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The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

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  • #31
    Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

    Originally posted by pacergod2 View Post


    There are a lot of players you just try not to trade. Look at Cleveland last year with JJ Hickson. Good example of a player you just don't trade because their value and upside is too high for the price tag.

    Didn't I read he was leading the summer league in scoring at 26 pts a game?

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    • #32
      Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

      Originally posted by flox View Post
      Lets see... lets play the value of Roy Hibbert game.

      Lakers: Could we even get Bynum? Maybe for salary reasons, but not for player reasons.
      Suns: Not Nash. Not J-Rich. So who else on that team has value? Hedo for a dump?
      Jazz: At best Milsap?
      Mavs: Not Dirk, not Roddy, not Kidd- who else is left on that team?
      Spurs: No to the big three, no to Hill (unless packaged with Rush?)
      Denver: Not Melo. Maybe JR Smith? Probably not Nene. Who's left?
      Blazers: Who would they give up? Not Batum, not Roy, not Aldridge. Oden, Bayless?

      Celtics: Probably not the big 3, or Rondo
      Magic: Not Nelson, not Howard, maybe Rashard?
      Hawks: Not Joe Johnson, not Al Horford, maybe Josh Smith for a contract dump?
      Miami: No.
      Bucks: Not Jennings, Not Bogut, so who's left? Redd? Salmons? Maggette?


      So....Hibbert's value? A solid starting 5. Not a star, not a player to build a team around.
      Wow, you are way overvaluing some of these guys.
      Good is the enemy of Great


      We're changing the identity of our basketball team -- dramatically. We're a power post team -- a blood-and-guts, old-school, smash-mouth team that plays with size, strength, speed and athleticism. We attack the basket. . . . This is the new identity of our team. It was a great effort. I'm very proud of our guys."
      -- Frank Vogel.

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      • #33
        Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

        Roy is one of the most valuable assets of the Pacers for several reasons:
        1. He's a legit center, not some undersized players playing C
        2. He has a soft touch for a big man and has shown that he can score down low and be an offensive force inside the paint
        3. He has a good court vision for his position and can make good passes for easy buckets.
        4. He has more offensive moves than most NBA centers, like midrange jumpshot and hook shot
        5. He is one of the better free throw shooters for a center
        6. His size can intimidate shots inside the paint, although he's not really a good defender
        7. He has very likable personality, and has good character as a professional athlete
        8. His contract is pretty cheap (rookie contract) given his production, as compared to many centers currently in the NBA

        Of course the future is uncertain whether he'll be traded or not, but I can see that if he further develops other aspects of his game (endurance, defense, rebounding, etc) he'll be one of the main guys for the Pacers in a long time.

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        • #34
          Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

          Originally posted by Unclebuck View Post
          Wow, I hope I make more sense than that. LOL

          Murphy is not the focal point of the offense. He only scores off the delayed fastbreak and off the pick and roll or kick outs. He's not one of our primary offensive weapons (although admittedly, we have very few if any real offensive weapons)
          Agreed. Just being playful.

          Interesting to wonder, though, whether an "ideal" (?) PF on an Obie-led team -- a team with an improved Hibbert and a decent PG -- might become the focal point (on offense). Would it depend on the skill set of the player? If so, how so? What if that player had low-post scoring ability and could hit the 3?

          Ouch! I can hear the tomatoes hitting the curtain behind me!


          "He’s no shrinking violet when it comes to that kind of stuff."

          - Rick Carlisle on how Kevin Pritchard responds to needed roster changes.

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          • #35
            Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

            Originally posted by pacergod2 View Post
            Not somebody you trade, because he is not worth enough to other teams to bring in an All-Star, but he is clearly too important as a starting center on a rookie contract to a team like ours to consider trading for what other teams would be willing to give up. He is one of those "stuck in the middle" type of players. They just don't get traded. I would say Rush fits that to a degree, but Hibbert is a young center who shows promise on both sides of the ball.

            There are a lot of players you just try not to trade. Look at Cleveland last year with JJ Hickson. Good example of a player you just don't trade because their value and upside is too high for the price tag.
            Yes, but you are asking for value.

            Value
            1 : a fair return or equivalent in goods, services, or money for something exchanged
            2 : the monetary worth of something : market price
            3 : relative worth, utility, or importance

            So it makes sense to look at exchange, no? Or market price? The question was asked what could he net in a trade? Not a lot is the answer.

            In addition, the value of Hibbert, as you correctly stated, is higher because of his rookie contract scale. He will have to get paid eventually. My trades take that into account, which means that even with that scale contract his value is low.

            Finally, the NBA is fast now. You have to be able to play fast. To have a member of your team to play slow- well, you either have to have someone to really really cover that slowness well, or you are just dead in the water. As to quote something in an article I read today,

            "You have to have at least one mobile 4 or 5 who can run the floor, space the half court, be mobile enough to 'hard show' on a pick-and-roll and step out to at least 18 feet," said another NBA assistant. "Otherwise, you're dead."
            So, Hibbert's value also fluctuate based off of that. To me, the best development for that is McRoberts and the 3 point shot. But as of right now, we don't have that, so Hibbert's value should be low.

            So what is Hibbert's value to us? He is something different, very different, and I think something that only has values in certain systems, and is nice and unique, and can be effective, but only to a certain point.

            I certainly believe Hibbert's value to us is much higher than it is to other teams out there- there is no question about that. But, then the question is how much do we value the dimension of the game he brings us?

            I think the answer to that will change as contenders emerge. If all the good teams have two mobile bigs who can run circles around Hibbert? His value is pretty low.

            If the contenders all are more grinding, slow style teams, with not so mobile big men- then his value is higher.

            Originally posted by graphic-er View Post
            I bet Hibbert could land you Tony Parker, the spurs aren't going to resign him, and they need another big man to groom as the replacement to Tim Duncan.
            Go to the Spurs board. Post that suggestion. Tell me how they respond. My guess- first, they will be upset since they don't want to trade Parker and want him to stay for one more season at the least, and two- I doubt they will do that. Hibbert doesn't fit them at all. I don't think he has value in that system, not with one that will be a future of Hill/Anderson/x/Splitter/Blair.

            Originally posted by colts19 View Post
            Wow, you are way overvaluing some of these guys.
            Or, you could be over-valuing Hibbert.

            Regardless, if you so disagree with me, what is your problem with my list? Show me the parts you disagree on. Blanket statements don't help here.

            Comment


            • #36
              Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

              Nice post flox.

              Contending teams want to utilize their roster spots for players who will immediately contribute. Hibbert would be a valuable piece to them for 15-20 minutes per night. I think JOB has managede our team a little too much like aq contender for the last two years than what it really was, a rebuilding team. Nobody wants a full-fledge rebuild, but you have to let the younger guys play through mistakes more often to let them fix those mistakes.

              Hibbert would fit a team like ours more because we are a young team who isn't competitive and we should make the minutes available to him. He has more value to our team at that point because he is a piece you can build around. There is about 1/3 of the league who are rebuilding, 1/3 who are pretenders, and 1/3 who are contenders. Hibbert's value lies more in the bottom half of the league as a young player with potential. The contenders need immediate contributions from their roster spots and Hibbert really would only help out marginally in whatever minutes he was given.

              There are some pretender teams that need front court help bad and would like to acquire him certainly, but I think he is getting good enough where he is starting to have real value to every team (outside of GS who doesn't value big men). I think a team like the Spurs would LOVE Hibbert. Put him next to Duncan and you have a couple of fundamentally sound bigs who would compliment each other. I think Blair would compliment Hibbert as well. They have a coach that understands how to use bigs which helps.

              Hibbert would have a lot of value IMO for a team like Charlotte. Bottom half of the pretenders with a pretty bad front court. Larry Brown prefers the slow it down defensive basketball, which would suit the lumbering big man. Another team he would fit IMO would be OKC. They have some PF/C's with some skill in Krstic and Collison, and a young PF in Ibaka who would all compliment Hibbert and all could move over to PF for stretches. They need some size and shot blocking. Ibaka's athleticism woul dbe fantastic next to Hibbert for their future core. OKC and Miami would be the two contenders that could really use Hibbert IMO. Hibbert will have significant value to all teams in the near future IMO, but we are dealing with a young player with marginal value to half the league at this point, so you keep him.
              "Your course, your path, is not going to be like mine," West says. "Everybody is not called to be a multimillionaire. Everybody's not called to be the president. Whatever your best work is, you do it. Do it well. … You cease your own greatness when you aspire to be someone else."

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              • #37
                Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                Originally posted by 15th parallel View Post
                Roy is one of the most valuable assets of the Pacers for several reasons...
                Agreed with all of your reasons. I believe with almost any other NBA coach running a playoff-oriented style of play Roy would be tremendously successful. His development and mindset is one of the big concerns about the extended tenure of Obie. It's one thing for him to just screw around and babysit the bad contracts until they expire, it's another when he is a one man wrecking crew regarding player development.

                Comment


                • #38
                  Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                  I think Hibbert is a guy who has a lot to gain from playing for Jim O'Brien, at least at this point in his career, when he's still a little slow and unsure on his moves. A 4out set with a stretch 4 gives him the kind of spacing he needs inside to create his shots inside the box. Also provides him with touches in the high post, another aspect of his game where he has promise.

                  flox makes a very good point about the potential matchup problems players like Hibbert create to his own team these days. That's very important when assessing his market value.

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                  • #39
                    Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                    I like everything about Roy.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                      Originally posted by cordobes View Post
                      A 4out set with a stretch 4 gives him the kind of spacing he needs inside to create his shots inside the box.
                      Please make the pain stop... Makes you wonder how centers ever managed to score in the post before the invention of the "stretch 4".

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                        Originally posted by cordobes View Post

                        A 4out set with a stretch 4 gives him the kind of spacing he needs inside to create his shots inside the box.
                        A "stretch 4" also makes it hell to get offensive rebounds. In addition, I'm still searching for the answer of how a "stretch 4" works without great slashers and when "going small." I thought the entire point of making the opponent pay with outside shots and stretching the D with outside shooting so you could capitalize inside with slashers and interior players attacking the basket. O'Brien doesn't care for traditional bigmen and doesn't have much in the way of slashers on this team. It just doesn't add up.

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                          Originally posted by indyaway View Post
                          Please make the pain stop... Makes you wonder how centers ever managed to score in the post before the invention of the "stretch 4".
                          Seriously. I don't want to see another stretch 4 on the Pacers ever again.

                          Jim will hopefully have more options with his big men this year with Tyler and Jeff being available, but does anyone think for a second that Hibbert and one of those two guys would be used instead of Murphy + x? I don't. Murphy is the foundation of Jim's offense, he will never resort to a traditional PF unless it means Murphy as a stretch 5. Murphy will play no matter what and the Pacers are going to suck until either/or are gone.

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                            Originally posted by indyaway View Post
                            Please make the pain stop... Makes you wonder how centers ever managed to score in the post before the invention of the "stretch 4".
                            Easy- others couldn't score as well because of handchecking!

                            Originally posted by IndyPacer View Post
                            A "stretch 4" also makes it hell to get offensive rebounds. In addition, I'm still searching for the answer of how a "stretch 4" works without great slashers and when "going small." I thought the entire point of making the opponent pay with outside shots and stretching the D with outside shooting so you could capitalize inside with slashers and interior players attacking the basket. O'Brien doesn't care for traditional bigmen and doesn't have much in the way of slashers on this team. It just doesn't add up.
                            You only need one, not both. Do you think Dahntay Jones would have scored as much as he did last season if it weren't for how much our floor was stretched?

                            When you play with stretch fours if you have a five that likes to tap balls back, then the offensive rebounding problem is pretty much solved.

                            As for our stretch offense- if we have just shooters in the offense, then what other offense can we run? I think a stretch is fine for our team because I just don't see any other way we score. Our team isn't good enough to do anything but the stretch at least makes us competitive.

                            If we played traditional basketball, we would have been the 3rd worst team in the NBA last season.

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                            • #44
                              Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                              Originally posted by IndyPacer View Post
                              A "stretch 4" also makes it hell to get offensive rebounds. In addition, I'm still searching for the answer of how a "stretch 4" works without great slashers and when "going small." I thought the entire point of making the opponent pay with outside shots and stretching the D with outside shooting so you could capitalize inside with slashers and interior players attacking the basket. O'Brien doesn't care for traditional bigmen and doesn't have much in the way of slashers on this team. It just doesn't add up.
                              And this is the crux of the bisquit. 4out or a stretch 4 means a severe disadvantage to any offensive rebounds. This can be ok if you have incredible transition defense, but with the likes of Troy Murphy and Mike Dunleavy being 2/3s of so called defense it isn't going to work.

                              Going small can have it's advantages, especially in transition defense. But going small really means going quick, and a line up Murphy with Dunleavy is not quick. It defeats the whole purpose of going small. Can't our coach see this??

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Re: The Value of Hungry Hungry Hibbert

                                Originally posted by Thingfish View Post
                                And this is the crux of the bisquit. 4out or a stretch 4 means a severe disadvantage to any offensive rebounds. This can be ok if you have incredible transition defense, but with the likes of Troy Murphy and Mike Dunleavy being 2/3s of so called defense it isn't going to work.

                                Going small can have it's advantages, especially in transition defense. But going small really means going quick, and a line up Murphy with Dunleavy is not quick. It defeats the whole purpose of going small. Can't our coach see this??
                                Because the majority of the time we aren't going small, but going 3pt shooting.

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