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Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

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  • #16
    Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

    Originally posted by Indy View Post
    Prediction: JO will push KG for the starting spot in the all star game all season.

    2nd Prediction: Marquis Daniels will compete for sixth man of the year assuming he stays healthy.
    That's all fine and dandy but unless we win 40+ games and make the playoffs, I don't think anyone is getting any accolades, and they shouldn't.

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

      JO's passing
      He's also making some nice passes (some of which weren't on the board because the player blew the layup or was fouled).
      Same as last year which has been my point on him all along (regarding "slowing it down"). Last year after people complained post-game about this I pulled the Tivo and checked. Dude never held the ball more than 3 seconds total before passing or going in his move, and that's with him trying to draw doubles to open other guys up.

      His assists hit a high two years ago and for the first half last year they were up another 1.0 per above that. And riddled in there were tons of missed jumpers and missed layups.

      In the infamous AJ 40 game I came to his defense again (JO that is). Down the stretch (final 3-4 minutes) he not only scored a couple of buckets but drew a foul and kicked it out to open guys (Danny and Fred IIRC) who missed critical wide open shots set up by the threat of JO and JO's strong passing.

      JO might have had problems passing the ball 3+ years ago, but it's stopped being an issue. Movement off of him and the ability to make a shot he sets up for you does remain a real issue, extremely frustrating to watch.



      Pace
      Since I just brought up pace in the other post I went to check JOB's teams again. The Boston teams were more of a 94-93 caliber team but did maintain a pretty high pace. Not offensively efficient but lockdown D.

      So far Indy hasn't been low 90's lockdown at that end. So I checked his Philly squad. They did play a 99-99 game with the high pace, more in line with what the early results here have been. Obviously the Philly stint is the closest JOB season and might represent the better match for where JOB's strategy is at now.

      The bad news is that they gave up more points than they scored, they were 43-39 but had an expected win total of 39-43 due to the scoring lean. Not much difference though, clearly .500 indicators. Considering the 33 wins the prior year this probably looked pretty good to their fans. They also had 48 wins the year before that (talent there, things go wrong, JOB puts them back on track somewhat...could be similar).

      Anyway, that's not the point really. Just saying that Philly's style seems closest to what we've seen so far. Those numbers for the year were (bball ref):


      Factor________Off(Rk)___Def (Rk)
      +------------+---------+----------+
      Shooting_____.475(20)__.485 (18)
      Turnovers____.158(21)__.173 ( 2)
      Rebounding___.254(29)__.727 ( 6)
      Free Throws__.257(12)__.267 (24)

      The free throw number is FTM/FGA, meant to indicate how often they get to the line AND make it when they do. So they weren't a very strong shooting team and turned it over a lot, but drew a fair amount of FTs, defended the glass well and created boatloads of turnovers themselves.

      Also
      Pace Factor: 94.9 (2nd out of 30), League = 90.9
      Points Per 100 Possessions: Offense = 103.5 (24th out of 30), Defense = 104.3 (10th out of 30), League = 106.1
      RPI: .502 (16th out of 30)

      Note that despite the high pace their low shooting kept their points per possession way down. Solid defense, not quite stopper power but good.

      To me it does sound a lot like what we've seen so far. That would be good for .500 and better than what I've predicted, less than what some others have.

      I'm excited to see how this works vs Chicago this weekend. That's my "okay, I might climb on the wagon" game.
      Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 10-18-2007, 12:36 AM.

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      • #18
        Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

        Entertaining game. Ike was only 2-6, but he continues to get to the line like a madman, 5-5 in 18 minutes. 9 points on 6 field goal attempts, not bad. Quis also looks very good. He's a reliable 3 point shot away from being a consistent 20 point scorer.
        Last edited by Tank; 10-18-2007, 12:34 AM.

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        • #19
          Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

          Originally posted by rexnom View Post
          That's all fine and dandy but unless we win 40+ games and make the playoffs, I don't think anyone is getting any accolades, and they shouldn't.
          3rd Prediction: If first two predictions come true Pacers will finish top 4 in the east.


          Comment


          • #20
            Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

            This is the first game I've actually seen and I'm quite looking forward to going down Fri. night. Obviously, overall I'm pleased despite the second half near collapse. Few random thoughts:

            -Our PG defense was atrocious in the second half-all three guys. Their shadows would have blown past them.

            -Actually thought Ike looked good. Second straight game. Not as big a numbers offensively, but he made a solid contribution. Made an incredible hustle play to get us an extra possession by going to the floor chasing an offesnive board. Also had a shot block on an outside jumper in help rotation.

            -Speaking of Ike, and this is not at all a given, but ideally he would play consistently well enough against the oppontent's second team to allow us to generally reduce JO's minutes some. Say 32ish a game.

            That would go a long way to keeping JO healthy. He looks good condition-wise by the way. Nice to see him back down a bit from his over bulked physique of the last couple years.
            I'd rather die standing up than live on my knees.

            -Emiliano Zapata

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

              Oh yeah. Despite the emphasis on increased number of shots and all, I still thought JT took some really questionable shots. Just odd times, going one on one, pull up jumper in transition with nobody down to rebound and at least 2 defenders back. That kind of stuff.

              Just my impression. And I'm not ripping on his overall game. He did not play poorly. Just wondering how seriously he's going to take the distributor role.
              I'd rather die standing up than live on my knees.

              -Emiliano Zapata

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              • #22
                Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                Originally posted by Indy View Post
                3rd Prediction: If first two predictions come true Pacers will finish top 4 in the east.
                And what if like last season JO spends a few months feeling hobbled a bit and Quis is out entirely for 2-3 months?


                I say this because I agree that both players are huge factors right now, they both look great and are impacting the team in a major way. The flipside is that (again a Rick defense) having them limited or out altogether would put a hurt on this season just like it did last, Rick, JOB or Wooden.

                Given their history I'm a little worried that they are the two critical guys, and there is no denying that they probably are the 2 most talented all-around players on the team right now.


                Danny does not yet look reliable to me. Not worried yet, but he's just got to step up his game by this time next fall. At some point he stops being a young, potential star. That doesn't appear to be immenent at this point.



                You saw Ike and I didn't, so I'll take your word on that. But it should be noted that with Ike in for JO (mostly with Diener, Owens, Quis, and Foster) the Pacers lost the final 6:45 of the third by 14 points. So whatever he was doing during that time wasn't enough to end the bleeding.
                Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 10-18-2007, 01:29 AM.

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                • #23
                  Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                  Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                  2nd half letdowns...well it beats the heck out of those slow starts at the beginning of last year which led to Foster taking Danny's spot in the starting lineup. But if pace is a trend so far then this is too. It's not just bench vs starters either. My vote? Fatigue, though of course shouldn't the other team be tiring at that pace too?
                  I noticed this too....I think it's a trend as well.....go through the game threads for all the preseason games and you can notice the many "oh no...are we gonna blow this huge lead?" posts. I too think that it's because of fatigue.

                  The best way that I can describe it is if you have a runner sprint as fast as he can in a 400yard dash....1/2 way through, the runner is simply going to get tired and slow down.

                  That's what I have noticed in all these games.....we sprint out of the gate in the first half where we put as much effort on the offensive and defensive end....then start to "crash" and slow down on the defensive end....hence the big runs by the other team in the 3rd and 4th QTRs.

                  I've mentioned this in the previous Post Game thread....I really think that if this is an issue.....JO'B has to figure out a way to remedy it.
                  Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

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                  • #24
                    Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                    Originally posted by D-BONE View Post
                    -Speaking of Ike, and this is not at all a given, but ideally he would play consistently well enough against the oppontent's second team to allow us to generally reduce JO's minutes some. Say 32ish a game.
                    I totally agree......I think that Ike has more then a good enough Offensive game to abuse the frontcourt when the 2nd unit comes in. I will even go as far as to say that if the opposing team has a really bad defensive frontcourt ( that is foul prone ) that Ike gets extended minutes. The one thing that Ike is VERY VERY good at...is getting the opposing team in foul trouble.

                    However, this doesn't mean that I think that Ike is ready to play more then 20 mpg....I think that he should play a very consistent 14-16 mpg...even if he gets 5 fouls...not only to build his confidence...but to ( as you suggest ) limit JONeal's minutes throughout the season.
                    Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                      Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                      And what if like last season JO spends a few months feeling hobbled a bit and Quis is out entirely for 2-3 months?
                      Lotto bound.


                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                        Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                        And what if like last season JO spends a few months feeling hobbled a bit and Quis is out entirely for 2-3 months?

                        I say this because I agree that both players are huge factors right now, they both look great and are impacting the team in a major way. The flipside is that (again a Rick defense) having them limited or out altogether would put a hurt on this season just like it did last, Rick, JOB or Wooden.

                        Given their history I'm a little worried that they are the two critical guys, and there is no denying that they probably are the 2 most talented all-around players on the team right now.

                        Danny does not yet look reliable to me. Not worried yet, but he's just got to step up his game by this time next fall. At some point he stops being a young, potential star. That doesn't appear to be immenent at this point.

                        You saw Ike and I didn't, so I'll take your word on that. But it should be noted that with Ike in for JO (mostly with Diener, Owens, Quis, and Foster) the Pacers lost the final 6:45 of the third by 14 points. So whatever he was doing during that time wasn't enough to end the bleeding.
                        I know that it's preseason....but other then your praise for JONeal.....is there anything that you find somewhat positive about this version of the Pacers so far?

                        I'm not knocking you about what others perceive as "being negative" ( cuz even I know that we are playing against a bunch of scrubs on lottery bound teams during the preseason ).....but even I.....a very pessimistic person that was desperate for some change ....have noticed that things seem somewhat different. Unfortunately, whether that is a good or bad thing...I don't know yet.
                        Ash from Army of Darkness: Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                          Originally posted by CableKC View Post
                          I noticed this too....I think it's a trend as well.....go through the game threads for all the preseason games and you can notice the many "oh no...are we gonna blow this huge lead?" posts. I too think that it's because of fatigue.

                          The best way that I can describe it is if you have a runner sprint as fast as he can in a 400yard dash....1/2 way through, the runner is simply going to get tired and slow down.

                          That's what I have noticed in all these games.....we sprint out of the gate in the first half where we put as much effort on the offensive and defensive end....then start to "crash" and slow down on the defensive end....hence the big runs by the other team in the 3rd and 4th QTRs.

                          I've mentioned this in the previous Post Game thread....I really think that if this is an issue.....JO'B has to figure out a way to remedy it.
                          You don't think it has anything to do with us being up 28 in the third quarter of a preseason game and calling it a win, allowing JOB to do some things like shut down Dunleavy and Granger, give both backup PGs decent minutes, and play Courtney Simms?

                          I personally don't think it's fatigue, I think it's a typical preseason game where one team is getting embarrassed and the other team starts playing some guys that won't be in the rotation.

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                          • #28
                            Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                            seriously when was the last time you've seen a team consistently beat opponents with 20+ point margin?

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                              Okay...I know that it is preseason and we are thirsty for Pacer action...Good Pacer Action...

                              We have gotten it. We asked for a thriving offense (40% or not they are still scoring 100+ forced to playing their "scrubs")and we got it. Just because some of the problems (point defense and FG%) still linger from last year does not mean that this team is like last year.

                              You don't over haul the offense and defense structure and add some key bench help and have the same team as last year.

                              Now if you think this product is going to reap the same results then fine. The reason can be different than before. I do go on history. The previous Pacers did not have this swagger.

                              Is this preseason enough for me to expect an Eastern Conference crown? No.

                              But is this start enough to celebrate over? YES!!!

                              We of all fans should learn when to celebrate and when to mourn. We were burned with to falling of this team. After being ousted by the Pistons we expected to be in the hunt. And over the course of events we now should not expect that.

                              Maybe one day we will taste the milk and honey of the NBA finals. But if we fail with the effort that I see in the preseason, I am satisfied. If we fail like we did last year (gave up), I WILL BE PISSED.

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: Post game thread - game 4 Pacers vs Grizz

                                Just a couple of things,

                                Negative-

                                Tinsley and JO still have basketball lapses where they'll hold the ball or get beat on defense from a team concept, it just kills me how you can play basketball this long and not consistently get it. It's not all the time, but enough. For Example, JO gets beat by Darko on a post move bad, then dunked on by Warick after getting his shot blocked at the other end when he was double teamed. Tinsley fancy dribbles while other guys are moving to get open and Tinsley continues to dribble and dribble-MOVE THE BALL, PLAY SMARTER.

                                -I'm a little worried about Granger he seems an after thought other than shooting a 3 and he doesn't seem to ever hit the boards. He seems almost invisible out there sometimes.



                                Positive

                                -When they push the ball like in the first half the other team is really on their heals. It will be interesting when they play a team that can run with them like Golden State or Phoenix, but for now it's a thing of beauty when they take a defensive rebound and take zero dribbles to advance the ball all the way to the other base line, this kills the other teams psyche and is fun to play and watch.

                                -JO taking three charges, nice.

                                -Dunleavy really just constantly moving on offense.

                                - Murphy giving hard fouls, he's going to get in a couple of fights this year, but there is no easy lay ups anymore and his one on one defense is much much better so far. I know some people are kinda down on him right now, not me, the only thing not working consistently is his shot and that will come. He's helping control the defensive boards and he's active offensively.

                                -Daniels defensively is really disruptive.

                                -Owens and Deiner both need minutes, they both really bring something that motors the team in spurts. I would not be against playing small ball.

                                -Overall, offensively there are several guys who are the "motor" and this really brings up the intensity. Defensively they are getting there, with the rotations, but still just a click slow at times, but the intensity (I know I keep saying intensity) is there more than not.

                                That is the mindset, to have the will to play that hard on defense that it eventually breaks the spirit of the opposing players, and it seems like Obie will accept nothing less.
                                Last edited by Speed; 10-18-2007, 08:14 AM.

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