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Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

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  • #76
    Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

    Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
    Why do you love picks so much? I mean I understand a top 10 pick or maybe top 15 but after that? not so much.

    And we have young players under great contracts but they suck a**
    It's because we are not in the same spot as Teams like the Spurs, Warriors, Cavs or even the Raptors where they are "All In" and don't have the real need to develop young talent.

    There is a good possibility that the Pacers are going to be stuck in "No Man's Land" when it comes to the Salary Cap where we don't have enough Cap Space to offer a contract for a low-end Starter or 6th Man. Having a young Player....even if he ends up being a 6th Man while locked into a long-term contract with a relatively small contract makes a HUGE difference. Otherwise we are stuck with making Aaron Brooks or Stuckey-like FA signings.

    Right now, we are a roster full of Vets on huge contracts ( except for Myles ). It is imperative that we have cheaper talent in the 9 man rotation for the long term. It's simply smart Cap Management.
    Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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    • #77
      Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

      Originally posted by Dece View Post
      My basic understanding of opportunity cost causes me to love picks. If you can get a player who can contribute even 10 minutes a night for a rookie scale contract, that frees up $5-15M on an impact player. It's not terribly complicated.

      Thad Young: 12M
      Caris Levert: 1.5M

      I don't think Thad Young by himself is worth 10.5M more than Caris, let alone whatever you do with that freed up 10.5M dollars. Hell, you free up that 10M, don't pay fatty his 10M, and now you're shopping for a top tier player. For a team like the Pacers to compete it's going to require being very careful about how you spend your cap. Players on their first contract is the single greatest way to optimize talent per dollar spent.
      Thad is a bad example to use when it comes to Salary Cap Management. At most, he's a low end Stater....and at worst....he's solid 6th-7th Man coming off the bench. He's paid $12 mil. In yester-year's Salary Cap $$$ he does appear to be overpaid.....but in today's NBA Salary Cap $$$, he's on the low-end IMHO.

      Thad is a very salary Cap friendly Player. I would trade our late teens 1st round pick for Thad any day of the year while living with his solid contributions to the lineup.

      It's better to use AlJeff as an example of a bad contract that should be shed. His level of production for the amount he is paid is more of a concern.....mainly due to his ongoing injuries. If AlJeff could come in and consistently produce on the offensive end while playing 70+ games...his contract would be worth it. The problem is that he can't at this point.
      Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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      • #78
        Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

        Originally posted by Dece View Post
        I don't especially care about making Paul George happy, I'm a Pacer fan. Grasping at straws to make him happy when there's a 0% chance to win a title with that strategy isn't what I'm about.

        No amount of trading first rounders for middling players causes this team to beat Cleveland, let alone the Warriors, and there's nothing Paul George can do about that.

        I don't know, all I see is the chance of missing on a bunch of Solo Hills if we get lucky.


        What is the ultimate goal of hoarding all this young players? save money and what else? any other team that is doing this and doing a great job at it? (hoarding late 1st round picks).
        @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

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        • #79
          Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

          Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
          I don't know, all I see is the chance of missing on a bunch of Solo Hills if we get lucky.


          What is the ultimate goal of hoarding all this young players? save money and what else? any other team that is doing this and doing a great job at it? (hoarding late 1st round picks).
          We're not talking about hoarding young Players. We only have 1 that is young and on a Rookie Salary. We need to balance our regular bench with at least 1 or 2 young Players on a cheap rookie contract. This allows you to use the Salary cap saved towards building up the 1st through 7th Players in the rotation.

          To use Dece's analogy....imagine not signing Stuckey and replacing him with some rookie contract. That would translate into having $3 to 4 mil in Cap Space to offer to some other Player.

          Think of what Bird ended up doing with Lance. He locked in a key rotational Player on a low end contract. We basically have 1 of the 9 to 10 key Players locked into a smaller contract. The concept is the same when it comes to a Player that we draft.

          Smart Cap Management is the key to building a solid Team. It's the difference between having a Team during the MurphLeavy Years ( where we were stuck in Salary Cap Hell because we were saddled with immovable contracts that allowed for little room for improvement via FA ) and the Vogel ECF years ( where we had a cheap George Hill, David West and Lance in the lineup ).
          Last edited by CableKC; 05-09-2017, 01:10 PM.
          Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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          • #80
            Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

            Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
            I don't know, all I see is the chance of missing on a bunch of Solo Hills if we get lucky.


            What is the ultimate goal of hoarding all this young players? save money and what else? any other team that is doing this and doing a great job at it? (hoarding late 1st round picks).
            San Antonio

            99 - Manu Ginobili end of the second round
            01 - Tony Parker 28th pick
            02 - Luis Scola end of the second round
            03 - Leandro Barbosa 28th pick
            04 - Beno Udrih 28th pick
            05 - Ian Mahinmi 28th pick
            07 - Tiago Splitter 28th pick
            08 - Goran Dragic middle of the second round
            08 - George Hill 26th pick
            11 - Cory Joseph 29th pick

            The secret to the Spurs success has always been getting solid contributing players on nice rookie contracts. By the time they had to pay Manu and TP real money they had George Hill on his rookie scale, when it came time to pay George Hill they decided nah, we'd rather another rookie scale guy and got Kawhi. The Spurs always keep a handful of young contributors on their baby contracts, and we absolutely should too.
            Last edited by Dece; 05-09-2017, 01:19 PM. Reason: forgot our boy Ian

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            • #81
              Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

              Originally posted by CableKC View Post
              We're not talking about hoarding young Players. We only have 1 that is young and on a Rookie Salary. We need to balance our regular bench with at least 1 or 2 young Players on a cheap rookie contract. This allows you to use the Salary cap saved towards building up the 1st through 7th Players in the rotation.

              To use Dece's analogy....imagine not signing Stuckey and replacing him with some rookie contract. That would translate into having $3 to 4 mil in Cap Space to offer to some other Player.

              Think of what Bird ended up doing with Lance. He locked in a key rotational Player on a low end contract. We basically have 1 of the 9 to 10 key Players locked into a smaller contract. The concept is the same when it comes to a Player that we draft.

              Smart Cap Management is the key to building a solid Team. It's the difference between having a Team during the MurphLeavy Years ( where we were stuck in Salary Cap Hell because we were saddled with immovable contracts that allowed for little room for improvement via FA ) and the Vogel ECF years ( where we had a cheap George Hill, David West and Lance in the lineup ).


              One thing I have been happy about with Larry is him getting players at low prices, sure the Al deal doesn't look that great right now but he is not Chandler Parson, even the Lavoy Allen/Seraphin deals were great.


              I don't think you have to hoard young players to save money, I'm for hoarding players but I want good players with potential, I don't want a bunch of Joe Youngs just because the team is trying to save some money.


              People keep pooping on the Thad Young salary but he is actually one of the best salaries out there, people need to look it up and do some research.
              @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

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              • #82
                Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                Originally posted by Dece View Post
                San Antonio

                99 - Manu Ginobili end of the second round
                01 - Tony Parker 28th pick
                02 - Luis Scola end of the second round
                03 - Leandro Barbosa 28th pick
                04 - Beno Udrih 28th pick
                05 - Ian Mahinmi 28th pick
                07 - Tiago Splitter 28th pick
                08 - Goran Dragic middle of the second round
                08 - George Hill 26th pick
                11 - Cory Joseph 29th pick

                The secret to the Spurs success has always been getting solid contributing players on nice rookie contracts. By the time they had to pay Manu and TP real money they had George Hill on his rookie scale, when it came time to pay George Hill they decided nah, we'd rather another rookie scale guy and got Kawhi. The Spurs always keep a handful of young contributors on their baby contracts, and we absolutely should too.


                But they are the Spurs, Pacers got Lance and Joe Young to show for now.


                Also some of those guys were drafted and they didn't come to play right away.
                @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

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                • #83
                  Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                  Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
                  But they are the Spurs, Pacers got Lance and Joe Young to show for now.


                  Also some of those guys were drafted and they didn't come to play right away.
                  "They are just better than us we couldn't draft that well," is your argument? Because that sort of defeatist attitude is useless, you may as well just give up on the NBA.

                  Clearly you can find a quality contributing players late in the draft almost every single year. The Spurs have done so. If the Pacers are going to win a title, they will also need to do so. It's actually much easier for the Pacers because they won't be drafting 28 every year, but rather 10-20 until they start doing so.

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                  • #84
                    Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                    Also, yes, some of those players didn't come play right away.

                    That's ok, we aren't about to win a title right away either. If you want to see the Pacers win a title, it's going to be a process of doing things the right way and it will require patience.

                    There is a 0% chance they win a title in the next 3 years, it's time to start laying the foundation toward the 4-10 year window, and that starts with doing things the right way, drafting quality and developing your own players on low contracts. There will be some misses, but 0% with Thad and 0% without Thad, go ahead and pass me Levert.

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                      I have said this before, but let's say it one more time...

                      In current financial climate, rookie contracts are the best way to have some cash-controlled rotational players in your team. You shouldn't even expect them to play/contribute on their 1st year as long as they are ready to give minutes on years 3 & 4.

                      Consensus appears to be that retaining Jeff Teague will cost somewhere around 20 million per year. We gave up #12 pick for him (in not making a straight-up deal of GHill for pick but adding Atlanta to a picture instead).

                      We gave up #20 pick for Thad Young.

                      Next season we will be paying around 35 million dollars for Teague+Thad. That is slightly more than one third of the salary cap.

                      If we picked the players taken by Atlanta&Brooklyn instead, we could have Taurean Prince & Caris LaVert instead making a combined 4 million.

                      That is a difference of more than a veteran's maximum contract. So we could have a shot at an additional STAR.


                      That said, I can understand why those moves were made. FO saw our line-up as something which could win NOW and maybe even something which HAD TO WIN NOW (to keep PG13).

                      I saw differently from day one and the hindsight of the season gone-by would seem to prove that my scepticism of the afore-mentioned duo was more correct than "someone's" vision.

                      But the big point is not whether it worked or not - big point is that we now lack two ridiculously cheap up-n-coming players from our roster for next 3 seasons...

                      P.S. Thad was paid 12 million in Brooklyn, but due to trade kicker he costs over 14 million for us.
                      Last edited by PetPaima; 05-09-2017, 01:40 PM.

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                      • #86
                        Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                        Originally posted by PetPaima View Post
                        I have said this before, but let's say it one more time...

                        In current financial climate, rookie contracts are the best way to have some cash-controlled rotational players in your team. You shouldn't even expect them to play/contribute on their 1st year as long as they are ready to give minutes on years 3 & 4.

                        Consensus appears to be that retaining Jeff Teague will cost somewhere around 20 million per year. We gave up #12 pick for him (in not making a straight-up deal of GHill for pick but adding Atlanta to a picture instead).

                        We gave up #20 pick for Thad Young.

                        Next season we will be paying around 35 million dollars for Teague+Thad. That is slightly more than one third of the salary cap.

                        If we picked the players taken by Atlanta&Brooklyn instead, we could have Taurean Prince & Caris LaVert instead making a combined 4 million.

                        That is a difference of more than a veteran's maximum contract. So we could have a shot at an additional STAR.


                        That said, I can understand why those moves were made. FO saw our line-up as something which could win NOW and maybe even something which HAD TO WIN NOW (to keep PG13).

                        I saw differently from day one and the hindsight of the season gone-by would seem to prove that my scepticism of the afore-mentioned duo was more correct than "someone's" vision.

                        But the big point is not whether it worked or not - big point is that we now lack two ridiculously cheap up-n-coming players from our roster for next 3 seasons...

                        P.S. Thad was paid 12 million in Brooklyn, but due to trade kicker he costs over 14 million for us.
                        So true, Golden State is no longer trading their picks, because they know the value of low cost role players. Golden State would not be where they are today, if they had not lucked into Draymond Green, he is probably their 2nd best player. The Rockets have also kept most of their picks and have used the players in short spurts, but still get production out of them. Teams need to train and grow young players, not all of them are ready to contribute.

                        Look at the LA Clippers they have traded every single pick in the past 4 years, and are stuck with the worst bench in the world. Keeping draft picks is high reward low risk type of move.

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                        • #87
                          Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                          Originally posted by Dece View Post
                          Also, yes, some of those players didn't come play right away.

                          That's ok, we aren't about to win a title right away either. If you want to see the Pacers win a title, it's going to be a process of doing things the right way and it will require patience.

                          There is a 0% chance they win a title in the next 3 years, it's time to start laying the foundation toward the 4-10 year window, and that starts with doing things the right way, drafting quality and developing your own players on low contracts. There will be some misses, but 0% with Thad and 0% without Thad, go ahead and pass me Levert.


                          I'm with you if the plan is to trade PG and everybody for players and picks, but if the plan is to win now to keep PG happy I'm sorry but you have to trade the pick if the opportunity is there.
                          @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

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                          • #88
                            Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                            If the plan is win now then the Pacers have chosen to forfeit their future in exchange for money. Winning now isn't a possibility. There's no realistic combination of moves that gets the Paul George Pacers on the level of the GSW. Probably no combinations that even get PG past Lebron.

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                            • #89
                              Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                              Originally posted by Dece View Post
                              If the plan is win now then the Pacers have chosen to forfeit their future in exchange for money. Winning now isn't a possibility. There's no realistic combination of moves that gets the Paul George Pacers on the level of the GSW. Probably no combinations that even get PG past Lebron.
                              I mean let's say you are right and we draft the equivalent of all those players you mentioned before, that is still not enough to win ****, you still need the Duncan, the Lebron, etc.



                              Now if the plan is to trade PG draft a top 3 player and do that I'm in.
                              @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

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                              • #90
                                Re: Where are the hidden gems this off-season?

                                Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
                                Yeah but there is still an amount that you have to spend, also PG is not staying around until Caris Levert or whoever develops into something.


                                Now if this team had a top 10 pick I agree with you.
                                Thad Young is not keeping PG in town though so I would rather have the rookie contract with high upside than Thad Young who is who he is & is 10.5 million more.

                                The right move for this franchise is moving PG this summer for good young players. You would get a huge jump start in rebuilding & would still be competitive.

                                Imagine Josh Jackson or Lonzo Ball, Myles Turner, Caris LeVert. Julius Randle (would be sick next to Myles), Lance Stephenson, GRIII, whatever we get at 18 & maybe another player from LA like Jordan clarkson who can play backup pg. That's a solid core there & still have cap space & picks in the future. If we keep Paul we aren't going to have much flexibility, we aren't signing any stars & we'll be stuck in mediocrity.

                                Trade PG!! Start fresh with a young group we can all back...PG gave us several good years. Now use him & cash in for several more good years. We'd be tanking without tanking.

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