http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/playoffodds

We all know that Hollinger lives in the world of numbers, and that reality doesn't always reflect well. I appreciate his stats articles partly because they try to remove bias, and reveal trends that are hard to see when watching highlight reels and Gatorade commercials.

On a personal note, I've been happy to be wrong so far about our Pacers. I'd pegged them at 31 wins at the beginning of the season... a half game under where Vegas put them. A team that exceeds expectations is a very exciting thing indeed. I look forward to catching a game with my Dad when I come home to visit for the holidays.
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Hollinger Playoff Odds 2007-08


Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are based on the Hollinger Power Rankings, designed by ESPN.com's John Hollinger.
The Hollinger Power Rankings are a measure of each team's performance in the season so far.
Based on those rankings, each day the computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and how likely it is for each team to make the playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.
For more on how the system works and what it means, see Hollinger's explanation.
Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds are updated automatically each night.
Record Alert: The current chances of Boston posting a 72-10 record or better are 1.0%.
Eastern Conference

ACTUAL PROJECTED ODDS (%)
Team W L W L Best Worst Playoffs Division No. 1 Finals Champs Lottery
Boston
152641877-551-31100.099.978.653.642.60.0
Detroit
135582470-1244-38100.0100.04.420.213.20.0
Orlando
164602270-1247-35100.0100.017.023.014.60.0
Toronto
109463658-2434-4899.70.10.02.10.50.0
Washington
99443857-2532-5098.60.00.00.80.20.0
Indiana
910414157-2528-5493.40.00.00.10.00.2
Cleveland
911374550-3223-5963.30.00.00.00.00.8
Atlanta
710374550-3224-5859.90.00.00.00.00.0
Milwaukee
89334946-3620-6221.10.00.00.00.03.1
Philadelphia
513334947-3520-6221.00.00.00.00.03.1
Miami
413325047-3518-6414.80.00.00.00.04.2
New Jersey
910334948-3421-6114.20.00.00.00.03.1
Chicago
511325043-3919-6312.10.00.00.00.04.6
New York
611285441-4115-671.70.00.00.00.08.9
Charlotte
611265639-4315-670.30.00.00.00.012.5
Western Conference

ACTUAL PROJECTED ODDS (%)
Team W L W L Best Worst Playoffs Division No. 1 Finals Champs Lottery
San Antonio
163582470-1244-38100.096.855.027.89.80.0
Phoenix
154562671-1143-39100.077.323.516.94.70.7*
Utah
136552767-1539-4399.999.217.221.66.50.0
Golden State
108513163-1938-4499.012.72.413.43.30.0
LA Lakers
118513162-2038-4498.910.01.611.42.90.0
Dallas
127483459-2334-4892.41.70.23.80.70.0
Houston
109473559-2334-4892.21.30.13.80.80.0
New Orleans
127443858-2431-5159.70.20.00.70.00.3
Denver
118424054-2830-5245.20.80.00.50.00.2
Sacramento
710384450-3225-579.30.00.00.10.00.8
Memphis
612364647-3524-583.30.00.00.00.01.3
Portland
612325045-3720-620.10.00.00.00.05.3
LA Clippers
611255737-4514-680.00.00.00.00.013.5
Minnesota
214196335-478-740.00.00.00.00.022.7
Seattle
415245838-4412-700.00.00.00.00.014.7
Hollinger Playoff Odds Glossary
Wins = Average number of wins from 5,000 computer-simulated seasons, based on the Hollinger Power Rankings
Losses = Average number of losses
Best = Best record from simulated seasons
Worst = Worst record from simulated seasons
Playoffs = Likelihood of making the playoffs
Division = Likelihood of winning the division
No. 1 = Likelihood of holding the top seed for the conference
Finals = Likelihood of making the NBA Finals
Champs = Likelihood of winning the NBA title
Lottery = Likelihood of winning the lottery

* Phoenix owns Atlanta's first-round pick.