Should be interesting this year.
Indiana's currently sitting at the #8 spot... here's the current rankings (3-19-2011)
New York (35-33)
New Jersey (22-45)
I think it's safe to say that we won't catch Chicago, Boston, Miami, Orlando,or Atlanta. And we won't be caught by New Jersey, Toronto, Washington, or Cleveland.
Philadelphia (36-33) - 13 games left
New York (35-33) - 14 games left
Indiana (30-39) - 13 games left
Charlotte (28-40) - 14 games left
Milwaukee (27-41) - 14 games left
Detroit (25-44) - 13 games left
Until the end of the season, I don't worry about tiebreakers. So in order for Indy to beat a team, they'll need to beat them outright. The assumption is that each team will win out, then from there we calculate the number of Pacers wins or other team's losses to let us get ahead of them.
Philly's highest possible win total is 49 games. The Pacers would have to win 50 games to catch them, thus our magic number to catch Philly for the #6 spot is 20 games. 20 Pacers wins or Philly losses would get us there. Without further ado, then:
Philadelphia - 20
New York - 20
Indiana - X
Charlotte - 13
Milwaukee - 12
Detroit - 9
The race is on.