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Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

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  • #91
    Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

    Originally posted by ChicagoJ View Post


    I assume that's the reaction you're going for?

    Subtracting Paul and Lance ... when GHill, West and Hibbert were together last season they were on pace for a fifty win team but Bird broke them up to play faster. Any combo of NBA-quality wings could have developed with the Roy, West, GHill core that was in place, even wings like Lance and Paul that forgot they were reaping the benefits of a system and mistakenly thought they were the system.

    The main reason we're having any of these "break up the team"/ new direction discussions is because GHill and West missed so many games at the beginning of the season and the team dug too deep a hole to get out of. I still think those three did a good job from mid-January on of showing the world that this team could replace either (both!) of those wing players and still be on pace for fifty wins if healthy all season. Miles and Solomon Hill just weren't that much of a downgrade, record-wise, from PG and Lance, when combined with the other three core players.

    You really need the season to start, don't you? Because you've gone off the deep end. I'm not afraid to match your craziness with counter points.




    Meanwhile, I'll take our guards in 94-95 (Reggie, Mark, Byron, Workman, Fleming) over anything we've had since.
    Hahaha. That team last year was NEVER going to win 50 games. The fact teams took the night off against a slew of backups a mentally unfit Roy Hibbert and a completely disengaged DWest does NOT mean that was a good team or anything close to it.

    Also, not sure what you mean by the part in bold. Hill was there with Lance and Paul. Hill is there now. So you are saying that CJ Miles (Mr. 3 point shooter who cannot shoot), Solomon Hill (barely worth a roster spot), George Hill, a mental mess in Roy Hibbert and an aging DWest is better than Monta, PG24, Hill, Ian and JHill? 1 really good player in George Hill vs. Hill and probably two of the best guard/forwards the Pacers have ever had the pleasure of suiting up? You do know that Monta is every bit as good as Danny Granger, right? A healthy PG is better than Danny.
    Last edited by BlueNGold; 08-18-2015, 09:07 PM.

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    • #92
      Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

      Originally posted by BenR1990 View Post
      Do you mean 2013 and 2014 as the just 2013-14 season, or are we speaking of two seasons as in the 2012-13 and 2013-14 season? If the former is true, then disregard the majority of what follows. If the latter is what's you're referring to, I have to really laugh at the notion that Stephenson was more "dominant" than West, especially in 2012-13.

      Maybe you could make a case for 2013-14, which would have been Lance's final year (and even then I feel West was more dominant and crucial since he actually won games and made game changing shots in crunch time). But if we're talking about the year before that (2012-13), that's the biggest joke of the century stating that Lance Stephenson was the second most dominant player on the team. At best he was 4th behind some order of Paul George, David West, and Roy Hibbert that season.
      The former. I can go with DWest having a better 2014 than Lance. They both played pretty well in the playoffs. I could give DWest the nod in the playoffs. But not if you combine the entire season. I think Lance in total had the better year. DWest hit a lot of critical shots in the playoffs and carried us at times. But without Lance and Paul we lose to Atlanta.

      Edit: Ok...just to be clear. I am talking about the 2013-14 season. Not about Lance's disasterous season in Charlotte.
      Last edited by BlueNGold; 08-18-2015, 09:16 PM.

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      • #93
        Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

        That team definitely won at a much better pace when George Hill was healthy, but I think the fact a lot of teams underrated us was a factor. No way was that a 50 win team, and if it was, well then this team should win at least 50 games.

        Comment


        • #94
          Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

          Originally posted by owl View Post
          No.

          So you believe those teams could have won a championship or you believe the current team has less of a chance.
          Well that is impossible since those previous teams have no chance.
          Beyond the obvious I believe this team has more potential to win a title if not this year then the chances increase each year. Experince and pick up
          one more good player makes them a legit contender.
          Yes, those teams were way more likely to win a championship than this team. This team as constructed has no chance to ever win a title. This team at best is a middling playoff team.

          Comment


          • #95
            Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

            Originally posted by Eleazar View Post
            Yes, those teams were way more likely to win a championship than this team. This team as constructed has no chance to ever win a title. This team at best is a middling playoff team.
            Right now you are correct. But this year is about the future, not about a title.

            At best it will be an entertaining year where we threaten and reach the ECF.

            Edit: let me say...it is about a title. Just not this year. Without moving Hibbert and an aging DWest, we are delaying the changes necessary to get there.

            Comment


            • #96
              Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

              Originally posted by BlueNGold View Post
              Hahaha. That team last year was NEVER going to win 50 games. The fact teams took the night off against a slew of backups a mentally unfit Roy Hibbert and a completely disengaged DWest does NOT mean that was a good team or anything close to it.

              Also, not sure what you mean by the part in bold. Hill was there with Lance and Paul. Hill is there now. So you are saying that CJ Miles (Mr. 3 point shooter who cannot shoot), Solomon Hill (barely worth a roster spot), George Hill, a mental mess in Roy Hibbert and an aging DWest is better than Monta, PG24, Hill, Ian and JHill? 1 really good player in George Hill vs. Hill and probably two of the best guard/forwards the Pacers have ever had the pleasure of suiting up? You do know that Monta is every bit as good as Danny Granger, right? A healthy PG is better than Danny.
              Well, sorta. I'm saying that GHill- SHill - Miles - West - Hibbert is only a couple games worse than GHill - Lance - PG - West - Hibbert. The downgrade from Lance/ PG to SHill and Miles was much smaller than the dropoff by losing West and Hibbert and replacing them with... nothing and a redundant Monta Ellis.

              I think the current roster as it stands right now is about ten games worse than the extrapolated full-season results from a healthy GHill - David - Roy lineup last season.

              Then again, as soon as PG broke his leg last summer my predicted win totals for the Pacers actually went up because I believed that the West- GHill pick and roll and Hibbert's defense could stay in the playoff race with any combo of wings. And even with West and GHill missing a big chunk of the season they stayed in the playoff race until the last back-to-back of the season.

              But I'll say until my dying day that the demise of that team was that PG and Lance couldn't stand to be the fourth and fifth options of a great team. Now we've seen how bad Lance was as the guy that Charlotte wanted to feature. And the poor Clippers get to deal with contract-year Lance. Ha!! Next we'll find out that PG is a pretty bad first-option on the offense. I really hope the team proves Larry wrong, because PG is of course all-world as a wing defender and rebounder. But on offense she should only be a catch-and-shoot option. He's an awful ball handler (dribbling at chest height), poor court vision and a lousy passer except for kicking it around the perimeter. I don't mind his quantity of FGAs because he is a good jump shooter, but he's got to get the same volume of shots on much fewer touches (or at least fewer dribbles) than he insisted on during the spring of 2014.

              I'll conclude with this. If the Pacers are going to be this bad defensively, I'll take Williams, Reggie, Rifleman, Det, Tank, Smits and Vern with Bo Hill coaching them over this current mismatched roster.
              Why do the things that we treasure most, slip away in time
              Till to the music we grow deaf, to God's beauty blind
              Why do the things that connect us slowly pull us apart?
              Till we fall away in our own darkness, a stranger to our own hearts
              And life itself, rushing over me
              Life itself, the wind in black elms,
              Life itself in your heart and in your eyes, I can't make it without you

              Comment


              • #97
                Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                Originally posted by BlueNGold View Post
                But without Lance and Paul we lose to Atlanta.
                And yet the only game we blew out ATL like we should have was Game 7 where Frank stuck with what actually, really worked for that team, which was Roy. In spite of the foolish mob/ media cry to bench Roy. If Roy doesn't deliver in the first quarter of that game, season over. Lance and Paul weren't good enough. And they weren't good enough against WAS either -- needed David to carry them.

                Your bias isn't helping you here, because what actually worked when the team needed critical wins is the opposite of what the masses/ media were calling for, the opposite of the popularity polls. Its a good thing Frank was stubborn, because that team was only going to win when Roy and David, and to a lesser extent, GHill were allowed to carry them. Lance and Paul demanded the ball and delivered a sub-0.500 result from Feb. through April. That sure as hell wasn't working.
                Why do the things that we treasure most, slip away in time
                Till to the music we grow deaf, to God's beauty blind
                Why do the things that connect us slowly pull us apart?
                Till we fall away in our own darkness, a stranger to our own hearts
                And life itself, rushing over me
                Life itself, the wind in black elms,
                Life itself in your heart and in your eyes, I can't make it without you

                Comment


                • #98
                  Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                  I really don't have any idea what this team will be like. Won't be winning a championship, but aside from that... who knows? Anywhere from a 5 or 6 seed to out of the playoffs depending on a multitude of factors.
                  "We've got to be very clear about this. We don't want our players hanging around with murderers," said Larry Bird, Pacers president.

                  Comment


                  • #99
                    Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                    For what it's worth here are their West projections. I guess they're not expecting Kobe to play a full season again which isn't a stretch. Spurs seem about right to me.
                    http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/story/...west-standings


                    • ESPN.com


                    1. [*=center]6KShares
                    2. Print
                    3. Comment

                    On Monday, we kicked off our eighth annual Summer Forecast by sizing up theEastern Conference in 2015-16.
                    On Tuesday, we revealed our projected Western Conference standings.
                    Over the next couple of weeks, we'll also share our early predictions for rookie of the year, MVP, best newcomers, NBA champion and much more.
                    For our results, we surveyed our ESPN Forecast panel on each topic. (Here's how it works.)
                    To participate in the discussion and perhaps get your opinion published on this page, #ESPNForecast is the Twitter hashtag to use. Or you can just follow along @ESPNNBA.
                    On to the West ...
                    Western Conference projections


                    1. Golden State Warriors
                    Proj. record: 60-22
                    Last season: 67-15
                    @ESPNNBA @warriors Easy decision, clearly the best team, a true juggernaut of superiority, 60 wins a little low....#ESPNForecast
                    - John Utah (@GoldenStateShow) August 18, 2015

                    2. San Antonio Spurs
                    Proj. record: 57-25
                    Last season: 55-27
                    Spurs will need time to implement Aldridge in their system and build up new bench. #2 seed feels right, but West is loaded #ESPNForecast
                    - Anuar Zh (@azhumaba) August 18, 2015

                    3. Houston Rockets*
                    Proj. record: 56-26
                    Last season: 56-26
                    Even though the west is loaded, the addition of Lawson and a healthy rockets team,unlike last year, should put them at 58 wins #ESPNForecast
                    - Taylor Schoppa (@TSchoppsSports) August 18, 2015

                    4. Los Angeles Clippers*
                    Proj. record: 56-26
                    Last season: 56-26
                    If Pierce Stephenson & J Smoove could all turn the clocks back, the Clippers ceiling wouldn't feel so second round esque #ESPNForecast
                    - legend (@imbaelesscuh) August 18, 2015

                    5. Oklahoma City Thunder
                    Proj. record: 55-27
                    Last season: 45-37
                    It's pretty simple for the Thunder next season: Keep 35 and 0 on the floor together and they're going to finish better than fifth.
                    - Royce Young (@royceyoung) August 18, 2015
                    When you realize @ESPNNBA thinks there are four teams in the West better than OKC. #ESPNForecast pic.twitter.com/ExPx7IjOvX
                    - Up The Thunder (@UpTheThunder) August 18, 2015
                    @ESPNNBA OKC won 59 games during the 13-14 season if the Thunder are healthy they can be a sneaky Finals pick #ESPNForecast
                    - Andrew Feingold (@AFeingold) August 18, 2015

                    6. Memphis Grizzlies
                    Proj. record: 51-31
                    Last season: 55-27
                    Grizz predicted 6th? With GSW Clips Rockets OKC and Spurs in the West, I can't argue. Maybe if we could abolish conferences... #ESPNForecast
                    - nick fromtheinternet (@heyradar) August 18, 2015

                    7. New Orleans Pelicans
                    Proj. record: 47-35
                    Last season: 45-37
                    With Anthony Davis & a faster pace coach in Gentry, the sky is the limit. Unfortunately this rising team is still in the West #ESPNForecast
                    - legend (@imbaelesscuh) August 18, 2015

                    8. Dallas Mavericks
                    Proj. record: 41-41
                    Last season: 50-32
                    #ESPNForecast has Mavs (41-41) sneaking into playoffs. I see Mavs as better than .500 but not good enough to get in. http://t.co/T1SU4P7ejE
                    - Tim MacMahon (@espn_macmahon) August 18, 2015

                    9. Utah Jazz
                    Proj. record: 40-42
                    Last season: 38-44
                    #ESPNForecast has the @utahjazz with only 2 more wins than last year. I have two counterpoints... 1) Stifle & 2) Tower
                    - Judson Kennedy (@judkennedy) August 18, 2015

                    10. Phoenix Suns
                    Proj. record: 35-47
                    Last season: 39-43
                    #ESPNForecast has Suns winning 35? Would rather be unexpected small film that succeeds than blockbuster that fails.
                    - Espo (@Espo) August 18, 2015

                    11. Portland Trail Blazers*
                    Proj. record: 31-51
                    Last season: 51-31
                    Blazers will obviously decline this year and I think 11th is right for them. Lillard will have a great year also. #ESPNForecast
                    - Tony Montalto (@tony_montalto) August 18, 2015

                    12. Sacramento Kings*
                    Proj. record: 31-51
                    Last season: 29-53
                    Sacramento is decently deep with Belinelli, Koufas and Collison on bench yet no more than 31 wins? Kings are so unpredictable #ESPNForecast
                    - Graham Chapple (@Graham_Chapple) August 18, 2015

                    13. Denver Nuggets
                    Proj. record: 27-55
                    Last season: 30-52
                    #ESPNForecast Nuggets aren't losing 3 more games than last year. Younger and more athletic with Mudiay and healthier with Gallinari@ESPNNBA
                    - Nadav Amar (@NadavAmar) August 18, 2015


                    14. Los Angeles Lakers
                    Proj. record: 26-56
                    Last season: 21-61
                    Lakers pick is protected 1-3. Sixers get it if it's 4-30. At 26 wins, Lakers would finish with 4th worst record in NBA re: #ESPNForecast
                    - Chad Ford (@chadfordinsider) August 18, 2015
                    For Laker fans yearning to make the playoffs, unfortunately,#ESPNForecast's prediction of 26 Ws is a much more realistic outcome
                    - Siddharth Ravindran (@TheSidducer) August 18, 2015

                    15. Minnesota Timberwolves
                    Proj. record: 24-58
                    Last season: 16-66
                    @ESPNNBA TWolves have too much talent for last in West! Quest for 4 straight #1 picks on roster may prove appealing though #ESPNForecast
                    - JuMu (@JuMuJazz) August 18, 2015
                    Why do teams tank? Ask a Spurs fan.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                      Originally posted by BlueNGold View Post
                      The fact teams took the night off against a slew of backups a mentally unfit Roy Hibbert and a completely disengaged DWest does NOT mean that was a good team or anything close to it.
                      I really hate this narrative. I guess teams not only knew the Pacers would be bad but knew while we were playing for the playoffs and let us win anyway until the very end because everyone knows regular season wins don't mean as much as giving da boyz a nite off.

                      Is it just the Pacers they took their nights off against or was it the entire East? Like, all the East teams were taking nights off against each other? And the West just let the East teams win sometimes because nobody in the West was fighting for playoff position and needed any extra wins - they all knew that the games against the East weren't going to count anyway?

                      It is ridiculous because it's a circular definition - if the Pacers lose it is because they are bad. If they win, it is because someone let them win. How can you tell? Well, because they were bad and therefore the only way they could win any games is because someone LET them. QED.

                      Tell you what - can you give us a list of the games other teams are going to "let" us win this year because we suck? That way we can avoid getting excited about anything that remotely looks like the team is doing well because deep down we'll know its because all 29 other teams just need a night off every now and then and decide to take it against the Pacers, so we actually suck no matter what our record is. Hell, maybe that 9th position should really be 15th? Since the games they win shouldn't count, right?
                      BillS

                      A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
                      Or throw in a first-round pick and flip it for a max-level point guard...

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                      • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                        Originally posted by Kstat View Post
                        They'll be playing in the same backcourt. I just don't think hill and monta can both be at their best at the same time. Very different players that play the game at different speeds and they both need to ball in their hands.

                        I thought monta would be a nice 3rd option as a change of pace guy when hill needed a break, but they aren't going in that direction. They're going small-ball, which makes monta comfortable but really puts hill in an uncomfortable spot.
                        I don't know if I've seen this thought posted earlier, but it is probably my primary concern. Even more so than how many minutes PG plays at PF. I'm hoping Vogel finds a solution to this probably, and certainly one better than having George Hill play out of the corners waiting for the kick out.

                        If GHill and Ellis can succeed/co-exist, then I can see the Pacers winning as many as 50 games. However, if they fizz, or we continue our injury plague amongst the rotational players, then I could see us winning as few as 33-34 games.

                        As long as PG is healthy, he will be a very major component of the offense. Nothing new there. But the primary determining factor in how successful the Pacers will be depends on whether both Ellis and GHill can be utilized to their fullest extent while on the floor together.

                        Comment


                        • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                          Everyone has some fair points and we'll see how the season panes out with the new style. But from a talent stand point this year to last year isn't close at all.

                          Birds decisions are close:

                          Basically the trade off was: West, Hibbert, Watson, Scola, Rudez for Ellis, J Hill, Turner, Budinger, and a bunch of young guys

                          I'd take the leading scorer of a western conference playoff team who was 2nd in the league in scoring the last 5 mins of a game over any of the guys we lost. So on a talent level I say there's a good chance we got better depending on how Turner panes out.

                          Now what I forgot to mention is the actual difference between this year and last year is:

                          Paul George
                          Monta Ellis
                          Myles Turner
                          Jordan Hill
                          Chase Budinger

                          For

                          David West
                          Roy Hibertt
                          Luis Scola
                          Cj Watson
                          Damjan Rudez
                          Now if you think that is a push talent-wise, you are crazy.
                          Last edited by brownjake43; 08-19-2015, 07:25 AM.

                          Comment


                          • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                            Originally posted by brownjake43 View Post
                            Everyone has some fair points and we'll see how the season panes out with the new style. But from a talent stand point this year to last year isn't close at all.

                            Birds decisions are close:

                            Basically the trade off was: West, Hibbert, Watson, Scola, Rudez for Ellis, J Hill, Turner, Budinger, and a bunch of young guys

                            I'd take the leading scorer of a western conference playoff team who was 2nd in the league in scoring the last 5 mins of a game over any of the guys we lost. So on a talent level I say there's a good chance we got better depending on how Turner panes out.

                            Now what I forgot to mention is the actual difference between this year and last year is:

                            Paul George
                            Monta Ellis
                            Myles Turner
                            Jordan Hill
                            Chase Budinger

                            For

                            David West
                            Roy Hibertt
                            Luis Scola
                            Cj Watson
                            Damjan Rudez
                            Now if you think that is a push talent-wise, you are crazy.
                            All of these guys suck:

                            David West
                            Roy Hibertt
                            Luis Scola
                            Cj Watson
                            Damjan Rudez

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                            • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                              So, you are saying teams never have a target on their back? That we approached a Knicks game in the 90's no different than a game against the T-Wolves? That your opponent has no effect on your level of preparation? That there is no such thing as a big regular season game? If teams treat all other teams the same throughout the regular season, even a team full of backups that might lead them to being over confident, they still put forth the same level if preparation and "get up" for them just as much and try just as hard to extend a lead...you are right.

                              I don't think it works that way.

                              Comment


                              • Re: Espn East forecast Pacers at #9

                                Originally posted by Eleazar View Post
                                Yes, those teams were way more likely to win a championship than this team. This team as constructed has no chance to ever win a title. This team at best is a middling playoff team.
                                You are missing my point. Those previous teams first of all never won a title and never will, they are HISTORY. Conference finals are great but that is not a title. This current team at least has the chance to win a title. Now or in the future. The players to lay the foundation are there. Add another player, ie a power forward and this team will be a contender with a little experience mixed in. I saw the writing on the wall with the previous teams. They were TOO SLOW. There was no way around that and it was a fatal flaw that would never, or at least very unlikely allow them to win a title.
                                {o,o}
                                |)__)
                                -"-"-

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