2007-08 season: The fifth-overall pick in 2006 has had trouble gaining career traction, with a chronic inability to finish around the basket dampening his hopes of becoming a rotation player. Williams converted only 47.8 percent of his shots in the basket area, an extremely poor rate for a big man, and since he's also mediocre at best an outside shooter (37.6 percent on long 2s for his career), it doesn't leave a lot of alternatives for where to get his points. He at least got to the line at a high rate, which helped offset that woeful 43.4 percent mark from the floor.
The one thing he really does well is rebound. Williams was eighth among power forwards in offensive rebound rate and 11th overall
; unfortunately, he was unable to convert many of those offensive boards into buckets.
Scouting report: Williams is strong and willing to do the dirty work around the basket
, but he's a poor finisher because of his lack of elevation and oftentimes can't get a shot off -- more than one delivery in 10 was blocked. He's good on the offensive glass because of his muscle and long arms but has to stop and gather himself before going up with a putback, and usually by then the defense has recovered.
Defensively, Williams is a solid player, and if he's going to stick as a regular it will be because he does the heavy lifting at that end of the floor. He's a good shot-blocker and a physical post defender, and he plays hard.
2008-09 outlook: Williams is facing a crowded frontcourt situation and, unlike Atlanta, the Kings don't have a major investment in him to try to justify. As a result, he's likely to be on the losing end of a battle with Mikki Moore, Jason Thompson, Spencer Hawes and Brad Miller for frontcourt minutes and will only see sporadic duty unless there's an injury. He'd make a good fourth big man for 15 minutes or so off the bench, but unless there's a trade it doesn't appear this will be the place that happens.