Two weeks ago this was a very easy post to write. Basically the generalized malaise of the team tied into a very poor on court production was going to be very easy to break down. However Lance arrived and has made part of this more difficult to do. Make no mistake the on court product is still abysmal but the basic overall likability dynamic has shifted ever so slightly. Even with Lance on the team we have lost 4 out of the 5 games he has played.
As it stands right now, the team is on pace to win 30 games for the year, that is if we just repeat what we have done the first half of the season. We are in what anybody would call a stretch of games that would challenge a great team let alone one who, by definition, is a poor team. There is a real possibility that we don't reach 15 more wins the rest of the season, but then again it's possible they will win more. There is just no way to tell.
Look coming into the year I was distraught, which for me began a couple of seasons ago when I came to the realization that we had built a team that at best was a first round exit team and most likely was going to decrease every year and I saw literally no way out of that position. I knew that management (at the time I was not aware of Herb's full involvement) would not take any form of risk that would not dramatically improve the team and that we would be on the treadmill to nowhere for the next few seasons.
At the gathering over the summer there were people looking at me like I had two heads when I said this was a nowhere team and I doubted we even made the playoffs beyond the play in.
Even I had no idea we would end up being as bad as we are.
There is just no two ways of looking at this, this team is poorly constructed, no real hierarchy of players and up until Lance arrived was a fun to watch play as filling out paperwork for your Doctors appointment.
Basically that is the real rub for a lot of us, it's not so much the being bad bothered us (a lot of us lived through the O'Brien years) but it was the fact that this team was just no fun to watch. In fact unless you were a Pacers fan I doubt seriously if a single person on here would voluntarily tune in to watch this team play.
In fact I was wondering aloud which version of the Pacers was worse. The version we are seeing currently on the floor or the Jim O'Brien era pacers and shockingly I came to the conclusion that the O'Brien era pacers were more fun to watch. I hate the coach back then but there were some young players who I actually enjoyed and always believed that if they had a different coach they would be better. Right now I don't hate the coach but honestly beyond a couple of them I don't have any burning desire to see any of the current players play.
I had planned on going over every player in detail to the good and the bad with them but I just could not bring myself to it. So I'm just going to hit some broad strokes on some of the guys but I really am going to focus more on the big picture and just go from there.
But first let us deal with Lance. To be honest I'm not a Lance fan per se, I know exactly what he is and I also know why some fans love him and I also know why some fans hate him. But right now, whether the I hate Lance crowd will ever admit it or not this team needs Lance.
If I could have written an advertisement for what this team needed (beyond a true star player) it would have been what Paul Stanley put in the village voice nearly 50 years ago. Lead guitarist wanted with flash and balls. The voice edited to be flash and ability.
This team needed a player who had flash and balls in the worst possible way.
I was there at Lance's first home game and I'm telling you that place hasn't been that alive since the last time Lance played there. I don't even know how many standing ovations the guy got that night, but it went way beyond that. There was a buzz in the crowd, people were active engaged and alive. Was it because Lance was great, well for the first quarter he absolutely was, but it was more than just that. Lance, love him or hate him, has a personality. The crowd responds to that. Go back in your mind and remember Rodney Stucky. Many people said they had the same abilities, in fact George Hill mad the comment that they were the same player. Now in my mind that was never true, but let's pretend it was. What do you remember about Rodney Stucky? If your being honest your saying "not much". Now think about Malcolm Brogdan or even Caris LeVert, other than some on court attribute do either of them strike you as players you feel the need to root for? Again, if we're being honest with ourselves I think we say no.
Does Lance change the course of this team? Well to be honest it concerns me that he might actually change us enough to drop back down to the 9-11 spot in the draft. But other than that? No, this is not a playoff team. So while I believe Lance is great to have here for the fan base and just honestly for the watch ability of the team, he by himself will not impact by much the overall win/loss total.
Which brings me to a big picture type of talk. Put on your seat belts and prepare for it because this part most likely be a knock down drag out fight because we are going to openly talk about the dreaded word
TANKING.
Look to be honest with you I'm as anti tanking as you can get to a certain extent. I don't believe it is a guarantee to anything and in the end for every San Antonio there is a Sacramento and beyond. I believe the culture it takes to do season long tank jobs ultimately hurts the product.
However having said all of that and not believing in it, there does come a point in time that you are not only just doing the same crap over and over you start to see diminishing returns which is where you are right now with this team. Look the idea of no stars but a group of players who can score sounds good but in reality has never worked in the NBA. To get to the upper levels of the playoffs you have to have at least one true star player and honestly that player has to be a dynamic wing or guard. Centers, as much as I love them, just typically are not going to be able to be the big star and advance. Does not mean the position is useless, far from it, but that really can't be where your superstar play comes from.
So what I am saying is this. To me the only way this team ever going to get out of this first round mentality (which yes I realize the first round it not even an option at this point) is by getting dynamic young talent we can build around. Now you could possibly do that by trading Sabonis, however that is a hell of a risk to take because he is still young and easily fits in next to any type of good dynamic player and improves them.
No, sadly the best thing that could happen to this team is for Lance to be exciting, win some home games but basically just end the season the way they started it. Poorly. We need a high draft pick. But wait getting a high draft pick is no guarantee of anything you say. Well, your right of course but doing the same crap over and over year after year is getting us nowhere but on a downward trajectory and we have got to end this.
However this comes to what I consider the biggest issue of all. Ownership.
Look I know we all have our own opinions of Pritchard and IMO he deserves an enormous amount of the blame for where we are because of the absolute awfulness of our drafting since he has been here. I mean we literally went from Myles Turner (before his time) to Chris Duarte without a single rotational player coming to us via the draft. Being a small market team you just can not go that long without getting some help in the draft.
But this segment is going to be reserved for Herb Simon. As always I will forever be grateful to Herb for saving this team. We aren't even having this conversation if Herb and his brother did not buy the team and kept the franchise here.
I will defend Herb for his press conference he hastily threw together a few weeks ago because they stated he had signed off on what was akin to tanking and Herb does not believe in it and wanted to make sure that the fans who don't believe in it either (there are a lot more than you think btw) knew he didn't believe in it and it was his chance to basically tell Kravitz he needs to verify his sources. So I get why he was upset and why he did it. Also let's not get to picky about the "little team" phrase. He is an Octogenarian and believe me when I say someone who is my age has a hard time following a lot of what someone who is in their early 20's say's. In other words that might just be the way his generation talks.
Now having said all of that I will regretfully say this. It's time to pass the reigns of the team over to his Son. You have your head of basketball operations (Pritchard) telling you that this team is not good enough and it's time to go in a different direction and you start remembering how his two predecessors pulled off things 20 and 30 years ago and deny his request. Well time has marched on and while he has every right to be proud of the team and of the record of the past couple of decades the reality is we haven't really won anything and that is part of what I believe is a cultural problem with the team and that is we are satisfied with being good. Or as I like to say, good is good enough. Making the playoffs is something to be proud of at times, but not all of the time. Not advancing in the playoffs for 7 years is not anything to be proud of.
We have also found out that he has vetoed trades that were already approved of by other teams. Again, its his team and money so he can do what he wants. But this certainly flies in the face of a hands off owner who let's his basketball people run the team.
His not making big changes, as he so proudly said, worked well back in the day of long term contracts and low player movement. But contracts today are made shorter for the exact reason why there is so much dynamic movement of players across the NBA.
Money spending is a weird thing with him. In many ways he certainly will spend up to the tax, always has been willing to do that. However there does seem to be hesitancy to sign big names simply because it would go into the tax. Again, the tax is big for them because not only do they have to pay it at that point if they go into it but they lose out on the revenue that non tax teams get. But there comes a point in time where if you are going to compete for something beyond a first round exit you are going to have to spend. Fortunately for him, right now, we are nowhere near that point so to me the tax is not something he should go over and frankly I would not blame them a bit for making some money saving trades simply because the return of investment is so poor with what we have.
Frankly the entire franchise needs a new way of thinking and a fresher way of approaching team building and as sad as it makes me to say it, that can only happen with a change at the top.
Now can this season be salvaged? As we stand, no absolutely not. T.J. Warren is not going to walk onto the court and change things no matter how badly Kevin Pritchard tells us that him coming back after the trade deadline is akin to getting an all-star.
No this team need broken up in the worst of ways. At this point in time I don't even care what players are moved or kept, we just need movement. The bigs, who btw are not really the reason the team plays bad, need broken up. I obviously have my preference but I also understand my player would be the one who could bring back a treasure trove of assets.
We need speed, we need length, we desperately need athleticism and overall toughness both physical and mental. We need lottery level talent.
So basically the midway report is however you look at it. We are horrible, but in some ways that may be exactly what we need.
As it stands right now, the team is on pace to win 30 games for the year, that is if we just repeat what we have done the first half of the season. We are in what anybody would call a stretch of games that would challenge a great team let alone one who, by definition, is a poor team. There is a real possibility that we don't reach 15 more wins the rest of the season, but then again it's possible they will win more. There is just no way to tell.
Look coming into the year I was distraught, which for me began a couple of seasons ago when I came to the realization that we had built a team that at best was a first round exit team and most likely was going to decrease every year and I saw literally no way out of that position. I knew that management (at the time I was not aware of Herb's full involvement) would not take any form of risk that would not dramatically improve the team and that we would be on the treadmill to nowhere for the next few seasons.
At the gathering over the summer there were people looking at me like I had two heads when I said this was a nowhere team and I doubted we even made the playoffs beyond the play in.
Even I had no idea we would end up being as bad as we are.
There is just no two ways of looking at this, this team is poorly constructed, no real hierarchy of players and up until Lance arrived was a fun to watch play as filling out paperwork for your Doctors appointment.
Basically that is the real rub for a lot of us, it's not so much the being bad bothered us (a lot of us lived through the O'Brien years) but it was the fact that this team was just no fun to watch. In fact unless you were a Pacers fan I doubt seriously if a single person on here would voluntarily tune in to watch this team play.
In fact I was wondering aloud which version of the Pacers was worse. The version we are seeing currently on the floor or the Jim O'Brien era pacers and shockingly I came to the conclusion that the O'Brien era pacers were more fun to watch. I hate the coach back then but there were some young players who I actually enjoyed and always believed that if they had a different coach they would be better. Right now I don't hate the coach but honestly beyond a couple of them I don't have any burning desire to see any of the current players play.
I had planned on going over every player in detail to the good and the bad with them but I just could not bring myself to it. So I'm just going to hit some broad strokes on some of the guys but I really am going to focus more on the big picture and just go from there.
But first let us deal with Lance. To be honest I'm not a Lance fan per se, I know exactly what he is and I also know why some fans love him and I also know why some fans hate him. But right now, whether the I hate Lance crowd will ever admit it or not this team needs Lance.
If I could have written an advertisement for what this team needed (beyond a true star player) it would have been what Paul Stanley put in the village voice nearly 50 years ago. Lead guitarist wanted with flash and balls. The voice edited to be flash and ability.
This team needed a player who had flash and balls in the worst possible way.
I was there at Lance's first home game and I'm telling you that place hasn't been that alive since the last time Lance played there. I don't even know how many standing ovations the guy got that night, but it went way beyond that. There was a buzz in the crowd, people were active engaged and alive. Was it because Lance was great, well for the first quarter he absolutely was, but it was more than just that. Lance, love him or hate him, has a personality. The crowd responds to that. Go back in your mind and remember Rodney Stucky. Many people said they had the same abilities, in fact George Hill mad the comment that they were the same player. Now in my mind that was never true, but let's pretend it was. What do you remember about Rodney Stucky? If your being honest your saying "not much". Now think about Malcolm Brogdan or even Caris LeVert, other than some on court attribute do either of them strike you as players you feel the need to root for? Again, if we're being honest with ourselves I think we say no.
Does Lance change the course of this team? Well to be honest it concerns me that he might actually change us enough to drop back down to the 9-11 spot in the draft. But other than that? No, this is not a playoff team. So while I believe Lance is great to have here for the fan base and just honestly for the watch ability of the team, he by himself will not impact by much the overall win/loss total.
Which brings me to a big picture type of talk. Put on your seat belts and prepare for it because this part most likely be a knock down drag out fight because we are going to openly talk about the dreaded word
TANKING.
Look to be honest with you I'm as anti tanking as you can get to a certain extent. I don't believe it is a guarantee to anything and in the end for every San Antonio there is a Sacramento and beyond. I believe the culture it takes to do season long tank jobs ultimately hurts the product.
However having said all of that and not believing in it, there does come a point in time that you are not only just doing the same crap over and over you start to see diminishing returns which is where you are right now with this team. Look the idea of no stars but a group of players who can score sounds good but in reality has never worked in the NBA. To get to the upper levels of the playoffs you have to have at least one true star player and honestly that player has to be a dynamic wing or guard. Centers, as much as I love them, just typically are not going to be able to be the big star and advance. Does not mean the position is useless, far from it, but that really can't be where your superstar play comes from.
So what I am saying is this. To me the only way this team ever going to get out of this first round mentality (which yes I realize the first round it not even an option at this point) is by getting dynamic young talent we can build around. Now you could possibly do that by trading Sabonis, however that is a hell of a risk to take because he is still young and easily fits in next to any type of good dynamic player and improves them.
No, sadly the best thing that could happen to this team is for Lance to be exciting, win some home games but basically just end the season the way they started it. Poorly. We need a high draft pick. But wait getting a high draft pick is no guarantee of anything you say. Well, your right of course but doing the same crap over and over year after year is getting us nowhere but on a downward trajectory and we have got to end this.
However this comes to what I consider the biggest issue of all. Ownership.
Look I know we all have our own opinions of Pritchard and IMO he deserves an enormous amount of the blame for where we are because of the absolute awfulness of our drafting since he has been here. I mean we literally went from Myles Turner (before his time) to Chris Duarte without a single rotational player coming to us via the draft. Being a small market team you just can not go that long without getting some help in the draft.
But this segment is going to be reserved for Herb Simon. As always I will forever be grateful to Herb for saving this team. We aren't even having this conversation if Herb and his brother did not buy the team and kept the franchise here.
I will defend Herb for his press conference he hastily threw together a few weeks ago because they stated he had signed off on what was akin to tanking and Herb does not believe in it and wanted to make sure that the fans who don't believe in it either (there are a lot more than you think btw) knew he didn't believe in it and it was his chance to basically tell Kravitz he needs to verify his sources. So I get why he was upset and why he did it. Also let's not get to picky about the "little team" phrase. He is an Octogenarian and believe me when I say someone who is my age has a hard time following a lot of what someone who is in their early 20's say's. In other words that might just be the way his generation talks.
Now having said all of that I will regretfully say this. It's time to pass the reigns of the team over to his Son. You have your head of basketball operations (Pritchard) telling you that this team is not good enough and it's time to go in a different direction and you start remembering how his two predecessors pulled off things 20 and 30 years ago and deny his request. Well time has marched on and while he has every right to be proud of the team and of the record of the past couple of decades the reality is we haven't really won anything and that is part of what I believe is a cultural problem with the team and that is we are satisfied with being good. Or as I like to say, good is good enough. Making the playoffs is something to be proud of at times, but not all of the time. Not advancing in the playoffs for 7 years is not anything to be proud of.
We have also found out that he has vetoed trades that were already approved of by other teams. Again, its his team and money so he can do what he wants. But this certainly flies in the face of a hands off owner who let's his basketball people run the team.
His not making big changes, as he so proudly said, worked well back in the day of long term contracts and low player movement. But contracts today are made shorter for the exact reason why there is so much dynamic movement of players across the NBA.
Money spending is a weird thing with him. In many ways he certainly will spend up to the tax, always has been willing to do that. However there does seem to be hesitancy to sign big names simply because it would go into the tax. Again, the tax is big for them because not only do they have to pay it at that point if they go into it but they lose out on the revenue that non tax teams get. But there comes a point in time where if you are going to compete for something beyond a first round exit you are going to have to spend. Fortunately for him, right now, we are nowhere near that point so to me the tax is not something he should go over and frankly I would not blame them a bit for making some money saving trades simply because the return of investment is so poor with what we have.
Frankly the entire franchise needs a new way of thinking and a fresher way of approaching team building and as sad as it makes me to say it, that can only happen with a change at the top.
Now can this season be salvaged? As we stand, no absolutely not. T.J. Warren is not going to walk onto the court and change things no matter how badly Kevin Pritchard tells us that him coming back after the trade deadline is akin to getting an all-star.
No this team need broken up in the worst of ways. At this point in time I don't even care what players are moved or kept, we just need movement. The bigs, who btw are not really the reason the team plays bad, need broken up. I obviously have my preference but I also understand my player would be the one who could bring back a treasure trove of assets.
We need speed, we need length, we desperately need athleticism and overall toughness both physical and mental. We need lottery level talent.
So basically the midway report is however you look at it. We are horrible, but in some ways that may be exactly what we need.
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