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Thread: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

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    Default 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    WITNESS THIS!



    -VS-



    Game Time Start: 7:00 PM ET
    Where: The Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
    Officials: T. Washington, O. Poole, Z. Zarba

    Media Notes: Indiana Notes, Miami Notes
    Television: FOX Sports Indiana / Sun Sports / ESPN
    Radio: WFNI 1070 AM / WAXY 790 AM
    NBA Feeds:

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    Season Records: (W-L)
    27-19
    Home: 17-3
    East: 15-10
    29-13
    Away: 11-10
    East: 14-8
    Upcoming Games:
    Feb 04
    Feb 05
    Feb 06
    Feb 08
    vs
    vs
    at
    vs
    7:00pm
    7:00pm
    7:00pm
    7:00pm

    Projected Starting Lineup:
    HIBBERT
    WEST
    GEORGE
    STEPHENSON
    HILL
    Projected Starting Lineup:
    BOSH
    DJANGO
    JAMES
    WADE
    CHALMERS



    PACERS
    Danny Granger - left knee tendinosis (out)



    HEAT
    Nada


    Perpetually Disappointing Trader Joe Minimally Relevant Video:


    Semi-Relevant Video:



    ESPN:
    Fill in the blank: ESPN doubleheader

    What do we make of the four teams heading into Friday night's national spotlight (ESPN,
    7 p.m. and 9:30 p.m. ET)? Our team thinks deep about the Heat, Lakers, Pacers and
    Timberwolves, as well as the league at large.

    1. The Miami Heat are __________.

    Danny Chau, Hardwood Paroxysm: Counting down the days until April. If there is any
    team with a legitimate on/off switch, it's the Heat. The team has the fourth-best record
    in the league, but it feels like a disappointment. But when the playoffs arrive -- when
    the team will be able to devise team-specific strategies and matchups -- we'll start
    seeing the genius of last season emerge again.

    Aaron McGuire, Gothic Ginobili: Coasting. Some defending champions emerge from
    their championship primed to obliterate the league in their title defense. Miami is
    emphatically not one such team; they prefer the Phil Jackson route. Of course, it barely
    matters. They're still great enough to take half the nights off and stay healthily atop a
    poor Eastern Conference. Still coasting, though.

    Benjamin Polk, A Wolf Among Wolves: Biding their time. The season is long; the
    Eastern Conference is soft; the champs know this. As these Heat jaunt through the
    playoffs, I would not be the least bit surprised to see their defense slowly become the
    suffocation machine that it was last season.

    Jared Wade, 8 Points, 9 Seconds: The only team in the East worth taking seriously.
    The Knicks were great early, the Nets have been riding a wave since they canned
    Avery Johnson, the Pacers have a world-class defense, and the Bulls could beat
    anyone if Derrick Rose comes back healthy. But all these "contenders" are a clear tier
    below the reigning champs.

    Michael Wallace, ESPN.com: Right on schedule. What other team that has been in
    first place in either conference this season has been as criticized as much as the Heat?
    Yes, the defending champs will have bouts of boredom, stints of less-than-stellar play
    and a few mind-boggling losses. But as long as they remain relatively healthy through
    the rigorous regular season, they're fine.

    2. The Los Angeles Lakers are __________.

    Chau: Making some riveting television. Kobe has assumed a new character, and things
    were going remarkably well with the increased ball movement. But like any good
    drama, it never lasts, and the last few minutes are never predictable. Every game has
    become a matter of life or death in the standings and it's must-see TV, no matter
    where your allegiance lies.

    McGuire: Blundering. What else do you call a team that thoroughly outplays the West's
    best team one night and gives up a 21-4 run to squander a 13-point 4th-quarter lead
    against one of the worst teams in the league not two days later? Inconsistent,
    incoherent and tough to crack.

    Polk: Really hoping that Dwight Howard's shoulder is OK. It's true that Howard is
    nowhere near the MVP-caliber destroyer he was before his back surgery and also
    that he hasn't exactly assimilated into the cutthroat, grim-faced culture of Kobe Bryant.
    But its also true that, without Howard, the Lakers' defense goes from mediocre to
    nightmarishly bad.

    Wade: Toast. If they weren't in the West, they might have a chance to turn this
    around, limp into the playoffs and advance to the conference finals. But even if the
    Lakers do play a postseason series in April, it will be against a heavyweight team they
    can't beat.

    Wallace: Disjointed. Disappointing. Disturbing. Pick a word that starts with "d" and it
    probably applies. Well, with the exception of "defense." At this pace, the Lakers
    will produce the most disappointing season in recent pro sports history, based on
    expectations. When Michael Beasley is lighting you up, all hope is gone.

    3. The Indiana Pacers are __________.

    Chau: Ready for Danny Granger to return. There's no guarantee his incorporation
    will be a smooth one, but the team needs him. Whether it means Lance Stephenson --
    a pleasant surprise for Indiana this season -- being demoted to sixth man, or Granger
    assuming that role himself, the Pacers are in dire need of a boost in their weak second
    unit.

    McGuire: Plodding, above all else. The Pacers have been many things this season.
    Disappointing to shocking. A punching bag to an elite unit. Dominant to docile. Through it
    all? They've been one of the slowest-paced teams in the entire league, a plodding bunch
    that grinds out tough wins and kills their opponents' spirit.

    Polk: In desperate need of...CONTINUE READING 5-ON-5 AT ESPN


    Hardwood Paroxysm:
    Kyle Soppe: Correlation Between NetRtg and Quarter

    What quarter deserves the most attention when trying to draw a link between NetRtg
    (points scored per 100 possessions minus points allowed per 100 possessions) and
    dwinning? What does it take to be number one?

    In each season, beginning with the 2007-2008 campaign, the most linked quarterly
    Rtg (offensive or defensive) was the first quarter. A poor DefRtg in the first 12 minutes
    resulted in the highest Loss Correlation in each of the past five seasons.

    Also, fans like to obsess over the fourth quarter scoring (How often have you heard,
    “Kobe is the most clutch player of all time” or early in his career “LeBron freezes up
    down the stretch and couldn’t finish a game is his life depended on it”?), but is that
    really all that important? The average Win Correlation for OffRtg (how directly tied the
    game result is to the number of points scored per 100 possessions) is lower in the
    fourth quarter than the average of quarters one through three in every single season
    since 2007. This stat indicates that the offensive efficiency prior to the fourth quarter
    is consistently more crucial to winning that what a team does in the final 12 minutes.

    In fact, if you’re still going to look at the fourth quarter as the most crucial of quarters,
    you’re better off looking at the defensive efficiency. In three of the five seasons studied,
    the average Loss Correlation for DefRtg was higher in the fourth quarter than the average
    of the first three quarters three times.

    When analyzing the data from the past five seasons, it becomes obvious that games are
    won in the early going, as opposed to the final few minutes. Success is ultimately
    determined by victories and the wins leader (Lakers with 277) has the greatest
    cumulative first quarter NetRtg (48.2) over the last five seasons. Coincidence? I think not.

    The total number of wins by the quarterly NetRtg leader decreases as you progress
    through the game. But this trend isn’t only true for the elite teams, it holds true for the
    NBA as a whole. The top 17 teams in terms of wins over the last five seasons are the
    exact same 17 teams that lead the way in cumulative first quarter NetRtg. Here is a look
    at how each team stacked up in total wins and cumulative NetRtg by quarter since 2007.










    Further disproving the myth of fourth quarter efficiency and its overall importance is the
    overall trend of the top teams in NetRtg and the bottom teams in NetRtg . Now, one must
    acknowledge the fact that blowouts do play a role in the late game data and not the early
    game stats, but with five years of games (394 games per team), the vast majority of
    games are competitive throughout. Even during a game which has for all intensive
    purposes been decided with considerable time left on the clock, both teams will turn to
    their reserves, thus not skewing the data a whole lot. Take a glance at the trend of the
    best team/worst team in terms of cumulative NetRtg by quarter.




    As you can see, the worst team in the league (in terms of cumulative NetRtg) improves as
    the game progresses while the best team gets worse. The gap from the best team to the
    worst team shrinks from 94.5 in the first quarter to 59.4 in the fourth stanza, a 37.1%
    drop off.

    With all of this data surrounding...CONTINUE READING AT HARDWOOD PAROXYSM



    140 Characters of (Non-PD) Coverage


    Pacers
    Mike Wells @MikeWellsNBA
    Jared Wade @8pts9secs
    Tim Donahue @TimDonahue8p9s
    Tom Lewis @indycornrows


    Heat
    Brian Windhorst @windhorstESPN
    Tom Haberstroh @tomhaberstroh
    Ira Winderman @iraheatbeat
    Joseph Goodman @miamiheraldheat
    This is the darkest timeline.

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    PROUD 2 B A PACERS FAN! xtacy's Avatar
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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    man i have been too busy lately couldn't pay attention to the team for a week now. finally it's over. so excited for this game. go pacers!

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Sickening how many Miami fans are in the crowd. It drives me crazy how many effing bandwagon fans are in this state.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat


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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Brian Windhorst ‏@WindhorstESPN
    At 42%, Pacers' Roy Hibbert has lowest FG% of any center who has played at least 20 games this season.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    This is a big game, the Pacers are wearing pinstripe unis!
    "We've got to be very clear about this. We don't want our players hanging around with murderers," said Larry Bird, Pacers president.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Django...lol

    Can't see us winning this game tbh.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Why do they punish us with Jon Barry?

    I'm sure there will be plenty of Miami Heat circlejerking tonight, we're just lucky we're not playing Chicago...

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Obviously I want us to win, but I think we'll be lucky if this game is close. Expecting a big game from LeBron.

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    Default

    I hate the fact that even though I have league pass, I'm forced to endure Jon Barry... Ugh.
    Read my Pacers.com Guest Blog:
    "Area 55 Conquers Staples Center"

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    I'm flipping back and forth between sunsports and espn until I decide which one to stick with.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    With the way Miami has been playing lately I don't expect this game to be close, I also expect 20+ TO's for the Pacers, lets see.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    1st TO for the Pacers.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Quote Originally Posted by vnzla81 View Post
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    1st TO for the Pacers.
    1st TO for the Heat.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Quote Originally Posted by vnzla81 View Post
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    With the way Miami has been playing lately I don't expect this game to be close, I also expect 20+ TO's for the Pacers, lets see.

    Glad to be wrong, Pacers only had 14 TO's

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Quote Originally Posted by vnzla81 View Post
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    Glad to be wrong, Pacers only had 14 TO's
    I can't remember the exact #s but somebody on twitter during pregame pointed out how Miami's win % goes up BIG when they force 15+ TOs. part of that's obvious, more TOs is clearly a better chance to win, but it was a really big disparity.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
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    I can't remember the exact #s but somebody on twitter during pregame pointed out how Miami's win % goes up BIG when they force 15+ TOs. part of that's obvious, more TOs is clearly a better chance to win, but it was a really big disparity.
    Yeah they are usually able to get easy points by forcing TO's.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    The Heat will want a win tonight. They aren't going it to make it easy.

    We have to do what we did in the previous game. Take advantage of the interior and out-rebound them like hell. Some big 3s would help as well.

    Tonight, all flags must burn, in place of steeples.
    Autonomy must return into the hands of the people.

    Panopticon

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    CJ Watson - 20 points on 6/10 shooting!

    13/4/2014

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    Member LoneGranger33's Avatar
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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    David West versus the Heat.

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    West
    Tonight, all flags must burn, in place of steeples.
    Autonomy must return into the hands of the people.

    Panopticon

    -------------

    CJ Watson - 20 points on 6/10 shooting!

    13/4/2014

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Lance
    Tonight, all flags must burn, in place of steeples.
    Autonomy must return into the hands of the people.

    Panopticon

    -------------

    CJ Watson - 20 points on 6/10 shooting!

    13/4/2014

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Lance!!!!!!!!

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    Great break, Lance
    Tonight, all flags must burn, in place of steeples.
    Autonomy must return into the hands of the people.

    Panopticon

    -------------

    CJ Watson - 20 points on 6/10 shooting!

    13/4/2014

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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    ...And que the child porn chants.
    "What you do is so loud, I can't hear what you say" -Andrew Luck
    "If you turn the other cheek, I'm gonna hit you in the other cheek, too" -Charles Barkley
    Freshman at the University of Louisville
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    Default Re: 2/1/2013 Game Thread #47: Pacers Vs. Heat

    I ****ing HATE Lebron.
    "What you do is so loud, I can't hear what you say" -Andrew Luck
    "If you turn the other cheek, I'm gonna hit you in the other cheek, too" -Charles Barkley
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