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The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

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  • #16
    Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

    Originally posted by Suaveness
    I live here in Chicago, and let me tell, the Bulls are for real. They are REALLY good, trust me
    I live in Chicago too, and I don't think they are for real, trust *me*.

    Gordon and Defense both huge positives for the Bulls tho as posters said earlier. But I don't see that overcoming the big talent gap. We shall see (the beauty of the playoffs is that the best team will win).

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

      The problem with the Bulls-Wizards series is this: The Wizards are healthier than they've been all season and the Bulls are less healthy than they've been all season.
      The poster formerly known as Rimfire

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

        I'm not convinced the Bulls are 'the real thing' yet.

        I think Skiles has maxxed them out, they're now less than 100%, and they have virtually no playoff experience. But neither do the Wizards, so that may be a really strange playoff series.

        I expect Miami (or even NJ) to easily dispose of whichever team advances.
        Why do the things that we treasure most, slip away in time
        Till to the music we grow deaf, to God's beauty blind
        Why do the things that connect us slowly pull us apart?
        Till we fall away in our own darkness, a stranger to our own hearts
        And life itself, rushing over me
        Life itself, the wind in black elms,
        Life itself in your heart and in your eyes, I can't make it without you

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

          Originally posted by Mushmouth
          Just for conversation - why the love for the Bulls?
          Scott Skiles. If that's not enough add Ben Gordon.

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

            I think if the Bulls were healthy (Curry and Deng), they win this series easily. As-is, I'm taking the Wizards in 7.

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

              I don't really see how anyone can disagree with Simmons analysis...(okay, I guess I predicting a 4-2 series, but I was feeling charitable that day). I mean, who on our team is going to guard Paul Pierce and Ricky Davis, especially if they're on the floor together? They're gonna kill us, guys. Especially with our tired old legs.

              IndyToad
              That really smarts, you know

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                I hope Bill is forced to write 3 more columns just like this one.



                One other thing . . . if the Pacers win this series, will it really be the equivalent of a 15 seed knocking off a 2 seed in the NCAA tourney. That's a little ridiculous.

                http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2...s/cowbell/blog

                By Bill Simmons
                Page 2


                Note: I get to rant about the Celtics today. Doesn't happen often ... as I told you last summer, I would subject you to this only five or six times during the year. This is one of them.)



                Last night's playoff games were intriguing because, in each case, a more talented team lost because its coach killed it. Unlike football or baseball, coaching usually doesn't play a dramatic role in the playoffs – everyone is competent to some degree – and other than the 2003 Pacers-Celtics series, I can't remember a recent series when a coach single-handedly killed his team. But there's a good chance it could happen twice in Round 1: Not just with Avery Johnson and the Mavs (the glaring example), but with Doc Rivers and the Celtics (the underrated example).



                During the Celtics game, the announcers spent most of their time expounding on the courage of Jermaine O'Neal, the heart of the Pacers and the greatness of Reggie Miller – a memorable offensive player who also happens to be the most overrated "superstar" of the past 20 years, but that's a whole other story – and ignored the fact that Doc was coaching with both hands around his neck. I can't remember a Celtics coach getting worked like that since Chuck Daly had his way with K.C. Jones in the '88 Playoffs (although in that case, the Pistons had a better team).



                This was like one of those March Madness games when a 15-seed squeezes out an upset over a 2-seed with four McDonald's All-Americans. Any college hoops fan could recognize what Indiana was doing: Slow everything down, limit the number of possessions, shoot more 3s than usual and call timeouts every time the other team showed signs of going on a roll. Rick Carlisle ended up controlling every second of the game, every nuance, and he ended up winning with a 39-year-old gunner with no other discernable skills, a center plucked off waivers two months ago, a star forward playing at 60 percent with an injured shoulder, a career backup point guard, and a completely insane swingman. That was the group that held the Celtics to four points over the last eight minutes of the game.



                (Note: In case you didn't see it, the Celtics had a 75-68 lead with the ball and eight minutes to play, as well as a 76-70 lead with three minutes to play ... and somehow ended up losing, 82-79. I would tell you more, but I can't see out of my right eye after punching myself in the face 25 times last night.)



                When bad coaching comes into play, I always use the Grady Little Corollary – if I'm sitting at home screaming, "How the [bleep] can he not see this, what the [bleep] is he doing?????", then we're probably in trouble. For instance, Doc made the following mistakes over the course of Game 2:



                1. In the first two or three minutes, you could see that the Celts were flat – they kept turning the ball over and Indy kept making uncontested jumpers. Normally, coaches call a quick timeout when this happens. For some reason, Doc stood there and watched. Indy went up 7-2 on a Jackson 3. No timeout. 10-2 on another Jackson 3. No timeout. 13-2 on ANOTHER Jackson 3. No timeout. 19-9 on a Reggie 2. No timeout. When they went up 22-11, we were past the six-minute mark, so the first TV timeout would have been charged to the Celtics, anyway. Still, no timeout! I always wondered what it would be like if George Blaney ever coached an NBA playoff game. Now I know.



                2. Everyone made a big deal about the Celtics bench making such a difference in Game 1. Well, guess how many minutes the bench guys who made the biggest difference (Al Jefferson and Marcus Banks) played in the second half of Game 2? One minute and 37 seconds. In fact, Jefferson (unstoppable on Saturday) was double-teamed every time he posted up in the first half and never saw A SINGLE SECOND in the second half. As for Banks, he blew one assignment and was never seen again, even though he's a better defensive player than Gary Payton, and even though the Pacers kept running the same high screen for Anthony Johnson (Anthony Johnson!!!) at the end of the game that GP couldn't stop. Meanwhile, Mark Blount kept chucking up 20-footers as the crowd booed, only he stayed in the game with no repercussions.



                (Here's the thing about the young guys: Not only do they energize the game, they energize the crowd. When Big Al enters a home game, you can hear the happy rumbling even on television – the crowd pulls for him more than any other Celtic. So why wouldn't you want to play that card during a choppy game with a nervous crowd? It's beyond inexplicable.)



                3. Paul Pierce and Antoine Walker played the entire second half and predictably wore down in the fourth quarter – one of the reasons the Celts scored four points in the last eight minutes of the game. Again, why? Why change the way you played all season? Where was the bench that outscored them 190-1 in Game 1? Was there any doubt that Pierce would run out of gas after a 17-point fourth quarter? Doc played for 13 years – how does he miss this stuff?



                4. Because Indy went small down the stretch, the C's trotted out a small lineup with Pierce, Davis, Payton, Walker and Delonte West for much of crunch time. According to 82games.com, those five guys were used so infrequently together, they didn't even crack the top 20 lineups used by the Celtics during the season. In fact, I can remember only one game when those five played together – a home game against Minnesota. Which raises the obvious question: Why are you letting an inferior team dictate which lineups you're using during the biggest four minutes of the game? You got me.



                5. It's the little stuff that Doc missed last night. For instance, coming out of a timeout at the three-minute mark, he could have inserted Jefferson and run a play for him. Who would have guarded him, James Jones? Stephen Jackson? Does Doc just not think of this stuff? And why think that Tony Allen could guard Reggie Miller in this series when A) Allen gets no respect from the refs; and B) Miller gets too much respect from the refs? Isn't that a recipe for disaster? Why not attack Miller defensively when he couldn't guard me at this point? There were a dozen moments like this. And has there ever been a more predictable team down the stretch? During the last five minutes, the Celts ran maybe 75 straight pick-and-rolls with 'Toine and Pierce while everyone else stood around. On the defensive end, Indiana kept running a high screen with Johnson and O'Neal that the Celtics couldn't stop because GP actually fossilized during the third quarter. It was like Groundhog Day. And the Celts never even thought to mix it up.



                The frustrating thing was that Game 2 was a microcosm of the entire Celtics season. This Celtics team has been killed by the Little Things all year, especially in close games against well-coached teams. I kept picturing Carlisle and Larry Bird laughing after last night's game, as Carlisle said, "I told you, I told you that would happen" and Bird responded, "You were right, you were right." I'm not sure if we're headed for the NBA equivalent of a No. 15 toppling a No. 2 seed, but it sure seemed that way last night.



                One more note, totally unrelated to Doc's hatchet job: If you like basketball at all, if you've ever cared about it, you need to catch one of these Mavs-Rockets games and see what Tracy McGrady is doing. He just submitted the two best all-around playoff performances by a non-big man since MJ. Seriously. Even when Kobe and Iverson were cruising during their playoff primes, it was always on their terms – they involved their teammates to a certain degree, but only because they needed them, and they were never totally happy about it. In T-Mac's case, he's doing every possible thing to help his team win – finding open shooters, guarding the other team's best guy, taking the game over when it matters, encouraging everyone else – and it's been remarkable to watch. Now THIS is why I love basketball.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                  Originally posted by btowncolt
                  The Sports Guy is a good read...........until he gets to the Celtics.

                  You would think that going 82-0 would be a collosal failure for them based on what he thinks of that team.


                  100% agree. I think the better comparison would be like an NBA 6 seed taking out an NBA 3 seed in the first round. But what do I know.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                    I like his thoughts on TMac and the Rockets.

                    I just wish he would stop saying things in extreme terms like "most overrated" and "greatest ever". The guy sounds like a teen drama queen when he says stuff like that. And he keeps changing who he's referring to with those remarks as time goes on. Pathetic, over-wrought, exaggeration filled writing week after week. At least he's consistent about that.
                    “Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.” - Winston Churchill

                    “If you can't be a good example, then you'll just have to serve as a horrible warning.” - Catherine Aird

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                    • #25
                      Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                      That second article really is an article in which he shows himself a sore loser.
                      Maybe he should actually look at a Pacers game instead at the names of our players before making judgement. The word "FOOL!!" describes him pretty well in that second article .

                      Regards,

                      Mourning
                      2012 PD ABA Fantasy Keeper League Champion, sports.ws

                      2011 PD ABA Fantasy Keeper League Champion, sports.ws

                      2006 PD ABA Fantasy League runner up, sports.ws

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                        i like simmons and i think he has respect for us but he's just confounded at his own team. we'll get our due when we're takin out the pistons.
                        Play Mafia!
                        Twitter

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                        • #27
                          Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                          Originally posted by Since86
                          He's from Boston, so you've got to expect that.
                          we all know how intelligent the chowds are.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                            Originally posted by SportsGuy
                            a memorable offensive player who also happens to be the most overrated "superstar" of the past 20 years,
                            Wow, that takes some balls, especially after what Reggie did last night. (And before we get into it, Reggie would be the first to tell you he's not a "superstar", just a "star".)
                            Come to the Dark Side -- There's cookies!

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                            • #29
                              Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                              He's an armchair quarterback.

                              Most did wonder why the Celtics went small. But had they won, he would have been ranting about the genius of Doc Rivers, instead of saying that the Celtics got lucky and won DESPITE Doc Rivers.

                              I think he's wrong about a number of things. Whether Reggie is 25 or 39, he does an admirable job of staying in front of his man and getting a hand in the shooter's face. Where he gets burned his where every perimeter defender gets burned. Lateral quickness and fighting through screens.

                              As for playing the rooks in the second half, quite frankly I think the Pacers did a good job getting into their heads in the first half.

                              The Pacers absolutely had to start strong, and we did. Secondly, we had to fight off every run that Boston made, and through nearly 3 quarters, we did. Then, we had shorten the game be limiting the number of possessions, stay close and take advantage of opportunities, and we did.

                              I think you have to look at the Pacer's overall game plan and whether or not it was fulfilled. The Pacers were hungrier. This game was earned by the Pacers more than it was lot by Rivers in my opinion.

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                              • #30
                                Re: The Sports Guy's NBA Predictions

                                Originally posted by beast23
                                The Pacers were hungrier.
                                that sums it up

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