I know a good amount of y'all live in Indiana and the surrounding area, and hurricanes are irrelevant, but there are plenty of us on the coast whom need to be concerned this year.
The preliminary report came out a few months ago, but I felt it was still too early to post it. Today, Dr. William Gray, the foremost expert in the field, released his current projections for the hurricane season.
According to his numbers, we should expect:
- 17 named storms (all the way from tropical storms through full-fledged hurricanes)
- 9 hurricanes
- 5 intense hurricanes (category 3 and higher)
The probability that one major hurricane hits the East Coast (including Florida) is 50%, whereas the Gulf Coast is right behind it with 49% - so if that prediction remains accurate, a category 3 storm or higher will hit the U.S.
Additionally, El Nino ain't going to be nearly as much as a factor as last year (where it essentially lessened hurricane activity completely), so it should be a very interesting season.