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Bird likes options available in Lottery
By Conrad Brunner | May 15, 2008
When Larry Bird visited Secaucus, N.J., a year ago, he hoped to beat the odds but expected to walk away empty-handed.
On this trip to the NBA Draft Lottery, Bird knows he'll leave with something good, even if his Pacers don't land one of the coveted top three picks in Tuesday's draw.
"There's a lot of good players in this draft," said Bird. "Obviously in the top 12 or 15, there's some players that probably will be a little better in our league than people think they're going to be, a lot of athletic players that play multiple positions. I think it's going to be a pretty deep draft. Even in the 20s, there's going to be some players that can step in and help teams right away."
The lottery teams are initially slotted in reverse order of their won-lost records, so the Pacers enter the process at No. 11 – the same as last year, when they needed to pull one of the top three picks to avoid losing their first-round selection to Atlanta to complete the 2006 trade for Al Harrington. The pick wound up at No. 11 and wound up with the Hawks, who used it to select guard Acie Law.
Though they have less than a 3 percent chance of landing in the top three (an 0.8 percent chance at No. 1, an 0.9 percent chance at No. 2 and a 1.2 percent chance at No. 3), the Pacers will emerge from the lottery with no worse than the 13th pick. The odds are overwhelming (90.8 percent) they'll stay right where they are and pick No. 11. There's a 6.3 percent chance they could slip to No. 12.
"You always hope for the best but the chances are you're going to be 11 or 12," Bird said. "You'd always like to jump up in there but a lot of times it doesn't happen. We do have a chance, less than 3 percent to get into the top three, but it's still a chance."
The Pacers' stated needs are point guard and post, with defensive toughness a priority at both positions. They could address either need if they land one of the top three picks.
The top two players are expected to be a pair of dynamic talents with just one season of college experience: Kansas State power forward Michael Beasley and Memphis point guard Derrick Rose, with their order of selection dependent on the needs of the team that winds up No. 1. The No. 3 pick should come from a group that includes USC shooting guard O.J. Mayo, Stanford center Brook Lopez and Arizona shooting guard Jerryd Bayless.
"There are one or two, maybe three, guys that can become All-Stars," said Bird, "guys that really stick out."
Should the Pacers wind up at either No. 11 or 12, they likely could choose from point guards Russell Westbrook (6-4, 187, UCLA) or D.J. Augustin (5-11, 180, Texas); or post players Darrell Arthur (6-9, 230, Kansas), Kevin Love (6-9, 260, UCLA), DeAndre Jordan (7-0, 260, Texas A&M), Kosta Koufos (7-1, 245, Ohio State) or JaVale McGee (7-0, 237, Nevada).
Either way, they aren't expecting to emerge from the lottery, or the June 26 draft, with a franchise savior but rather another important piece in a strong young nucleus.
"The player we get is going to continue to get better," said Bird, "and I think we're going to be alright."
This will be Bird's first lottery pick as the sole head of the Pacers' basketball operations but he doesn't view it as an opportunity to put his stamp on the roster. All things considered, he'd just as soon this turn out to be his last lottery pick. "We've done well with our picks but, yeah, you don't want to be in the lottery. You want to be in the playoffs," he said. "But we're there and we've got to make the most of it."
By Conrad Brunner | May 15, 2008
When Larry Bird visited Secaucus, N.J., a year ago, he hoped to beat the odds but expected to walk away empty-handed.
On this trip to the NBA Draft Lottery, Bird knows he'll leave with something good, even if his Pacers don't land one of the coveted top three picks in Tuesday's draw.
"There's a lot of good players in this draft," said Bird. "Obviously in the top 12 or 15, there's some players that probably will be a little better in our league than people think they're going to be, a lot of athletic players that play multiple positions. I think it's going to be a pretty deep draft. Even in the 20s, there's going to be some players that can step in and help teams right away."
The lottery teams are initially slotted in reverse order of their won-lost records, so the Pacers enter the process at No. 11 – the same as last year, when they needed to pull one of the top three picks to avoid losing their first-round selection to Atlanta to complete the 2006 trade for Al Harrington. The pick wound up at No. 11 and wound up with the Hawks, who used it to select guard Acie Law.
Though they have less than a 3 percent chance of landing in the top three (an 0.8 percent chance at No. 1, an 0.9 percent chance at No. 2 and a 1.2 percent chance at No. 3), the Pacers will emerge from the lottery with no worse than the 13th pick. The odds are overwhelming (90.8 percent) they'll stay right where they are and pick No. 11. There's a 6.3 percent chance they could slip to No. 12.
"You always hope for the best but the chances are you're going to be 11 or 12," Bird said. "You'd always like to jump up in there but a lot of times it doesn't happen. We do have a chance, less than 3 percent to get into the top three, but it's still a chance."
The Pacers' stated needs are point guard and post, with defensive toughness a priority at both positions. They could address either need if they land one of the top three picks.
The top two players are expected to be a pair of dynamic talents with just one season of college experience: Kansas State power forward Michael Beasley and Memphis point guard Derrick Rose, with their order of selection dependent on the needs of the team that winds up No. 1. The No. 3 pick should come from a group that includes USC shooting guard O.J. Mayo, Stanford center Brook Lopez and Arizona shooting guard Jerryd Bayless.
"There are one or two, maybe three, guys that can become All-Stars," said Bird, "guys that really stick out."
Should the Pacers wind up at either No. 11 or 12, they likely could choose from point guards Russell Westbrook (6-4, 187, UCLA) or D.J. Augustin (5-11, 180, Texas); or post players Darrell Arthur (6-9, 230, Kansas), Kevin Love (6-9, 260, UCLA), DeAndre Jordan (7-0, 260, Texas A&M), Kosta Koufos (7-1, 245, Ohio State) or JaVale McGee (7-0, 237, Nevada).
Either way, they aren't expecting to emerge from the lottery, or the June 26 draft, with a franchise savior but rather another important piece in a strong young nucleus.
"The player we get is going to continue to get better," said Bird, "and I think we're going to be alright."
This will be Bird's first lottery pick as the sole head of the Pacers' basketball operations but he doesn't view it as an opportunity to put his stamp on the roster. All things considered, he'd just as soon this turn out to be his last lottery pick. "We've done well with our picks but, yeah, you don't want to be in the lottery. You want to be in the playoffs," he said. "But we're there and we've got to make the most of it."
Outling the Pacers’ lottery plans
Team needs: With Jamaal Tinsley's days as the starting point guard apparently numbered after another injury plagued season, the Pacers are on the lookout for their point guard of the future – not to mention present. Should no options present themselves, they also are in need of a strong defensive presence inside, with the ability to protect the paint and the rim high on the priority list. Whichever direction they go, the Pacers want a player with strong mental and physical toughness.
If the Pacers finish in the top three: Should they wind up No. 1 overall (an 0.8 percent chance), the most obvious option would be Memphis point guard Derrick Rose, who came on strong in the NCAA Tournament, but don't discount the possibility they'd go with Kansas State power forward Michael Beasley, who may have more potential for true NBA greatness. At No. 2 (an 0.9 percent chance), they'd gladly take either Rose or Beasley. Things get a little clouder at No. 3 (a 1.2 percent chance), but the most likely options appear to be Stanford center Brook Lopez or USC guard O.J. Mayo.
If the Pacers don't beat the odds: Odds are overwhelming (90.8 percent) they'll wind up at No. 11 and they should be able to address either of their needs. Early mock drafts point guard 6-4 UCLA point guard Michael Westbrook, who has a strong defensive presence and solid all-around game, though Kansas big man Darrell Arthur could prove too tempting to pass. They've also been linked with UCLA power forward Kevin Love.
Lottery luck: Though they participated in the lottery last year, the Pacers needed to pull one of the top three picks to avoid losing their first-round selection to Atlanta to complete the 1996 trade for Al Harrington. They wound up at No. 11 and the pick went to the Hawks. Indiana's last actual lottery pick was Austin Croshere at No. 12 overall in 1997. They've never pulled the top pick from the lottery but have finished at No. 2 twice, taking Rik Smits (behind Danny Manning) in 1988 and Wayman Tisdale (behind Patrick Ewing) in 1985.
Representing the Pacers at the lottery: This representing the first lottery pick of Larry Bird's tenure as the sole leader of the team's basketball operations, Bird will make the trip to Secaucus for the second year in a row. He was a first-year head coach in 1997 when Croshere was selected but did not attend the lottery. Bird will be joined by David Benner, the Director of Public Information, who will be the team's observer for the behind-closed-doors lottery draw.
Team needs: With Jamaal Tinsley's days as the starting point guard apparently numbered after another injury plagued season, the Pacers are on the lookout for their point guard of the future – not to mention present. Should no options present themselves, they also are in need of a strong defensive presence inside, with the ability to protect the paint and the rim high on the priority list. Whichever direction they go, the Pacers want a player with strong mental and physical toughness.
If the Pacers finish in the top three: Should they wind up No. 1 overall (an 0.8 percent chance), the most obvious option would be Memphis point guard Derrick Rose, who came on strong in the NCAA Tournament, but don't discount the possibility they'd go with Kansas State power forward Michael Beasley, who may have more potential for true NBA greatness. At No. 2 (an 0.9 percent chance), they'd gladly take either Rose or Beasley. Things get a little clouder at No. 3 (a 1.2 percent chance), but the most likely options appear to be Stanford center Brook Lopez or USC guard O.J. Mayo.
If the Pacers don't beat the odds: Odds are overwhelming (90.8 percent) they'll wind up at No. 11 and they should be able to address either of their needs. Early mock drafts point guard 6-4 UCLA point guard Michael Westbrook, who has a strong defensive presence and solid all-around game, though Kansas big man Darrell Arthur could prove too tempting to pass. They've also been linked with UCLA power forward Kevin Love.
Lottery luck: Though they participated in the lottery last year, the Pacers needed to pull one of the top three picks to avoid losing their first-round selection to Atlanta to complete the 1996 trade for Al Harrington. They wound up at No. 11 and the pick went to the Hawks. Indiana's last actual lottery pick was Austin Croshere at No. 12 overall in 1997. They've never pulled the top pick from the lottery but have finished at No. 2 twice, taking Rik Smits (behind Danny Manning) in 1988 and Wayman Tisdale (behind Patrick Ewing) in 1985.
Representing the Pacers at the lottery: This representing the first lottery pick of Larry Bird's tenure as the sole leader of the team's basketball operations, Bird will make the trip to Secaucus for the second year in a row. He was a first-year head coach in 1997 when Croshere was selected but did not attend the lottery. Bird will be joined by David Benner, the Director of Public Information, who will be the team's observer for the behind-closed-doors lottery draw.
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