3 scenarios for the draft, starting with my favorite first:
1. Pacers trade up for Justice Winslow
2. Take WCS or Stanley Johnson (this is the theory of a player falling); Make trades (Hibbert/West/others) for additional picks - George Lucas and Rakeem Christmas are players I'd love to have with a late first/early 2nd round
3. Trey Lyles
I'm sure my opinion will change many times before the draft though.
I was going to write a big slam about how a 5 game losing streak this year is like a 6+ streak loss in a normal year, and that 2nd round teams don't lose nearly 10% of their games in a stretch.
Then I did the research on just the Western 2nd round teams last year.
So the good news is apparently you can lose 5-6 games in a row and still be a title contender. I think the Mavs did it due to the loss of Dirk (by memory), but whatever. And Indy is without Hill and now Granger so that has to count for something.
Maybe it's not that bad after all??? Doesn't seem possible, but seeing the losing streaks of those teams put me in the shoes of their fans (Memphis was 8-14 I think, something like that) and they had to think the train had wrecked in the heart of those stretches of losing.
We never were contenders to begin with but we're not slightly above .500 either.
The record we had was not a farce. We're a good enough team to compete for the 3rd to 6th seeds. Probably around .650.
That said, you are right that this board overreacts. But frankly I don't see this team as only being a .500 team or slightly above it.