Posted by My Pessimistic Self
I had said 44 previously, but I am not quite as optimistic at this point.
My updated prediction:
37 wins last year, 82 games.
No OB = +5 wins that he had cost us (at least) during the time he coached last year
No Dunleavy = No change
No Ford = No change
No Solo = No change
No McRoberts = -3
No Rush = No change
Addition of Shaw and Boylen = +3 after they get to know our players in person, and vice-versa
Roy improvement from working with Duncan and hopefully strength training = +1
Improvement from Paul George = +3
Maturation of Hansbrough = +4
Addition of George Hill = No Change
A little more respect from opposition due to late season push possibly = -3
A little more respect for the new style of play from the officials = +2
Hopefully larger crowds as the season progresses to provide energy = +2
Learning curve for adjustments to several new players by all involved vs. improvements when it all gels = Net of no change
So, for me at least, I now would have had a prediction of 51 wins in 82 games, so that leaves me at a shortened season prediction of 41.05, so 41 wins. Yes, I recognize that means we will be right there as about a 5th seed in the playoffs, but things could break either to 4th seed or 6th seed with that record IMO, and if West gets healthy and conditioned and Tyler continues progressing as he has, we could be a handful for anybody come playoff time.