... The trade deadline will be here & we will have a better idea what kind of shape we will likely be in and what direction TPTB well be taking us in for +/- the next 12 months.
12 months you ask? While it is possible the off-season could bring moves, the reality is that any team willing to take on one of our expirings will be the same ones willing to pay even more at the deadline n/y. Most of the names that would fit our stated goal of adding a "2nd big name" to this roster will be available THIS off-season, not next. So, IMO, the moves we Make/ Don't Make in the next 15 days will likely key actors in the execution of our "3 Year Plan".
Lets look ahead to 2011 for a moment.
When I look at the possible names that we will have an opportunity to add, I am under-whelmed. The ones who do make me drool a little are mostle RFA's & likely to stay put. The list of pure FA's (eleminating those who will likely be available t/y) is slim at best, leaving the majority of "big names" as either Player Options, or Early Term Options. The list of those who IMO fit out stated goal & fit the age we will likely look to add to our core are as follows:
True FA's: Dirk, T.Parker, C.Landry
RFA's: K.Durant, A.Horford, M.Conely, G.Oden, M.Gasol, J.Noah, J.Green, M.Chalmers
Plater Options: C.Paul, D.Williams, G.wallace
Early Term Option: D.Howard, E.Brand
When I look at that list, I do not see many "realilistic" options to use our money on. The RFA's are the most intriguing, but their teams have the choice to match, meaning they are most likely to stay. I still kinda think GO & MC might be a possibility, but that is just a thought).
Now, compare these names to the "Dream list" likely available t/y that we would have on our radar:
(Combo of FA's, RFA's, PO, ETO's):
-James, Wade, Bosh, Mello, Duncan, J.Johnson (all unrealilistic!), Amare, Boozer, R.Gay, D.Lee, Manu, R.Allen, R.Felton, McGrady, Ty.Thomas, ...
The biggest difference is that the '10 list are "stars/ difference makers". The '11 List has a few, but is not anywhere in the same league IMO.
Is '11 cap space really worth anything, or should we be working like hell to move any/ all '11 cap expirings NOW in hopes of landing a "Robin" for Danny - (or a new Batman, & demote Danny to Robin!)?
IMO, you strike NOW!!!
Move Murph for Z & a pick before Cle get A.Jamison (like the King wants!) & forget Hickerson, or you likely get "stuck" w/ Murph for 12 more months! Try like hell to get Jeff back on the court t/w, & try to convince a contender he's healthy. If he's not healthy enough to trade, work out a buyout, or hope insurance covers his deal so at least it can be an asset in 11 months when the Insurance covers him (ala M.Harpring t/y, T.Ratliff a few yrs ago). I would like to keep Dun, as I think he is a nice 6th man, but I move him for space t/y if I can (I have recently changed my mind on this!). Pray someone needs/ wants TJ for nothing, but in reality TJ is likely ours, or unless he is completely crazy & walks away.
15 Days & Counting....
Continue to bash JO'B all you want. Question Danny's commitment & attitude, call out leadership for extending Jeff &/pr not moving him sooner, debate the satistics of small ball, & continue to blame Murphy for the recession/ H1N1, communism, & global warming - but realize this:
In 15 Days, you will know what your Pacers will be, and what the 3 year plan is all about. Do we add payroll or a "Robin" to our "Batman", or do we face 12 more monthe of "Dark Nights?"
Just my thoughts anyway....