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3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

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  • 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

    DESTROY THE DISNEYS!
    No longer a Redickulous Thought...



    -VS-



    Game Time Start: 7:00 PM ET
    Where: Amway Arena, Orlando, FL
    Officials: E. Malloy, K. Fitzgerald, M. Kogut

    Media Notes: Indiana Notes, Orlando Notes
    Television: FOX Sports Indiana / FOX Sports Florida
    Radio: WFNI 1070 AM / WDBO 96.5 FM
    NBA Feeds:

    REMINDER: Per PD policy, please do not share a link to, describe how to search for, request a link to, or request a PM about streaming video of a NBA game that is not coming directly through the NBA. Not even in a "wink-wink, nudge-nudge, know-what-I-mean" round-about sort of way. Thank you


    38-23
    Away: 13-16
    East: 25-13
    17-45
    Home: 9-23
    East: 7-30
    Mar 10
    Mar 13
    Mar 15
    Mar 16
    6:00pm
    7:00pm
    7:00pm
    7:30pm
    HIBBERT
    WEST
    GEORGE
    STEPHENSON
    HILL
    VUCEVIC
    NICHOLSON
    HARKLESS
    AFFLALO
    NELSON


    PACERS
    Danny Granger - sore knee (out)



    MAGIC
    Glen Davis – fractured left foot, (out)
    Hedo Turkoglu – NBA suspension (out)




    Jared Dubin: Celtics Use the Elbows to Take Out Pacers

    The Indiana Pacers have the league’s best defense. Between personnel and scheme, they
    make it extremely difficult for opposing offenses to score efficiently for any extended
    period of time.

    The Boston Celtics have one of the league’s worst offenses. Their 100.4 O-Rtg–per
    NBA.com–ranks just 21st in the league. It should come as no surprise, then, that the
    Celtics posted just a 93.3 O-Rtg in their game against the Pacers last night.

    Boston shot 41.0% from the field, which is right around the average for Indiana
    opponents this season, per NBA.com. The one area of the court they did have success is
    one they’ve been looking to exploit more often with Rajon Rondo out for the season, and
    also one where the Pacers are thought to be at least a little bit vulnerable: the mid-range
    area near the elbows, from which they shot 50%.


    Indiana’s defensive strategy when guarding pick-and-rolls involves having their bigs–Roy
    Hibbert, David West, Ian Mahinmi–hang back to meet guards in the lane either at or
    below the free throw line. In conjunction with this, they have their wing players stay
    home on three-point shooters; Indiana would prefer to give up a mid-range jumper off
    the dribble as opposed to a catch-and-shoot three. It’s a good strategy that has worked
    extremely well this season: the Pacers rate as the best team in the league in opponents’
    field goal percentage in the restricted area and on corner threes–widely considered the
    two most important areas of the court to defend in today’s increasingly analytically-
    inclined NBA–and their opponents have attempted the fifth and third fewest shots from
    those locations, respectively.

    However, as ESPN The Magazine’s Jordan Brenner noted recently in an incredibly
    detailed piece on the Portland Trail Blazers analytics department
    , that strategy can
    sometimes leave holes in the Indiana defense for open mid-range jumpers. Though they
    aren’t normally high value shots for most teams, Boston is an exception to the rule.
    They take far too many mid-range shots, but the Celtics also connect on the second-
    highest percentage of any team in the league on those attempts, per NBA.com. Kevin
    Garnett and Brandon Bass aren’t huge threats diving to the rim on pick-and-rolls, but
    they can float to the space above the free throw line and nail jumpers with the best
    of them.


    And that’s exactly what they did last night. On each of the four plays above, a Celtic big
    man–whether it be Garnett or Bass–sets a screen, then just kind of floats in the area
    above the free throw line waiting for a pass. Each time, the Pacer guarding the screener
    –either Hibbert or West–sinks back into the lane to defend against the drive while the
    player being screened recovers, at which point Hibbert or West first makes a move to
    go back to his man. The result was four wide open jumpers, and four makes. Boston
    roll men went 5-for-7 from the field in the game, with Garnett also getting a dunk and
    missing two jumpers (one contested, one open) at the end of the shot clock.

    Pick-and-roll ball-handlers for the Celtics shot just 5-for-15 in the game, but 4 of those
    makes came near the elbows, to go with only 4 misses. Again, Indiana’s defensive
    system is designed to force those types of shots, but if a team gets hot from that area,
    it can make the Pacers pay.


    On the first play above, the ball eventually gets swung to Avery Bradley in the corner,
    where he kicks off a side pick-and-roll. The Pacers, as most NBA teams do these days,
    attempt to “down” it, forcing the ball-handler back toward the baseline and away from
    the middle. You can see West jump out on the high side of the ball-handler, looking to
    cut off his driving lane, but he gets there too late, and Bradley turns the corner and
    wind up with an elbow jumper.

    The second set is...CONTINUE READING AT HOOP CHALK

    Jared Wade: What's your NBA 'FICO' score?

    A caricature of how NBA teams use analytics could be an unshaven Daryl Morey
    sitting alone in a laboratory feeding statistics through some Rube Goldberg
    computer contraption programmed to calculate wins. But there is a whole other
    side to how franchises crunch data that has nothing to do with basketball
    statistics -- it’s strictly business.

    In 2013, teams use analytics to increase their bottom lines as much as they do
    to boost their win totals.

    The Orlando Magic, for example, knew that ticket demand would nose-dive after
    they traded Dwight Howard. But Orlando's gate revenue is down just 3.3 percent
    this season compared to 2010-11, according to team vice president of business
    strategy Anthony Perez, who spoke on a ticketing panel during the 2013 MIT
    Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston.

    Compared to the related fall in the secondary resale market for tickets, which
    Perez said has dropped 28 percent, the sales team seems to be doing well.
    Although fewer people are coming to games (1,322 fewer fans per game from
    a franchise-high average of 18,972 two years ago), Orlando has gotten better
    at squeezing money out of its building.

    “Our goal is not to sell out games necessarily,” said Perez. “We're trying to
    maximize revenue.”

    To do this, the Magic and many other teams have adopted a sales practice
    commonly used by energy companies, hotels and airlines but relatively new
    in sports: dynamic pricing.

    For several years, NBA teams have charged different prices for tickets
    depending on the opponent or the day of the week. This season, the Magic
    have taken it a step further, using data-intensive software models to adjust
    prices in real time as market demand ebbs and flows.

    Just like gas prices.

    This is far from the only way teams are using analytics to drive revenue.
    Data has become vital to selling season tickets, which Amy Brooks, senior
    vice president of the NBA, called the “most critical part of our business”
    during an MIT Sloan panel session.

    To predict which customers are likely to purchase ticket packages, the NBA
    assigns each fan in its database what Brooks calls an "NBA FICO" score, a
    term coined for its similarity to consumer credit ratings. This number (from
    1 to 100) can be determined by any number of factors: age, income, home
    ownership, season-ticket buying history, distance from the arena, games
    attended, purchases made on NBA.com, number of stadiums visited, League
    Pass subscription renewals. The goal is to gauge the revenue potential the
    league can expect from a fan buying full or partial season-ticket packages.

    If John Hollinger had devised the formula, it would be called the fan's BER
    (Buyer Efficiency Rating).

    Given that the average NBA team has 100,000 leads, according to Brooks,
    cold-calling is a daunting proposition. So the more teams know about each,
    the more they can sell.

    "We love behavioral data," Brooks said. "We want to automate this as much
    as possible."

    This more than anything is why teams are phasing out paper tickets in favor
    of digital entry passes that force fans to reveal so much information about
    themselves...CONTINUE READING AT TRUEHOOP




    Pacers
    Mike Wells @MikeWellsNBA
    Jared Wade @8pts9secs
    Tim Donahue @TimDonahue8p9s
    Tom Lewis @indycornrows


    Magic
    Brian K. S @MagicInsider
    Joshua Robbins @joshuabrobbins
    Eddie Rivera @erivera7
    Evan Dunlap @BQRMagic
    This is the darkest timeline.

  • #2
    Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

    I expect to see the Pacers win tonight. I'm interested in seeing the Magic's young players Vucevic, Harkless, Nicholson, and Harris play tonight.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

      I expect nothing less than a blowout. We gotta send a message that we haven't went soft.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

        Originally posted by 31Since1990 View Post
        I expect nothing less than a blowout. We gotta send a message that we haven't went soft.
        They're another team we just never seem to able to blow out. I expect to be up 10 all game, yet still be incredibly frustrated that we can't blow them out.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

          Originally posted by Goyle View Post
          They're another team we just never seem to able to blow out. I expect to be up 10 all game, yet still be incredibly frustrated that we can't blow them out.
          The key is if the Pacers are up 10 in the 4th, they don't need to get all 3 happy. Sometimes I think they get caught up in trying to go for the knock out by hitting some 3s and they get themselves out of their gameplan.

          It is also a good thing that Big Baby isn't playing because for some reason our 7 footers can't stop him.

          Also this:
          Last edited by The Sleeze; 03-08-2013, 03:55 PM.
          I know "Sleeze" is spelled incorrectly. I spell it this way because it's based on a name.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

            There needs to be a change in how the Pacers offense runs in the fourth quarter. Lance and Paul need to take an equal amount of shots during that part of the game, especially if its close. The offense is stagnant when Lance is just standing by the 3 point line during the second half of most games.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

              I still believe that we match up horribly with the Magic
              Originally posted by IrishPacer
              Empty vessels make the most noise.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                Really, all this is necessary? Good grief.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                  lol. that is a tech?
                  Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    I may be biased brut I don't think Paul George did anything wrong there. Big time overreaction by afflalo

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                      lmao Hill doesn't know his own strength like Diener??
                      Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                        "A forgettable sequence by Al Harrington" hahaha
                        Peck is basically omniscient when it comes to understanding how the minds of Herb Simon and Kevin Pritchard work. I was a fool to ever question him and now feel deep shame for not understanding that this team believes in continuity above talent.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                          Originally posted by BornReady View Post
                          "A forgettable sequence by Al Harrington" hahaha
                          It was really horrible. He has to forget it soon for the sake of his sanity.
                          Originally posted by IrishPacer
                          Empty vessels make the most noise.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                            Gotta be happy with that.
                            https://twitter.com/DrogsNavan

                            Change is neither good or bad, it simply is.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: 3/8/2013 Game Thread #62: Pacers Vs. Magic

                              Tyler hits a jumper
                              Originally posted by IrishPacer
                              Empty vessels make the most noise.

                              Comment

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