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The legal means of watching or listening to NBA games are NBA League Pass Broadband (for US, or for International; both cost money) and NBA Audio League Pass (which is free). Look for them on NBA.com.

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We prefer self-restraint and/or modesty when making jokes or off topic comments in a sports discussion thread. They can be fun, but sometimes they derail or distract from a topic, and we don't want to see that happen. If we feel it is a problem, we will either delete or move those posts from the thread.

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THE OFFICIAL 2019 OFF SEASON/TRADE RUMORS THREAD

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  • If the Lakers pick up a point guard who is a threat from 3, I think Lance can be a good two for them. Lebron, Kuzma and Davis are all three point threats.
    "Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." —Kevin Pritchard press conference

    Comment


    • Originally posted by SaintLouisan View Post

      Agreed.

      People love picks for the same reason others buy scratchers.

      “A boat’s a boat but the mystery box could be anything. It could even be a boat.”
      Honestly there is a good reason for that, and that's because in the NBA it takes mega stars to win. If you don't have a top 3 or 5 guy in the league on your roster, you aren't winning anything. If you could trade 100 Thad Youngs, George Hills, and Luis Scolas for 1 Kawhi Leonard you do it without question. Since it is pretty clear a mega star isn't signing here via free agency and it looks unlikely we are trading for one, you are really only left with hoping you get lucky in the draft. The more picks the better the shot, no matter how slim.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Wage View Post

        Honestly there is a good reason for that, and that's because in the NBA it takes mega stars to win. If you don't have a top 3 or 5 guy in the league on your roster, you aren't winning anything. If you could trade 100 Thad Youngs, George Hills, and Luis Scolas for 1 Kawhi Leonard you do it without question. Since it is pretty clear a mega star isn't signing here via free agency and it looks unlikely we are trading for one, you are really only left with hoping you get lucky in the draft. The more picks the better the shot, no matter how slim.
        Personally, I have more faith in trades. Which is why if I’m the Pels I do my best to get an All-Star or at least a player close to that caliber for someone like AD, ie CJ McCollum. Or a player of promise stuck in a dirt franchise, like Dipo. But it seems even this trade’s proponents are mostly focusing on the picks...so they must be pretty good, right? Except, in all likelihood, they won’t be (this year’s pick aside, and I consider this a weak draft, though I know many on here think otherwise). So if I’m a Pels fan, I’m asking, “where’s the beef?”

        By all means, if you have a chance to get a top-5 or even top-10 pick, go right ahead. But not all picks are created equal, and so a trade centered on fewer potentials and more known qualities would have been preferable IMO. Especially considering the realities of those potentials.

        Comment


        • Randle declined his option, unrestricted now
          @WhatTheFFacts: Studies show that sarcasm enhances the ability of the human mind to solve complex problems!

          Comment


          • Originally posted by SaintLouisan View Post

            Personally, I have more faith in trades. Which is why if I’m the Pels I do my best to get an All-Star or at least a player close to that caliber for someone like AD, ie CJ McCollum. Or a player of promise stuck in a dirt franchise, like Dipo. But it seems even this trade’s proponents are mostly focusing on the picks...so they must be pretty good, right? Except, in all likelihood, they won’t be (this year’s pick aside, and I consider this a weak draft, though I know many on here think otherwise). So if I’m a Pels fan, I’m asking, “where’s the beef?”

            By all means, if you have a chance to get a top-5 or even top-10 pick, go right ahead. But not all picks are created equal, and so a trade centered on fewer potentials and more known qualities would have been preferable IMO. Especially considering the realities of those potentials.
            Those picks may end up being complete busts, but it doesn't really matter. There is a chance one or more of them becomes a superstar. There is ZERO chance CJ McCollum becomes a superstar. He is what he is, a damn good player. Damn good players don't win championships. This doesn't even touch on the cap ramifications and long term benefits these draft picks add.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Wage View Post

              Those picks may end up being complete busts, but it doesn't really matter. There is a chance one or more of them becomes a superstar. There is ZERO chance CJ McCollum becomes a superstar. He is what he is, a damn good player. Damn good players don't win championships. This doesn't even touch on the cap ramifications and long term benefits these draft picks add.
              Firstly, damn good players help win championships and so have value on their own merits. But secondly, those are the type of guys who can be traded for elite players. Derozan got Toronto Kawhi. Isaiah Thomas got Boston Kyrie. If NO becomes good, and Zion becomes the player people think he’ll be, and they’re a step away, McCollum is the kind of guy who could be moved for a disgruntled star who could put them over the line.

              Maybe one of those picks will return a player of that quality. It is pretty likely they won’t. In fact, it’s probably more likely, if those picks are in the 20s, that you’ll end up with the type of guy who plays 5-10 MPG for two or three seasons before heading off to Europe.

              This is kind of what my initial post alluded to: some people see picks as the be all end all. They can help for sure, but they are not the lifeline they are assumed to be and should not be relied on at all costs. Which is more or less what the Pels are doing by taking this deal. (Though granted, I do have some belief in Ingram). People hear picks and think they’re all valuable, but as I said above all picks are not created equal, and sometimes a known quality is far far better than some pie in the sky vision of what you theoretically could uncover late in the first round.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by SaintLouisan View Post

                Firstly, damn good players help win championships and so have value on their own merits. But secondly, those are the type of guys who can be traded for elite players. Derozan got Toronto Kawhi. Isaiah Thomas got Boston Kyrie. If NO becomes good, and Zion becomes the player people think he’ll be, and they’re a step away, McCollum is the kind of guy who could be moved for a disgruntled star who could put them over the line.

                Maybe one of those picks will return a player of that quality. It is pretty likely they won’t. In fact, it’s probably more likely, if those picks are in the 20s, that you’ll end up with the type of guy who plays 5-10 MPG for two or three seasons before heading off to Europe.

                This is kind of what my initial post alluded to: some people see picks as the be all end all. They can help for sure, but they are not the lifeline they are assumed to be and should not be relied on at all costs. Which is more or less what the Pels are doing by taking this deal. (Though granted, I do have some belief in Ingram). People hear picks and think they’re all valuable, but as I said above all picks are not created equal, and sometimes a known quality is far far better than some pie in the sky vision of what you theoretically could uncover late in the first round.
                Of course a dude like McCollum has value. The entire point is those draft picks have MORE value. If New Orleans wants to turn those picks into Oladipo, I love ya Vic but you gotta go.
                Last edited by Wage; 06-16-2019, 09:46 PM.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Wage View Post

                  Of course a dude like McCollum has value. The entire point is those draft picks have MORE value. If New Orleans wants to turn those picks into Oladipo, I love ya buddy but you gotta go.
                  They don't though.

                  This is the mistake people make: they value the pick according to what it might get. And since it might theoretically get the next LeBron, or Jordan, or whatever, people apparently value the pick accordingly.

                  However, their value is not actually the potential of what you might possibly draft; it is whoever that pick is actually used to draft, or whatever player it turns into via trade or whatever. So it might as yet be undetermined, but it will be someday years after that draft, and that will be what it was worth.

                  Now, since we can't see into the future, we have to do our best to predict. And the data shows that lower draft picks provide lower value on average, just as you'd expect. Hell, even high picks can bust, so without stockpiling known quality, your picks will inevitably regress to the mediocre mean so that, even if you do luck out with an elite player, he will be surrounded by a weak supporting cast. In which case he's gone the moment his rookie contract expires, and you're back to zero.

                  You need players you know can play in the NBA, to play on your team, to trade for assets, whatever. And the draft is not the best way to acquire them because you don't even have that much information.
                  Last edited by SaintLouisan; 06-16-2019, 10:19 PM.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by vnzla81 View Post
                    Randle declined his option, unrestricted now
                    If we traded one of Turner or Sabonis I would hope that we would pick up a guy like him to go next to whoever is remaining.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by SaintLouisan View Post

                      They don't though.

                      This is the mistake people make: they value the pick according to what it might get.

                      However, their value is not actually the potential of what you might possibly draft; it is whoever that pick is actually used to draft, or whatever player it turns into via trade or whatever. So it might as yet be undetermined, but it will be someday years after that draft, and that will be what it was worth.

                      Now, since we can't see into the future, we have to do our best to predict. And the data shows that lower draft picks provide lower value on average, just as you'd expect. Hell, even high picks can bust, so without stockpiling known quality, your picks will inevitably regress to the mediocre mean so that, even if you do luck out with an elite player, he will be surrounded by a weak supporting cast. In which case he's gone the moment his rookie contract expires, and you're back to zero.

                      You need players you know can play in the NBA, to play on your team, to trade for assets, whatever. And the draft is not the best way to acquire them because you don't even have that much information.
                      I think part of the disconnect is that those who are excited about the picks are not assuming those are going to be low picks. They very well may be, but there's plenty of chance they'll be pretty good picks as well.

                      And the draft isn't always about getting the absolute same quality of player. It's about being able to manipulate the cap by having players who are much better than their salary, and the almost guaranteed 7-8 years of team control if they are good.

                      The biggest advantage of most picks is that it gives you a free bite at the apple. You have a chance at getting a great player, but you have to use minimal cap resources which leaves your whole cap to use on your team now. So for example if New Orleans wants to build around Zion/Jrue, soon enough they'll have plenty of cap space to do so because the draft picks won't be eating up the cap like another solid veteran would. They can start to acquire those solid veterans as they get a little deeper in the team building process.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by SaintLouisan View Post

                        They don't though.

                        This is the mistake people make: they value the pick according to what it might get. And since it might theoretically get the next LeBron, or Jordan, or whatever, people apparently value the pick accordingly.

                        However, their value is not actually the potential of what you might possibly draft; it is whoever that pick is actually used to draft, or whatever player it turns into via trade or whatever. So it might as yet be undetermined, but it will be someday years after that draft, and that will be what it was worth.

                        Now, since we can't see into the future, we have to do our best to predict. And the data shows that lower draft picks provide lower value on average, just as you'd expect. Hell, even high picks can bust, so without stockpiling known quality, your picks will inevitably regress to the mediocre mean so that, even if you do luck out with an elite player, he will be surrounded by a weak supporting cast. In which case he's gone the moment his rookie contract expires, and you're back to zero.

                        You need players you know can play in the NBA, to play on your team, to trade for assets, whatever. And the draft is not the best way to acquire them because you don't even have that much information.
                        They do though, which is why AD is wearing purple and gold now. If the Spurs could flip the package they got for Kawhi with the one the Pels got for AD, Pop would be tripping all over himself trying to get DeRozan and Poeltl on the first plane out of town. Even if the Pels took Ball, Ingram and Hart out of the package the Spurs would still be elated. No one is treating these picks like they are the next LeBron or Jordan. No one would trade 6 LeBrons or Jordans for Anthony Davis. They are acting like they give you a shot at a game changer, and they do.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by McKeyFan View Post
                          If the Lakers pick up a point guard who is a threat from 3, I think Lance can be a good two for them. Lebron, Kuzma and Davis are all three point threats.
                          You dontd want to take the ball out of Bron or Davis' hands just to give it to Lance. Plus, Lance isn't a starter defensively in my opinion. His offense isn't either most of the time.

                          I think LA should really bring in a solid 2 way guy at that spot. Just someone consistent. You don't want aging Bron to have to pickup the other team's best wing every night.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Wage View Post

                            They do though, which is why AD is wearing purple and gold now. If the Spurs could flip the package they got for Kawhi with the one the Pels got for AD, Pop would be tripping all over himself trying to get DeRozan and Poeltl on the first plane out of town. Even if the Pels took Ball, Ingram and Hart out of the package the Spurs would still be elated. No one is treating these picks like they are the next LeBron or Jordan. No one would trade 6 LeBrons or Jordans for Anthony Davis. They are acting like they give you a shot at a game changer, and they do.
                            Well I'm not saying teams don't value them, they clearly do; I'm saying they overvalue them. And sure they give you a shot at a game changer, just as scratchers give you a chance to win a fortune; it's just not a realistic one, let alone a reliable one. Picks don't have no place in a deal (or a team-build), but they should not be the primary component, especially if it's picks of this quality and especially for a player at AD's level.

                            I have to think if the Spurs wanted a team that could give them picks, they could have found one.

                            We'll just agree to disagree man.
                            Last edited by SaintLouisan; 06-16-2019, 11:21 PM.

                            Comment


                            • Yah, we are discussing perceived value of NBA players and draft picks. This stuff is the very definition of subjective and there is no right or wrong answer. I just see the value in draft picks over role players and even near all-stars in a lot of situations. It is one of the reasons I would get so upset every time the Pacers traded away a draft pick for some new role player. Now if we would have had a top 5 player on the roster and would have been on the cusp of a championship, suddenly the values shift, and that role player may well be worth a lot more than the unknown draft pick.

                              Comment


                              • picks are basically universally overvalued but especially in the NBA since the draft is so small. the Pels got the rights to 3 picks from the AD lead Lakers.

                                they're not going to be valuable picks. I think Griffin did incredibly well considering the circumstances. in 10 years when we look back it's gonna be "damn, that's all they got?"

                                I'm also incredibly high on Lonzo so y'know.

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