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Thread: Denver & the Expansion Draft

  1. #1
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    Default Denver & the Expansion Draft

    Since I started playing fantasy basketball four years ago I have enjoyed watching other teams play. One of those teams is the Denver Nuggets. With the other teams I kind of just laid things out & let the analysis unfold. With the Nuggets I think I already know what player the Bobcats will take. Lets see if it plays out the way I think.

    As always, I am using info from three main sources for this series.

    From NBA.com, a story on the Bobcats draft.
    http://www.nba.com/bobcats/news/expansion_draft.html

    This paragraph has the basic info.

    Charlotte will receive lists from each of the 27 teams not competing in the NBA Finals 10 days prior to the scheduled Expansion Draft (June 12) and those from the competing teams in the Finals within two days of the conclusion of the Finals. Team lists will designate a maximum of eight protected players for that teamís players under contract or restricted free agents for the 2004-05 NBA season. The unprotected players are eligible for selection by the Bobcats, who will draft a minimum of 14 players from NBA rosters.

    Free agent info from REAL GM.
    http://www.realgm.com/src_freeagents.php?year=2004

    Salary info from Hoops Hype.
    http://www.hoopshype.com/salaries/denver.htm

    Here is the current Denver roster.

    Marcus Camby
    Andre Miller
    Carmelo Anthony
    Jon Barry
    Voshon Lenard
    Nikoloz Tskitishvili
    Earl Boykins
    NenÍ
    Rodney White
    Ryan Bowen
    Mark Pope
    Chris Andersen
    Jeff Trepagnier
    Michael Doleac
    Francisco Elson

    Of the 15 players on the Nuggets roster, REAL GM list 6 as being free agents, none of them are restricted.

    That would leave 9 players with contracts for next season. Of those, only Marcus Camby has a player option. I have heard he is thinking about opting out but as of now I will consider him as being under contract for next season. Simply because he is, until he exercises the opt out clause.

    Here are the Nuggets under contract for the 04-05 season.

    Marcus Camby ---------- $7,750,000
    Andre Miller -------------- $5,760,000
    Carmelo Anthony ------- $3,471,360
    Voshon Lenard ---------- $3,000,000
    Nikoloz Tskitishvili ------- $2,910,600
    Earl Boykins --------------- Not Listed
    NenÍ ----------------------- $2,413,320
    Ryan Bowen --------------- Not Listed
    Francisco Elson ------------- $620,046

    These are the 6 free agents that the Nuggets can not protect.

    Jon Barry
    Rodney White
    Mark Pope
    Chris Andersen
    Jeff Trepagnier
    Michael Doleac

    I've been calling the first group, no brainers, because, I think without question this group will be protected.

    Camby, Miller, Anthony & Nene

    Voshon Lenard is the starting 2 & if the figures are right, is a steal at $3M. He should be player #5.

    Some of you know that I've been a big fan of Boykins for a few years now. He really changes the game when he comes in. No way they leave him off the list. Boykins is player #6.

    Francisco Elson has shown a lot of promise this year & at just a few nickels over 620K is a must to make the list. Elson makes 7.

    Seldom does the final spot just pop out at ya, this one is no exception.

    We come down to either Nikoloz Tskitishvili or Ryan Bowen. Tskitishvili is the western conference version of Jonathan Bender. A #5 pick in the 2002 draft, he has yet to "get it".

    Bowen is the guy every coach needs one of. Mr. Hard Hat. The dude seldom plays but when he does he is gonna give you a 100% solid effort. Scrapy on D & can get hustle points at the offensive end.

    Tskitishvili has a max of 3 years remaining on his contract, there is a team option after next year. I would guess Bowen will be around $1.4M next season & that will be the last year of his deal.

    Before I started this I was sure that the Nuggets would leave Tskitishvili unprotected & that the Bobcats would take him. Now I'm not so sure. I think Denver doesn't want to give up on him just yet & if he doesn't pan out next season they just won't pick up his option. Tskitishvili is the 8th player on the protected list.

    Bowen is left out there for Charlotte & the Bobcats will take him.

    Here is the Expansion Draft as of now.

    Atlanta --------- No Pick
    Boston --------- C Kedrick Perkins
    Chicago -------- No Pick
    Cleveland ------ G Kevin Ollie
    Dallas ---------- G Tony Delk
    Denver --------- F Ryan Bowen

    Links to previous threads in this series.

    Atlanta ------ http://www.pacersdigest.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=996
    Boston ------ http://www.pacersdigest.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1038
    Chicago ----- http://www.pacersdigest.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1083
    Cleveland --- http://www.pacersdigest.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1122
    Dallas ------- http://www.pacersdigest.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1162

    Next up, Detroit

  2. #2
    White and Nerdy Anthem's Avatar
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    Default Re: Denver & the Expansion Draft

    Hard to argue with that... I think.

    I wonder, though, if making Tscitchsheiveallli available wouldn't work. If they (appear to) give up on the guy completely, might the Bobcats think twice about selecting him?

    Anyway, you da man Jose.
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  3. #3
    Pacer Junky Will Galen's Avatar
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    Default Re: Denver & the Expansion Draft

    Good work again James! It's a good thing you like to do this type stuff because it is work!

    I was sure Denver was going to leave Francisco Elson unprotected, but not since Marcus Camby refused to go on the Injured list. That got me to thinking maybe they would leave Camby unprotected. He could always opt out and resign with Denver.

    Also, Elson plays center when Camby doesn't play so if Denver leaves Elson unprotected they could lose both centers if Camby walks. That wouldn't be to smart on their part.

    I was going by Hoopshype and didn't realize Bowen and Boykins were under contract next year. I agree with your guess on Bowen's salary next year, but I can't find anything on Boykin's. Either way, I too now think it will be Bowen.

  4. #4
    Administrator Peck's Avatar
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    Default Re: Denver & the Expansion Draft

    I'm gonna go out on a limb here & predict something off the wall.

    I think the Nuggets leave Vashon Leonard unprotected & that the Bobcats don't pick him.

    Vashon has two years left on his contract & I think his age & history of knee problems will deter the Bobcats from taking him.

    I think it's a calculated risk that Nuggets will be willing to take, ala the Pacers & Byron Scott, but I don't think the Cats will be willing to bite. Vashon has no history of championships & has never been known as a leader. He's no trouble maker either, btw.

    I'm probably wrong about this one, but it's one I'm taking.

    So my picks.

    Atlanta - no pick
    Boston - Jumaine Jones
    Chicago - Chris Jeffries
    Cleveland - Kedrick Brown
    Dallas - Tony Delk
    Denver - no pick


    Basketball isn't played with computers, spreadsheets, and simulations. ChicagoJ 4/21/13

  5. #5

    Default Re: Denver & the Expansion Draft

    Lenard was one I thought might be left unprotected as well but he's been a good bargin for them. I pretty much agree that Bowen or Tsk. will be the unprotected guy but I can't see them giving up on Tsk. so soon.

    I have to agree that Bowen will be left unprotected but I don't think Charlotte will bite.

    Atlanta - No Pick
    Boston - Kedrick Perkins
    Chicago - No Pick _or_ Robinson + Draft Pick
    Cleveland - No Pick
    Dallas - Tony Delk
    Denver - No Pick

    Also, these threads are slowly being moved to the Forum Archive section so we can conviently go back and see what we predicted once the expansion draft goes down.

  6. #6

    Default Re: Denver & the Expansion Draft

    theres no way itll be skita. either bowen, elson or vo.

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