First the raw numbers, as of early on July 5th.
Player............................................ .......salary for 2015-2016
Paul George............................................ .......17,120,106
George Hill.............................................. ......8,000,000
C.J. Miles............................................. .........4,394,225
Ian Mahimni........................................... .......4,000,000
Solomon Hill.............................................. ....1,358,880
Damjan Rudez............................................. ..1,149,500
Myles Turner............................................ ......2,357,600 (this is 120% of the slot value of pick #11)
Joe Young............................................. ........525,093
XXXX roster place holder salary per rules...........525,093
XXXX roster place holder salary per rules...........525,093
Add all of that up, and you get 39,955,570
Now, add in what we can guess are the starting salaries for Monta Ellis and Lavoy Allen as reported:
Monta Ellis............................................. ........10,300,000 (an updated educated guess)
Lavoy Allen............................................. .......3,825,000 (an updated educated guess)
Add that up, and you get 53,080,750 for 10 players under contract once those guys are signed officially.
Remember that we still have large cap holds of 18,000,000 on David West, and 9,300,000 on Luis Scola, and other cap holds on players likely to leave still on our books until they sign elsewhere or are "renounced" by us on July 9th.
So, technically, we are still operating over the cap until David West signs at least.
For now, I am still estimating the "cap" number to come in at 68,886,000, and a "Luxury tax" number ( a de-facto ceiling for Indiana) at 83,930,000.
It would appear that my idea of trying to stay over the cap from a few days ago is clearly out the window now, unless you do something wacky and unexpected that we can't see yet. So, I guess we renounce all of those exceptions, get as far under as we can, and hope for the best. Not what I would have done, but the Pacers clearly aren't on the same brain track as I am.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By the order of how we can maneuver things and play with the timing of these deals, we have slightly more room under the salary cap than you may realize. We have nearly 30 million dollars to work with before you start signing guys officially. The way to do this is to sign players currently on other teams, then sign Allen and perhaps Scola last.
At this point, I think it makes sense to also do the following:
1. Execute a sign and trade for David West if possible to whatever team he wants to go to. Put your pride and hurt feelings aside, and make a cold blooded business decision. I don't think it even matters what we bring back, as long as it is someone useful that can make our team. Some ideas of mine would be:
A. San Antonio: try and acquire the rights to Livio Jean Charles, or Patty Mills, or Cory Joseph in a sign/trade
B. LA Clippers: see if you can acquire Jamal Crawford, and then try and engage and move him to a 3rd team for someone younger and more useful to us.
C. Cleveland: Try and acquire Brendan Haywood's contract for West (I have no idea why Cleveland even wants West, but apparently they do), then try and move Haywood for a better player more useful to us. Failing that, make Cleveland give us Rakeem Christmas or Cedi Osman
D. Washington: Either engage them in a double sign/trade for Kevin Seraphin, or go ahead and take Nene from them, then try and move Nene to a 3rd team that wants to dump a long term contract.
E. Once you gain some assets for West, try and engage the Nuggets on a trade for Kenneth Faried, who I think could be had from the Nuggets and who would fit here well, at least from an on court perspective. I would also inquire with Utah about Derrick Favors, and I would try and somehow pry Evan Fournier from Orlando, and Myles Leonard from Portland.
F. Yes, I know those last 5 parts made me sound like Grimp.
2. Try and involve yourself in somebody else's trade, and try and gain assets by helping other teams.
3. Break our long standing team policy, and get involved with a restricted free agent somewhere if we think the player fits us long term. As long as we do this AFTER the Hibbert trade and before we do anything else, I see no reason why us having to wait 3 days would be a problem. I'm not a fan of Enos Kanter, but he still is a very young C with lots of offensive skill. With OKC being very tax averse, and having to think about trying to re-sign Kevin Durant next summer, I think we could potentially poach Kanter if we want to.
4. Sign some cheaper free agents to 2 year deals, with only this year guaranteed. That could give us some extra potential trade leverage in February potentially. Unlikely, but it still might help us somehow gain an asset later.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It makes zero sense for a team like us to hoard cap space this summer, when next summer almost everyone will have space as well. THIS SUMMER is the time for us to spend, yet we are taking (for now) the exact opposite approach.
I am assuming that the Pacers have some long term master plan on spending this extra money we have come up with. If we are simply cutting payroll so our ownership can build a bigger shopping mall, buy another luxury yacht, or simply roll around in a room full of cap savings cash like a modern day Scrooge McDuck, I am going to be seriously pissed off.
Let's face it: we all WANT to believe our front office has some large, yet unseen master plan that will make us younger and better and keep us competitive, but to me it doesn't feel like that quite yet. Right now it looks like Bird and company are just lurching from one move to the next, with little to no thought on how one move might affect other moves in the future.
Face it, you are hoping there is some sort of vision and long term master plan taking place here.....but are you sure? I am not.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the record, in a vacuum I hate the Hibbert trade/salary dump, at least until I know more information.
Here is why:
1. I hate "selling low" on any player. We clearly sold low on Hibbert.
2. I hate the timing. If you were going to do this, we should have either done it sooner, or waited til later. I don't see what the hurry was, since everyone just about worth signing is already gone as a free agent. Waiting it out a bit would have been more prudent I think.
3. I hate that this move potentially puts more pressure and responsibility on Myles Turner than he is ready for. Like everybody, I like how the kid looked today in summer league, but let's get real.....summer league is nothing like playing against the NBA frontline studs he will see every night. I am very clearly on the "bring him along as slowly as you can train", and do not agree with those of you who want to throw him to the wolves right away.
4. I hate that now, absent some great corresponding move that we can't see yet, that this move makes us a weaker team in the short term. I can't stand the thought of having to tell Paul George that, after working so hard to come back from such a horrific injury, that it appears as if we are taking a step back. If you guys think Hibbert is bad, wait until you see Ian Mahimni try and play 30 minutes a game.
Here are some unanswered questions that I want to know after this trade:
1. Were Paul George and George Hill consulted or informed about what was going on?
2. Did Hibbert and/or his agents request a trade from Larry Bird after we drafted Turner, and we are doing them a solid by making this happen to Los Angeles, where he has spent all summer?
3. Why does this negativity that our front office felt for Hibbert and vice versa seem so PERSONAL? It seems there are serious personality conflicts here, and I want to know what the deal is.
4. Will Paul George or George Hill make any public comments about this deal, either for or against? Do we want them to?
5. Why now? What was the hurry? We could have gotten this deal done a month from now it seems to me.....I don't see what the rush was to make it, unless there are auxiliary moves coming that we just can't see yet.
6. Was Vogel for this trade, against it, or did he just go along with it because he has to? How much say and sway does he have over decisions like this? It feels like this move may have been done in spite of Frank to me, though that is just speculation on my part.
7. Will this trade ruin Hibbert for good, or will it turn his career around? Both possibilities are possible.
8. Is it possible that Hibbert just doesn't love basketball anymore? Is it possible that he might even retire after his contract is up, if he can't stay in Los Angeles? Maybe basketball isn't that important to him anymore, which is why Larry chose to get rid of him now.
9. I wonder what Lakers fans are thinking tonight? I think they should be happy....but I bet they aren't.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I understand Hibbert's weaknesses, and I realize that something changed in his personality for whatever reason, and that the player that was once a premium NBA big man defensively probably wouldn't have been that for us.
I can also see the scenario that his attitude was now toxic, and they didn't want that to infect the locker room with a young impressionable Turner coming in to take his place.
But I don't want to hear ANY complaints from anyone when whoever we get to take his place gets hurts and misses games, or when our defense at the rim becomes a red carpet for quality opponents. Roy wasn't a good offensive player, obviously. But they guy when he was right was a warrior, a guy who played his guts out with limited natural ability and answered the bell every night. Do you understand how hard it must be for a guy with his limitations to manage to suit up every night, like he did for us? In fact, giving him periodic rest this year by having Turner as a legit 3rd string big man would have really helped him be better I think. Hibbert fought off his clumsiness and severe asthma and laid it on the line every night for us. Sometimes he was good, sometimes he was bad....but he was always on the floor, in the fight, playing as hard as he could.
You can say that Roy wasn't tough mentally if you want. But you can't argue his physical toughness and work ethic while he was here. And you cant argue that he wasn't a critical core part to some of the best teams our franchise has ever had. We will miss his durability and rim protection for sure.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The most important news of the day potentially for Indiana and its fans isn't the Hibbert trade though. And it also isn't the fact that Myles Turner played his first game ever today for us.
Potentially, the best news for us is that one of the very best "big man" coaches in the NBA was fired today by Portland. Kim Hughes, the veteran big man coach who is extremely highly respected all throughout the league was fired today by Portland over comments he made to WTHI Terre Haute a few days ago, when he admitted the obvious truth that LaMarcus Aldridge was going to leave them.
Even though this was about as obvious and harmless of a statement as you can imagine, Portland chose to fire him anyway. Big mistake in my opinion.
Hughes is a guy who gets very close to his players, and he was in Terre Haute because he was working with Myles Leonard this summer. Leonard was running a camp for kids in his hometown of nearby Robinson, Illinois.
If we want one of the very best big man coaches to come in and develop Myles Turner, we have an opportunity now to hire one of the best in Kim Hughes. Apparently, the front office didn't think Hibbert developed well enough while here. If they want the next big man player with lots of potential to reach his maximum ceiling, hiring Hughes would be a great way to do it.
Frank Vogel, Larry Bird, Kevin Pritchett....get it done. Get Hughes here, even if you have to get ownership to pony up a little extra cash to hire an extra coach we didn't plan on. If we don't hire Hughes, some other top organization will.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
More cap updates as events warrant.
Tbird
Player............................................ .......salary for 2015-2016
Paul George............................................ .......17,120,106
George Hill.............................................. ......8,000,000
C.J. Miles............................................. .........4,394,225
Ian Mahimni........................................... .......4,000,000
Solomon Hill.............................................. ....1,358,880
Damjan Rudez............................................. ..1,149,500
Myles Turner............................................ ......2,357,600 (this is 120% of the slot value of pick #11)
Joe Young............................................. ........525,093
XXXX roster place holder salary per rules...........525,093
XXXX roster place holder salary per rules...........525,093
Add all of that up, and you get 39,955,570
Now, add in what we can guess are the starting salaries for Monta Ellis and Lavoy Allen as reported:
Monta Ellis............................................. ........10,300,000 (an updated educated guess)
Lavoy Allen............................................. .......3,825,000 (an updated educated guess)
Add that up, and you get 53,080,750 for 10 players under contract once those guys are signed officially.
Remember that we still have large cap holds of 18,000,000 on David West, and 9,300,000 on Luis Scola, and other cap holds on players likely to leave still on our books until they sign elsewhere or are "renounced" by us on July 9th.
So, technically, we are still operating over the cap until David West signs at least.
For now, I am still estimating the "cap" number to come in at 68,886,000, and a "Luxury tax" number ( a de-facto ceiling for Indiana) at 83,930,000.
It would appear that my idea of trying to stay over the cap from a few days ago is clearly out the window now, unless you do something wacky and unexpected that we can't see yet. So, I guess we renounce all of those exceptions, get as far under as we can, and hope for the best. Not what I would have done, but the Pacers clearly aren't on the same brain track as I am.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By the order of how we can maneuver things and play with the timing of these deals, we have slightly more room under the salary cap than you may realize. We have nearly 30 million dollars to work with before you start signing guys officially. The way to do this is to sign players currently on other teams, then sign Allen and perhaps Scola last.
At this point, I think it makes sense to also do the following:
1. Execute a sign and trade for David West if possible to whatever team he wants to go to. Put your pride and hurt feelings aside, and make a cold blooded business decision. I don't think it even matters what we bring back, as long as it is someone useful that can make our team. Some ideas of mine would be:
A. San Antonio: try and acquire the rights to Livio Jean Charles, or Patty Mills, or Cory Joseph in a sign/trade
B. LA Clippers: see if you can acquire Jamal Crawford, and then try and engage and move him to a 3rd team for someone younger and more useful to us.
C. Cleveland: Try and acquire Brendan Haywood's contract for West (I have no idea why Cleveland even wants West, but apparently they do), then try and move Haywood for a better player more useful to us. Failing that, make Cleveland give us Rakeem Christmas or Cedi Osman
D. Washington: Either engage them in a double sign/trade for Kevin Seraphin, or go ahead and take Nene from them, then try and move Nene to a 3rd team that wants to dump a long term contract.
E. Once you gain some assets for West, try and engage the Nuggets on a trade for Kenneth Faried, who I think could be had from the Nuggets and who would fit here well, at least from an on court perspective. I would also inquire with Utah about Derrick Favors, and I would try and somehow pry Evan Fournier from Orlando, and Myles Leonard from Portland.
F. Yes, I know those last 5 parts made me sound like Grimp.
2. Try and involve yourself in somebody else's trade, and try and gain assets by helping other teams.
3. Break our long standing team policy, and get involved with a restricted free agent somewhere if we think the player fits us long term. As long as we do this AFTER the Hibbert trade and before we do anything else, I see no reason why us having to wait 3 days would be a problem. I'm not a fan of Enos Kanter, but he still is a very young C with lots of offensive skill. With OKC being very tax averse, and having to think about trying to re-sign Kevin Durant next summer, I think we could potentially poach Kanter if we want to.
4. Sign some cheaper free agents to 2 year deals, with only this year guaranteed. That could give us some extra potential trade leverage in February potentially. Unlikely, but it still might help us somehow gain an asset later.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It makes zero sense for a team like us to hoard cap space this summer, when next summer almost everyone will have space as well. THIS SUMMER is the time for us to spend, yet we are taking (for now) the exact opposite approach.
I am assuming that the Pacers have some long term master plan on spending this extra money we have come up with. If we are simply cutting payroll so our ownership can build a bigger shopping mall, buy another luxury yacht, or simply roll around in a room full of cap savings cash like a modern day Scrooge McDuck, I am going to be seriously pissed off.
Let's face it: we all WANT to believe our front office has some large, yet unseen master plan that will make us younger and better and keep us competitive, but to me it doesn't feel like that quite yet. Right now it looks like Bird and company are just lurching from one move to the next, with little to no thought on how one move might affect other moves in the future.
Face it, you are hoping there is some sort of vision and long term master plan taking place here.....but are you sure? I am not.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the record, in a vacuum I hate the Hibbert trade/salary dump, at least until I know more information.
Here is why:
1. I hate "selling low" on any player. We clearly sold low on Hibbert.
2. I hate the timing. If you were going to do this, we should have either done it sooner, or waited til later. I don't see what the hurry was, since everyone just about worth signing is already gone as a free agent. Waiting it out a bit would have been more prudent I think.
3. I hate that this move potentially puts more pressure and responsibility on Myles Turner than he is ready for. Like everybody, I like how the kid looked today in summer league, but let's get real.....summer league is nothing like playing against the NBA frontline studs he will see every night. I am very clearly on the "bring him along as slowly as you can train", and do not agree with those of you who want to throw him to the wolves right away.
4. I hate that now, absent some great corresponding move that we can't see yet, that this move makes us a weaker team in the short term. I can't stand the thought of having to tell Paul George that, after working so hard to come back from such a horrific injury, that it appears as if we are taking a step back. If you guys think Hibbert is bad, wait until you see Ian Mahimni try and play 30 minutes a game.
Here are some unanswered questions that I want to know after this trade:
1. Were Paul George and George Hill consulted or informed about what was going on?
2. Did Hibbert and/or his agents request a trade from Larry Bird after we drafted Turner, and we are doing them a solid by making this happen to Los Angeles, where he has spent all summer?
3. Why does this negativity that our front office felt for Hibbert and vice versa seem so PERSONAL? It seems there are serious personality conflicts here, and I want to know what the deal is.
4. Will Paul George or George Hill make any public comments about this deal, either for or against? Do we want them to?
5. Why now? What was the hurry? We could have gotten this deal done a month from now it seems to me.....I don't see what the rush was to make it, unless there are auxiliary moves coming that we just can't see yet.
6. Was Vogel for this trade, against it, or did he just go along with it because he has to? How much say and sway does he have over decisions like this? It feels like this move may have been done in spite of Frank to me, though that is just speculation on my part.
7. Will this trade ruin Hibbert for good, or will it turn his career around? Both possibilities are possible.
8. Is it possible that Hibbert just doesn't love basketball anymore? Is it possible that he might even retire after his contract is up, if he can't stay in Los Angeles? Maybe basketball isn't that important to him anymore, which is why Larry chose to get rid of him now.
9. I wonder what Lakers fans are thinking tonight? I think they should be happy....but I bet they aren't.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I understand Hibbert's weaknesses, and I realize that something changed in his personality for whatever reason, and that the player that was once a premium NBA big man defensively probably wouldn't have been that for us.
I can also see the scenario that his attitude was now toxic, and they didn't want that to infect the locker room with a young impressionable Turner coming in to take his place.
But I don't want to hear ANY complaints from anyone when whoever we get to take his place gets hurts and misses games, or when our defense at the rim becomes a red carpet for quality opponents. Roy wasn't a good offensive player, obviously. But they guy when he was right was a warrior, a guy who played his guts out with limited natural ability and answered the bell every night. Do you understand how hard it must be for a guy with his limitations to manage to suit up every night, like he did for us? In fact, giving him periodic rest this year by having Turner as a legit 3rd string big man would have really helped him be better I think. Hibbert fought off his clumsiness and severe asthma and laid it on the line every night for us. Sometimes he was good, sometimes he was bad....but he was always on the floor, in the fight, playing as hard as he could.
You can say that Roy wasn't tough mentally if you want. But you can't argue his physical toughness and work ethic while he was here. And you cant argue that he wasn't a critical core part to some of the best teams our franchise has ever had. We will miss his durability and rim protection for sure.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The most important news of the day potentially for Indiana and its fans isn't the Hibbert trade though. And it also isn't the fact that Myles Turner played his first game ever today for us.
Potentially, the best news for us is that one of the very best "big man" coaches in the NBA was fired today by Portland. Kim Hughes, the veteran big man coach who is extremely highly respected all throughout the league was fired today by Portland over comments he made to WTHI Terre Haute a few days ago, when he admitted the obvious truth that LaMarcus Aldridge was going to leave them.
Even though this was about as obvious and harmless of a statement as you can imagine, Portland chose to fire him anyway. Big mistake in my opinion.
Hughes is a guy who gets very close to his players, and he was in Terre Haute because he was working with Myles Leonard this summer. Leonard was running a camp for kids in his hometown of nearby Robinson, Illinois.
If we want one of the very best big man coaches to come in and develop Myles Turner, we have an opportunity now to hire one of the best in Kim Hughes. Apparently, the front office didn't think Hibbert developed well enough while here. If they want the next big man player with lots of potential to reach his maximum ceiling, hiring Hughes would be a great way to do it.
Frank Vogel, Larry Bird, Kevin Pritchett....get it done. Get Hughes here, even if you have to get ownership to pony up a little extra cash to hire an extra coach we didn't plan on. If we don't hire Hughes, some other top organization will.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
More cap updates as events warrant.
Tbird
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