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Potential Draft Picks for the Indianapolis Colts in the 2018 NFL Draft

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  • Originally posted by Major Cold View Post

    It isn't dumb if only two QBs are drafted in the top 5. And it could happen if the Giants go all in with Manning, which their free agency suggests this. The Broncos might not draft a QB because they build a contending team through defense and low risk high efficient offense. The Browns might trade the 4th pick, I can see that more than any other.
    Let's be real: At the very, very least 3 quarterbacks are going in the top 5. I think likely 4, but even still, that's not a trade Buffalo can make in advance of the draft. The risk of trading up to get a quarterback and none being left in the game of musical chairs would have them sitting there with blue balls and egg on their face.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by cdash View Post

      Let's be real: At the very, very least 3 quarterbacks are going in the top 5. I think likely 4, but even still, that's not a trade Buffalo can make in advance of the draft. The risk of trading up to get a quarterback and none being left in the game of musical chairs would have them sitting there with blue balls and egg on their face.
      It will be real when the players are picked. To think that there will be 3 QBs in the top 5 isn't a guarantee.

      2017- One QB
      2016- two
      2015- two
      2014- one
      2013- none
      2012- two
      2011- one
      2010- one
      2009- two
      2008- one
      2007- One
      2006- One
      2005- One
      2004- two
      2003- one
      2002- two
      2001- one
      2000- none
      1999-three

      Lets be real now. If you think it is a guarantee I say look at history, because what you claim to be a certainty fights against history.

      Comment


      • I think we could see a feeding frenzy of QBs at the top this year. First time I've seen this setup in a draft. We have a bunch of QB-needy teams, and 4 top-flight QBs, with a few others that are near that vicinity.

        We also have a few teams at the top with picks that didn't need a QB... the Colts for one, and one of Cleveland's picks, and arguably the Giants.

        Cleveland likely goes QB at #1, I think the Giants should go QB or trade-down to a team that will also likely draft a QB, the Jets are definitely taking a QB, and I'm pretty sure someone could offer Cleveland a package for #4 that they would have to seriously consider. There's 4 potential QBs in the first 4 picks. If not, however, who knows what Denver will do, they could also go QB.

        Really Indy is the first team that definitely won't go QB, and who knows, if one of the top 4 is still available at #6, Indy might even get another package. It's crazy how things are lining up this year. If a frenzy happens, there's going to be a bunch of teams in the late lottery with some top-tier non-QB prospects landing in their laps.
        Last edited by Kid Minneapolis; 03-29-2018, 03:47 PM.
        There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Major Cold View Post

          It will be real when the players are picked. To think that there will be 3 QBs in the top 5 isn't a guarantee.

          2017- One QB
          2016- two
          2015- two
          2014- one
          2013- none
          2012- two
          2011- one
          2010- one
          2009- two
          2008- one
          2007- One
          2006- One
          2005- One
          2004- two
          2003- one
          2002- two
          2001- one
          2000- none
          1999-three

          Lets be real now. If you think it is a guarantee I say look at history, because what you claim to be a certainty fights against history.
          Sig bet. Name your wager. I guarantee at least 3 qbs, and I'm inclined to think it will be 4. There are more top shelf options at qb in this draft than any of those drafts you just piled together. Darnold, Allen, and Rosen will be top five picks, guaranteed.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by cdash View Post

            Sig bet. Name your wager. I guarantee at least 3 qbs, and I'm inclined to think it will be 4. There are more top shelf options at qb in this draft than any of those drafts you just piled together. Darnold, Allen, and Rosen will be top five picks, guaranteed.
            Sure why not. I will bet against Mel Kiper predicting four qbs in the first five picks. I’m not impressed with Darnold as the number one pick. I think his struggle in the bowl game knocks him out in place of Allen.

            Do do you want to bet on 4?

            Comment


            • do people not realize Josh Allen sucks? the dude owes half his rookie deal to Wentz.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Heisenberg View Post
                do people not realize Josh Allen sucks? the dude owes half his rookie deal to Wentz.
                Allen has by far the highest ceiling of all of the QBs in this years draft. Kiper has had him as the number one pick for many weeks. I don't know that Cleveland will take him because of the risk but if I were drafting a QB this year, Allen is who I would pick.

                Comment


                • Mel Kiper thought Ricky Stanzi would have the best career of the 2011 class (the one w/ Cam Newton). Mel Kiper thought Ryan Leaf's attitude would be an advantage. Mel Kiper said JaMarcus Russell was the next John Elway. Mel Kiper said he'd retire in 8 years (in 2010) if Jimmy Clausen wasn't a successful NFL QB.

                  Josh Allen sucks almost as much as Mel Kiper.

                  Comment


                  • Just to be clear: I'm basing none of this off Mel Kiper's opinion, not really sure why he was brought into the mix. Him and McShay are fine for what they do--bicker with one another and post mostly similar mock drafts. Scouting is a notoriously inexact science so I'm not going to skewer him for being wrong about certain dudes over the course of 30 or whatever years he's been doing this. He's just the most high profile so he gets the bulk of the vitriol.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Major Cold View Post

                      Sure why not. I will bet against Mel Kiper predicting four qbs in the first five picks. I’m not impressed with Darnold as the number one pick. I think his struggle in the bowl game knocks him out in place of Allen.

                      Do do you want to bet on 4?
                      No I'm only guaranteeing three. I think it will be four, but three is the number I feel very safe with.

                      I also find your criticism of Darnold a little curious--you knock him down a peg for struggling in a New Year's Five bowl game, and raise Allen up, while Allen was awful pretty much the entire year against middling competition. I agree with Heisenberg to some extent--the success of Carson Wentz has boosted Allen's profile tremendously.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by cdash View Post

                        No I'm only guaranteeing three. I think it will be four, but three is the number I feel very safe with.

                        I also find your criticism of Darnold a little curious--you knock him down a peg for struggling in a New Year's Five bowl game, and raise Allen up, while Allen was awful pretty much the entire year against middling competition. I agree with Heisenberg to some extent--the success of Carson Wentz has boosted Allen's profile tremendously.
                        Oh I'm not impressed with Allen either. And I agree that the Wentz effect will cause a team with a history of bad moves to make another. We are talking about the Browns. I personally don't think this QB is as great as people think. Their stock rose at the same time as other years.

                        With the Cardinals, Bills, and Miami wanting a quarterback I could see a trade in the top 5. In fact I think the Browns might trade down with the 4th pick. So I'll pass on it as well.

                        How about a top 5 wager.

                        1. Allen
                        2. Chubb
                        3. Darnold
                        4. Barkley
                        5. Nelson

                        You pick yours. +5 for every right pick and negative how much they slide or rose. So if it happens like this:

                        1. Darold (-2)
                        2. Allen (-1)
                        3. Rosen
                        4. Barkley(+5)
                        5. Mayfield
                        6. Chubb (-4)
                        7. Nelson (-1)

                        I would have a score of -3.

                        The winner has choses the sig for the other....or the avatar....or both. Sig and/or avatar stays until opening kickoff for the NFL. Picks have to be in by April 9th. In case of a tie (which there won't be) we can go with the correct number of picks as the tie breaker.

                        What say you?

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post
                          I think we could see a feeding frenzy of QBs at the top this year. First time I've seen this setup in a draft. We have a bunch of QB-needy teams, and 4 top-flight QBs, with a few others that are near that vicinity.

                          We also have a few teams at the top with picks that didn't need a QB... the Colts for one, and one of Cleveland's picks, and arguably the Giants.

                          Cleveland likely goes QB at #1, I think the Giants should go QB or trade-down to a team that will also likely draft a QB, the Jets are definitely taking a QB, and I'm pretty sure someone could offer Cleveland a package for #4 that they would have to seriously consider. There's 4 potential QBs in the first 4 picks. If not, however, who knows what Denver will do, they could also go QB.

                          Really Indy is the first team that definitely won't go QB, and who knows, if one of the top 4 is still available at #6, Indy might even get another package. It's crazy how things are lining up this year. If a frenzy happens, there's going to be a bunch of teams in the late lottery with some top-tier non-QB prospects landing in their laps.
                          I think Miami and Phoenix call balk at the idea of trading up. Lamar Jackson's pro-day hasn't happened yet and I think he could go ahead of Mayfield. The overplay of quarterbacks could cause teams to hesitate and think that one to three quarterbacks could fall to them. Rosen, Mayfield, and Jackson might be available at the 6th pick, then you could see an additional frenzy for them.

                          Comment


                          • A lot of mocks have us trading back out of 6. I'm not so sure. If the short list is indeed Barkley, Chubb, and Nelson then I'm not sure if they are going to want to risk missing one of them. We have needs at a lot of positions, but what we really need is talent. Only way they trade down, IMO, is if they still think they can get an outstanding talent there even if it is not one of those three or even at a different position - CB, LB, etc.

                            You're caught up in the Internet / you think it's such a great asset / but you're wrong, wrong, wrong
                            All that fiber optic gear / still cannot take away the fear / like an island song

                            - Jimmy Buffett

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Major Cold View Post

                              Oh I'm not impressed with Allen either. And I agree that the Wentz effect will cause a team with a history of bad moves to make another. We are talking about the Browns. I personally don't think this QB is as great as people think. Their stock rose at the same time as other years.

                              With the Cardinals, Bills, and Miami wanting a quarterback I could see a trade in the top 5. In fact I think the Browns might trade down with the 4th pick. So I'll pass on it as well.

                              How about a top 5 wager.

                              1. Allen
                              2. Chubb
                              3. Darnold
                              4. Barkley
                              5. Nelson

                              You pick yours. +5 for every right pick and negative how much they slide or rose. So if it happens like this:

                              1. Darold (-2)
                              2. Allen (-1)
                              3. Rosen
                              4. Barkley(+5)
                              5. Mayfield
                              6. Chubb (-4)
                              7. Nelson (-1)

                              I would have a score of -3.

                              The winner has choses the sig for the other....or the avatar....or both. Sig and/or avatar stays until opening kickoff for the NFL. Picks have to be in by April 9th. In case of a tie (which there won't be) we can go with the correct number of picks as the tie breaker.

                              What say you?
                              That is needlessly complicated lol. My stance is simple: At least three quarterbacks in the top five.

                              Comment


                              • the guys I want at 6 are Chubb, Fitzpatrick, then a decent sized gap, and Nelson. if we'd have still been at 3 I'd have wanted Rosen or Darnold, see where we're actually at with Luck, then trade em if Luck's good to go.

                                I recognize our need for OL but it's such a crapshoot position especially on the interior. Chubb and Fitzpatrick are as close to can't miss guys as it gets in this draft.

                                Comment

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