Conference seed, or, do we say that Vic/Domas/Myles is the core and take a longer term view by using our flexibility to add young pieces that will take more time to get to that 50+ won bracket.
    "I’m your favorite player’s favorite player. And it’s not enough for me for him to know that. I want the world to know that." -- Michael Beasley

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    • #62
      Originally posted by Trader Joe View Post
      Pacers will probably kick the tires on a Kemba trade too.
      I'd look into getting Malik Monk or Charlotte's lottery pick in exchange for taking Batum's contract off their hands.

      Comment


      • #63
        Originally posted by Grimp View Post



        I think KP will do MAJOR work this Summer. He's far different from Larry, who was more stodgy and slow like molasses. Also we won't have Oladipo forever. We need to build around him now. This summer's class of FA's will be better than next Summer. Oubre again, is an interesting young player imo - but I think Washington will trade Otto and re-sign then promote him to starting SF. Boston could deal Rozier this Summer, only because money doesn't seem to be an issue with him. Being a starter does. He will never start over Kyrie, so Boston could deal him this Summer before he splits next Summer. Of course, if Boston doesn't trust Kyrie's knee going forward, they could also keep Terry. But next Summer's class isn't that great outside of a 30 year old Jimmy Butler. After that, you have role players like Tobias Harris and Nikola Mirotic. We could just trade for those guys this Summer. Not to mention, Myles will need an extension next Summer. What we add this Summer, and how good we are next season with those additions - will factor into whether Myles wishes to stay or not.
        The Celtics will likely let Marcus Smart go ( since he's a RFA ) and IMHO will re-sign Rozier in the Summer of 2019. You are correct that Players would want to start. Given that the Celtics are poised to make it to the next level, being on a Playoff Team that can go far with a solid and competitive roster is a good reason to stay. But it's irrelevant since Rozier is a RFA and the Celtics can keep them.

        As for Myles, he's a RFA. He's going to stay if the Pacers want him to stay. On top of that, what more would he want that would convince him to push to leave the Team ( as you suggest )? He's the Pacers starting Center, he's part of the long term core of a young and solid team that isn't crap. Unlike PG13, Myles isn't in the position to dictate whether wants to bolt or not ( especially as a RFA ).

        IMHO, KP isn't going to make a move just to make a move. I can see KP making a big Move, but I can also see him be patient enough to ONLY make a huge move ONLY if the right deal comes along. Otherwise, I can also see him stand pat on DC and Bojan and not make a huge splash on the FA market.

        The question ( as I mentioned before ) is what to do with CoJo and Thad and whether KP thinks either ( or even both ) are long term keeps or not.
        Last edited by CableKC; 04-13-2018, 01:40 AM.
        Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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        • #64
          Originally posted by Willbo View Post
          Will be a fascinating offseason - do we add to a near 50 win team because we believe a couple of tweaks means a decent run at being a top Eastern Conference seed, or, do we say that Vic/Domas/Myles is the core and take a longer term view by using our flexibility to add young pieces that will take more time to get to that 50+ won bracket.
          JMHO, but I think KP is going to take the long view unless there is a no brainer type trade or FA signing that he really wants to make.
          Last edited by CableKC; 04-13-2018, 12:52 AM.
          Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

          Comment


          • #65
            If KP takes another shot at a distressed asset in a bad environment like Hezonja on like a 2 year pg prove it deal I'll be more than happy. Maybe some sidegrades on players who want to leave.

            Patience.

            Comment


            • #66
              It would be helpful if we could get an idea about how much Cap Space that we will likely have at our disposal.

              Can someone run the #s for me ( based off of the following assumptions )?

              Spoiler Spoiler:


              Assuming that we keep the following Players ( 12 Players )

              - Collision ( will keep his 2018-2019 contract cuz he's a bargain ) - $10 mil
              - Joseph Young ( pick up Team Option ) - $1.6 mil
              - Dipo ( guaranteed ) - $21 mil
              - Lance ( pick up Team Option ) - $4.36 mil
              - Bojan ( same as DC, will guarantee his 2018-2019 contract cuz he's a bargain ) - $10 mil
              - Poythress ( he's cheap and can fill out the bench ) - $1.54 mil
              - Sabonis ( guaranteed ) - $2.66 mil
              - Leaf ( guaranteed ) - $2.41 mil
              - Myles ( guaranteed ) - $3.41 mil
              - Ike ( guaranteed ) - $1.38 mil
              - AlJeff ( I will assume that KP keeps him as a 4th Big Man option and Locker Room vet ) - $10 mil
              - 1st round Pick ( assuming 20 to 23 ) - $1.4 mil

              Non-Player Salaries ( to be paid )

              - Monta ( stretched ) - $2.25 mil

              Cap Holds for Free Agents:

              - Thad - $13.764 mil
              - CoJo - $7.945 mil
              - Booker - $1.54 mil
              - GRIII - $1.54 mil

              Total Cap Hold - $24.789 mil
              Total Salary for 12 Players ( ignoring Cap holds ) - $72.1 mil
              Total Salary for 12 Players ( with Cap Holds ) - $96.9 mil
              Projected 2018-2019 Salary Cap - $101 mil


              I assume that AlJeff guaranteed contract doesn't have to be picked up and that the Pacers can release the Cap holds of every FA to get us down to $66 mil while having $35 mil in Salary Cap space to make a move towards a FA.

              Do these numbers look about right ?

              I have no clue if we have the Bird Rights or not to Thad or CoJo. Despite being UFAs; can the Pacers re-sign Thad, CoJo ( or even both ) while going over the Salary Cap to re-sign them for the long term?

              or

              Are we only able to re-sign either using our Salary Cap space?

              Spoiler Spoiler:


              If these numbers are correct ( or at least in the ball park ), how big of a splash that the Pacers make in the FA market will depend on what they decide to do with Thad and CoJo.

              Given how well the Team has done and how important Team Cehmistry is, I suspect that KP will re-sign one or both of CoJo and Thad while going cheap on the FA market for an upgrade to Booker-like Big Man ( that can complement both Sabonis and Myles ) at a reasonable price. As noted before, I think that KP will be patient and try to keep most of the core together for this season, make a smaller splash in Free Agency ( by looking for more DC/Bojan like FA signings ) and then look to make a huge move in the summer of 2019 when the Team has way more Cap flexibility.

              Thoughts?
              Last edited by CableKC; 04-13-2018, 03:27 AM.
              Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

              Comment


              • #67
                Intrigued by the idea of Randle because he does legit work offensively at the basket/in the paint and because of his board work. Don't watch enough Laker games though to know what the Pacers would be giving up on the defensive side of the ball. Could definitely see him & Bogie being problematic as a defensive tandem and suspect the team would really miss Thad's versatility & intangibles on that side of the ball.

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                • #68
                  What I would find ideal would be keeping Collison & Bogdanovic on the team. From there I would talk to Thad about a long-term contract at a yearly discount for us of about $8mil a year over 3 years, maybe a player option in his 3rd. It's not bad money and it'll allow him to settle into Indiana with the family. I try bring CoJo back for similar $ to Thad, but I'm not sure he takes it so look to use our pick on a proven college PG who could come in as an immediate back-up like Aaron Holiday, Brunsen or Lamet. We let Big Al go as valuable as he is, his cap space is too useful to deny (He may not get looks elsewhere and come back on vet minimum). Booker already got money so hopefully stays to help continue build.

                  So we have:
                  C. Turner/Sabonis
                  PF. Young/Leaf/Booker
                  SF. Bogdanovic
                  SG. Oladipo/Stephenson
                  PG. Collison/CoJo or Rookie/Young
                  All this for around $74mil with CoJo or $68mil with a rookie instead.

                  My free agent target would be Jabari Parker to move into that starting SF as that 2nd scorer we desperately need to be competitive. No Parker then try Aaron Gordon or a trade for Tobias Harris as or go with Hezonja and see what he can do in our offense.

                  Hezonja or Haris could come cheap so maybe we go in on Marcus Smart as our starting PG. Would use remaining cap of vets and shooters.

                  Ranking my fave options:
                  #1: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Parker/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. Collison/CoJo/Duval or ZBrown (upside rookie)

                  #2: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Hezonja/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. Smart/Collison/Rookie

                  #3: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Harris/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. . Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. . Smart/Collison/Rookie

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Originally posted by CableKC;n3347839

                    [B
                    Cap Holds for Free Agents:[/B]

                    - Thad - $13.764 mil
                    - CoJo - $7.945 mil
                    - Booker - $1.54 mil
                    - GRIII - $1.54 mil

                    Total Cap Hold - $24.789 mil
                    Total Salary for 12 Players ( ignoring Cap holds ) - $72.1 mil
                    Total Salary for 12 Players ( with Cap Holds ) - $96.9 mil
                    Projected 2018-2019 Salary Cap - $101 mil


                    I assume that AlJeff guaranteed contract doesn't have to be picked up and that the Pacers can release the Cap holds of every FA to get us down to $66 mil while having $35 mil in Salary Cap space to make a move towards a FA.

                    Do these numbers look about right ?

                    I have no clue if we have the Bird Rights or not to Thad or CoJo. Despite being UFAs; can the Pacers re-sign Thad, CoJo ( or even both ) while going over the Salary Cap to re-sign them for the long term?

                    or

                    Are we only able to re-sign either using our Salary Cap space?

                    Spoiler Spoiler:


                    If these numbers are correct ( or at least in the ball park ), how big of a splash that the Pacers make in the FA market will depend on what they decide to do with Thad and CoJo.

                    Given how well the Team has done and how important Team Cehmistry is, I suspect that KP will re-sign one or both of CoJo and Thad while going cheap on the FA market for an upgrade to Booker-like Big Man ( that can complement both Sabonis and Myles ) at a reasonable price. As noted before, I think that KP will be patient and try to keep most of the core together for this season, make a smaller splash in Free Agency ( by looking for more DC/Bojan like FA signings ) and then look to make a huge move in the summer of 2019 when the Team has way more Cap flexibility.

                    Thoughts?
                    Good layout. Thad and CoJo actually have player options at those prices. So if they decide to exercise those, those amounts would just be added to the salary list and reduce the Pacers cap space available.

                    The Pacers can re-sign both Thad and Cojo while going over the salary cap, but only if they keep their cap holds on the book. That's what the cap hold is supposed to do, it's designed to keep people from abusing Bird Rights. So if the Pacers release all the cap holds as you suggest, they would have to re-sign all of those players with their cap space and cannot go over the cap to sign any of them.

                    Where cap holds really help you are young players who are about to get paid because the cap hold is based off a percentage of your previous contract. For example, Turner has a cap hold of 4.69 million next year. The Pacers can keep that cap hold until they are done with the rest of free agency, then re-sign him to much more than that going over the cap.

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      I'm putting out some feelers to see if we have a legitimate shot at signing Khris Middleton in the summer of 2019. If we do, then I am trying to stand pat until then. If not, then I would be looking at trades.

                      I am convinced that CoJo will walk. I think we will offer him $9-10 million per year but someone will offer him more and possibly a starting job.

                      Thad will stay. We'll offer about $12 million per year and include some kind of no trade clause.

                      GRIII will walk. We will offer a "prove it" contract. A short term, low cost contract. He'll get a better offer and leave.

                      Our starting 5 will be back. The bench will include Lance and Sabonis. We may sign Booker to a short term deal to give Leaf another year or two to develop, but I don't know if Booker would go for that.

                      We will draft a PG or SF depending on if we think Middleton may come here or we think we can trade for a starting SF.

                      Parker is not a SF. He does not like playing SF and his defense is terrible. Gordon is good defensively, but his offense at SF is not very good. He has also had 3 concussions in the past 2 years..that's something to be concerned about.

                      I don't know what trades may be available, but to me the key is finding our about Middleton. In my opinion, if we can add Middleton in the summer of 2019, Turner and Sabonis improve and prove they can play together, then we can be pretty tough.

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        Originally posted by CableKC View Post

                        Cap Holds for Free Agents:

                        - Thad - $13.764 mil
                        - CoJo - $7.945 mil
                        - Booker - $1.54 mil
                        - GRIII
                        I have no clue if we have the Bird Rights or not to Thad or CoJo. Despite being UFAs; can the Pacers re-sign Thad, CoJo ( or even both ) while going over the Salary Cap to re-sign them for the long term?

                        or

                        Are we only able to re-sign either using our Salary Cap space?

                        Spoiler Spoiler:

                        I believe 18-19 are player options, and I think they will opt in.

                        we have both of their bird rights, the cap hold represents the rights and are on our cap until we give up the rights or resign them. If we renounce we get the cap space and the holds are removed, and if we resign the hold gets replaced by the actual contract value. We can go over the cap to resign them in this case. Usually we keep the hold on the player, spend the cap space available with the holds, and then sign the player after to go over the cap.

                        if we renounce and take the cap space we can resign them with cap space but cannot exceed the cap.
                        Last edited by flox; 04-13-2018, 11:10 AM.

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                        • #72
                          Originally posted by Downtown Bang! View Post
                          Intrigued by the idea of Randle because he does legit work offensively at the basket/in the paint and because of his board work. Don't watch enough Laker games though to know what the Pacers would be giving up on the defensive side of the ball. Could definitely see him & Bogie being problematic as a defensive tandem and suspect the team would really miss Thad's versatility & intangibles on that side of the ball.
                          My nephew is a huge Laker fan. He says that Randle is a black hole on the offensive end and has a tendency to handle and hold the ball a lot longer than he should be holding it. Some Team is going to overpay him to pry him away from the Lakers since he's a RFA. I'd pass on him. IMHO, we need a quality Big Man that can complement both Sabonis and Myles much like how Booker did a good job of replacing AlJeff in the Big Man rotation ( which necessariy doesn't have to be an elite Starter but a quality 1st Big off the bench type Player ). I think we can upgrade the PF/C spot with a better version of Booker at a far more reasonable cost than Randle.
                          Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            Originally posted by CableKC View Post
                            My nephew is a huge Laker fan. He says that Randle is a black hole on the offensive end and has a tendency to handle and hold the ball a lot longer than he should be holding it. Some Team is going to overpay him to pry him away from the Lakers since he's a RFA. I'd pass on him. IMHO, we need a quality Big Man that can complement both Sabonis and Myles much like how Booker did a good job of replacing AlJeff in the Big Man rotation ( which necessariy doesn't have to be an elite Starter but a quality 1st Big off the bench type Player ). I think we can upgrade the PF/C spot with a better version of Booker at a far more reasonable cost than Randle.
                            JMO also, that you are right about Randle. He is not the kind of player that the Pacers need now. I would be surprised if he is being considered by TPTB. I suspect that they are looking for guys more like Kelly Olynyk than Randle. A stretch 4/5 that can post a smaller guys if necessary and be a real threat from the 3 pt line.

                            Speaking of Miami, they have another guy that the Pacers might be looking at. Wayne Ellington or someone like him. Ellington is a guard/wing instead of a SF/wing, so he might not be the actual guy the Pacers want unless they don't pick up Lance's option. Or maybe move Lance to backup SF instead. Still a bit of a size problem, but Lance is strong for his height.

                            I don't see the Pacers looking for guys that cannot be a legit threat from the 3 pt line. Like every other team in the league, the Pacers should be looking for more shooting and guys that can score if they are not guarded closely by a plus defender.

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                            • #74
                              Originally posted by festar35 View Post
                              What I would find ideal would be keeping Collison & Bogdanovic on the team. From there I would talk to Thad about a long-term contract at a yearly discount for us of about $8mil a year over 3 years, maybe a player option in his 3rd. It's not bad money and it'll allow him to settle into Indiana with the family. I try bring CoJo back for similar $ to Thad, but I'm not sure he takes it so look to use our pick on a proven college PG who could come in as an immediate back-up like Aaron Holiday, Brunsen or Lamet.
                              I hope that the Pacers pick the BPA regardless of position. But if we don't and actually go off of "need", I'd hope that if we do draft a Player it will be at the wing rotation where I think we need more depth.

                              A High End Backup PGs like Patty Mills was re-signed with the Spurs for $10 to 13 mil a year, But I suspect that CoJo ( IMHO a quality backup PG that can play off the ball while being a quality PG defender ) could be signed somewhere between $7 to 9 mil ( which is the price range for re-signing Shaun Livingston ).

                              As for Thad? I hope he would give a discount and can be had for $9+ mil a year for 3 years. But I suspect ( again ) that his Market value will be higher given his performance and here in Indy will warrant a higher paycheck. My only hope is that Thad does give a home town discount and sign for $10 to 12 mil a year given the rumor that his Wife doesn't want to move anymore.

                              Originally posted by festar35 View Post
                              We let Big Al go as valuable as he is, his cap space is too useful to deny (He may not get looks elsewhere and come back on vet minimum). Booker already got money so hopefully stays to help continue build.
                              I'd prefer that we do move him for some small assets in exchange for some cap relief for some team. But I'd hope that if we do not pick up AlJeff's guaranteed salary for this next season ( thus letting him go ) that we can add him to the Coaching Staff as a Big Man Coach. I think that his presense on this Team is important and helpful. But honestly, I have no problem with keeping him on as our 4th Big Man off the bench behind whoever we pursue to replace Booker in the lineup.

                              Originally posted by festar35 View Post

                              So we have:
                              C. Turner/Sabonis
                              PF. Young/Leaf/Booker
                              SF. Bogdanovic
                              SG. Oladipo/Stephenson
                              PG. Collison/CoJo or Rookie/Young
                              All this for around $74mil with CoJo or $68mil with a rookie instead.

                              My free agent target would be Jabari Parker to move into that starting SF as that 2nd scorer we desperately need to be competitive. No Parker then try Aaron Gordon or a trade for Tobias Harris as or go with Hezonja and see what he can do in our offense.

                              Hezonja or Haris could come cheap so maybe we go in on Marcus Smart as our starting PG. Would use remaining cap of vets and shooters.

                              Ranking my fave options:
                              #1: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Parker/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. Collison/CoJo/Duval or ZBrown (upside rookie)

                              #2: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Hezonja/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. Smart/Collison/Rookie

                              #3: C. Turner/Sabonis/Anigbogu PF. Young/Leaf/Booker SF. Harris/Bogdanovic/Casspi SG. . Oladipo/Stephenson/Young PG. . Smart/Collison/Rookie
                              In terms of the Starting SF position; my preference is to move Bojan to the backup SF spot, let GRIII go, draft a SF ( to eventually replace Bojan in the rotation ) and then sign a young Starting quality SF ( I prefer going after Oubre as a young 3D type Wing or Kyle Anderson with the Spurs ). I don't mind gambling on Hezonja as well given his age. Another Forward that I wouldn't mind pursuing is Kevin Looney ( if you want to gamble on a young Player with upside ) or ( if you want to go with a older but still very solid 3D Wing ) Ariza.



                              Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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                              • #75
                                Originally posted by xIndyFan View Post
                                JMO also, that you are right about Randle. He is not the kind of player that the Pacers need now. I would be surprised if he is being considered by TPTB. I suspect that they are looking for guys more like Kelly Olynyk than Randle. A stretch 4/5 that can post a smaller guys if necessary and be a real threat from the 3 pt line.
                                Given the minor issues that Whiteside has had with the Heat and the performance of an Olynk/Bam Frontcourt rotation, it wouldn't suprise me if the Heat keep Olynk and Bam for the long term and move Whiteside ( who can choose not to pick up his 2019-2020 Player Option ) in the offseason for some assets.

                                Originally posted by xIndyFan View Post
                                Speaking of Miami, they have another guy that the Pacers might be looking at. Wayne Ellington or someone like him. Ellington is a guard/wing instead of a SF/wing, so he might not be the actual guy the Pacers want unless they don't pick up Lance's option. Or maybe move Lance to backup SF instead. Still a bit of a size problem, but Lance is strong for his height.

                                I don't see the Pacers looking for guys that cannot be a legit threat from the 3 pt line. Like every other team in the league, the Pacers should be looking for more shooting and guys that can score if they are not guarded closely by a plus defender.
                                Ellington is a volume 3pt shooter that's a career 38% 3pt shooter. I don't mind having a legit 3pt threat on the Team. But given that the NBA is a 3pt heavy reliant league, it wouldn't surprise me if he's overpaid to fill a Kyle Korver-like role on some Team. I assume that Ellington isn't a complete mess on the defensive end, so I wouldn't mind pursuing him given that it's an Arm's Race when it comes to scoring from the 3pt line.

                                My preference though is to go after Oubre or even make a run at Ariza ( who I have always wanted on this Team ) as a legit 3D wing ( even if he is going to be 33 years old at the start of the season ).
                                Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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