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The Hammer comes to Philly

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  • #16
    Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

    Originally posted by GrangeRusHibbert View Post
    West = Brand (Both washed-up ex-All-Stars. West is a little more well-rounded, while Brand is superior at the typical PF role [rebounding and blocking shots])
    While Brand is clearly not close to what he was in his prime saying that David West is washed up is total B.S. West is still one of the better power forwards in the NBA. Not sure what you have been watching.

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

      My view is the following:

      DC = Jrue (DC could probably be better but I guess that Jrue is in a funk so they will even out eventually)

      George > Meeks

      Granger = Iguodala (similar to DC = Jrue)

      West > Brand

      Hibbert > Hawes (that said, Hawes has been impressive this year)

      Also, I agree that their bench is better in overall. Lou Williams and Evan Turner. Lou Williams is averaging 21.4 PPG and 5.0 APG per 36. Evan Turner is averaging 12.6 PPG, 8.5 RPG and 4.1 APG per 36 (and he is an effing guard).

      Thaddeus Young is a good player but his numbers per 36 are close to Tyler so we have a tie here. Nikola Vucevic actually has better numbers per 36 (he could be a double-double machine)

      Anyway, their bench may be better talent-wise but our bench has some really nice defensive chemistry. We just lack the scoring punch off the bench that they have. Of course, GH3 was injured for a long time.

      I'd feel a good with a match up with them. We are both good and young teams
      Originally posted by IrishPacer
      Empty vessels make the most noise.

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

        Excuse me while I continue to revel in the misfortunes of others.
        Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
        I wanted to address this one specifically.

        1-4 in their first 5 with OKC to come. Not so nice for the home record. Funny how all those double digit home wins stopped happening.
        So last night made it officially 1-5 in those tough HOME games, as they lost to OKC.

        Funny how drastically different their home record and overall record looks now that the schedule has started to balance out for them. With the road trip catching up to them as well they are 3-8 in their last 11. The 3 wins were road games vs CLE, DET, and CHA. They haven't won a home game since Feb 6th vs the Lakers. They went 2-5 at home for the month of FEB.

        March for them could easily be another below .500 month at home, with 3-6 a realistic possibility (depending on the turn around of the Knicks and Boston; real or illusion). March is actually a "light" road month with more home games for them, but 3-4 on the road seems likely with trips to CHI, IND, NYK and SA.

        April has some easier road opponents, but only 4 home games compared to 10 road games. They have a 4 games in 5 nights section with the only home game being ORL to start it off. The last 2 are NJ and TOR but by then it's the end of non-stop travel for a week.

        They have a back to back to back in April that is road-home-road and the home game is hosting the Pacers (woo-hoo). And then they get the honor of not playing another home game after that.

        That's right, with 5 games remaining after that the Sixers end their home portion of the season on the 17th, some 9-10 days before the end of the season. They end with 4 road games in 6 nights.


        Feel the burn chumps.
        Maybe it shouldn't make me happy but it does.

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        • #19
          Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

          Great work.

          Any thoughts on New York and Orlando?
          This space for rent.

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

            Some good points and opinions on the Pacers vs Sixers thing, even where I don't agree exactly. I think in general we all feel like the Pacers starters is a win and the Sixers bench is a win.

            Luckily in the playoffs it's typically starters-heavy which favors Indy.

            May not matter if Boston and NY catch them, which at 3 games out is very possible. If the Sixers live up to the March/April schedule that would cut into their 6 games over .500 mark by 3 or 4 games at least, leaving them around .500. NY and Boston could match that, especially since they play them so much in the next 2 months (and Indy).

            That would leave them at 8th and done for the year basically.


            As others have said, the key is to hold off Orlando and hold a possible 3 seed.

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

              Hey I called this! http://www.pacersdigest.com/showthre...20#post1364320
              There are two types of quarterbacks in the league: Those whom over time, the league figures out ... and those who figure out the league.

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              • #22
                Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                Originally posted by Anthem View Post
                Great work.

                Any thoughts on New York and Orlando?
                Per the end of my last post I need to go pull it and look, primarily the Magic.

                The Knicks can catch Philly, but the Pacers March/April is basically the flip of the Sixers. The Pacers started out with a lot of what Philly is ending with.

                Quick look at the Magic shows 2 3 game road trips still, but not much else. Their schedule is not quite Pacers home friendly, but fairly reasonable and balanced. They have their share of road tough games like Miami and the Spurs, but they also have several home games against some of their tougher competition (like the Sixers or tonight's Thunder game which they are winning by 10 right now).

                They have an @CHI, IND, MIA, @SA stretch, but they get rest in there with 2 days off after CHI and a day off between IND and MIA games. Most of their schedule looks like that - easy teams just when they need it or days off during tougher stretches.

                It really looks like a 2 team race to see who gets that 3rd slot and who drops to 5. Of course 5 will play the weaker division winner, NY, BOS or PHI and will have home court if they have the better record, which will be true if you are facing 3rd or 5th as an outcome with ORL.

                home court vs the 6th seed - ATL, NY, BOS, PHI
                or
                home court vs the 4th seed - NY, BOS, PHI

                It's not really as bad as I thought when I first started typing this. The problem is round 2 where 5 = MIA and 3 = CHI. Both are tough but I'd rather see the Pacers catch CHI due to matchups and last year's series.
                Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 03-01-2012, 10:19 PM.

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                • #23
                  Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                  For a minute there, I thought this dude was coming to Philly...
                  ...Still "flying casual"
                  @roaminggnome74

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                    Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                    ....The problem is round 2 where 5 = MIA and 3 = CHI. Both are tough but I'd rather see the Pacers catch CHI due to matchups and last year's series.
                    I've said this in another thread, but if we can't get the 3 seed than we are better off being the 6 seed. I would rather play the Bulls in the second round than be the 4 or 5 and get home court advantage in the first only to lose to Miami in the second round.
                    I know "Sleeze" is spelled incorrectly. I spell it this way because it's based on a name.

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                    • #25
                      Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                      Originally posted by Roaming Gnome View Post
                      For a minute there, I thought this dude was coming to Philly...
                      Come on man, we already did all this in the other thread.



                      Anyway, w00t THUNDER, great come back on the Magic. The Pacers thank you for bringing some 4th quarter hammer to the Magic.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                        Interesting fact about winning percentage in close games:

                        The Pacers are 6th in the league with a winning percentage of 70%. The Sixers are tied with the Bobcats at the 28th spot by winning only 25% of their close games.

                        Here's the top 10:

                        1) Houston Rockets 85.7%

                        2) Miami Heat 80%

                        3) Atlanta Hawks 77.8%

                        4) Los Angeles Lakers 76.9%

                        5) Oklahoma City Thunder 75%

                        6) Indiana Pacers 70%

                        T7) Los Angeles Clippers 63.6%

                        T7) San Antonio Spurs 63.6%

                        9) Memphis Grizzlies 58.3%

                        10) Chicago Bulls 57.1%

                        Here's the bottom 5:

                        T25) Milwaukee Bucks 33.3%

                        T25) Toronto Raptors 33.3%

                        T25) Detroit Pistons 33.3%

                        T28) Philadelphia 76ers 25%

                        T28) Charlotte Bobcats 25%

                        30) Portland Trail Blazers 16.7%

                        Also, let's take a look at the home-away part of this statistic category.

                        Home Games top 10:

                        T1) Miami Heat 100%

                        T1) Oklahoma City Thunder 100%

                        T1) Sacramento Kings 100%

                        4) Houston Rockets 85.7%

                        5) Atlanta Hawks 75%

                        T6) Chicago Bulls 66.7%

                        T6) Los Angeles Lakers 66.7%

                        8) Dallas Mavericks 60%

                        9) Memphis Grizzlies 57.1%

                        T10) Denver Nuggets, San Antonio Spurs, Washington Wizards, Indiana Pacers, Detroit Pistons, Los Angeles Clippers 50%

                        Home Games bottom 5:

                        T24) New Jersey Nets, Portland Trail Blazers 25%

                        26) Phoenix Suns 20%

                        T27) New Orleans Hornets, Orlando Magic, Toronto Raptors 0%

                        In case, you're wondering the Philadelphia 76ers are tied for the 18th spot with the Boston Celtics with 40%.

                        So, how do we jump to 70% and they fall to 25% if our difference is not that big in home games. That's right. Away games.

                        Away Games top 5:

                        1) Phoenix Suns 100%

                        2) Los Angeles Lakers 85.7%

                        3) Indiana Pacers 83.3%

                        4) Atlanta Hawks 80%

                        T5) Miami Heat 75%

                        T5) New York Knicks 75%

                        Away Games bottom 5:

                        25) Milwaukee Bucks 25%

                        26) Sacramento Kings 20%

                        27) Portland Trail Blazers 12.5%

                        T28) Philadelphia 76ers 0%

                        T28) Charlotte Bobcats 0%

                        T28) Detroit Pistons 0%

                        I don't think I can make it any clearer. Only the Blazers are worse in closing out games than Philly.

                        Here's the link -> http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...ct-close-games
                        Originally posted by IrishPacer
                        Empty vessels make the most noise.

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                          It's amazing. I remember when the Pacers used to be horrible in close games.

                          The only caveat with stats of this nature is sample size. How many close games are we talking about? I looked at that link but couldn't see any raw numbers.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                            Originally posted by wintermute View Post
                            It's amazing. I remember when the Pacers used to be horrible in close games.

                            The only caveat with stats of this nature is sample size. How many close games are we talking about? I looked at that link but couldn't see any raw numbers.
                            Exactly, we've self-selected into a bunch of (unnecessary) close games with inferior ball clubs. Philly has routinely beaten up on those teams.

                            Again, it's worth emphasizing how well point differential tracks to success, for a lot of important substantive reasons.

                            The good news is that we are really hitting our stride and blowing opponents out (Hornets game notwithstanding) as we should be doing. This bodes well for a variety of reasons.

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                              You make a pretty valid point, wintermute.

                              From what I know a game is considered close when you win (or lose) by 5 or less. Am I right?

                              Let's see those games and compare them:

                              Indiana's close games:

                              W 90 - 85 @ Toronto

                              W 95 - 90 @ Toronto (again)

                              L 88 - 92 @ Sacramento

                              W 94 - 91 @ Golden State

                              W 98 - 96 @ Los Angeles (Lakers)

                              W 95 - 90 @ Chicago

                              L 85 - 81 vs Orlando

                              W 99 - 104 vs Utah

                              L 113 - 109 vs Denver

                              W 88 - 93 vs New Jersey

                              So, that's it. We're 5-1 away and 2-2 at home. I agree that the Toronto, Sacramento and New Jersey games shouldn't be close since we had our chance to seal them but nobody said we're perfect. We're on a good track, though.

                              Another nice fact is that we are 2-0 in our OT games. In fact, we won both of them with more than 5 points (91 - 98 vs the Cavs and 108 - 117 vs the Hornets).

                              Also, according to ESPN we're 2-0 in games decided by 3 points or less (Warriors and Lakers games).

                              On the other hand, Philadelphia is 0-2 in their OT games and 0-3 in games decided by 3 points or less.

                              But let's take a look at their close games, shall we?

                              L 103 - 107 @ Portland

                              L 99 - 102 @ Utah

                              L 108 - 104 vs Denver

                              W 69 - 74 vs Orlando

                              W 90 - 95 vs Los Angeles (Lakers)

                              L 78 - 77 vs Los Angeles (Clippers)

                              L 91 - 92 @ Minnesota

                              L 92 - 88 vs Oklahoma City

                              So, they are 0-3 away and 2-3 at home.

                              Ultimately, we have had 10 games that were decided by 5 or less points. In those games, we're 7-3. Philadelphia have had 8 games were decided by 5 or less points. In those game they're 2-6.

                              So, the sample size between the two teams is not really different. 10 games to 8 is not such a big difference.

                              The argument that can be made in favor of Philadelphia here is that their close games were against teams with better records than Toronto, Sacramento, Golden State and New Jersey. That's a valid argument since we indeed have the problem of playing down to the competition some times.

                              However, this does not change the fact that Philadelphia has shown little ability to close out games against good competition. Against good competition we're 3-2 (Lakers, Bulls, Orlando, Denver and Utah) so we're above average in this regard as well.

                              Also, the fact that Philadelphia were one of the two teams that Portland managed to win in a close situation (the other one being GS as they didn't even manage to attempt a shot with 6 seconds remaining) is quite disturbing.

                              So, this list implies two things about Philly:

                              1) They are able to run lesser competition out of the building.

                              2) They are not good in winning close games against good competition.

                              And here's the important question now.

                              What are you going to face in the playoffs? Lopsided games against lesser competition or close games against good competition?

                              The answer is the second, of course. Philly can improve its closing ability during the rest of the season and, of course, the playoffs are a whole different thing than the regular season but as it is now those statistics look quite grim for Philly despite their high point differential in wins.

                              Which is one of the reasons that I don't particularly care for point differential. Not that I would have a problem with a few more emphatic wins, though
                              Originally posted by IrishPacer
                              Empty vessels make the most noise.

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: The Hammer comes to Philly

                                Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                                As others have said, the key is to hold off Orlando and hold a possible 3 seed.
                                So, I'm guessing that we will be seeing a new "The Hammer comes to the Magic" thread soon?

                                I can only hope that the Magic trade Dwight...even if it's getting back Bynum as a Center...I don't see how their strategy to heave up a 3pt shot every time can hold up with Bynum or Brook Lopez running the Center spot.
                                Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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