This will be the first one of a group of threads Im going to try and start in the next few weeks talking about our returning individual players, and how they can be "coached up" by our new staff. I'll try and cover both individual aspects of their games, and how I think they may fit into our new staff's overall team concept and scheme. The first player that goes under the microscope tonight is Mike Dunleavy Jr.
In many ways, Dunleavy is a fascinating but frustrating player to me. My overall sense of him is that he has alot of talent and intellect about how to play the game the right way, but that his game is so unique that he hasnt really been used in the best way so far in his NBA career. While compiling decent stats and being an overall average player so far, I can't help when watching Dunleavy feeling that he has alot more to give, a lot more to show, and a lot more to contribute. So far, I'd consider Dunleavy to be somewhat of an underachiever in his career, because I thought personally he'd be a better player.
In analyzing Dunleavy's game and style, here are some thoughts about how I think he can be better used, and improve his production:
1. COME OFF SCREENS AND PLAY OFF THE BALL, BEING UTILIZED AS A MID RANGE SCORER.
I have thought a lot about this this summer. I think the natural thought with Dunleavy is to use him as a "facilitator" of offense instead of a "finisher/primary option". In other words, I think because of his height, intelligence, and passing ability, I think his NBA coaches have liked him as a secondary ballhandler/point forward type of player. He feeds the post well, sees the floor well, and can contribute in that role, so thats how he has been used by the 3 previous coaches he has had. That has often led him to be on the perimeter outside the arc, and because he is a poor percentage shooter from there and lacks the athleticism to drive alot from that positioning, he ends up looking like a worse offensive player than he really is.
I also think that has made him tentative offensively, and afraid to drive the ball and try and get to the line. Dunleavy to me plays afraid to make a mistake, instead of with the kind of reckless abandon that his talent dictates he could play with.
Playing tentatively and always around the arc also lets the opponent guard him with a smaller man, since he isnt taking shots over the smaller man 15 ft in very often, and because he hasnt developed a post up game.
Dunleavy needs to be used similarly to Rip Hamilton in Detroit I think, recieving downscreens and taking a consistent amount of 15 ft jump shots near the lane area. Dunleavy needs to develop a scoring mentality, and be willing to "dribble in to his shot" and shoot over the smaller defenders teams generally guard him with.
And he needs to develop a low post game. For his body type and skill level, Dunleavy's best move I think to learn and work on is the "step back jumper".....and no one in basketball did a better job of using this move than Larry Bird himself. Dunleavy needs to learn his footwork better (putting his foot between the feet of the defender when posting up), hod the defense off while he posts up, then step back and shoot over the man guarding him. Think about using him in this way like a smaller Dirk Nowitzki, who is in my minds eye the style of player I want Dunleavy to try and be.
2. BULK UP INSTEAD OF TRYING TO BE FASTER.
I think Dunleavy and most people consider himself to be a "guard" trapped in a forwards body. I think instead of trying to be faster and leaner, that Dunleavy needs to gain weight and be stronger. I want him to be able to hold ground inside, be a more physical defender, and play with a meaner streak. Dunleavy is slow, no amount of work is going to make a difference with that, so with that said I want him to at least be a stronger and "tougher" defender.
3. CHANGE HIS BALL, HAND AND FINGER POSITION SLIGHTLY ON HIS SHOT.
This was a topic of mine back in the season in a thread I wrote about improving Dunleavy's shot. It's hard to tell just on film and on television, so I am guessing just a bit here, but it's an educated guess at least. I think/suspect that we can improve Dunleavy's perimeter shot by moving the ball slightly further to his right instead of being quite as far in front of him as it is now. In doing that, he'd have to be coached to keep his right elbow closer to his body than he does now to keep his release point consistent. Finally (this is another educated guess) I think Dunleavy has his fingers a bit too spread on the ball, and his larger than average hands cause him to put the ball slightly into his palm area instead of on the tips of his fingers. By spreading your hand fully, that also can bring in the "pinky" finger into contact on your shot release, which you don't really want (You want the big 3 fingers to do the work). All of you reading this now go grab a basketball and play with it in your hand some to know what Im talking about.
4. RAISE OUR EXPECTATIONS OF HIM FROM THE STAFF, FANS, AND IN THE MEDIA.
I think it's commonly thought that Dunleavy has a sensitive, weak minded, and shy of criticism type of mentality. Perhaps it is thought that his problems in Golden State were too hard on him, from being criticized by the staff, to being booed by the fans. I do not by this at all, I just think in many ways Dunleavy as an individual has been poorly coached so far in his career, maybe more than any player in the league. Dunleavy comes out of an NBA player/coaches background, and a great winnijng pedigree at Duke. For people to think Dunleavy isnt tough enough or hard nosed enough with that kind of pedigree I think are missing the mark on him.
I equate Dunleavy's career to that of a B level student who keeps out of trouble, does his work, and keeps getting B's and C's. If thats all you expect of him, thats what he will get for you. But if he is used differently, demanded to and forced to excel, I think he has A level ability.
With all the other drama and knuckleheads we have on our roster, it's real easy for players like Granger and Dunleavy, who are great teammates and non trouble makers, to get no attention. But I think Dunleavy particularly can prosper with a tougher minded, slightly harder style, if its done in the right way. He doesn't need coddled, I think he needs pushed in a confident and demanding way.
5. BECOME A MUCH MUCH BETTER TEAM DEFENDER, ESPECIALLY IN FORCING PEOPLE TO HELP.
Dunleavy should be able, if he bulks up, to guard people better than he does currently. He needs to be able to back up a step and use his long arms to contest shots better, and to keep from being beat off the dribble. With a proper team defensive scheme that plays intelligently and has all 5 people on the same page, his defense won't be near as bad or as noticable. I expect the Pacers to rarely double team this season, so Dunleavy will need to be able to stay in front of his man, and to be able and willing to go to thje board. If the Pacers do as I suspect and play JO at center, Dunleavy will be counted on to rebound and start his own fast breaks at times, and to defend bigger/slower people.
Now, how much of that do I really expect to happen?
1. DO I EXPECT DUNLEAVY TO PLAY OFF THE BALL AND COME OFF LOTS OF SCREENS FOR MIDRANGE SHOTS?
I do not at all. I suspect from a strategic standpoint that O'Brien will do what's obvious and expected with Dunleavy, which will be to throw him the ball on the wing and let him be our primary post feeder to JO. Dunleavy will almost certainly be used in the "facilitator" role that after lots of thought Ive decided is wrong for him totally. Time will tell whether this is smart or not.
2. DO I EXPECT DUNLEAVY TO COME IN HEAVIER AND STRONGER?
I do not. I suspect he will look about the same, and may even lose some weight even to try and improve his quickness defensively. I think this is a big mistake with his body type and game, but I am interested to see what everyone else thinks.
3. DO I EXPECT HIS 3 POINT SHOT TO IMPROVE, AND HIS FORM TO CHANGE ANY?
I do. I suspect this is the one area Jim O'Brien and Larry Bird will help him with the most. I expect Dunleavy to shoot a percentage somewhere around 37 percent from the arc this year, which while not great is much better than he has in the past. I think more looks for him overall from there (since we as a team will be in the top 4 of the league in 3 point attempts I think) will increase his percentage. And I do expect the staff will tweak his release and ball position somewhat....whether my exact opinions are correct or not is up to the coaching staff to decide.
4. WILL THE EXPECTATIONS CHANGE FROM THE FANS AND NEW STAFF?
While I think Jim O'Brien's mental approach to treating players can be a good fit for Dunleavy, I do not believe his overall scheme will prove out to be a good fit for him. I expect O'Brien to eventually end up using Kareem Rush and Shawn Williams to eat up much of the time Dunleavy would get, and for Dunleavy to possibly be dealt in midseason....possibly to the Clippers to play for his father.
5. WILL HE BE A BETTER DEFENDER?
I wholeheartedly expect our team defense to be much better, after bringing in Dick Harter as an assistant coach. However, Dunleavy's best attribute on defense is as a help defender...taking charges, reading passing lanes, etc etc. Dunleavy will need to be more determined to contest every jump shot his man takes, and be able to stay in front of his man better, because the Pacers will try and not to help and trap as much this year I suspect, and I think we will rarely if ever play zone. If Mike gets soft at all, the Pacers will play the better defender without a second thought.
In summary, I like Mike Dunleavy as a player (obviously), but do not think he is a good fit for Jim O'Brien's offensive scheme that I expect to see. My prediction is that Dunleavy will fall out of favor with O'Brien, and most of his playing time will go to Kareem Rush and Shawn Williams. I would not be surprised at all if Dunleavy is dealt midseason for the second straight year, maybe this time to the Clippers to play for his Dad.
As always, I love hearing your opinions and recieving your feedback and questions. I'm probably going to write about Jamal Tinsley next I think, unless anyone has another request.
And as always, the above is just my opinion.
Tbird
In many ways, Dunleavy is a fascinating but frustrating player to me. My overall sense of him is that he has alot of talent and intellect about how to play the game the right way, but that his game is so unique that he hasnt really been used in the best way so far in his NBA career. While compiling decent stats and being an overall average player so far, I can't help when watching Dunleavy feeling that he has alot more to give, a lot more to show, and a lot more to contribute. So far, I'd consider Dunleavy to be somewhat of an underachiever in his career, because I thought personally he'd be a better player.
In analyzing Dunleavy's game and style, here are some thoughts about how I think he can be better used, and improve his production:
1. COME OFF SCREENS AND PLAY OFF THE BALL, BEING UTILIZED AS A MID RANGE SCORER.
I have thought a lot about this this summer. I think the natural thought with Dunleavy is to use him as a "facilitator" of offense instead of a "finisher/primary option". In other words, I think because of his height, intelligence, and passing ability, I think his NBA coaches have liked him as a secondary ballhandler/point forward type of player. He feeds the post well, sees the floor well, and can contribute in that role, so thats how he has been used by the 3 previous coaches he has had. That has often led him to be on the perimeter outside the arc, and because he is a poor percentage shooter from there and lacks the athleticism to drive alot from that positioning, he ends up looking like a worse offensive player than he really is.
I also think that has made him tentative offensively, and afraid to drive the ball and try and get to the line. Dunleavy to me plays afraid to make a mistake, instead of with the kind of reckless abandon that his talent dictates he could play with.
Playing tentatively and always around the arc also lets the opponent guard him with a smaller man, since he isnt taking shots over the smaller man 15 ft in very often, and because he hasnt developed a post up game.
Dunleavy needs to be used similarly to Rip Hamilton in Detroit I think, recieving downscreens and taking a consistent amount of 15 ft jump shots near the lane area. Dunleavy needs to develop a scoring mentality, and be willing to "dribble in to his shot" and shoot over the smaller defenders teams generally guard him with.
And he needs to develop a low post game. For his body type and skill level, Dunleavy's best move I think to learn and work on is the "step back jumper".....and no one in basketball did a better job of using this move than Larry Bird himself. Dunleavy needs to learn his footwork better (putting his foot between the feet of the defender when posting up), hod the defense off while he posts up, then step back and shoot over the man guarding him. Think about using him in this way like a smaller Dirk Nowitzki, who is in my minds eye the style of player I want Dunleavy to try and be.
2. BULK UP INSTEAD OF TRYING TO BE FASTER.
I think Dunleavy and most people consider himself to be a "guard" trapped in a forwards body. I think instead of trying to be faster and leaner, that Dunleavy needs to gain weight and be stronger. I want him to be able to hold ground inside, be a more physical defender, and play with a meaner streak. Dunleavy is slow, no amount of work is going to make a difference with that, so with that said I want him to at least be a stronger and "tougher" defender.
3. CHANGE HIS BALL, HAND AND FINGER POSITION SLIGHTLY ON HIS SHOT.
This was a topic of mine back in the season in a thread I wrote about improving Dunleavy's shot. It's hard to tell just on film and on television, so I am guessing just a bit here, but it's an educated guess at least. I think/suspect that we can improve Dunleavy's perimeter shot by moving the ball slightly further to his right instead of being quite as far in front of him as it is now. In doing that, he'd have to be coached to keep his right elbow closer to his body than he does now to keep his release point consistent. Finally (this is another educated guess) I think Dunleavy has his fingers a bit too spread on the ball, and his larger than average hands cause him to put the ball slightly into his palm area instead of on the tips of his fingers. By spreading your hand fully, that also can bring in the "pinky" finger into contact on your shot release, which you don't really want (You want the big 3 fingers to do the work). All of you reading this now go grab a basketball and play with it in your hand some to know what Im talking about.
4. RAISE OUR EXPECTATIONS OF HIM FROM THE STAFF, FANS, AND IN THE MEDIA.
I think it's commonly thought that Dunleavy has a sensitive, weak minded, and shy of criticism type of mentality. Perhaps it is thought that his problems in Golden State were too hard on him, from being criticized by the staff, to being booed by the fans. I do not by this at all, I just think in many ways Dunleavy as an individual has been poorly coached so far in his career, maybe more than any player in the league. Dunleavy comes out of an NBA player/coaches background, and a great winnijng pedigree at Duke. For people to think Dunleavy isnt tough enough or hard nosed enough with that kind of pedigree I think are missing the mark on him.
I equate Dunleavy's career to that of a B level student who keeps out of trouble, does his work, and keeps getting B's and C's. If thats all you expect of him, thats what he will get for you. But if he is used differently, demanded to and forced to excel, I think he has A level ability.
With all the other drama and knuckleheads we have on our roster, it's real easy for players like Granger and Dunleavy, who are great teammates and non trouble makers, to get no attention. But I think Dunleavy particularly can prosper with a tougher minded, slightly harder style, if its done in the right way. He doesn't need coddled, I think he needs pushed in a confident and demanding way.
5. BECOME A MUCH MUCH BETTER TEAM DEFENDER, ESPECIALLY IN FORCING PEOPLE TO HELP.
Dunleavy should be able, if he bulks up, to guard people better than he does currently. He needs to be able to back up a step and use his long arms to contest shots better, and to keep from being beat off the dribble. With a proper team defensive scheme that plays intelligently and has all 5 people on the same page, his defense won't be near as bad or as noticable. I expect the Pacers to rarely double team this season, so Dunleavy will need to be able to stay in front of his man, and to be able and willing to go to thje board. If the Pacers do as I suspect and play JO at center, Dunleavy will be counted on to rebound and start his own fast breaks at times, and to defend bigger/slower people.
Now, how much of that do I really expect to happen?
1. DO I EXPECT DUNLEAVY TO PLAY OFF THE BALL AND COME OFF LOTS OF SCREENS FOR MIDRANGE SHOTS?
I do not at all. I suspect from a strategic standpoint that O'Brien will do what's obvious and expected with Dunleavy, which will be to throw him the ball on the wing and let him be our primary post feeder to JO. Dunleavy will almost certainly be used in the "facilitator" role that after lots of thought Ive decided is wrong for him totally. Time will tell whether this is smart or not.
2. DO I EXPECT DUNLEAVY TO COME IN HEAVIER AND STRONGER?
I do not. I suspect he will look about the same, and may even lose some weight even to try and improve his quickness defensively. I think this is a big mistake with his body type and game, but I am interested to see what everyone else thinks.
3. DO I EXPECT HIS 3 POINT SHOT TO IMPROVE, AND HIS FORM TO CHANGE ANY?
I do. I suspect this is the one area Jim O'Brien and Larry Bird will help him with the most. I expect Dunleavy to shoot a percentage somewhere around 37 percent from the arc this year, which while not great is much better than he has in the past. I think more looks for him overall from there (since we as a team will be in the top 4 of the league in 3 point attempts I think) will increase his percentage. And I do expect the staff will tweak his release and ball position somewhat....whether my exact opinions are correct or not is up to the coaching staff to decide.
4. WILL THE EXPECTATIONS CHANGE FROM THE FANS AND NEW STAFF?
While I think Jim O'Brien's mental approach to treating players can be a good fit for Dunleavy, I do not believe his overall scheme will prove out to be a good fit for him. I expect O'Brien to eventually end up using Kareem Rush and Shawn Williams to eat up much of the time Dunleavy would get, and for Dunleavy to possibly be dealt in midseason....possibly to the Clippers to play for his father.
5. WILL HE BE A BETTER DEFENDER?
I wholeheartedly expect our team defense to be much better, after bringing in Dick Harter as an assistant coach. However, Dunleavy's best attribute on defense is as a help defender...taking charges, reading passing lanes, etc etc. Dunleavy will need to be more determined to contest every jump shot his man takes, and be able to stay in front of his man better, because the Pacers will try and not to help and trap as much this year I suspect, and I think we will rarely if ever play zone. If Mike gets soft at all, the Pacers will play the better defender without a second thought.
In summary, I like Mike Dunleavy as a player (obviously), but do not think he is a good fit for Jim O'Brien's offensive scheme that I expect to see. My prediction is that Dunleavy will fall out of favor with O'Brien, and most of his playing time will go to Kareem Rush and Shawn Williams. I would not be surprised at all if Dunleavy is dealt midseason for the second straight year, maybe this time to the Clippers to play for his Dad.
As always, I love hearing your opinions and recieving your feedback and questions. I'm probably going to write about Jamal Tinsley next I think, unless anyone has another request.
And as always, the above is just my opinion.
Tbird
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