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After selecting Jahadi White off the Sun's unprotected list I started to have second thoughts about not only that pick, but that of Alonzo Mourning as well.
Those 2 players will both be over the $5M mark next season & together they make up about a third of what I have selected as the Bobcats roster. Including the Blazers, there are 7 teams remaining to review. That might add 3 or 4 more players to the Charlotte roster & bring them closer to 35M than the 30M they are expected to have available as a first year salary cap.
Following the Washington thread the middle of next week I plan on going back in & dropping 1 or 2 players. I think Charlotte wants to keep a little room under their 30M in an effort to sign a free agent or two.
Lets see how this thing plays itself out.
For those that haven't noticed, the older threads in this series can now be found in the Forum Archive section.
Charlotte will receive lists from each of the 27 teams not competing in the NBA Finals 10 days prior to the scheduled Expansion Draft (June 12) and those from the competing teams in the Finals within two days of the conclusion of the Finals. Team lists will designate a maximum of eight protected players for that teamís players under contract or restricted free agents for the 2004-05 NBA season. The unprotected players are eligible for selection by the Bobcats, who will draft a minimum of 14 players from NBA rosters.
Portland has a full 15 man roster. 13 players are signed for next season & of the 2 free agents, 1 is restricted.
The Blazers signed for the 04-05 season.
Damon Stoudamire ----- $15,750,000
Shareef Abdur-Rahim -- $14,625,000
Theo Ratliff --------------- $10,937,500
Dale Davis ------------------ $9,000,000
Derek Anderson ----------- $8,443,500
Ruben Patterson ---------- $5,899,400
Zach Randolph ------------ $1,805,126
Qyntel Woods ------------- $1,172,160
Vladimir Stepania ---------- Not Listed
Dan Dickau ------------------- $893,400
Travis Outlaw ---------------- $843,000
Eddie Gill ---------------------- $720,046
Omar Cook ------------------ Not Listed
Restricted Free agent.
Darius Miles ----------------- $5,419,480
Abdur-Rahim, Ratliff, Patterson, Randolph, Woods & Outlaw get 6 of the 8 slots on the protected list.
Abdur-Rahim & Ratliff are priced too high for the Bobcats but they are far too talented to be left off the list. Patterson makes about 5.9, a little pricy but he's averaging 7.1 with 3.7 boards. Throw in 1.19 steals & a FG% of .508 & he makes a pretty solid case for being kept. Randolph is a gimmie. Woods & Outlaw are young & cheap. I don't think the Blazers want to give up on either so quickly.
I'm gonna add Miles to the list too. He will turn 23 before next season & will have 4 years of NBA experience. In 28 MPG he is averaging 12.7 points & 4.7 boards while shooting a very nice .532 from the field.
That brings us down to the last spot with the following players to pick from.
Damon Stoudamire, Dale Davis, Derek Anderson, Vladimir Stepania, Dan Dickau, Eddie Gill & Omar Cook.
Stoudamire is way over paid & the Blazers are stuck with him. He will not make the list. The upside is that next season is the last of that bloated contract.
Davis still contributes but at 35 & 9M next season he too will not be protected.
Anderson has a couple things working against him. First he will turn 30 this summer. Second he has 3 years left on his deal starting with next years 8.4M. Third, he has lost his shot. He is shooting a career worse .369 from the field. His 3pt FG% has fallen the past 4 years too. Even though Anderson is a starter & playing 35 MPG I think the Blazer will take a chance by leaving him off the list.
Stepania is my boy & I hated to see him sign with the Blazers. He was doing so well in Miani & they were so short of size it made no sence to me that they wouldn't keep him. He has never fit in well in Portland & as loaded as they are up front he will never play more than token minutes. He is probably going to be around the $1M mark next season, not bad for a guy 7-1, 255. I'm gonna give Stepania the last spot because of the combination of his size & contract.
I'm gonna group the last 3 guys together.
Dickau, Gill & Cook are end of the bench guys that will play more games in other leagues than they will ever play in the NBA.
This is the Portland protected list.
Portland will leave the following players for Charlotte to select from.
Charlotte does not select a player from the Blazers.
Here is the Charlotte Expansion Draft.
Atlanta ------------- No Pick
Boston ------------- C - Kedrick Perkins -------- $729,500
Chicago ------------ No Pick
Cleveland ---------- G - Kevin Ollie ----------- $2,704,350
Dallas --------------- G - Tony Delk ----------- $3,150,000
Denver -------------- F - Ryan Bowen -------- $1,400,000 (est)
Detroit -------------- No Pick
Golden State ------ No Pick
Houston ------------ GF - Adrian Griffin ---------- $807,546
Indiana ------------- C - Primoz Brezec ------- $1,554,326
L.A. Clippers ------- F - Melvin Ely ------------- $1,742,400
L.A. Lakers --------- No Pick
Memphis ------------ GF - Dahntay Jones ----- $1,143,360
Miami ---------------- No Pick
Milwaukee ----------- F Marcus Haislip -------- $1,655,280
Minnesota ----------- No Pick
New Jersey --------- C Alanzo Mourning ----- $5,408,700
New Orleans -------- No Pick
New York ------------ No Pick
Orlando --------------G Reese Gaines ----------- $1,212,200
Philadelphia --------- No Pick
Phoenix -------------- C Jahidi White ------------- $5,884,500
Portland -------------- No Pick
Total payroll $27,392, 192
The 4th pick in the 2004 draft (Charlottes pick) is slotted to make roughly $2,523,200. I have yet to add it in, but I do want to keep it in mind.
After I add in the salary for the #4 pick the Bobcats have a projected payroll of $29,915,392
Charlotte's payroll next season will be 2/3's of the salary cap. If the cap is 45M then the Bobcats will have about 30M for players.
Jose, you know I love ya but again I feel the need to disagree.
I just don't think there is any way in the world that they would keep Stepania & lose Dickau when they are so low on guards. They have big men aplenty.
My prediction is that the Blazers make Stepania available & that the Bobcats take him.
Atlanta - no pick
Boston - Jumaine Jones $ 1,687,500
Chicago - Chris Jeffries $ 899,040
Cleveland - Kedrick Brown $ 2,332,388
Dallas - Tony Delk $ 3,150,00
Denver - no pick
Detroit - no pick
Golden State - Popeye Jones
Houston - no pick
Indiana - Primoz Brezec $1,554,326
L.A. Clips - Melvin Ely $ 1,742,400
L.A. Lakers - Devan George $ 4,500,000
Memphis - no pick (trade)
Miami - no pick
Milwaukee - Marcus Haislip $1,655,280
Minnesota - no pick.
New Jersey - no pick
New Orleans - no pick
New York - Frank Williams $957,480
Orlando - DeShawn Stevenson
Philidelphia - Kyle Korver
Pheonix - no pick
Portland - Vladimir Stepania
Basketball isn't played with computers, spreadsheets, and simulations. ChicagoJ 4/21/13
I'd have to look at it... I'd be pretty tempted to take Derek Anderson. Veteran, good locker-room guy, solid defender.
Anybody with me on this?
Nope! What Peck said.
My two cents; The Blazers have been trying to get rid of Patterson for a couple years now, he won't be protected.
Since Jose pointed out that Charlotte will want to be a player in the free agent market and they have to select 14 players at a minimum I think they will pick Omar Cook. I think whenever a cheap contract can be had Charlotte will take it.
There's no way the Blazers protect Qyntel Woods. He's a joke. He never plays. He's trouble. He's a lost cause.
And I also would be very surprised if they protect Stepania. Again he never plays.
I'd also almost believe that they might expose Abdur-Rahim. Bobcats aren't going to pay that high a price, plus Abdur-Rahim is one of the most overrated players in the league. He's never played on a good team....never played on a playoff team. He just piled up big numbers in Atlanta and Vancouver. He'd probably score 20 a game for the Bobcats too, but it wouldn't make them a good team. And they aren't going to pay 14 mil for him.
Woods is still too young to give up on. He is in his second year & came straight outta HS, plus his contract really isn't putting to much of a burden on the Blazers.
Woods played for a JC somewhere in the south for a couple seasons. I think he originally signed to play at Memphis State, but he had eligibility and crime troubles so he had to go to JC instead. Of course his eligibility and crime background made him the perfect candidate to be drafted by the former Trailblazer regime.
Unfortunately, in their analysis of Woods, they gave him big props for being an illiterate pothead, but they failed to factor in his inability to play basketball.
Hey Will I can't find the contracts for Stepania & Cook? How much differance between the two is there?
Patrica has Cook signed for two years at the minimum. Next year he will have a year in the NBA so the minimum will be $620,046
Stepania is also on a two year contract at 1.6 million. Most contracts have yearly 12 to 15% pay raises built in so he probably signed for less than half. So my guess would be the difference is about $200,000.
I don't see Charlotte taking anyone from Portland given the contract situation of many of these guys or considering who I have them taking previously. No Pick.
Atlanta - No Pick
Boston - Kedrick Perkins - $729,500
Chicago - No Pick _or_ Eddie Robinson + Draft Pick - $6,767,540 + Pick or $0
Cleveland - No Pick
Dallas - Tony Delk - $3,150,000
Denver - No Pick
Detroit - No Pick _or_ Campbell (in hopes of getting talent for this expiring contract at the deadline) - $4,400,000 or $0
Golden State - No Pick
Houston - Adrian Griffin - $807,546
Indiana - Primoz Brezec - $1,554,326
LA Clippers - Melvin Ely - $1,742,400
LA Lakers - No Pick
Memphis - Theron Smith - $620,046
Miami - No Pick
Milwaukee - Marcus Haislip $1,655,280
Minnesota - No Pick
New Jersey - No Pick
New Orleans - No Pick
New York - Moochie Norris - $3,850,000
Orlando - No Pick
Philadelphia - No Pick
Phoenix - No Pick or Jahidi White (in place of Campbell) $5,884,500
Portland - No Pick
$25,276,638 if they take both Robinson and Campbell. Draft pick from Chicago will add to that though too.
$26,761,138 if they take Robinson and White. Draft pick(s) adds.