LOOKING LIKE A GAME
THREAD. HOW U...
Game Time Start: 7:00 PM EST
Where: Air Canada Centre, Toronto, ON
Officials: B. Spooner, D. Guthrie, M. Lindsay
Media Notes: Indiana Notes, Toronto Notes
Television: FSIN, TSN
Local Radio: WIBC 93.1 FM
NBA Feeds:NBA Audio League Pass (available free to NBA All-Access members)
NBA League Pass Broadband (subscription req'd)
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Season Records: (W-L) 0-0 Away: 0-0
0-0 Home: 0-0
Upcoming Games: Nov 02 Nov 03 Nov 05 Nov 07 at vs at at 7:00pm 7:00pm 8:30pm 7:30pm
Projected Starting Lineup: HIBBERT WEST GEORGE GREEN HILL Projected Starting Lineup: VALANCIUNAS BARGNANI FIELDS DEROZAN LOWRY
Danny Granger - sore left knee (out indefinitely)
George Hill - hip pointer (day-to-day)
Andrea Bargnani - flu (probable)
Minimally Relevant Video:
Eight Points, Nine Seconds Review: Tim Donahue: Pacer Hot and Cold Spots...
Last year, we took a look at where the Pacers took their shots as a way to prep for
the season This year, we’re going to leverage stats provided by the NBA to do the
same exercise. First, let’s take a look at the team’s overall shooting in 2012:
Indiana Pacers – 2012 Regular Season
At 43.8%, the Pacers ranked towards the bottom of the league in shooting – 24th,
to be exact. As you can see, Indiana was either below or well below average from
all shooting zones but one. Their struggles inside 8 feet were especially damaging
to the overall percentage. Only six teams took more shots in this area, but only
one team (Cleveland – 51%) shot worse than the Pacers’ 52%. Had Indiana been
able to convert at the league average of 55.2% in this range, it would have moved
their overall shooting percentage over 45%, raising them to 12th in the league
Another interesting find can be made by looking at the shot distribution:
Indiana Pacers – 2012 Regular Season Shot Distribution
The floor balance here is impressive. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of the Pacers’
attempts came up the middle, while 21% came from the right side, and 21% from
the left. Over the 66 regular season games last season, Indiana only took 11 more
attempts from the right side than the left. The Pacers hit almost 49% of their shots
up the middle – .500 eFG% – but that was buoyed by the shots inside 8 feet.
Removing that gives the Pacers an eFG% of .433 up the middle. They were slightly
stronger from the right (.443), and much weaker from the left (.390).
This kind of balance carried on into the playoffs:
Indiana Pacers – 2012 Playoff Shot Distribution
Once again, the Pacers lived on the centerline – 53% of their shots coming up the
middle – while their use of each side was virtually identical with the other. Of the
409 “side” shots attempted, 205 came from the right and 204 from the right.
Indiana Pacers – 2012 Playoffs
While the 42.4% shooting is worse than the regular season, it’s actually good for
middle of the pack (8th of 16) in the playoffs. This time, they were below or well
below average in every shooting zone. They still weren’t great inside 8 feet, but
their 53.5% was just a tick below the 53.8% average in the playoffs. What killed
the Pacers was dropping from over 37% three-point shooting in the regular season
– 5th in the NBA – to 32% in the playoffs.
There’s not a lot of reason to believe there will be significant changes in the Pacer
offense this season, so it will be interesting to see if they can improve their
accuracy inside, and stabilize their shooting touch from beyond the arc. Both will
be crucial to Indy’s success in 2013.
Now, let’s take a look at the individual players.
Danny Granger – 2012 Regular Season
The 2012 regular season was Granger’s worst shooting performance of his career,
posting lows in both FG% (.416) and eFG% (.481). However, it truly was a tale of
two seasons...CONTINUE READING AT 8p9s
Raptors Republic Preview: Gameday: Pacers @ Raptors Oct. 31
The Raps will host the Pacers, a strong team that finished third in the East last year
at 42-24. Let’s break down the…
Tale of the Tape, 2011-12
Point Guard – Advantage: Toronto
The Raptors solidified this position early in the offseason and are ready to reap the
rewards after a summer of anticipation. Lowry isn’t in the elite class, but he’s safely in
the second tier, while Hill and Augustin are both in the Calderon mold of being strong
backups but sub-optimal starting options. Neither Pacer guard should be able to contain
Lowry, while this is a point guard duo that lacks in size, negating one advantage
opposing point guards can usually hold over Lowry.
Wings – Advantage: Draw
Normally this would be a huge advantage for the Pacers, but Danny Granger is out
indefinitely with a left knee problem. His absence makes the Pacers relatively thin on
the wing, and while George is the best of any of the wing players in this game, Green
is their only other option. If DeRozan can get to the line at the rate he was in the
preseason (yes, save for that last game), he should be able to improve his scoring
efficiency enough to have legitimate value, although this says nothing of his defense
and rebounding. Fields is the anti-DeRozan, doing just about everything other than
scoring at a high level. Fields will likely draw the George match-up defensively, and
DeRozan may have trouble with George’s size on the offensive end.
Bigs – Advantage: Pacers
The advantage here is only slight, as while Hibbert is one of the best centers in the
game now, West looked a bit past his prime last season. If West can bounce back, this
is a dangerous front-court duo with complementary offensive talents. West will be a
tough guard for Bargnani, and Hibbert may be able to get Valanciunas to foul, but if
this goes to the benches the Raptors have an advantage. Gray can body up on Hibbert,
but Amir and Davis will essentially be useless on him, surrendering far too much size,
and as such will be used on West (Bargnani would have to body up Hibbert) or when
Mahinmi and Psycho T check in.
The Pacers are a very strong team, but without Granger their offensive creation can
suffer a fair amount...CONTINUE READING AT RAPTORS REPUBLIC
Ball Don’t Lie Preview: Ball Don’t Lie’s 2012-13 NBA Season Previews: The Indiana Pacers
We continue with the suddenly-relevant Indiana Pacers.
Kelly Dwyer's Kilt-Straightener
The up and coming Indiana Pacers have taken in a real pat-on-the-head treatment of
late, and this is something that the team is just going to have to endure. The idea of
the Pacers as a second round staple was jarring enough to NBA fans last season, even
after the team's strong showing in a first round loss the year before, and within days
that same slack-jawed fandom we associate with suddenly had to get used to the idea
of the Pacers possibly knocking off a Miami Heat team that eventually turned into a
champion. The Heat put a dampened comforter on that brush fire, but not before
Indiana got pretty rowdy for a while.
The noise was deserved, and the offseason was pretty damn goofy for a team that
seemingly just needed to keep it together from May until November.
Casting out Larry Bird and David Morway can't accurately be described as a regime
change, not when the replacements in Donnie Walsh and Kevin Pritchard worked with
both and appear to think along the same lines as Bird and Morway, but it is a change
above all caveats. Pritchard seems a passionate personnel man, but questionable
practices and decisions in Portland plague him; and his salary cap work during the
2012 offseason was strange...CONTINUE READING AT BALL DON'T LIE