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2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

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  • #46
    Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

    Originally posted by presto123 View Post
    You are right Sookie but this team has been a turnover machine all year. Is something finally going to click with the lazy passes and bad decision making? I sure hope so because we don't beat the Heat if we keep turning the ball over like this.
    I posted this on the RealGM boards but I'll paste it here as well:


    Allow me to step in as a Pacers fan here.

    It's definitely true that the Pacers are prone to turn the over. BUT!

    Indiana allowed the less fast break points per game out of any other team in the NBA. We also forced our opponents to the worst fast break efficiency in the league.

    Here are the metrics:

    http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...eak-efficiency

    (Indy is #1 at 1.327, Atlanta is #2 at 1.401, Miami is #3 at 1.454, Boston is #4 at 1.478, Washington is #5 at 1.537)

    http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...oints-per-game

    (Indy is #1 at 10, Atlanta and Miami are tied for #2 at 11.6, New York and Boston are tied for #4 at 11.8)

    That's due to two reasons.

    1) Our transition D is great.

    2) While we do tend to turn the ball over a lot those turnovers are mostly of the dead ball variety. We committ offensive fouls, we throw the ball in the 10th row etc. etc.

    The point is that we don't really give the opponent the opportunity to run.

    The Pacers committed 9 turnovers in the first game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 1 fast break point.

    The Pacers committed 12 turnovers in the second game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 6 fast break points.

    The Pacers committed 16 turnovers in the third game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 6 fast break points.

    Now, I'm well aware that the Heat coast in the regular season so I don't expect the same thing to happen in the post-season if my team advances in the next round.

    The sole reason of this post is to fix the misconception that just because we turn the ball over we're vulnerable against teams that run. In reality, we have managed to contain fast break points like no other team in the RS.
    Originally posted by IrishPacer
    Empty vessels make the most noise.

    Comment


    • #47
      Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

      Originally posted by Nuntius View Post
      I posted this on the RealGM boards but I'll paste it here as well:


      Allow me to step in as a Pacers fan here.

      It's definitely true that the Pacers are prone to turn the over. BUT!

      Indiana allowed the less fast break points per game out of any other team in the NBA. We also forced our opponents to the worst fast break efficiency in the league.

      Here are the metrics:

      http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...eak-efficiency

      (Indy is #1 at 1.327, Atlanta is #2 at 1.401, Miami is #3 at 1.454, Boston is #4 at 1.478, Washington is #5 at 1.537)

      http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...oints-per-game

      (Indy is #1 at 10, Atlanta and Miami are tied for #2 at 11.6, New York and Boston are tied for #4 at 11.8)

      That's due to two reasons.

      1) Our transition D is great.

      2) While we do tend to turn the ball over a lot those turnovers are mostly of the dead ball variety. We committ offensive fouls, we throw the ball in the 10th row etc. etc.

      The point is that we don't really give the opponent the opportunity to run.

      The Pacers committed 9 turnovers in the first game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 1 fast break point.

      The Pacers committed 12 turnovers in the second game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 6 fast break points.

      The Pacers committed 16 turnovers in the third game of their season series against the Heat. The Heat scored 6 fast break points.

      Now, I'm well aware that the Heat coast in the regular season so I don't expect the same thing to happen in the post-season if my team advances in the next round.

      The sole reason of this post is to fix the misconception that just because we turn the ball over we're vulnerable against teams that run. In reality, we have managed to contain fast break points like no other team in the RS.
      Good post Nuntius. Even if the Heat don't score on our turnovers we are missing offensive possessions when we turn the ball over. Being that this team struggles to score the ball from time to time possessions will be a premium in this series. I really hope that is a main focus by the coaching staff going into this series.

      Comment


      • #48
        Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

        I'm going into it with an open mind and confident that, at very least, we are primed to make this series very competitive. If we can get consistently similar play from Lance (not 25 a game, just steady, aggressive, attacking offense and defense), I think it might neutralize Wade's overall impact, or even exceed it if he's not 100%.

        We're going to have to have thick skin and short memories, of course. And the defense has to to remain at this level. The prospect of a Cole - DJ matchup off the bench makes me cringe a bit as far as athleticism/speed. Hopefully that's limited minutes. Battier cannot go off from distance.
        I'd rather die standing up than live on my knees.

        -Emiliano Zapata

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        • #49
          Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

          I didn't think we would beat NY because of our depth and lack of ability to go small. I was wrong about that, but I think the same thing about the Heat, but this time even more so. How do we contend with Chalmers, Allen, Wade, LeBron and Joel Anthony, for example?

          Here's the deal. We have lost a LOT of quality on the wing with Granger, DJones and BRuish being replaced by Green, Young and that OJ guy who never plays. Green isn't worth discussing. Young can't guard anyone on the Heat without fouling. Our guys are going to get tired and need help...but I question the help available. Sam Young may be the only guy to give Paul and Lance a breather and that has me worried.

          Comment


          • #50
            Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

            I believe the Pacers can and will win this series. People comment about how will Roy defend Bosh's three point shooting but I think Roy should step out and shoot a couple threes just to change the conversation. lol He can hit them and it would open the lane for Lance. Roy is a great passer too.

            PG will find his shot in Miami. Tyler will be back and Ian and Pendy will have good games.

            Pacers in 6.

            Comment


            • #51
              Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

              Love this team, so proud they are where they are. I still just don't think they have the horses to win this race, though. Augustin & Mahinmi have shown they can find a spark on the odd night. But you know foul trouble is going to rack up with the way the Heat play, and can you imagine if Vogel is forced to give extended minutes to guys like Hansbrough, Green? Or just non-spot duty minutes to Augustin, Mahinmi & Young?

              Maybe someone surprises me. I don't know. But while I think the Pacers' starting 5 can match or trump the Heat's starting 5, I see so many potential negative minutes sitting on that bench, that might be forced into extended action once the whistles start blowing.

              Basically: Pacers are gonna have to play the most disciplined ball of their lives, and Vogel is going to have to coach the series of his life.

              Comment


              • #52
                Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                We can win this. But the most likely outcome is Miami in 5 or 6. If we win it will be because of low turnovers and epic defense and rebounding. The bench changes were made with Miami in mind (length, size), and the two home wins versus Miami were when they tended to show up this year. Ian over Lou is a huge thing. I've given up on Green, but Sam can provide defense and rebounding if he really sticks to playing within himself.

                By the way, quietly Roy Hibbert was managing to play way more minutes per game than he usually does in this Knicks series. If he can give us 38+ minutes per game against Miami without being in constant foul trouble, that's a big, big deal.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                  Originally posted by Hicks View Post
                  By the way, quietly Roy Hibbert was managing to play way more minutes per game than he usually does in this Knicks series. If he can give us 38+ minutes per game against Miami without being in constant foul trouble, that's a big, big deal.
                  I think this is something like 75% of determining this series, actually.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                    I agree with vnzla81

                    If the Pacers get a win out of the first two in Miami, they can win in 6.

                    Otherwise, I have Miami in 7, because I truly believe we can win the home court games.
                    BillS

                    A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
                    Or throw in a first-round pick and flip it for a max-level point guard...

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                      Get Bosh in foul trouble like Chandler, and that Leaves just Lebron, with an ailing D. Wade.

                      Another thing That's going to be interesting, if the Heat win and move on to play Memphis, is that the Heat will have had 3 series in a row against the same team. I wonder if they will hold up, or eventually fold. Just thought that was an interesting dynamic.

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                        Originally posted by Kstat View Post
                        To be clear: this is NOT a game thread. This is intended as a random thoughts/media thread for anything related to this series, since we've got some time before game 1....and on a selfish note, I felt kind of odd if I didn't make an ECF thread this year.

                        I did promise a looooong time ago, that if you ever got to the finals I'd root for you. I don't think you'll win this series, but I won't be heartbroken if you prove me wrong, either.

                        Congratulations, everyone. You earned it.
                        That sums up my feelings as well. I think the Pacers will be lucky to win one game against the Heat but if they do, I will be as excited as anyone.

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                          The more I think about this series the more faith I have in us winning it. I am getting closer and closer to 50% chance. Right now I'm at a 35% chance. We have the best possible combination to contain LBJ with PG guarding him and Hibbert down low. LBJ can't hit those fade away jumpers as consistently as Melo. It Stephenson can frustrate Wade that will help. No one on their team can guard West if he shows up to play all series. We do need to limit TOs which could be our biggest issue. But I take Hill over Chalmers any day. The one time they beat us this year Bosh and Chalmers shot much better than their usual performances. We CAN do this.

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                            Originally posted by presto123 View Post
                            Good post Nuntius. Even if the Heat don't score on our turnovers we are missing offensive possessions when we turn the ball over. Being that this team struggles to score the ball from time to time possessions will be a premium in this series. I really hope that is a main focus by the coaching staff going into this series.
                            True. Dead ball turnovers are still turnovers. We still lose possession and the possession battle is terribly important. But we don't let them score in transition at least. That's the point I was trying to address here.
                            Originally posted by IrishPacer
                            Empty vessels make the most noise.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                              Michael Wallace ‏@WallaceNBA_ESPN 37s

                              Ordeal today reminds me of last week when media types got Wade 2 react 2 "people who counted you out, said you're done."
                              Collapse

                              Michael Wallace ‏@WallaceNBA_ESPN 2m

                              LeBron's response: "I don't understand what he's saying. We're not just another team. Not true. We're a great team."
                              Expand

                              Michael Wallace ‏@WallaceNBA_ESPN 1m

                              Vogel said Heat "just the next team" in front of them. LeBron was asked about Vogel saying Heat were "just another team"
                              Expand
                              Michael Wallace Michael Wallace ‏@WallaceNBA_ESPN 37m

                              LeBron took media bait today and fired back at Pacers coach Vogel for something that seemed taken out of context.
                              Expand
                              Last edited by Sandman21; 05-19-2013, 02:05 PM.
                              "Nobody wants to play against Tyler Hansbrough NO BODY!" ~ Frank Vogel

                              "And David put his hand in the bag and took out a stone and slung it. And it struck the Philistine on the head and he fell to the ground. Amen. "

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                Re: 2013 Eastern Conference Finals: (1) Miami vs. (3) Indiana

                                Originally posted by Hicks View Post
                                By the way, quietly Roy Hibbert was managing to play way more minutes per game than he usually does in this Knicks series. If he can give us 38+ minutes per game against Miami without being in constant foul trouble, that's a big, big deal.
                                it is a big deal. im not sure the minutes Hibbert played last postseason vs Miami but i would venture to guess 32. if memory serves correctly Vogel went with the bench quite a bit last postseason... maybe too much. Coach has seemed to have changed that philosophy entirely this time around. He is relying heavily on the starters.

                                Hibbert appears to be hitting on all cylinders right now. to be honest i didnt expect him to play so well offensively vs Chandler. he never really has in previous meetings. maybe Chandler is not full strength but i dont think it matters. Hibbert has been a monster since the all star break on defense and now his offense is rolling as well. the spin 360 was just awesome.

                                he is finally REBOUND DUNKING in peopols faces. Hibbert has become a leader for this FRANCHISE. its just awesome to see how much Big Roy has progressed in really only 2 seasons. Coach Vogel and Shaw have really been instrumental in helping Big Roy become the player he is today.


                                one of the biggest concerns at this time i have for the upcoming series is how Coach Vogel and Shaw will have Hibbert defending Bosh. ideally West on Bosh is a favorable matchup for us. Hibbert on Haslem keeps Roy in the lane. when the Heat go smallball i guess we have to take our chances with Bosh shooting from the permiter. Ian needs to play big for us this series off the bench.

                                our bigs should manhandle the heat. im expecting Hansbrough to play huge this round. he gets up for the heat and this is a contract series for him.

                                X factor for this series:

                                Stephenson vs Wade - Stephenson either has it out for the heat or just dwade in general but from previous meetings this season Wade did not seem to enjoy gaurding Stephenson one bit. Stephenson matches up very well with DWade and i believe Lances knows it. hell i was for playing lance last postseason over barbosa and the dismal shooting he provided that series. imo lance really matches up with DWADE almost perfectly. granted wade will go off at some point but im saying it right now.. if we got any chance of winning this series we will need lance to basically lock down and frustrate d wade every possession. I believe he will. i expect a huge series from Lance defensively on Wade.

                                in some ways it feels as though lance is finally becoming a part of this starting 5. it became evident in the ATL series. often its really been 4 guys operating on offense and lance an afterthought. i dont think that is how it is any longer.. west, hibbs, hill, paul all realize they need lances abilties on the offensive end.

                                Heat are not playing the same team from last postseason regardless of what they the players, the media, or heat fans believe. basically fans beliefs are same gameplan as last postseason + Bosh. granted Bosh is a huge additon but these Pacers are stronger and more cohesive as a team than before. everyone has there role down to a science. and we are a much better TEAM than last season.

                                Hill is more comfortable with his teammates and where to get them the ball, plus with the offensive rhythem overall. Paul has stepped up his game and has now locked down defensively on josh smith and carmello anthony for 12 straight games. earliere in the season james posted paul with ease. james will be about half as successful this series as he was in the regular season. in many ways facing the knicks was a good tune-up for us vs the heat with Paul gaurding an elite scorer who works from the post in Melo.

                                West another year healthier. Plus I believe West is due for some big games this series. Hibbert what more can you say about this guy that already has not been said. He is stronger and in much bettter conditioning than he was last time we played these guys in the postseason.

                                Spolstera will not be able to hold Coach Vogel and Shaws jock this series.


                                Bench:

                                Forget Green. all wing minutes go to Sam Young. If we get postseason DJ over regular season DJ were in good shape at backup point. Hansbro, Mahnimi can give us solid bench minutes.


                                this is our NBA Finals right here. Beat the Heat and we can win it all. im probably making a homer prediction here but i think we beat these guys in 6.

                                im calling it right now. Lance is going frustrate D Wade this series like weve never seen before. Lance is up for the challenge whereas D Wade seems too hobbled to me. has he faced any defense this postseason. no way wiht the bucks and bulls had no one left off their bench to even bother wade... belini cant play d or rip hamilton.

                                lance is going to shut wade down. lebrons gonna have his hands full himself with paul george.

                                Pacers in 6

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