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Post Trade Thoughts

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  • #31
    Re: Post Trade Thoughts

    Originally posted by docpaul View Post
    This is a tough one Able. Tinsley is clearly the player with the better pedigree, the higher expectations, the talk of All Star visits a couple of years ago. Stats that look pretty good compared to Armstrong.

    But don't you have that feeling in your gut that when Armstrong is in there, he just provides that spark? Feels like it to me at least. The only stat that I believe can attempt to quantify those non-tangible contributions is the +/-, and low and behold:

    http://www.nba.com/pacers/news/plus_minus_0607.html

    I think those data at least point to the possibility that DA is a better presence on the floor. Wish it weren't the case, but.. it is what it is.
    All the plus minus shows you is that when he is in, at times the team scores, and if not he's taken out.

    His energy is great, but something a PG can do 32-34 minutes a night, night in night out, 82 + games a seaons, no way.

    I love what DA brings when he's in, but as a backup.

    If he had to play the Billups, Nash, and other premier PG's night in and night out, for long stretches, his numbers would dwindle.

    There are 30 teams in this leage, there are more teams with a worse PG then ones with a better one.

    On top of all of that, JT as to not only overcome fans that dislike him because he doesn't wear his soul on his sleeve, but also a coach who still doesn't like him.
    So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

    If you've done 6 impossible things today?
    Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

    Comment


    • #32
      Re: Post Trade Thoughts

      Originally posted by able View Post
      All the plus minus shows you is that when he is in, at times the team scores, and if not he's taken out.

      His energy is great, but something a PG can do 32-34 minutes a night, night in night out, 82 + games a seaons, no way.

      I love what DA brings when he's in, but as a backup.

      If he had to play the Billups, Nash, and other premier PG's night in and night out, for long stretches, his numbers would dwindle.

      There are 30 teams in this leage, there are more teams with a worse PG then ones with a better one.

      On top of all of that, JT as to not only overcome fans that dislike him because he doesn't wear his soul on his sleeve, but also a coach who still doesn't like him.



      On top of all of that, JT as to not only overcome fans that dislike him because he doesn't wear his soul on his sleeve, but also a coach who still doesn't like him.[/quote]

      Wow! How did you arrive at the conclusion that Rick doesn't like Tins?
      Like you told the poster, you got proof of this or is this just a wild accusation that you have conjured up in your mind. I just happen to agree with the poster, the Pacers are better when Tins is on the bench.

      Comment


      • #33
        Re: Post Trade Thoughts

        Originally posted by able View Post
        All the plus minus shows you is that when he is in, at times the team scores, and if not he's taken out.

        His energy is great, but something a PG can do 32-34 minutes a night, night in night out, 82 + games a seaons, no way.

        I love what DA brings when he's in, but as a backup.

        If he had to play the Billups, Nash, and other premier PG's night in and night out, for long stretches, his numbers would dwindle.

        There are 30 teams in this leage, there are more teams with a worse PG then ones with a better one.

        On top of all of that, JT as to not only overcome fans that dislike him because he doesn't wear his soul on his sleeve, but also a coach who still doesn't like him.
        Fair enough. Hopefully DA will continue to be potent as that backup spark. I think at the end of the day that I've really tried hard to give Tinsley a fresh attempt this year, as he's seemed to be somewhat unhappy over the past couple of years. I think he's genuinely attempted to be more consistent with PT, and to be a little more reliable as a presence on the team. Coming in that game early in the year when he was clearly under the weather, and playing clutch meant a lot to me as a fan at least. He played as if he had something to prove that night. I'd personally like to see that more during routine games. Kind of like what we see from DA.

        I think what most people truly care about at the end of the day though, is the final outcome, and I believe that given the current lineup, there's not really much else to blame underwhelming results on. PG is the team's weakness at this point, and Tinsley really has an opportunity to show why he deserves to be the starter, and deserving of fan's respect/praise.

        Someone who gives a damn about being on the team would ask for nothing more. I think it's up to him now.

        Comment


        • #34
          Re: Post Trade Thoughts

          Originally posted by docpaul View Post
          Fair enough. Hopefully DA will continue to be potent as that backup spark. I think at the end of the day that I've really tried hard to give Tinsley a fresh attempt this year, as he's seemed to be somewhat unhappy over the past couple of years. I think he's genuinely attempted to be more consistent with PT, and to be a little more reliable as a presence on the team. Coming in that game early in the year when he was clearly under the weather, and playing clutch meant a lot to me as a fan at least. He played as if he had something to prove that night. I'd personally like to see that more during routine games. Kind of like what we see from DA.

          I think what most people truly care about at the end of the day though, is the final outcome, and I believe that given the current lineup, there's not really much else to blame underwhelming results on. PG is the team's weakness at this point, and Tinsley really has an opportunity to show why he deserves to be the starter, and deserving of fan's respect/praise.

          Someone who gives a damn about being on the team would ask for nothing more. I think it's up to him now.
          Do you enjoy watching the game more when JT is the pg or when DA is the pg? The last game I didn't care if the pacers won just watching DA bring the team back was enjoyable for me. We have been making excuses for JT for years. Some have to do with ability and some health related. We are stuck with JT because no one is going to give us any one any better. JT just hasn't got what it takes to be a consistent above average player. that's it; it's not his fault that he is just average. I believe he was drafted late in the 1st round and in his case that was where his talent was.

          Comment


          • #35
            Re: Post Trade Thoughts

            Originally posted by able View Post
            Uhhhh can you please show the numbers to back that up?

            over the year,

            Darrel:
            PPG 4.2 16.128
            RPG 1.5 5.76
            APG 1.8 6.912
            SPG .81 3.110
            BPG .10 0.384
            FG% .418
            FT% .730
            3P% .325
            MPG 12.5 48



            Jamaal:

            PPG 12.5 19.478
            RPG 3.5 5.436
            APG 6.3 9.786
            SPG 1.59 2.469
            BPG .44 0.683
            FG% .381
            FT% .704
            3P% .313
            MPG 30.9 48

            Their shooting percentage is pretty close, considering everything I would say that JT might not look better in your eyes, but on paper and on the court he remains the better PG, certainly if you consider that most his stats are v starters

            First of all, I wasn't comparing Jamaal to Darrell. I'm comparing the team's play with/without Jamaal in the lineup. Secondly, to use the term "better" to describe team play runs the risk of being too subjective, so no stat I show you will (dis)prove that. I could pull the team's FG%, TO rate, and defensive FG% and points scored and compare the two figures, but then there are other factors (which is why I don't get into +/- that much). But, to me, it's subjectively obvious that the team has been playing better when he is not in the lineup, especially lately. The ball moves better, there's more energy, there's less dribble penetration, and so on. I can't think of a single facet of the game that is better with Tinsley in the lineup. Can you disagree with that?

            I'm definitely not making a case of DA vs. JT here. I'd be perfectly content if Darrell didn't shoot anything other than layups. By the end of the year he'll barely be able to get the ball to the rim with his torn rotator cuff. And we can't expect him to play well in the playoffs if he has to keep exerting this much energy. Ideally, Tinsley will get his act together and play basketball like he did in his rookie season. But that's ideal, and probably nothing more.

            Comment


            • #36
              Re: Post Trade Thoughts

              I might've argued that it's subjectively obvious the ball doesn't move because of JO and Rick, not Jamaal, but I've already reached my basketball post quota for the month.......
              PSN: MRat731 XBL: MRat0731

              Comment


              • #37
                Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                First of all, I wasn't comparing Jamaal to Darrell.
                This is of course in contradiction with:
                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                I'm comparing the team's play with/without Jamaal in the lineup.
                If not a comparison between Jamaal and Darrel then why didn't you say others, and you are then basing your entire premise on 1 game. which is incorrect for starters, "every fool.....(etc)"
                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                Secondly, to use the term "better" to describe team play runs the risk of being too subjective, so no stat I show you will (dis)prove that. I could pull the team's FG%, TO rate, and defensive FG% and points scored and compare the two figures, but then there are other factors (which is why I don't get into +/- that much). But, to me, it's subjectively obvious that the team has been playing better when he is not in the lineup, especially lately.
                Again, Tinsley has missed one game, so you have seen our starters play 1 game partially with DA, I would suggest that "subjective" is an understatement in that case.
                There are "5 man +/- stats, which have Tinsley in 8 of the 10 best playing lineups, and in the first 6 for good measurement, seems that hard facts do not support your subjective assessment.
                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                The ball moves better, there's more energy, there's less dribble penetration, and so on.
                I must have missed that part, if you are talking about the game v Miami, which can be your only sample with DA playing v starters, then I politely disagree, DA might get 0.6 more of a steal per game, if both would play 48 minutes, but he gets overrun just as hard, and gambles more on defense, with sometimes disastrous results.
                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                I can't think of a single facet of the game that is better with Tinsley in the lineup. Can you disagree with that?
                without a problem can I disagree with that, and not only I can, perhaps everybody around the team as well, seeing as Tinsley is still the starting PG adn Rick has shown over the years to have no problem benching JT unlike some other players.
                You also seem to forget that the statistical "truth" you derive from one game and "the backup time" DA played, is that once again there is a whole new starting 5 out there, where 2 players have been constant this season, Tinsley and JO, the bench on the other hand has had very little variation, in other words DA has a "comfortlevel" with those players, hence the few passes Tins throws that are not caught by for instance Murphy and Dunleavy, neither player knows how fast the ball is coming and Tinsley doesn't know enough to know where those players are comfortable receiving the ball; examples, ball to the corner to Murphy through his hands, he hardly saw it, good pass nonetheless, Murphy to Tins, ball back straight away, Murph not ready (though in this one I'm not sure it wasn't Dun).
                Those are plays that will go smooth in a few weeks time.
                Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                I'm definitely not making a case of DA vs. JT here. I'd be perfectly content if Darrell didn't shoot anything other than layups. By the end of the year he'll barely be able to get the ball to the rim with his torn rotator cuff. And we can't expect him to play well in the playoffs if he has to keep exerting this much energy. Ideally, Tinsley will get his act together and play basketball like he did in his rookie season. But that's ideal, and probably nothing more.
                Perhaps the change of coaching made the difference in his play, perhaps there's not enough synergy between the coach and player(s)
                Tinsley has made an effort to play all games, and has missed only 1 game this season, he has played 33 min avg, has a very good Ast/TO ratio, and his EFF rating is #3 on this team, behind only JO and Murphy.

                I fail to see where you made your point other then subjective and since I do not see things with your eyes, I can not adhere to that.

                Originally posted by MagicRat View Post
                I might've argued that it's subjectively obvious the ball doesn't move because of JO and Rick, not Jamaal, but I've already reached my basketball post quota for the month.......

                To bad, I would've loved to read that
                So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

                If you've done 6 impossible things today?
                Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

                Comment


                • #38
                  Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                  Originally posted by able View Post
                  This is of course in contradiction with:

                  If not a comparison between Jamaal and Darrel then why didn't you say others, and you are then basing your entire premise on 1 game. which is incorrect for starters, "every fool.....(etc)"

                  Like I said, I'm not comparing Jamaal with Darrell; I'm not sure why you spent half of a post trying to counter that.

                  I'm comparing team play when Jamaal is in with team play when Jamaal is out.

                  Jamaal has been playing subpar nearly all season. But it's been especially noticeable since late December, and became very visible in our first game against Dallas.



                  Originally posted by able View Post
                  There are "5 man +/- stats, which have Tinsley in 8 of the 10 best playing lineups, and in the first 6 for good measurement, seems that hard facts do not support your subjective assessment.

                  .....without a problem can I disagree with that, and not only I can, perhaps everybody around the team as well, seeing as Tinsley is still the starting PG adn Rick has shown over the years to have no problem benching JT unlike some other players.
                  Well I guess everybody around the team would also disagree that Al played poorly too, since he also remained in the starting lineup.

                  By the way, Rick has never benched Tinsley. Kenny Anderson was given the starting job in Rick's first year as coach and Kenny was benched in favor of Tinsley after a stretch of excellent play.



                  Originally posted by able View Post
                  You also seem to forget that the statistical "truth" you derive from one game and "the backup time" DA played, is that once again there is a whole new starting 5 out there, where 2 players have been constant this season, Tinsley and JO, the bench on the other hand has had very little variation, in other words DA has a "comfortlevel" with those players, hence the few passes Tins throws that are not caught by for instance Murphy and Dunleavy..............

                  I fail to see where you made your point other then subjective and since I do not see things with your eyes, I can not adhere to that.
                  Okay, I'll try it objectively. I don't have a lot of time to sift through games, but if someone wants to add, please feel free. I picked the first quarter of the Miami game for comparison, since I remembered Tinsley coming out at the 6 minute mark (halfway through the quarter). Here are some stats for you:


                  --------------------------------------------------------------
                  With Tinsley in the lineup:

                  Possessions: 12

                  8: Possessions with 1 pass
                  2: Possessions with 2 passes
                  1: Possessions with 3 passes
                  1: Possessions with 4 or more passes

                  0 Fast Breaks


                  With Tinsley out of the lineup:

                  Possessions: 11

                  3: Possessions with 1 pass
                  2: Possessions with 2 passes
                  2: Possessions with 3 passes
                  4: Possessions with 4 or more passes

                  3 Fast Breaks
                  -------------------------------------------------------------




                  So there you're looking at around 19 passes in 12 possessions with Jamaal in the lineup and 29 passes in 11 possessions with Jamaal out of the lineup. 0 fast breaks with Jamaal in the lineup and 3 with Jamaal out of the lineup. 6 of 11 of Jamaal's passes went to Jermaine, on which he shot twice. 3 went to Murphy. 2 total passes from Jamaal went to the wing players.



                  Originally posted by MagicRat
                  ... Originally Posted by imawhat
                  Did you know that his first pass to Mike Dunleavy was in the middle-late 3rd quarter (at least that's the first I saw)?...


                  You must've gone for snacks at precisely the wrong times......
                  Apparently I went for snacks at 7:34 in the 1st and 5:11 in the 2nd, because those were the only two passes that Jamaal threw to Mike Dunleavy in the entire first half.

                  On the first substitutions for Jamaal in the first and second quarters, a total of three passes were thrown to Mike Dunleavy in the first 10 seconds by the point guard. And he was just as open and in great position to make a play in both situations.

                  But Jamaal did throw it to a completely surrounded Jermaine O'Neal while Mike was wide open with an opportunity to drive or pass to a wide open Granger/Murphy, and twice the ball was deflected from Jermaine.

                  Jamaal ended up passing to Mike Dunleavy a whopping total of 6 times for the entire Miami game. And for what it's worth, I've yet to see a single pass from Tinsley to MDJ or TM that has been mishandled.






                  able, my sample is very small, but I can guarantee that you could expand that sample into the past month and you'll find a significant difference in ball movement, fast breaks, and distribution with Jamaal in and out of the lineup. Like I said, the ball moves better and the players want to run when Jamaal is not in the lineup. And defensively, I'm not sure how anyone can question that Jamaal is the sole cause of opponents' dribble penetration. We've seen in the past month that opponents are getting to the hoop, even without running a pick and roll, and that all starts with the point guard.



                  I want to know which facet of the game that you think is better when Jamaal is in the lineup. Because for now, I don't see one.

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                    In the six games since the trade was announced, JO is shooting .396 from the field. What's up with that? Are they forcing the ball into him because they don't know what else to do with it? Isn't Murphy's jump shot supposed to open up the floor for Jermaine? Prior to the trade he was shooting .460 now his average has fallen to .449.
                    I'm in these bands
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                    • #40
                      Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                      Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                      By the way, Rick has never benched Tinsley. Kenny Anderson was given the starting job in Rick's first year as coach and Kenny was benched in favor of Tinsley after a stretch of excellent play.
                      I believe that JT was the starting PG the season before KA arrived, and (KA) was handed the starting position striaght away.
                      Miek bringing JT in and JT singlehandedly bringing us almost back to a win from (if memory serves me) 28 down, was why he got "more" minutes after that and the starting pos back few games later.

                      It is called "benching" if that happens to a starter.

                      Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                      Okay, I'll try it objectively. I don't have a lot of time to sift through games, but if someone wants to add, please feel free. I picked the first quarter of the Miami game for comparison, since I remembered Tinsley coming out at the 6 minute mark (halfway through the quarter). Here are some stats for you:


                      --------------------------------------------------------------
                      With Tinsley in the lineup:

                      Possessions: 12

                      8: Possessions with 1 pass
                      2: Possessions with 2 passes
                      1: Possessions with 3 passes
                      1: Possessions with 4 or more passes

                      0 Fast Breaks


                      With Tinsley out of the lineup:

                      Possessions: 11

                      3: Possessions with 1 pass
                      2: Possessions with 2 passes
                      2: Possessions with 3 passes
                      4: Possessions with 4 or more passes

                      3 Fast Breaks
                      -------------------------------------------------------------




                      So there you're looking at around 19 passes in 12 possessions with Jamaal in the lineup and 29 passes in 11 possessions with Jamaal out of the lineup. 0 fast breaks with Jamaal in the lineup and 3 with Jamaal out of the lineup. 6 of 11 of Jamaal's passes went to Jermaine, on which he shot twice. 3 went to Murphy. 2 total passes from Jamaal went to the wing players.





                      Apparently I went for snacks at 7:34 in the 1st and 5:11 in the 2nd, because those were the only two passes that Jamaal threw to Mike Dunleavy in the entire first half.

                      On the first substitutions for Jamaal in the first and second quarters, a total of three passes were thrown to Mike Dunleavy in the first 10 seconds by the point guard. And he was just as open and in great position to make a play in both situations.

                      But Jamaal did throw it to a completely surrounded Jermaine O'Neal while Mike was wide open with an opportunity to drive or pass to a wide open Granger/Murphy, and twice the ball was deflected from Jermaine.

                      Jamaal ended up passing to Mike Dunleavy a whopping total of 6 times for the entire Miami game. And for what it's worth, I've yet to see a single pass from Tinsley to MDJ or TM that has been mishandled.
                      I sincerely suggest you watch that game again, there are at least 3 passes that "go through the hands" )TM twice, MD once "at least".

                      Last night (Det) MD was the recipient of 3 passes in rapid succession in the beginning of the game, he went 0-3 despite being open.

                      A PG not throwing the ball to "new" players is not strange, they may be out of position, the passing lane mightbe closed despite the player being "open" and so on, familiarity of "where they want the ball" is also very important, better to go "safe" then to "risk" another turnover.

                      Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                      able, my sample is very small, but I can guarantee that you could expand that sample into the past month and you'll find a significant difference in ball movement, fast breaks, and distribution with Jamaal in and out of the lineup. Like I said, the ball moves better and the players want to run when Jamaal is not in the lineup. And defensively, I'm not sure how anyone can question that Jamaal is the sole cause of opponents' dribble penetration. We've seen in the past month that opponents are getting to the hoop, even without running a pick and roll, and that all starts with the point guard.
                      Guess that is why Billups had 3 outstanding games against us.


                      Originally posted by imawhat View Post
                      I want to know which facet of the game that you think is better when Jamaal is in the lineup. Because for now, I don't see one.
                      Simple answer: every facet of the game is better.
                      So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

                      If you've done 6 impossible things today?
                      Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                        Originally posted by able View Post
                        There are 30 teams in this leage, there are more teams with a worse PG then ones with a better one.

                        There was a big poll on realgm about pg rankings in the NBA about a week ago and Tinsley ended up between 15 and 25 on most people's list, on average I'd say 18-19.

                        Apparently, Tinman is seen as a worse than average starting pg by the broad public nowadays.

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                          Originally posted by Michigan central st. View Post
                          There was a big poll on realgm about pg rankings in the NBA about a week ago and Tinsley ended up between 15 and 25 on most people's list, on average I'd say 18-19.

                          Apparently, Tinman is seen as a worse than average starting pg by the broad public nowadays.
                          You are here refering to the same "broad public" that voted for the All Star starters right ?

                          QED
                          So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

                          If you've done 6 impossible things today?
                          Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                            No, I'm not.

                            Behind the apparent trolls you probably find the widest spectrum of interested NBA fans at realgm. The people that click the NBA page and send in their votes, possible on a daily basis, can probably be seen as a broad public in a wider sense than the average realgm poster who, correctly, would have prefered Nash and Dirk in the starting 5 of the allstar game as well as the last MVP going to Dirk or Bron and not Nash.

                            I think its safe to say that a poll like that will give a fair impression of what the NBA fans think of the players in the league, and there is no reason to feel hurt because Tinman is seen as a slightly below average starting pg just because you are a huge fan. Your opinion of him doesn't change because of this, does it?

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                              I think something else that we badly need is a pure shooter, particularly a 3 point shooter.

                              I think we have become a better shooting team with the trade, but some of the new guys are still streaky at best.

                              If we get into half-court slog ball, and they collapse on JO, we have some good mid-range guys to help open it up, but I am not confident we have a consistent long-range threat.
                              When you're playing against a stacked deck, compete even harder. Show the world how much you'll fight for the winners circle. If you do, someday the cellophane will crackle off a fresh pack, one that belongs to you, and the cards will be stacked in your favor.
                              -Pat Riley

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                              • #45
                                Re: Post Trade Thoughts

                                Originally posted by Michigan central st. View Post

                                I think its safe to say that a poll like that will give a fair impression of what the NBA fans think of the players in the league, and there is no reason to feel hurt because Tinman is seen as a slightly below average starting pg just because you are a huge fan. Your opinion of him doesn't change because of this, does it?
                                For the fact that polls and fair impressions are totally mutually exclusive, and the fact that realgm is mutually exclusive to both those words you assessment is way off.

                                I have been called a fanboy, a hater, a eurohater, ad bushbasher, a democrat, a socialist, a jackson fan, an artest fan, a JO fan, a Miller fan.
                                And now in your (unwanted) attempt at sarcasm I am called a "Huge Tinsley fan" who's feeling might be hurt by the "fair impression" of the outcome of a "poll" (notice the lack of words such as "scientific, statistical corrected") on "realgm".

                                It is attitudes like this that formed the bases for the decision to "come down hard" on "demeaning posts"

                                If you can not stay within bounds, please leave.
                                So Long And Thanks For All The Fish.

                                If you've done 6 impossible things today?
                                Then why not have Breakfast at Milliways!

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