Last edited by The Hero; 01-11-2008 at 12:52 PM.
Let's go Pacers
I'd guess that he's close to leading the league. Really. The last 2 years he was near the top, was out a bit more than he has been so far, and it seems like his take rate has gone up this season even. It's gotta be 1.5-2 per game. That's BETTER than a steal, you draw a foul on a guy AND take the ball from him cleanly.
Now on the ball he's not great, but he's good enough to live with. Pair him with other defenders of his caliber and you've got a shut down defense (ahem, see a few years ago).
Offense - different story, though as pointed out he did have a solid month there (think it really spanned mid-DEC to mid-JAN). 49% from him is more than enough to get it done. The offense going through him is great IMO, his assists are climbing to an elite level. He's a good passer, not great, who has shown tons of comfort finding other players.
He has one issue right now - he can't make an open mid-jumper and he's struggling to beat even modest post defenders in close. That's a major problem. But he hasn't forced it, he hasn't had a "I'll take the next 6 attempts" run at any time this year. So he takes 2 of 5 at some point, that's not so bad. He's supposed to be involved after all, just like Jeff must sometimes show that he can hit a jumper. Heck, a lot of his jumpers come on ball rotation to him when he's open, it's part of the flow, he's just blowing it.
So the situation is that they need JO to be great scorer JO and he isn't. The rest of his game is fine right now. It's no different than if Troy or Mike aren't hitting the 3. That's what they need to be doing. You don't fault them taking it, you fault them missing it.
If there is a better option that JO is keeping on the bench then of course he's hurting the offense. The problem is there isn't. Even Troy isn't consistently hitting his jumpers either as a trailer or swing man on ball rotation.
I would like to see Shawne in that swing/top of key role with JO at C when capable.
Salary - this is one reason I say move him. The team is stuck I think, so that means clear things out and start rebuilding. There aren't many serious anchor pieces to keep IMO so just move whatever you can and look to build off your draft pick. I'd love to see JO stay, but how can this team get better without his cap space available to fix OTHER talent issues?
Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 01-11-2008 at 01:47 PM.
The Pacers are obviously a better team on offense without JO. For many reasons. That just seems a settled case at this point.
On defense, he would be missed, but he would be missed more if he rebounded better or blocked out more.
If the Coach would direct JO to play a different game offensively -- different from his prevailing and predictable post-up game and 16 foot fades -- that might help. It should happen, but don't hold your breath. (And first that coach must direct JT to play team ball at the end of games.)
The JO contract is obviously a bad deal.
In a sense, the question turns on what we would receive in trade for Jermaine. If we could obtain a top 15 pick, an expiring contract(s), and a talented young player, while recycling the contract into manageable pieces in the process, you've got to do it.
The thing is, there are (hopefully?) other teams who will assign a higher value to JO than JO is worth to the Pacers now. Find such a team and capture that differential in perceived value, and move forward. And do it by the deadline.
He does take alot of charges. But somehow I'm thinking we could
find someone a bit cheaper to take care of that stat.
I doubt the folks in San Antone spend much time monitoring
or even giving ***** about the number of charges Duncan takes.
I've given this one lots of thought. My answer is this:
1) If it's the same beat up JO who's been in and out of the line up, then I'd have to say, yes! The team does play much better without the "85%, gimpy JO" out there.
2) If it's a healthy JO who as JOB said during yesterday's "Jim O'Brien Show", who is the team's only big who can produce on both sides of the ball, then I'd have to say w/o question, "NO!"
I've seen the sluggish JO and I've seen the quick moving JO. When he first returned the last time JOB/team medical sat him out for 10 days, that was the best I'd seen him play all season! So, he can do it when healthy. The thing is, most fans won't give him due credit because we've all equated his productivity to his paycheck - even I've done it - and forget about the injury factor. We figure that if he's being paid tens of millions he should be able to produce even on a bum ankle or knee, but that's not reality. Still, we have that right to perceive that that's what he should be doing - getting out there, running the court, bagging w/the big boys, scoring 18-20 ppg, avg. 10-12 rpg, etc.
I'll admit, I want JO to be that player I know he can be, that player we all expect him to be, but the truth is right now he can't be that player. But I'll take a JO that's 65/85% any day of the week because that JO can still do some things to disrupt an offense and would still demand attention while out on the court. Do I prefer that JO? No.
Last edited by NuffSaid; 01-11-2008 at 04:00 PM.
I answered 'no' strictly based on a comparison of the team with JO available or not available. No trade scenarios or contract relief.
Disregarding contracts and the like, I would use JO either as a backup or on the first team but he would not be allowed to shoot unless he was dunking or completely open from the middle of the floor. A baseline shot from post-up would put him on the bench the rest of the game...whether he made the shot or not. If he scores 50ppg that way, great. Scoring is not what I want from him anyway...
If another player passed to him in the context that they would not pass to Jeff Foster or another lame offensive player, I would consider benching that player...or he would earn a point toward sitting for awhile.
Also, if he does not get at least 9 boards a game, I would bench him for the next game.
To me, all this means is that JO needs to get his shots within the flow of the offense or pickup garbage shots only.
The guy is pretty good on defense, so that's hardly ever the concern.
Now, if you factor in the sad fact that only 3 players in the entire league are paid more than our part-time "super-star", then things take a very sharp turn...
Immediately, as in does he play the next game or not (ignoring the injury)? Absolutely NOT!
Long-term, big picture? Almost certainly YES.
Hey I finally got a trade to go through on Trade checker!!! Hooray for me. Too bad nobody would do it.
Indiana New York Trade Breakdown
Incoming Players David Lee
6-9 PF from Florida
9.9 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 0.9 apg in 26.6 minutes
6-6 SG / SF from DePaul
6.6 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.7 apg in 29.0 minutes
6-11 C from Thornwood (HS)
14.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 0.6 apg in 28.1 minutes
Outgoing Players Jermaine O'Neal
6-11 PF from Eau Claire (HS)
15.6 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.6 apg in 31.8 minutes
Protect the Promise!!!!
ALSO to add :
Do you REALLY think JO would want to leave his cushy job??
Think about it ... There is no other team in the NBA he could get traded to.. in which they would allow him to get away with not practicing...
SPEAKING OF ....
You wanna know why he is always injured , and is playing like an nba star 10 years older in his twilight years? BECAUSE HE DONT PRACTICE WITH THE TEAM !!
He thinks he can just suit up and play 39+ mpg .
His body is so out of conditioning , from what it should be , that he is always hurt, and is not playing like the same JO we all at one time come to enjoy..
Bottom line is Larry needs to take off the kid gloves...... grow a pube .... and put his foot down.. (sorry for the colorful language) ...
Right now let JO stay on the bench and heal.. till he is at 100% .. THEN make him start participating in every practice... ya know we DO have trainers that can condition him at a slower pace till his body can "handle" it ..
ALSO don't play him so many damn minutes for awhile..
Keep him right around the 28-30 mpg. mark .. till he is capable of being able to play a it more without fear of another injury..
ALSO ... how can JO develop ANY kind of chemistry with the team.. when he doesnt PRACTICE with the team? ya see he is so used to being the "go to guy" that he feels he has to have ALL the offense ran through him.. (it doesnt help JOB buys into this philosophy ) .. and in turn the team as a whole plays awkward when JO is on the floor... ITS A PROVEN FACT.. that they play as a "team" when he is injured (with the exeption of mel mel lol) JT is a whole nother cancer... so ill refrain from talkin bout him in this post.. lol this is about o'neal...
Anyways he is the one who doesnt have the chemistry goin for him right now, and it is hurting the team..... badly...
I dont want to get rid of JO... but something has to give.. Either he buck up and be a professional and do what needs to be done and practice and get himself in condition... or he will end up declining into obscurity to where he becomes a non-factor.... and gets himself traded into a situation in which he wont be "big man in the locker room" anymore..
just my 2 cents worth
as much as i love JO...and he's my fav player. Yes we are...we can run without JO...with JO he is just way too slow to keep up. I think he should sit...looks like we are tanking anyway.
Not that this is a huge difference, but W/O him we ONLY give up 1.9 more points a game per 100 possessions. At the same time, we score 2.6 more points W/O him. What he gives us on the defensive end, he takes away on the offensive end.
All this being pointed out, and contrary to all the +/- believers, the only +/- stat that counts to me is this stat:
With JO, we are 9-19
W/O JO, we are 5-2
What other stat do you even need?
Offensively, he is a chemistry killer. Defensively, Jeff, Danny, and even Troy at times (surprisingly), do the dirty work on the defensive end in the post, just as well as JO does.
I just hope that Obie claiming we are "going small" means JO's days are done here in Indy.
There are some pretty startling stats below that prove his "D" isn't the "be all end all", as well.
2007-2008 NBA Season
Player Stats | 5-Man Units | By Position | On/Off Court | Clutch Play
On Court / Off Court stats
Many stats are shown on a 'per 48 minute' basis
Stat ON Court OFF Court Net Minutes 953 837 53% Offense: Pts per 100 Poss. 103.3 105.9 -2.6 Defense: Pts per 100 Poss. 105.8 107.6 -1.9 Net Points per 100 Possessions -2.5 -1.7 -0.8 Points Scored 1977 1831 +146 Points Allowed 2026 1847 +179 Net Points -49 -16 -33 Effective FG% 49.0% 48.8% +0.2% Effective FG% Allowed 50.2% 46.7% +3.6% Assisted Field Goals 62% 55% +7% Assisted FG% Allowed 62% 59% +3% Own Shots Blocked 6% 6% +0% Shots Blocked 7% 6% +1% Rebounding Offensive Rebounding 26.5% 29.9% -3.4% Defensive Rebounding 73.8% 72.1% +1.7% Total Rebounding 50.2% 51.0% -0.8% Stats Free Throws Made 15 20 -5 Free Throws Attempted 20 27 -7 Free Throws Made by Opp. 21 29 +8 Free Throws Attempted by Opp. 26 37 +11 Turnovers, on Offense 15 16 +1 Turnovers, on Defense 17 15 +2 Net Turnovers 2 -1 -3 Fouls Committed 22 27 +5 Fouls, Drawn 20 22 -2 Net Fouls -2 -5 -3
I could see JO WANTING out because there's not even a Jeff Foster or Troy Murphy starting with him to take some of the physical pounding.
Nice to see JO back in tonight against the Kings. I still think they are better without him, but Travis in there made a bigger difference. Although we do force it in to him way to much and they make it so obvious. It was pretty unbelievable that he kicked it out to Dun for a 3 late in the game. But, if he does that more often he could win me back as a fan.
The Pacers beat Sacramento by 6, so the Pacers' +/- ratings ought to by tilted mostly toward the plus. In fact, every player on the Pacers has a + for the game except O'Neal, who has -12.
Here are the three big guys and their +/- and minutes
Murphy 13:14 +18
Foster 2:15 +5
O'Neal 34:46 -12
The Pacers won!
Jermaine doesn't have to do too much for the Pacers to win a game. He is an asset to the Pacers even when, ESPECIALLY when, they play as a team and Jermaine is allowed to contribute rather than expected to dominate.
Last edited by Putnam; 01-13-2008 at 08:57 AM.
And I won't be here to see the day
It all dries up and blows away
I'd hang around just to see
But they never had much use for me
In Levelland. (James McMurtry)
2012 PD ABA Fantasy Keeper League Champion, sports.ws
2011 PD ABA Fantasy Keeper League Champion, sports.ws
2006 PD ABA Fantasy League runner up, sports.ws
I interpret this question as "do we play better basketball without JO?" instead of "is the Pacers franchise better off without JO?"
They are two completely different questions. And, IMO, have completely different answers.
2011 PD ABA Fantasy Keeper League Champion, sports.ws
2006 PD ABA Fantasy League runner up, sports.ws
I agree with you man...
Don't get me wrong , I like Jermaine , he is a stand-up guy.. and when he is healthy , an important piece to the Pacer's puzzle...
I would rather see him not play at all , and sit out most of the regular season , at LEAST untill maybe 5 games till the first playoff game...
He really is a liability when he is not 100% .. not only to the offensive chemistry , but to his market value , and his health ..