I was trying to look at the last games, and figure out which is the most important factor in the recent losses - poor offensive displays or rather the defense level.
Well naturally both are related, but as far as the numbers tell, the defense is the primary place to look at. Pacers are allowing ~91 ppg, and are scoring ~93 (stats do not include Memphis ). I looked at the last 13 games and the trend gives 93 pts as the magic number: each time the opopnents score above it, they win.
I watched again the game against Sacramento (to cheer up), and actually we can find many keys to the game: Granger was great, Peja solid, Tinsley's 4th quarter won the game, but for me - the turning point was 3rd quarter defense by AJ on Mike Bibby. This has stopped the Kings offensive play and eventually decided the game.
Sacramento were having a great offensive 1st quarter with over 30 points. Bibby scored 17 until the half-time making AJ and Tins miserable. But eventually the magic number was not reached, and we were on top.