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Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

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  • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

    Originally posted by wintermute View Post
    Btw, the long 2 argument also works against Roy. He's shooting farther and farther away from the basket. Not sure why

    Code:
                                                    % of % of % of  % of % of % of 
    Season    Age  Tm  Lg Pos   G    MP  FG% Dist.    2P  0-3 3-10 10-16 16-25
    2008-09    22 IND NBA   C  70  1009 .471   5.2 1.000 .483 .352  .083 .081 
    2009-10    23 IND NBA   C  81  2035 .495   6.9  .992 .380 .352  .129 .132 
    2010-11    24 IND NBA   C  81  2244 .461   7.5  .996 .292 .433  .133 .138 
    2011-12    25 IND NBA   C  65  1937 .497   6.0  .999 .358 .455  .118 .067 
    2012-13    26 IND NBA   C  79  2269 .448   6.4  .995 .360 .424  .130 .081 
    2013-14    27 IND NBA   C  81  2409 .439   8.0  .993 .245 .442  .155 .151
    That's true as well. Roy did improve his mid range shooting this year and therefore he was used in the PnP more and attempted more long 2s.

    He is still getting most of his shots from the 3-10 area which is the area more commonly associated with post-ups. I would also guess that the shots in the 0-3 are mostly putbacks or gimmes off of another player's penetration which would explain why this percentage fell last season as well.
    Originally posted by IrishPacer
    Empty vessels make the most noise.

    Comment


    • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

      Originally posted by wintermute View Post
      Haha, that's probably more work than I'm willing to do

      With all that, I'm not down on Paul G. He's still our undisputed best player. But he's a much better defender than he is an offensive player, and if his offensive game doesn't grow soon, well we'd be in trouble. (EDIT: Larry telling PG to develop a post game is a fantastic idea that hopefully would reverse PG's trend)

      It's also troubling to me that Vogel apparently lets PG do whatever he wants on offense. Is it a reward for his defensive efforts? Does Roy want the same deal? Undoubtedly Roy is better on defense than offense too.
      I certainly agree with you on this. Both Paul and Roy are better defensive players than they are offensive ones. Both of them are two-way players, though, and that's what makes this team good. That's why I don't understand why some people want to morph Hibbert into a Tyson Chandler that will only attempt a shot if he's wide open under the rim.

      I also agree that PG developing a post game will be a good thing for the team.
      Originally posted by IrishPacer
      Empty vessels make the most noise.

      Comment


      • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

        David West being less involved early in the season was a good thing. West is old and it was nice that we didn't have to rely on him early in the season when PG and Lance were carrying the team. During the slump though, we obviously had to rely more on West. I thought that he once again looked tired by the time we got to the ECF's. I want West to have a slightly reduced role from season to season because I don't want him worn down by the ECF's. PG and Lance had the young legs.

        Comment


        • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

          Originally posted by CableKC View Post
          I mentioned this earlier in the season...but I think that the lower OffReb was attributed to the swapping out of Hansbrough for Scola. Hansbrough was one of our top Offensive Rebounders despite playing back up PF minutes. Couple that with Scola being an average rebounder,,,,much less an average ( at best ) offensive Rebounder...and we see the resulting loss in Offensive Rebounding #s.
          Our starting lineup and our C PF and SF all dropped in offensive rebounding though.
          "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

          Comment


          • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

            Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
            Personally, I believe that the latter is clearly the case. Bigs always perform better when they are involved in the game offensively. Guards and wings will always be involved offensively because they are the ones handling the ball. This isn't the same with bigs. They are not the ones handling the ball so they rely on their teammates to get them the ball. Therefore, the rest of the team has to give them the ball from time in order to involve them offensively. A team plays much better when every single one of their players is an offensive threat. Taking your teammate out of the game by never passing him the ball is never beneficial.

            Mind you, when I'm talking about our team's bigs I'm not speaking only about Hibbert. David West had several games in which he wasn't as involved offensively as he was last year. In 13-14 West had 22 games in which he attempted less than 10 shots. In the 12-13 the amount of games in which West attempted less than 10 shots plummets to 9. Moreover, in 12-13 he attempted less than 8 shots only 2 times (7 shots against Cleveland in April 9, 2013 and 6 shots against Memphis in December 31, 2012 due to foul trouble). In 13-14 he attempted less than 8 shots 8 times. In fact, David even had a game in which he only attempted 3 shots (against Milwaukee in November 15, 2013).

            David West's usage plummeted from 24.4% in 12-13 to 21.9% in 13-14 despite not "having the yips" (to use your own phrase) like Hibbert. Why did this happen then?

            It's simply because the usage of wings rose. Our wings took over the offense and this wasn't very beneficial for the team as a whole. That's my opinion, at least.
            Another question (this one based on my ignorance of the stats). How is usage rate calculated, and does it take into account a players offensive rebounds? IE West and especially Hibbert ORebs took a significant dive between the two years, which is most likely the cause of a significant percentage of the decrease in shot attempts (and potentially usage rate, especially for Hibbert). And while West and Hibbbert both had lower usage rates last year, the team was also a better team last year for 3 1/2 months. What were the big's usage rate breakdown by month?
            Danger Zone

            Comment


            • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

              Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
              I see. That's a very interesting breakdown, my friend.

              I did notice that Lance cut down on his shots at the rim a bit (0-3 range) but what I didn't notice was that he also cut down on his long 2s (16-25 range) and turned both of those shots into 3-16 range ones.

              Can you find a month to month breakdown for those shot charts? I think that I remember Lance attempting more close shots in the first half of the season and more long shots in the second half of the season.

              You do have a point, though. The evidence is indeed more daming towards PG although he is indeed good at hitting those shots like you mentioned.
              I did think about the PG vs Lance usage a bit. A lot of our best 2 and 3 man rebounding units had Granger and a lot of our worst had Lance. I believe Lance was also the only starter that didn't have a positive on court vs off court correlation with rebounding.

              Granger was also the biggest positive to our defense at +7.9 per 100 possessions. Turner was the worst at -7.7. All but 3 rotation players were positive. There was some more variation on offense.
              "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

              Comment


              • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                Originally posted by wintermute View Post
                Btw, the long 2 argument also works against Roy. He's shooting farther and farther away from the basket. Not sure why

                Code:
                                                                % of % of % of  % of % of % of 
                Season    Age  Tm  Lg Pos   G    MP  FG% Dist.    2P  0-3 3-10 10-16 16-25
                2008-09    22 IND NBA   C  70  1009 .471   5.2 1.000 .483 .352  .083 .081 
                2009-10    23 IND NBA   C  81  2035 .495   6.9  .992 .380 .352  .129 .132 
                2010-11    24 IND NBA   C  81  2244 .461   7.5  .996 .292 .433  .133 .138 
                2011-12    25 IND NBA   C  65  1937 .497   6.0  .999 .358 .455  .118 .067 
                2012-13    26 IND NBA   C  79  2269 .448   6.4  .995 .360 .424  .130 .081 
                2013-14    27 IND NBA   C  81  2409 .439   8.0  .993 .245 .442  .155 .151
                I'm guessing because he's involved in more pick and pops and plays that put him in the high post or further out baseline to create space for wings.
                "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

                Comment


                • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                  Originally posted by Rogco View Post
                  I also felt our offensive rebounding philosophy was different last year as opposed to 12-13, and I felt it was because we were trying to give up less fast break points. In 12-13 we seemed more aggressive around the rim, last year I felt that players were frequently dropping back as soon as the ball was in the air. I thought it was a coaching change and was done because our defense was so good we didn't want to give up easy points. I have absolutely no basis or stats to back that up, just the impression i had.
                  If that was the reason then it certainly backfired. Take a look at this -> http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...oints-per-game

                  That's a ranking that shows how many fast break points per game a team allowed in 13-14. I'm going to refer to fast break points per game as FBPPG from now.

                  As you can see, the Pacers ranked very well in allowed FBPPG. We only allowed 11.5 FBPPG and that ranks us at #3 behind Miami (11.4 FBBPG) and Charlotte (10.2 FBPPG).

                  But let's take a look at the same ranking from 12-13 -> http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...ate=2013-06-20

                  We only allowed 9.8 FBPPG in 12-13 and blew every other team out of the water in this aspect (Miami was still #2 with 11.3 FBBPG).

                  In 12-13 we were the best transition defense in the league and a top 3 offensive rebounding team (http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...ate=2013-06-20). Our coaches spent a big part of that season saying that you don't need to sacrifice offensive rebounding in order to have a good transition defense and our players proved them right.

                  Therefore, I don't believe that our decline in offensive rebounding % (from #3 in 12-13 to #23 in 13-14) had anything to do with our transition defense.
                  Originally posted by IrishPacer
                  Empty vessels make the most noise.

                  Comment


                  • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                    Originally posted by Sollozzo View Post
                    David West being less involved early in the season was a good thing. West is old and it was nice that we didn't have to rely on him early in the season when PG and Lance were carrying the team. During the slump though, we obviously had to rely more on West. I thought that he once again looked tired by the time we got to the ECF's. I want West to have a slightly reduced role from season to season because I don't want him worn down by the ECF's. PG and Lance had the young legs.
                    I do agree that West has to have a reduced role due to his age but at one point this started to work against our identity.
                    Originally posted by IrishPacer
                    Empty vessels make the most noise.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                      Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
                      Personally, I believe that the latter is clearly the case. Bigs always perform better when they are involved in the game offensively. Guards and wings will always be involved offensively because they are the ones handling the ball. This isn't the same with bigs. They are not the ones handling the ball so they rely on their teammates to get them the ball. Therefore, the rest of the team has to give them the ball from time in order to involve them offensively. A team plays much better when every single one of their players is an offensive threat. Taking your teammate out of the game by never passing him the ball is never beneficial.

                      Mind you, when I'm talking about our team's bigs I'm not speaking only about Hibbert. David West had several games in which he wasn't as involved offensively as he was last year. In 13-14 West had 22 games in which he attempted less than 10 shots. In the 12-13 the amount of games in which West attempted less than 10 shots plummets to 9. Moreover, in 12-13 he attempted less than 8 shots only 2 times (7 shots against Cleveland in April 9, 2013 and 6 shots against Memphis in December 31, 2012 due to foul trouble). In 13-14 he attempted less than 8 shots 8 times. In fact, David even had a game in which he only attempted 3 shots (against Milwaukee in November 15, 2013).

                      David West's usage plummeted from 24.4% in 12-13 to 21.9% in 13-14 despite not "having the yips" (to use your own phrase) like Hibbert. Why did this happen then?

                      It's simply because the usage of wings rose. Our wings took over the offense and this wasn't very beneficial for the team as a whole. That's my opinion, at least.
                      If you look at the Miami match up, when Hibbert goes against Bosh in the post early, Bosh seems to be much less effective offensively. I think the physical nature of going to the post has a greater impact on the fatigue of the defender. I would think this would apply to other teams as well.
                      "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

                      Comment


                      • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                        Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
                        I certainly agree with you on this. Both Paul and Roy are better defensive players than they are offensive ones. Both of them are two-way players, though, and that's what makes this team good. That's why I don't understand why some people want to morph Hibbert into a Tyson Chandler that will only attempt a shot if he's wide open under the rim.

                        I also agree that PG developing a post game will be a good thing for the team.
                        Roy has a decent midrange jumphot. I just don't want him to demand post touches when he isn't holding good position. I am tired of the falling hook shot outside the paint. I am just tired of Roy blaming others, when he is getting outworked down low. The whining is the worst part. Earn your touches.

                        Comment


                        • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                          Originally posted by cgg View Post
                          If you look at the Miami match up, when Hibbert goes against Bosh in the post early, Bosh seems to be much less effective offensively. I think the physical nature of going to the post has a greater impact on the fatigue of the defender. I would think this would apply to other teams as well.
                          Roy should be able to dominate power forwards.

                          Comment


                          • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                            Originally posted by spazzxb View Post
                            Roy has a decent midrange jumphot. I just don't want him to demand post touches when he isn't holding good position. I am tired of the falling hook shot outside the paint. I am just tired of Roy blaming others, when he is getting outworked down low. The whining is the worst part. Earn your touches.

                            If Roy worked on his mid-range he'd be unstoppable and wouldn't have to bang so much. No one can really block a 7'2 center's jump shot too often if at all. I am starting to think the Pacers org. just sends these guys home after the playoffs, and never really follows up with Summer development of any kind.

                            Comment


                            • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                              Lance is the only starter that has a negative on court minus off court value for offensive rebound or total rebound percentage. PG has the highest for both.
                              "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

                              Comment


                              • Re: Lance Stephenson to sign with Charlotte- 3 years $27 million

                                Originally posted by Grimp View Post
                                If Roy worked on his mid-range he'd be unstoppable and wouldn't have to bang so much. No one can really block a 7'2 center's jump shot too often if at all. I am starting to think the Pacers org. just sends these guys home after the playoffs, and never really follows up with Summer development of any kind.
                                The discussion is about the evidence that increasing the number of jump shots caused us to go from having more shot attempts than our opponent to having 5 less. While our turnovers went down.
                                "Danny Granger is one of the top players in the league. To move Danny, you better get a lot back." - Larry Bird

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