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Oden going Bender?

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  • #16
    Re: Oden going Bender?

    http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slu...yhoo&type=lgns

    Greg Oden , the Portland Trail Blazers' No. 1 pick in the 2007 NBA Draft, will miss the 2007-2008 season after knee surgery on Thursday, two league sources told Yahoo! Sports.

    Oden, the 7-footer out of Ohio State, underwent exploratory surgery on his right knee on Thursday in Vancouver. The extent of the damage was not immediately clear, but Oden, one of the most celebrated young players in years, will be lost for the season.

    The Blazers are expected to make an announcement shortly.

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    • #17
      Re: Oden going Bender?

      Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
      If Oden ends up out with injury forever, or never gets it going because of injuries, you are going to see a whole lot of "I knew it's" from people who in no way did know it, just as we see now with Bender.
      While I didn't think he'd have injury problems, I always thought he was over-rated(especially in these parts). I've stated as much in threads before he even went to OSU.
      I'm in these bands
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      • #18
        Re: Oden going Bender?

        WOW.

        This is the first time to my knowledge since the 1987-1988 season that the reigning #1 overall pick will not play at all.
        Last edited by Kstat; 09-13-2007, 02:36 PM.

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        • #19
          Re: Oden going Bender?

          comparing apples with apples...

          As college freshmen:

          David Robinson 7.6 ppg 4.0 rpg
          Patrick Ewing 12.7 ppg 7.5 rpg
          Hakeem Olajuwon 8.3 ppg 6.3 rpg
          Shaquille O’Neal 13.9 ppg 12.0 rpg
          Ralph Sampson 14.9 ppg 11.2 rpg
          Greg Oden 15.7 ppg 9.6 rpg
          The poster "pacertom" since this forum began (and before!). I changed my name here to "Slick Pinkham" in honor of the imaginary player That Bobby "Slick" Leonard picked late in the 1971 ABA draft (true story!).

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          • #20
            Re: Oden going Bender?

            Someone needs to change the thread title to Sam Bowie


            I remember posting before the draft that I would take Durrant, even though I've never seen either of these two guys play.

            Hope Oden has a long and successful career.

            I feel bad for Portland - wonder how many references there has been to Sam Bowie in Portland today

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            • #21
              Re: Oden going Bender?

              Originally posted by pacertom View Post
              comparing apples with apples...

              As college freshmen:

              David Robinson 7.6 ppg 4.0 rpg
              Patrick Ewing 12.7 ppg 7.5 rpg
              Hakeem Olajuwon 8.3 ppg 6.3 rpg
              Shaquille O’Neal 13.9 ppg 12.0 rpg
              Ralph Sampson 14.9 ppg 11.2 rpg
              Greg Oden 15.7 ppg 9.6 rpg
              Are you going to pull ALL the top freshman stats up there, or just cherry pick comparisons to the ones that BECAME great.

              How many of those players were drafted #1 after that single season? Seems like you've mixed those apples up more than you thought. Heck, even I (as Redd noted) didn't match the MPG or competition levels (by conference), and neither have you.

              Also it's due to D-Knick that we are talking numbers since HIS (not mine) assertion was that college would have shown that Bender just wasn't good, not whether he would get hurt or not (or perhaps had issues making him more of an injury risk).


              Meanwhile, the comparison just took on a whole new light. Knee problem no less. I really didn't think it was going to be that bad. This is devastating for Portland...unless Oden is doing a Robinson/Duncan, Blazers tank into another elite pick and then he and that pick go on to win titles every other year.
              Last edited by Naptown_Seth; 09-13-2007, 03:34 PM.

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              • #22
                Re: Oden going Bender?

                WOW...this is nuts. Everything I'd heard expected this to be minor. What a kick to the balls for the Blazers.

                Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                Careful, this isn't really different than the defense of Bender at the time. He was a super athlete. We are talking about turning that ability into actual results, and in this case the idea that Bender wouldn't have been able to as well.

                He hits MSU, gets plenty of nice chances to shoot the place up against weaker teams and puts up solid numbers on par with Oden. The potential doesn't go away, what you see in workouts and practice doesn't go away, no sign of serious injury (none more than Oden at least), so what's the problem.
                Well, now that Oden is sitting out this year, this whole debate takes a big turn.

                But, I still say that Bender never showed me anything but potential. I never saw him as particularly good at anything except for being athletic.

                I just think that what we've seen from him SO FAR could easily have been Bender after 1 year.
                I don't.

                Oden proved at the NCAA level that he was an elite defender. That wasn't potential based on athleticism. That was what the world watch happen and he was awarded as the Defensive Player of the Year.

                Maybe Bender would have been an elite scorer himself, maybe not...you're speculating it would have happened because he was athletic. I'm saying I don't think he was ever a good enough scorer to wow anyone no matter how much higher he could jump than them.

                Either way, being an elite scorer doesn't translate to guarenteed NBA sucess. Look at Morrison, Troy Bell, Ike Diogu, Mike Sweetney and dozens of other 20 ppg NCAA scorers. And I personally doubt he would have ever scored that much...20 ppg is a lot in college and I never saw any reason to think he would have done that in the SEC.

                Yes, he still likely would have been lottery based on potential. But he never would have done what Durant did and I can't imagine he would have done anything to make himself a #1 overall pick.

                If Oden ends up out with injury forever, or never gets it going because of injuries, you are going to see a whole lot of "I knew it's" from people who in no way did know it, just as we see now with Bender.
                Agreed...and I guess this is your main point anyway.

                People are idiots and revisionist historians. Yes. True. Drafting Bender was never the problem. It was the extension based on nothing that hurt us. And honestly, that wouldn't even have so bad if he could have actually stayed on the court.

                If your point here is that management's ineptitude in the Bender situation is overblown, I'm with you.

                But it's more fun to pick apart the strawman flaws in an argument than deal with the actual point you're trying to make.
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                • #23
                  Re: Oden going Bender?

                  He only had to maintain a #5 status though. And while we can debate on what makes a good pick based on college output that isn't directly relevent. Plus I don't specifically disagree with you on the issue of what skills translate best.

                  I just think that Bender could have kept up something like 16-6-3 with 2-3 blocks at Miss St. No knee injury yet, no mighty flop to warn people off. Then the Pacers still come along, take him at 5 and get screwed.



                  Oden going Bender is a player getting injured before he ever gets the chance to make good on potential, and as you point out with Bender, Oden also hasn't yet proven anything against NBA-caliber talent. We don't even know if the NCAA stars he did things against are NBA-caliber. We saw a dud effort in summer ball due to a surprising tonsil situation which takes on some level of "hmm, that really is odd" in light of this.

                  Like Bender he's full of potential, now facing a serious knee rehab before doing much of anything.


                  I guess we disagree on what Bender was as well. He did drop the 36% from 3 vs NBA players at age 21. Not off the charts, but for a guy at his size that's very nice. He could also block shots. He could also drive off the dribble. Not a great defender, never showed a ton of NBA awareness, but neither did he shy from the spotlight. He played well enough in the playoffs (even at 19 he scored 12 points in 21 playoff minutes going 4-6 with a 3 made and 3 boards).

                  Heck, in his final game vs Philly I saw him as one of the most aggressive guys to the hole, even if he didn't rack up huge numbers in that limited play. I thought he looked fine and was shocked that he was done right after that. He certainly wasn't gimping around the court.

                  Not mega-star, but I could see images of Marion in his game. I think it's really unfair to suggest that injury wasn't a major impact on what he was able to do in the NBA. Just as if Oden comes back and isn't really the same anymore you couldn't just put it on "I knew his skills wouldn't translate".



                  Let's look at it a different way, had Portland gotten Oden right out of HS would they be any better off now than having seen him 1 year at OSU?

                  If your point here is that management's ineptitude in the Bender situation is overblown, I'm with you.
                  Yeah it is, along with just Oden's situation quickly taking on a Bender-esque trajectory. I think when it happens elsewhere you see a different reaction than when it happens to the Pacers. Fans that rip on TPTB for Bender will give Portland a massive pass on this, not that Portland should be ripped of course (back to point 1).



                  Also this is less taxing to me than the Shawne-pot debates.

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                  • #24
                    Re: Oden going Bender?

                    Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                    Are you going to pull ALL the top freshman stats up there, or just cherry pick comparisons to the ones that BECAME great.

                    You said that he was not reminiscent of a Patrick Ewing or David Robinson type of player. I also threw in other centers in the same era just since I was curious.

                    If you can find any college center since freshman became eligible in the mid-70s who put up way better numbers than Oden as a freshman, then go for it.

                    I can't think of any.

                    When you go back to Russell/Wilt/Jabbar/Walton then you find that as sophomores (freshmen weren't eligible) they all blew these guys away. But there is a maturity factor that makes it unfair to compare a freshman vs. a sophomore with a full year of college and collegiate coaching (albeit on a freshman team).

                    Jabbar (then Lew Alicindor) was apparently so good as a freshman that the UCLA freshman team beat the national champion UCLA varsity team in scrimmages.

                    I'm not saying that Oden is/was a lock to be great, I was just reminding myself and everyone else that even great centers usually start off slowly in college. And of couse none of those guys had their good hand in a cast half the freshman season.
                    The poster "pacertom" since this forum began (and before!). I changed my name here to "Slick Pinkham" in honor of the imaginary player That Bobby "Slick" Leonard picked late in the 1971 ABA draft (true story!).

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                    • #25
                      Re: Oden going Bender?

                      Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                      Also it's due to D-Knick that we are talking numbers since HIS (not mine) assertion was that college would have shown that Bender just wasn't good, not whether he would get hurt or not (or perhaps had issues making him more of an injury risk).
                      College would have shown that Jon Bender was the player we saw in the NBA - definitely not good enough to be a top-10 pick.

                      Numbers are irrelevant - Bender was not that good of a basketball player.
                      The poster formerly known as Rimfire

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                      • #26
                        Re: Oden going Bender?

                        If you're just talking about numbers there are plenty of big men who put up better numbers in their first college season......

                        It doesn't really matter thought does it? He's out for the season and this is his second consecutive season with any injury and he's never even stepped foot on an NBA court.
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                        • #27
                          Re: Oden going Bender?

                          Originally posted by Dr. Goldfoot View Post
                          If you're just talking about numbers there are plenty of big men who put up better numbers in their first college season.......
                          I am only lonking at TRUE FRESHMAN playing CENTER, and

                          The only one I can find is Sharif Abdur-Rahim, 21.1 ppg/ 8.1 rpg at Cal, but I am alost certain that he never played center even a little bit.

                          As far as I know, there has never been a true freshman college center who averaged more points and rebounds than Greg Oden did this past year. Also he is not wrapped up in getting stats.

                          I might be wrong, but I plugged in every half-decent college center that I could think of at basketballreference.com and came up blank.

                          You are right that it is not a big point, but people have very short memories about how much of an adjustment college basketball was for even the best centers who ever lived.
                          The poster "pacertom" since this forum began (and before!). I changed my name here to "Slick Pinkham" in honor of the imaginary player That Bobby "Slick" Leonard picked late in the 1971 ABA draft (true story!).

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                          • #28
                            Re: Oden going Bender?

                            how tall was David Robinson his freshman year? 6'5"?

                            I
                            n Naval Academy, he grew seven inches, began to play basketball; graduated with a degree in mathematics and spent two years on active duty
                            http://www.answers.com/topic/david-robinson-basketball

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                            • #29
                              Re: Oden going Bender?

                              Ptom - I agree on the start slowly and I'm not taking the view that Oden was set to be a talent flop or anything. I have zero problem with them drafting him...just as I had zero problem with the Pacers going after Bender. They had a team loaded with vet talent and had plenty of time to let he and Al mature into their games within their system.

                              DKnick and I just flat-out disagree on what Bender might have shown in college. I can't fault him because neither of our views can be proven now. Just know that my point is based on the POV that Bender would have done well enough in 1 season of college to come out in the lottery still and then a year or two later end up basically injured for good.

                              And of course I started this discussion prior to the operation, just based on the hand, then the summer showing, US team workouts and a pending minor knee operation/investigation. It was starting to remind me of Bender's resume, always some new issue holding up his chance to show everyone his full game.

                              Bowie wasn't 1 year out of HS so it's not the same to me, and Walton actually even got into the NBA as a star and title winner before hitting the injury wall. That's why AT THIS POINT Oden is more like a Bender than a Bowie, at least to me.

                              I hate that it went that way for Bender, better to let DKnick be right by letting him be fully healthy and then flopping on talent issues rather than not knowing for sure. I really hate that it happened to home town hero Oden.

                              But sooner or later you have to think that a "miracle" recovery from a micro op is going to show up. They already have seen improved results with someone like Amare. Maybe Oden is that next medical step for the procedure and rehab.

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                              • #30
                                Re: Oden going Bender?

                                Originally posted by Naptown_Seth View Post
                                Ptom - I agree on the start slowly and I'm not taking the view that Oden was set to be a talent flop or anything. I have zero problem with them drafting him...just as I had zero problem with the Pacers going after Bender. They had a team loaded with vet talent and had plenty of time to let he and Al mature into their games within their system.
                                They had a team with a center with a history of foot problems talking about retirement and also traded one of those vets for this project while already having a HS project on the bench.

                                Stupid is what it was. Bender wasn't just a blown draft pick.

                                -Bball
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