I thought Pendy was guaranteed?Point guards (2) - George Hill, DJ Augustine
Wings (5) - Paul George, Danny Granger, Gerald Greene, Lance Stephenson, Orlando Johnson
Bigs (5) - David West, Roy Hibbert, Ian Mahimni, Tyler Hansbrough, Plumlee
That is 12 guys who will be on the roster, unless there's a trade.
Too much depends on Lance Stephenson with this scenario, not that he can't do it, its just not proven.
So, that leaves these guys trying to fill the last spots.
Jeff Pendergraph, Sam Young, Sundiata Gaines, and Ahearn.
You have to have a 3rd point guard, that is either Gaines or Ahearn. So that is one of the spots, imo. This puts you at 13.
If Lance isn't ready and Orlando Johnson is a rookie, you need another wing. I think thats Sam Young, imo, you could do alot worse. This puts you at 14.
You should try to have 6 bigs, just for injuries. You can look at the break down between Centers and PFs on the existing team and you have enough guys who supposedly can play either position, at times. Roy, Mahinmi, Plumlee at center. D West, Hansbrough, and Mahinmi at PF. So you are okay there. I think they keep Pendergraph too, though, just to have enough bodies. Also, they love Pendergraph in the lockeroom and how hard he works, so that helps him. (I'm skeptical of this, since he looked okay to bad in summer league, but still). That is 15.
I think they'd rather not carry 15 and keep only 14 to keep flexibility if they want to make a move going forward. However, with the structure of the team I think they keep all 15 and the only decision is between Gaines and Ahearn. I think that comes down to how bad Ahearns defense is or how great his shooting is. I think Gaines is the pick since he's just a solid all around proven 3rd NBA caliber Point Guard.
Wildcard #1 - Lance looks like he's ready for a break through season and they feel like you don't need to carry those extra guys as insurance.
Wildcard #2 - Sam Young is the only one out of those 4 that has an actualy chance to beat out guys in front of him and be a rotation player. Gaines/Ahearn are #3 Point Guards, not beating out Hill and DJ Augustine. Pendergraph isn't beating out the rotation bigs in front of him. Sam Young has to beat out Lance and Orlando to start to get minutes in a 10 man rotation...that doesn't seem impossible, at all.
Final Roster going into the first game would look like this, I think (pending other moves, of course).
Point guards (3) - George Hill, DJ Augustine, Sundiata Gaines
Wings (6) - Paul George, Danny Granger, Gerald Greene, Lance Stephenson, Sam Young, Orlando Johnson
Bigs (6) - David West, Roy Hibbert, Ian Mahimni, Tyler Hansbrough, Miles Plumlee, Jeff Pendergraph