Now that the draft is over and because I'm bored, here is what each team should do in free agency, maybe even with some, not many, trade scenarios involved.
( ) = signed or re-signed via FA
* * = traded for
Cap for 2016 is $67.1M
Chicago - $64M
Biggest need: Definite option at the SF spot if Snell and McDermott aren’t the answer, and they need to move Noah or Gasol.
The good news for the Bulls is the tax threshold is close to $87M, so they can Bird Rights Jimmy Butler into their roster and kind of call it a year. They have a couple of exceptions at their disposal, but that will push them toward the cap. Like Boston, they are a team that is likely to make a big trade.
Taj Gibson’s ankle surgery complicates most trade scenarios. It’s not that he was the most likely to be dealt, but he was the insurance policy for Joakim Noah being dealt. For the purposes of this exercise, I’m going to assume Noah and Pau Gasol will not be on the same team next year.
SF: Tony Snell, Doug McDermott
PF: Nikola Mirotic, Taj Gibson Bobby Portis
C: Pau Gasol, Joakim Noah
SG: (Jimmy Butler), (Gerald Green)
PG: Derrick Rose, E’twaun Moore, Kirk Hinrich
Cleveland - $40.8M
Biggest need: LeBron to be the best player on the planet and not the worst GM.
Love is gone. He just is. I doubt very much he has much interest in being the third option AND the scapegoat all at once, again. They didn’t pay a tax last year, so they can get there this year without the “repeater tax” kicking in, and $10.5M of their current cap number is/will be Brendan Haywood’s. That’s a nice trade chip, if any team is willing to help them by taking future first round picks.
I love it when LBJ mortgages the future of his franchise for NBA finals losses. Among the players in the last 30 years who have tried to exert control over their team’s front office, LeBron is by far the most self-absorbed. He capped out Cleveland with old players past their prime before Miami, while holding the figurative gun to their head, and he capped out Miami with old players past their prime. He’s capping out Cleveland again.
SF: (LeBron James), (JR Smith)
PF: (Tristan Thompson), (Brandon Bass)
C: Timofy Mozgov, Andersen Varejao, Brendan Haywood
SG: (Iman Shumpert), Joe Harris
PG: Kyrie Irving, (Matthew Dellavedova)
If they can remotely find anyone willing to take Varejao’s contract, even if just for spare parts, they could find some depth at PF and SF. Other than that, they will need to find aged veterans willing to take the minimum or Exceptions to fill out their roster. The Haywood chip is a good one though. They’ll need another shooter, one who can guard a SF for those times when LBJ does slip over to the PF spot.
Varejao, if healthy, is outstanding back up center.
Detroit - $34.8M
Biggest need: 3 and D guy at the SF spot. Trade Jennings.
Kind of a big hole up front. No great option at the SF spot, aside from rookie, Stanley Johnson, Monroe is gone, and Ilyasova has yet to show he can produce before AND after the all-star break in the same season. Next to Drummond, Ilyasova has found his muse.
They have Brandon Jennings to deal, but teams needing a PG are Houston (loves Beverly next Harden being their primary ball handler), New York (traded to draft Jerian Grant and view Jose Calderon as “great in their system”), and Sacramento (torn between thinking Collison is really a starting PG vs. does Sacremento really want Jennings on that roster—let’s hope so).
Dallas would be once exception to that, but I’m not sure what Dallas could offer other than a pick. They do have the cap space to not take anyone back.
SF: (DeMarre Carroll), Stanley Johnson
PF: Ersan Ilyasova, Anthony Tolliver
C: Andre Drummond, (Joel Anthony)
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jodie Meeks, Cartier Martin
PG: (Reggie Jackson), Brandon Jennings, Spencer Dimwiddie
Indiana - $52.5M
Biggest need: Athleticism or skill at the PF spot.
West is gone. No worries there. He was a dog the final two years, and his inconsistency put Roy Hibbert in some bad spots on both ends. Hopefully a more fluid offensive system means less Hibbert just posting up and being a punching bag, not that any part of their offense will be centered around him. Hibbert is certainly a trade chip, but not many teams truly need cap relief. He’s on an expiring deal, playing for his next contract. I’d expect him to ride out his tenure with Indiana truly motivated, and the Pacers will regret not resigning him.
“Going small” doesn’t mean “being small”. It means having options. There will be large parts of many games, if not most, where Paul George and Solomon Hill are on the court with a center and two guards. Again, not that SHill will be an offensive focal point. Retaining Rodney Stuckey is huge because it will mean they retained what was a steal of a free agent signing last year.
George Hill hopefully continues as a top level PG who can play with or without the ball. That’s a big damn deal.
SF: Paul George, Solomon Hill
PF: (Ed Davis), Damjan Rudez
C: Roy Hibbert, Ian Mahinmi, Myles Turner
SG: CJ Miles, (Rodney Stuckey)
PG: George Hill, (Ish Smith), (Donald Sloan)
Milwaukee - $50.1M
Biggest need: Veteran SF to nurture their youth. Keep Middleton.
So young. So long. So athletic. You almost don’t want to do much with this roster other than watch it grow. I know they’re rumored to want Brook Lopez, but he alters how they play and needs touches. Not that I see Pachulia being the answer to a championship team, Miles Plumlee and he could be a great compliment to what they already have.
I see lineups too where Vasquez is playing off the ball, along with Middleton.
SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo, (Chris Copeland)
PF: Jabari Parker, John Henson, Johnny O'Bryant
C: Zaza Pachulia, Mile Plumlee
SG: (Khris Middleton), OJ Mayo, Rashad Vaughn
PG: Michael Carter-Williams, Greivis Vasquez, Tyler Ennis
Players still on the board:
Joe Ingles
Thomas Robinson
Luis Scola
Greg Smith
Josh Smith
David West
JJ Berea
Andre Miller
Rajon Rondo
( ) = signed or re-signed via FA
* * = traded for
Cap for 2016 is $67.1M
Chicago - $64M
Biggest need: Definite option at the SF spot if Snell and McDermott aren’t the answer, and they need to move Noah or Gasol.
The good news for the Bulls is the tax threshold is close to $87M, so they can Bird Rights Jimmy Butler into their roster and kind of call it a year. They have a couple of exceptions at their disposal, but that will push them toward the cap. Like Boston, they are a team that is likely to make a big trade.
Taj Gibson’s ankle surgery complicates most trade scenarios. It’s not that he was the most likely to be dealt, but he was the insurance policy for Joakim Noah being dealt. For the purposes of this exercise, I’m going to assume Noah and Pau Gasol will not be on the same team next year.
SF: Tony Snell, Doug McDermott
PF: Nikola Mirotic, Taj Gibson Bobby Portis
C: Pau Gasol, Joakim Noah
SG: (Jimmy Butler), (Gerald Green)
PG: Derrick Rose, E’twaun Moore, Kirk Hinrich
Cleveland - $40.8M
Biggest need: LeBron to be the best player on the planet and not the worst GM.
Love is gone. He just is. I doubt very much he has much interest in being the third option AND the scapegoat all at once, again. They didn’t pay a tax last year, so they can get there this year without the “repeater tax” kicking in, and $10.5M of their current cap number is/will be Brendan Haywood’s. That’s a nice trade chip, if any team is willing to help them by taking future first round picks.
I love it when LBJ mortgages the future of his franchise for NBA finals losses. Among the players in the last 30 years who have tried to exert control over their team’s front office, LeBron is by far the most self-absorbed. He capped out Cleveland with old players past their prime before Miami, while holding the figurative gun to their head, and he capped out Miami with old players past their prime. He’s capping out Cleveland again.
SF: (LeBron James), (JR Smith)
PF: (Tristan Thompson), (Brandon Bass)
C: Timofy Mozgov, Andersen Varejao, Brendan Haywood
SG: (Iman Shumpert), Joe Harris
PG: Kyrie Irving, (Matthew Dellavedova)
If they can remotely find anyone willing to take Varejao’s contract, even if just for spare parts, they could find some depth at PF and SF. Other than that, they will need to find aged veterans willing to take the minimum or Exceptions to fill out their roster. The Haywood chip is a good one though. They’ll need another shooter, one who can guard a SF for those times when LBJ does slip over to the PF spot.
Varejao, if healthy, is outstanding back up center.
Detroit - $34.8M
Biggest need: 3 and D guy at the SF spot. Trade Jennings.
Kind of a big hole up front. No great option at the SF spot, aside from rookie, Stanley Johnson, Monroe is gone, and Ilyasova has yet to show he can produce before AND after the all-star break in the same season. Next to Drummond, Ilyasova has found his muse.
They have Brandon Jennings to deal, but teams needing a PG are Houston (loves Beverly next Harden being their primary ball handler), New York (traded to draft Jerian Grant and view Jose Calderon as “great in their system”), and Sacramento (torn between thinking Collison is really a starting PG vs. does Sacremento really want Jennings on that roster—let’s hope so).
Dallas would be once exception to that, but I’m not sure what Dallas could offer other than a pick. They do have the cap space to not take anyone back.
SF: (DeMarre Carroll), Stanley Johnson
PF: Ersan Ilyasova, Anthony Tolliver
C: Andre Drummond, (Joel Anthony)
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jodie Meeks, Cartier Martin
PG: (Reggie Jackson), Brandon Jennings, Spencer Dimwiddie
Indiana - $52.5M
Biggest need: Athleticism or skill at the PF spot.
West is gone. No worries there. He was a dog the final two years, and his inconsistency put Roy Hibbert in some bad spots on both ends. Hopefully a more fluid offensive system means less Hibbert just posting up and being a punching bag, not that any part of their offense will be centered around him. Hibbert is certainly a trade chip, but not many teams truly need cap relief. He’s on an expiring deal, playing for his next contract. I’d expect him to ride out his tenure with Indiana truly motivated, and the Pacers will regret not resigning him.
“Going small” doesn’t mean “being small”. It means having options. There will be large parts of many games, if not most, where Paul George and Solomon Hill are on the court with a center and two guards. Again, not that SHill will be an offensive focal point. Retaining Rodney Stuckey is huge because it will mean they retained what was a steal of a free agent signing last year.
George Hill hopefully continues as a top level PG who can play with or without the ball. That’s a big damn deal.
SF: Paul George, Solomon Hill
PF: (Ed Davis), Damjan Rudez
C: Roy Hibbert, Ian Mahinmi, Myles Turner
SG: CJ Miles, (Rodney Stuckey)
PG: George Hill, (Ish Smith), (Donald Sloan)
Milwaukee - $50.1M
Biggest need: Veteran SF to nurture their youth. Keep Middleton.
So young. So long. So athletic. You almost don’t want to do much with this roster other than watch it grow. I know they’re rumored to want Brook Lopez, but he alters how they play and needs touches. Not that I see Pachulia being the answer to a championship team, Miles Plumlee and he could be a great compliment to what they already have.
I see lineups too where Vasquez is playing off the ball, along with Middleton.
SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo, (Chris Copeland)
PF: Jabari Parker, John Henson, Johnny O'Bryant
C: Zaza Pachulia, Mile Plumlee
SG: (Khris Middleton), OJ Mayo, Rashad Vaughn
PG: Michael Carter-Williams, Greivis Vasquez, Tyler Ennis
Players still on the board:
Joe Ingles
Thomas Robinson
Luis Scola
Greg Smith
Josh Smith
David West
JJ Berea
Andre Miller
Rajon Rondo
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