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Hypothetical: Lakers trade

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  • #61
    Originally posted by Peck View Post

    But isn't that always the problem? The Lakers are not the Lakers because of some wizardry and outstanding ownership.

    They are the Lakers because they literally are in L.A. and before anyone says anything about the Clippers please remember that Donald Sterling ran that team as a profit money making enterprise. He was notoriously cheap and was always known to treat his players horribly in person.

    The Lakers got Kareem because he wanted to go to L.A. The Lakers got Shaq because he wanted to go to L.A. Remember Kobe threatened to go to Europe if he did not get traded to either Philly or L.A., LeBron wanted to go to L.A. Anthony Davis forced his way there, although the Lakers did have to give up the farm for him and we don't know if he wanted to go to L.A. as much as team up with LeBron. This does not even take into consideration the countless other second and third tier players who made their way to L.A. to live there year round.

    That is the entire problem betting on them to suck, you can not predict which superstar player will try and force their way there. Is it possible they will suck in either of those years? Yes. Is it also possible that some other superstar player will end up on the Lakers and they are either a good or great team? Also yes.
    From when Magic retired to when Kobe forced his way to LA was 5 years. The time between when Kobe retired and LeBron wanted to go to LA was 5 years. The odds that the Lakers suck in 2027 are higher than them signing Giannis or Doncic.

    Comment


    • #62
      Originally posted by Eleazar View Post

      From when Magic retired to when Kobe forced his way to LA was 5 years. The time between when Kobe retired and LeBron wanted to go to LA was 5 years. The odds that the Lakers suck in 2027 are higher than them signing Giannis or Doncic.
      All it takes is one. One single marque player to make his way to L.A. and then what happens is that another will want to team up and then you will have a plethora of mid level talent taking discounts and here we are again.

      Now is it guaranteed to happen? No, absolutely not. However one thing that we rarely discuss when talking about the Lakers is their ability to legally skirt the salary cap rules by player endorsements. You see it's not just NIKE or Coke or any of the other top tier sponsors that sign talent to endorse their products. Local and regional companies can as well and L.A. is filled with all types of places that can afford it. So instead of T.J. Warren getting 100K or whatever he got for doing those car commercials, out in L.A. you can get high 6 figure add placements or if you are the right player and the right sponsor even 7 figures.

      Why is this important? Because players can make money off of their endorsements and it does not count against the salary cap. So some of these mid tier players can make as much money off of endorsement deals as they can a vet minimum salary. So again all it would take would be for the lakers to be able to afford one max salary and one near max salary and they can fill in the blanks with a lot less money.

      But neither of us have a monopoly on this conversation because nobody can see the future. Hell those 27 & 29 picks may end up being the number one overall pick.

      All I can say is that if we do agree to this deal there must be zero protection on either pick


      Basketball isn't played with computers, spreadsheets, and simulations. ChicagoJ 4/21/13

      Comment


      • #63
        Not absolutely advocating for this trade but it does seem to be the best one currently available. Lakers with AD James Westbrook super team ended up with 8th pick in the draft.

        if pacers can do better for turner all for it but at this point until he signs we risk letting him walk for zero in return.

        that is more of a concern than IF lakers are legit contender in stacked western conference.

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        • #64
          Originally posted by Peck View Post

          All it takes is one. One single marque player to make his way to L.A. and then what happens is that another will want to team up and then you will have a plethora of mid level talent taking discounts and here we are again.

          Now is it guaranteed to happen? No, absolutely not. However one thing that we rarely discuss when talking about the Lakers is their ability to legally skirt the salary cap rules by player endorsements. You see it's not just NIKE or Coke or any of the other top tier sponsors that sign talent to endorse their products. Local and regional companies can as well and L.A. is filled with all types of places that can afford it. So instead of T.J. Warren getting 100K or whatever he got for doing those car commercials, out in L.A. you can get high 6 figure add placements or if you are the right player and the right sponsor even 7 figures.

          Why is this important? Because players can make money off of their endorsements and it does not count against the salary cap. So some of these mid tier players can make as much money off of endorsement deals as they can a vet minimum salary. So again all it would take would be for the lakers to be able to afford one max salary and one near max salary and they can fill in the blanks with a lot less money.

          But neither of us have a monopoly on this conversation because nobody can see the future. Hell those 27 & 29 picks may end up being the number one overall pick.

          All I can say is that if we do agree to this deal there must be zero protection on either pick
          Besides location, location, location, Hollywood, beaches. Player want to go there for that.

          It helps LA signed a Billion dollar TV deal a few years ago, they can afford to just burn money and overpay anyone within the cap rules. LA county has 10 million people in it. More than, I can't remember exactly, to lazy to look it up right now, like 15 or 20 entire states. A whole lot of viewing market. Most teams can't spend the money they can, even billionaire Cuban won't. I don't think any team can spend like the Lakers can.
          "Just look at the flowers ........ BANG" - Carol "The Walking Dead"

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          • #65
            Originally posted by Peck View Post

            All it takes is one. One single marque player to make his way to L.A. and then what happens is that another will want to team up and then you will have a plethora of mid level talent taking discounts and here we are again.

            Now is it guaranteed to happen? No, absolutely not. However one thing that we rarely discuss when talking about the Lakers is their ability to legally skirt the salary cap rules by player endorsements. You see it's not just NIKE or Coke or any of the other top tier sponsors that sign talent to endorse their products. Local and regional companies can as well and L.A. is filled with all types of places that can afford it. So instead of T.J. Warren getting 100K or whatever he got for doing those car commercials, out in L.A. you can get high 6 figure add placements or if you are the right player and the right sponsor even 7 figures.

            Why is this important? Because players can make money off of their endorsements and it does not count against the salary cap. So some of these mid tier players can make as much money off of endorsement deals as they can a vet minimum salary. So again all it would take would be for the lakers to be able to afford one max salary and one near max salary and they can fill in the blanks with a lot less money.

            But neither of us have a monopoly on this conversation because nobody can see the future. Hell those 27 & 29 picks may end up being the number one overall pick.

            All I can say is that if we do agree to this deal there must be zero protection on either pick
            Even having one was only partially effective the last time though. The Lakers couldn't even lure Paul George away to join LeBron. LeBron had to play one season without a running mate, and then he would have had to play a second season without one if the Lakers didn't have so many assets left over from being bad for so long to make a gargantuan trade. They won't have those kinds of assets in 5 years, so they will have less options to use next time.

            In this case though, the Lakers will still have one. Anthony Davis will be in his age 33 season for the first pick and his age 35 season for the second one. I consider that almost to be a good thing for getting a good pick. I'm not sure there are very many people willing to sign up to play with AD in his 30's unless he shows quickly that the last two years were aberrations.

            You are very right about two things. We honestly have no idea where the Lakers picks will be. I think the best analysis would say it essentially has an equal chance at every spot 1-30. That still makes them likely to be the most valuable picks that have been currently traded in the entire league.

            The second thing you are right about is that they have to be unprotected. First for the value of having that chance at a top pick. The second reason is very practical. Since picks can't extend beyond seven years out, the picks can't roll over to a future year. So they have to be unprotected because a protected pick would have to have something like a second round pick as alternative compensation, and that will absolutely no do in this sort of deal.

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            • #66
              I'm starting to think maybe we should cave and take the 27 unprotected and some pick swaps before Ainge swoops in and steps on our toes. You know he's gunning for those Lakers picks

              Comment


              • #67
                Originally posted by Peck View Post

                All it takes is one. One single marque player to make his way to L.A. and then what happens is that another will want to team up and then you will have a plethora of mid level talent taking discounts and here we are again.

                Now is it guaranteed to happen? No, absolutely not. However one thing that we rarely discuss when talking about the Lakers is their ability to legally skirt the salary cap rules by player endorsements. You see it's not just NIKE or Coke or any of the other top tier sponsors that sign talent to endorse their products. Local and regional companies can as well and L.A. is filled with all types of places that can afford it. So instead of T.J. Warren getting 100K or whatever he got for doing those car commercials, out in L.A. you can get high 6 figure add placements or if you are the right player and the right sponsor even 7 figures.

                Why is this important? Because players can make money off of their endorsements and it does not count against the salary cap. So some of these mid tier players can make as much money off of endorsement deals as they can a vet minimum salary. So again all it would take would be for the lakers to be able to afford one max salary and one near max salary and they can fill in the blanks with a lot less money.

                But neither of us have a monopoly on this conversation because nobody can see the future. Hell those 27 & 29 picks may end up being the number one overall pick.

                All I can say is that if we do agree to this deal there must be zero protection on either pick
                You know, sometimes you just have to take a chance, and hope it works in your favor. Sitting on your hands is no way to win a championship.

                Comment


                • #68
                  Originally posted by CJ Jones View Post
                  I'm starting to think maybe we should cave and take the 27 unprotected and some pick swaps before Ainge swoops in and steps on our toes. You know he's gunning for those Lakers picks
                  Ainge is going to ask for a lot more.
                  "So, which one of you guys is going to come in second?" - Larry Bird before the 3 point contest. He won.


                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Originally posted by MillerTime View Post

                    Ainge is going to ask for a lot more.
                    Sure he'll want more but I doubt he's getting any unprotected picks from another team. And he may be willing to take less in a deal like this so they can out tank us next season.

                    I think the Lakers may have gained some leverage on us after the Mitchell deal. Ainge still has some decent pieces left he'll try to get rid of.

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      Originally posted by CJ Jones View Post

                      Sure he'll want more but I doubt he's getting any unprotected picks from another team. And he may be willing to take less in a deal like this so they can out tank us next season.

                      I think the Lakers may have gained some leverage on us after the Mitchell deal. Ainge still has some decent pieces left he'll try to get rid of.
                      It’s pacers or the jazz. No way I’m buying Westbrook and Beverly co-exist. If ainge wants to cave on demands to the lakers let him. One way or another lakers are giving up both those picks unprotected. LeBron James does not care about 27’ & 29’ draft.

                      bottom line: what do lakers want. Jazz players Bojan Conley … or turner hield maybe McConnell Theis. Or should I say which players do James want.

                      that said pacers have leverage in that turner is excellent fit next to AD. Heild Bojan toss up. Not sure how conley helps with Beverly and James already ball dominant.

                      Training camp not far away. Maybe lakers roll it back with westbrick just doesn’t seem probable.

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        David Aldridge...."If you’re the Knicks, don’t you throw firsts at Indy, and keep throwing them, until the Pacers give you Buddy Hield and/or Myles Turner?"

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          Originally posted by Ozys Nepimpis View Post
                          David Aldridge...."If you’re the Knicks, don’t you throw firsts at Indy, and keep throwing them, until the Pacers give you Buddy Hield and/or Myles Turner?"
                          Well this seems odd, I could see them wanting to upgrade Fournier to Buddy, so a pick for that would make sense, but they don’t really have anything to trade for Myles. In a big package, Hartenstein and Reddish probably gives you enough salary, but they already have Mitchell Robinson, probably doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to have Turner and Robinson at their salaries. Is upgrading from Robinson to Turner worth a pick? So a lineup of:

                          Brunson
                          Buddy
                          Barrett
                          Randle
                          Turner

                          Is this worth giving up a couple first round picks? Is this even a for sure playoff team? Probably stuck in the 7-10 range, right? I just don’t get it from the Knicks point of view.

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            ^^ Not sure if it matters. If this is right - https://fanspo.com/nba/teams/Knicks/20/draft-picks

                            They have 4 1sts next year. Their own, Wash, Dallas & Detroit. Get a few of those and who gives a &@#$ about what they're trying to do. The picks give immediate benefits as opposed to the Lakers crap.

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              Originally posted by PacerDude View Post
                              ^^ Not sure if it matters. If this is right - https://fanspo.com/nba/teams/Knicks/20/draft-picks

                              They have 4 1sts next year. Their own, Wash, Dallas & Detroit. Get a few of those and who gives a &@#$ about what they're trying to do. The picks give immediate benefits as opposed to the Lakers crap.
                              I would take Fournier (for salary purposes), Reddish, Toppin and 2 2023 firsts for Turner and Heild
                              "So, which one of you guys is going to come in second?" - Larry Bird before the 3 point contest. He won.


                              Comment


                              • #75
                                Originally posted by PacerDude View Post
                                ^^ The picks give immediate benefits as opposed to the Lakers crap.
                                I do not fully understand this stance. I guess what I mean is how many rookies can we add to the roster. If we trade for more 1sts in the next 2 seasons that’s SIX rookie picks not even counting 2nd rounders. Is there really even room to add SIX rookies.

                                of course that assumes we keep all the picks. My point is does it not benefit pacers to have picks in their back pockets a few years away.

                                we have 3 picks in next years draft. Plus already young players that require playing time.

                                again the argument from one perspective is picks 20 seasons from now or possibility turner walks for zero in return.

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