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Post game #62 Pacers vs Mavericks

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  • #31
    Originally posted by McKeyFan View Post

    I probably watched 22 minutes of college basketball that year (and every year) and happened to catch a few minutes of UCLA and I thought he was a stiff. Was surprised we drafted him. Are the TPTB really that bad at drafting?
    how does this post work given what leaf's done in the last 5 or so games?

    Comment


    • #32
      Originally posted by Nuntius View Post

      I can explain that. It all has to do about where we drafted him and who else was on the board at the time. People didn't think he was the BPA. Most people here wanted OG Anunoby. The fact that players who were drafted right after him like John Collins, Jarrett Allen, the aforementioned Anunoby and Kyle Kuzma have all played really well in their careers so far seems to be confirming the idea that he wasn't the BPA.

      That said, I do think that Leaf will become a decent rotation player for an NBA team. Was he the best pick we could have made at the time? No, he wasn't. But he wasn't a terrible pick either. He's about average as a pick and what one would generally expect out of the 18th pick. A decent rotation player.
      Right, but nobody predicted those guys would all succeed, that's why so many teams passed on them. Draft hindsight is a slippery slope.

      It was not as clear during that draft. I remember a few folks mentioning OG, but it wasn't unanimous by any means.
      There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

      Comment


      • #33
        Originally posted by BillS View Post

        I maintain it was Larry Bird's last gift to the franchise.
        I remember reading about a conversation with the person making the call when it was the Pacers time to pick having Bird say I think you would be a fool not to take him. Bird liked him
        but someone else made that call. I am not ready to toss in the towel yet.
        {o,o}
        |)__)
        -"-"-

        Comment


        • #34
          OG stats

          https://www.basketball-reference.com...anunoog01.html


          John Collins


          https://www.basketball-reference.com...collijo01.html


          Jarret Allen


          https://www.basketball-reference.com...allenja01.html


          Kyle Kuzma

          https://www.basketball-reference.com...kuzmaky01.html


          TJ Leaf

          https://www.basketball-reference.com.../leaftj01.html



          One thing stands out like a sore thumb in all those stats.......opportunity


          Of all these guys though John Collins stands out the most. Give Leaf 20-30 minutes and he scores and rebounds quite well too.
          {o,o}
          |)__)
          -"-"-

          Comment


          • #35
            Originally posted by McKeyFan View Post

            I probably watched 22 minutes of college basketball that year (and every year) and happened to catch a few minutes of UCLA and I thought he was a stiff. Was surprised we drafted him. Are the TPTB really that bad at drafting?
            I watched 2-3 games of UCLA mainly because of Lonzo but I noticed another player who rebounded and shot well and had good length and athleticism. My comment during the draft was not to go
            to sleep on him. I still think he can be good but he needs minutes like these other guys. Those other teams could afford to play the young ones except maybe Toronto
            Last edited by owl; 03-01-2019, 08:49 PM.
            {o,o}
            |)__)
            -"-"-

            Comment


            • #36
              Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post

              Right, but nobody predicted those guys would all succeed, that's why so many teams passed on them. Draft hindsight is a slippery slope.

              It was not as clear during that draft. I remember a few folks mentioning OG, but it wasn't unanimous by any means.
              OG was mentioned a lot in here. He was the guy that most Pacer fans wanted, especially since he played at IU. Now, granted. OG hasn't done better than the other guys that I mentioned there. So, even if PD got its pick and we signed OG we wouldn't have signed the BPA. But if you gave folks here a poll on who they wanted at the time, OG would have won it easily.
              Originally posted by IrishPacer
              Empty vessels make the most noise.

              Comment


              • #37
                Originally posted by owl View Post
                OG stats

                https://www.basketball-reference.com...anunoog01.html


                John Collins


                https://www.basketball-reference.com...collijo01.html


                Jarret Allen


                https://www.basketball-reference.com...allenja01.html


                Kyle Kuzma

                https://www.basketball-reference.com...kuzmaky01.html


                TJ Leaf

                https://www.basketball-reference.com.../leaftj01.html



                One thing stands out like a sore thumb in all those stats.......opportunity


                Of all these guys though John Collins stands out the most. Give Leaf 20-30 minutes and he scores and rebounds quite well too.
                Now, that I agree with. John Collins, Jarrett Allen and Kyle Kuzma have all had the opportunity to showcase their abilities. TJ Leaf hasn't had the opportunity. Those 3 were drafted in situations that gave them ample playing time while TJ Leaf is stuck behind a great big man rotation that has been bringing us a lot of wins. Had we drafted any of those 3, they wouldn't have played as much as they have played and they wouldn't be able to showcase their talents as much as they have done so far in their careers.

                OG Anunoby is the only one who could have gotten a comparable opportunity with us. Our SG/SF depth wasn't as great as our big man depth.
                Originally posted by IrishPacer
                Empty vessels make the most noise.

                Comment


                • #38
                  Originally posted by Nuntius View Post

                  OG was mentioned a lot in here. He was the guy that most Pacer fans wanted, especially since he played at IU. Now, granted. OG hasn't done better than the other guys that I mentioned there. So, even if PD got its pick and we signed OG we wouldn't have signed the BPA. But if you gave folks here a poll on who they wanted at the time, OG would have won it easily.
                  See, I actually remember it quite differently. I remember that draft being rather diverse in opinion, because it wasn't the deepest draft, and beyond the top 5 it was pretty much a wash. I remember OG being mentioned, and you're right, he might've been mentioned more than most, but it wasn't like other years where this forum had a pretty clear-cut 1-2 players we were keying on (which were never actually landed). That year was pretty ho-hum. I would also venture the claim that him being from IU raised his profile considerably around here, and still does.

                  OG btw, isn't exactly tearing things up. I mean, he's a decent player, good defender, sorta hard not to be with the physical tools he has, but he's a backup putting in 7 and 3 a game, it's not like we missed out on a franchise player. He'd still be behind Bojan. Collins went just behind Leaf, and he's done well for them. But 17 other teams passed on the kid, so again, there was nothing that said home-run about him. I remember his name a few times on the boards here, but it wasn't an overwhelming majority. And Kuzma? He came out of left field, I don't remember anyone mentioning him on here. I do remember Swanigan and Josh Hart and Frank Mason and Kennard and Adebayo all being thrown around a bit too, and frankly, none of these guys move the needle much for me to this day.

                  There is always going to be players that surprise everyone and do better than the guy you drafted, and Collins/Kuzma are that. If the league were to do a re-draft for that year, they are both possily top 5 picks. Yep, it woulda been nice to have them. But... there were clear reasons they both fell. It's just what it is. Kuzma in particular was a projected 2nd rounder and even projected to go undrafted. Lonzo was all the Lakers rage at the time, so when I first started watching their summer league games, I thought Kuzma was already a better player than Ball, and it shocked the crap out of me, I remember thinking they had a steal on their hands. A lot of times teams will think a guy will be there for them in a later round and then a team reaches and grabs them, and I kinda think that's what LA did with Kuz.

                  The main problem these days is just no fans are patient. If a player doesn't come in and immediately contribute, everyone writes them off --- immediately. And it's followed up with "that's just the way things are now" ,but that's not the truth. Players still take time to develop, and in some situations, there just isn't as much opportunity. Leaf has 1 season under his belt, and he's 21 --- of course he's going to see better days. I'm in no way proclaiming Leaf will definitely surpass these other guys, but I also don't for a second believe we've seen him at his best yet, and I think he'll be a pretty decent player in this league. There's a lot of guys drafted near where he was that I cannot say the same for.

                  For instance, despite his low play-time, did you know Leaf has the 7th best PER on the team behind our starters and Domas? Ahead of CoJo, and O'Quinn, and Tyreke and McBuckets, and Wes and Holiday. Leaf is ahead of all of those guys. Doesn't feel like it, does it? But there he is, 7th in PER but 13th in minutes. He's maybe a little better than most realize, he's just not getting enough floor time.
                  Last edited by Kid Minneapolis; 03-01-2019, 10:24 PM.
                  There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post

                    See, I actually remember it quite differently. I remember that draft being rather diverse in opinion, because it wasn't the deepest draft, and beyond the top 5 it was pretty much a wash. I remember OG being mentioned, and you're right, he might've been mentioned more than most, but it wasn't like other years where this forum had a pretty clear-cut 1-2 players we were keying on (which were never actually landed). That year was pretty ho-hum. I would also venture the claim that him being from IU raised his profile considerably around here, and still does.
                    OG being an IU player definitely raised his profile here. I 100% agree with that. I do think that the plurality of PD fans would pick him.

                    Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post
                    OG btw, isn't exactly tearing things up. I mean, he's a decent player, good defender, sorta hard not to be with the physical tools he has, but he's a backup putting in 7 and 3 a game, it's not like we missed out on a franchise player. He'd still be behind Bojan. Collins went just behind Leaf, and he's done well for them. But 17 other teams passed on the kid, so again, there was nothing that said home-run about him. I remember his name a few times on the boards here, but it wasn't an overwhelming majority. And Kuzma? He came out of left field, I don't remember anyone mentioning him on here. I do remember Swanigan and Josh Hart and Frank Mason and Kennard and Adebayo all being thrown around a bit too, and frankly, none of these guys move the needle much for me to this day.
                    I do agree with most of that (even though I like quite a few of those guys). It is definitely true that Kuzma came out of left field. I was mostly explaining why people look at Leaf the way they do. It doesn't necessarily reflect the way I look at him.

                    Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post
                    There is always going to be players that surprise everyone and do better than the guy you drafted, and Collins/Kuzma are that. If the league were to do a re-draft for that year, they are both possily top 5 picks. Yep, it woulda been nice to have them. But... there were clear reasons they both fell. It's just what it is. Kuzma in particular was a projected 2nd rounder and even projected to go undrafted. Lonzo was all the Lakers rage at the time, so when I first started watching their summer league games, I thought Kuzma was already a better player than Ball, and it shocked the crap out of me, I remember thinking they had a steal on their hands. A lot of times teams will think a guy will be there for them in a later round and then a team reaches and grabs them, and I kinda think that's what LA did with Kuz.

                    The main problem these days is just no fans are patient. If a player doesn't come in and immediately contribute, everyone writes them off --- immediately. And it's followed up with "that's just the way things are now" ,but that's not the truth. Players still take time to develop, and in some situations, there just isn't as much opportunity. Leaf has 1 season under his belt, and he's 21 --- of course he's going to see better days. I'm in no way proclaiming Leaf will definitely surpass these other guys, but I also don't for a second believe we've seen him at his best yet, and I think he'll be a pretty decent player in this league. There's a lot of guys drafted near where he was that I cannot say the same for.
                    100% agreed with all of that. Personally, I have no issue with the Leaf pick. I was just explaining what I've seen people post about the topic.

                    Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post
                    For instance, despite his low play-time, did you know Leaf has the 7th best PER on the team behind our starters and Domas? Ahead of CoJo, and O'Quinn, and Tyreke and McBuckets, and Wes and Holiday. Leaf is ahead of all of those guys. Doesn't feel like it, does it? But there he is, 7th in PER but 13th in minutes. He's maybe a little better than most realize, he's just not getting enough floor time.
                    PER is a statistic that usually favors bigs that shoot a high percentage, grab offensive rebounds and play limited minutes. It's why someone like Richaun Holmes can be 33rd in PER, ahead of Kemba, Butler and Westbrook -> http://insider.espn.com/nba/hollinger/statistics

                    I agree that Leaf is probably better than most people in here give him credit for but PER isn't the statistic I'd use to make his case.
                    Originally posted by IrishPacer
                    Empty vessels make the most noise.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
                      PER is a statistic that usually favors bigs that shoot a high percentage, grab offensive rebounds and play limited minutes. It's why someone like Richaun Holmes can be 33rd in PER, ahead of Kemba, Butler and Westbrook -> http://insider.espn.com/nba/hollinger/statistics

                      I agree that Leaf is probably better than most people in here give him credit for but PER isn't the statistic I'd use to make his case.
                      You look at that list though and see that generally speaking, it's pretty dead on, which might indicate that Holmes fella is doing alright.
                      There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Originally posted by Kid Minneapolis View Post

                        You look at that list though and see that generally speaking, it's pretty dead on, which might indicate that Holmes fella is doing alright.
                        I look at this list and I see that it clearly overvalues the offensive contributions of certain type of bigs. PER is usually fine when we're talking about guards and wings but guys like Gobert, Capela, Whiteside and Faried shouldn't be top 25 in a statistic that doesn't take defense into account. That's just wrong.

                        PS: Obviously, Holmes is doing alright and Leaf is having a pretty good season, imo. The issues that I have with PER as a statistic has nothing to do with these two.
                        Originally posted by IrishPacer
                        Empty vessels make the most noise.

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Originally posted by Nuntius View Post

                          It is definitely true that Kuzma came out of left field.
                          No, it's not. I distinctly remember I Love P being his usual cocky self in wanting Kuzma. Croz wanted Omari Spellman (among others), who was a good pick as well. I'm still not high on Leaf. I think I'd still prefer OG for his defense, but I concede that Leaf is showing improvement.


                          "He’s no shrinking violet when it comes to that kind of stuff."

                          - Rick Carlisle on how Kevin Pritchard responds to needed roster changes.

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Originally posted by DrFife View Post

                            No, it's not. I distinctly remember I Love P being his usual cocky self in wanting Kuzma. Croz wanted Omari Spellman (among others), who was a good pick as well. I'm still not high on Leaf. I think I'd still prefer OG for his defense, but I concede that Leaf is showing improvement.
                            I will be honest. I don't remember anyone mentioning Kuzma but that could just be my fault. I do remember people talking about Spellman as well as Bell.
                            Originally posted by IrishPacer
                            Empty vessels make the most noise.

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Originally posted by DrFife View Post

                              No, it's not. I distinctly remember I Love P being his usual cocky self in wanting Kuzma. Croz wanted Omari Spellman (among others), who was a good pick as well. I'm still not high on Leaf. I think I'd still prefer OG for his defense, but I concede that Leaf is showing improvement.
                              Okay, one guy mentioned it. Point still stands.
                              There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

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