10-5 with losses to Miami, NY, Memphis, Houston and Utah.
10-5 with losses to Miami, NY, Memphis, Houston and Utah.
W Wes 2 vs Washington (well, it already happened but you gotta post it)
W Fri 4 @ Boston
W Sat 5 vs Milwaukee
L Tue 8 vs Miami
W Thu 10 vs New York
W Sat 12 vs Charlotte
L Sun 13 @ Brooklyn
W Tue 15 @ Charlotte
? Wed 16 @ Orlando
W Fri 18 vs Houston
L Mon 21 @ Memphis
W Wed 23 @ Portland
W Sat 26 @ Utah
L Mon 28 @ Denver
W Wed 30 vs Detroit
Short analysis of the predictions:
@ Boston: Seriously, why so many people think that we're going to lose this? It's too early for Boston to be playing good. They are 30th in rebounding. 30th! And their defense is awful when KG is on the bench. Their front court is extremely weak. They are starting Jason Collins at Center for crying out loud. Now, there's always the possibility of Paul Pierce being on fire and Rondo going ham. But even then, they don't have much help from the rest of their team. This will be Bradley's second game off of injury. Courtney Lee and Jason Terry are under-producing. And Barbosa has only logged 2 minutes in the past 5 games due to injury. They were easily beaten by our Western doppelganger last night. I expect a win.
vs Milwaukee: Milwaukee will be at Houston the previous game so they'll have to travel from Houston to Indy. We will have to travel from Boston to Indy. Both teams will be tired. The home crows really helps a good shooting like Milwaukee to shoot even better. So, I don't think that they're going to replicate their shooting in Indiana. Tricky defense but we should be able to win this as we have not looked bad against playoff teams at home.
vs Miami and vs New York: I expect us to go 1-1 in those two games. I feel that Miami is more likely to beat us than the Knicks simply because Miami is injury free and looking to embark on a new winning streak. Of course, Miami coasts during the regular season so you never know. I find it more probable that we beat the Knicks due to Felton's injury and due to the fact that teams that shoot a lot from the perimeter like the Knicks can easily go cold on an away game.
vs Charlotte: Well, we should beat the Bobcats.
@ Brooklyn: They fired their coach and now they're surging. It's also an away game so I'm fully expecting a loss.
@ Charlotte: Again, we should beat the Bobcats.
@ Orlando: This game is a question mark. It really depends on who the Magic trade in the deadline. If Redick and Jameer are still with them, I expect a loss. If not, I expect a win.
vs Houston: They will either kill us or we will kill them. If Harden gets his calls and puts PG in foul trouble then chances are that we're going to lose. If they hit their 3s, they could kill us as well. If they don't hit their 3s at a high clip and spend most of the game isolating Harden against PG (while not putting him on foul trouble, of course) then I can see us winning this. As it is a home game, I'll give the advantage to our guys but it's really, really close.
@ Memphis: They will beat us, no doubt about it. We are far too similar this season in order to get an qway win out of each other. They will hit more perimeter shots at their home, we will hit less so we will naturally lose.
@ Portland: Are they going to be the same team after the deadline? If yes, then we will beat them as they have a worse bench than ours. If they have upgraded our bench then it can go either way.
@ Utah and @ Denver: I think that we go 1-1 against those two. In general, I think that we split the West coast trip. I certainly see a loss in Memphis as I mentioned and I possibly see a win in Portland but I have no idea what is going to happen between those two. We possibly lose by the hottest one of the two and beat the other one.
vs Detroit: We should beat Detroit as it is going to be the first game of the homestand.
That's 10-4 with one wild card game. However, those predictions are fairly optimistic and I am willing to acknowledge. I can see us going anywhere from 11-4 to 8-7.
I definitely think that we're going to be over .500 for the month, though. We may face several stronger opponents but at least we get them at home for a change.
I'm late, and I think it's more accurate to just guess the total W/L rather than specify each game, but I'll play along:
Wed 2 vs Washington - W
Fri 4 @ Boston - L
Sat 5 vs Milwaukee - W
Tue 8 vs Miami - W
Thu 10 vs New York - L
Sat 12 vs Charlotte - W
Sun 13 @ Brooklyn - L
Tue 15 @ Charlotte - W
Wed 16 @ Orlando - W
Fri 18 vs Houston - W
Mon 21 @ Memphis - L
Wed 23 @ Portland - L
Sat 26 @ Utah - W
Mon 28 @ Denver - L
Wed 30 vs Detroit - W
7-5 from here on, 9-6 for the month. Very tempting to have us lose vs MIA, @ORL, and @UTA, but I just felt like that was a bit much.
To me the Boston loss was something of a shocker. Of course the Hill and Young injuries really hurt, but still Boston just doesn't look that good right now and didn't in that game even. In the 3rd the Pacers were blowing up their offense and getting all sorts of stops and TOs which they came down and turned into nothing. With any decent level of offense at all they would have won the game rather than getting blown out.
The funny thing is that I felt more confident they could beat Miami today than I did when I made my prediction, which isn't saying much since I said they'd get killed. In the end I match the 3-1 prediction but with polar opposite expected outcomes in the Boston and Miami games.
The Pacers are starting to rack up a really strong home record which bodes well for February.
4-1 after the last 5 :D
I can't edit the original post. Did we add a time limit on edits?
Regardless, my 8-7 prediction is looking pretty conservative right now. We might have 8 wins by the end of next week.
But W's are W's at this point. And the fact that we're 2 games out of first place in the CONFERENCE without our leading scorer from the past 5 seasons, is something to really be appreciative of. This team is pretty good guys.
I don't think we're ever going to lose another game again.
My 6-2 prediction was right but I was wrong in two games (Boston loss, Miami win).
Orlando just got Glen Davis back and we all know that Paul struggles against Redick. So, I'll predict a loss. Let's hope that our guys prove me wrong :D
Paul will guard whomever needs to be shut down, and in prior years the problem Paul had was dealing with screens. Orlando hasn't faced this version of the Pacers defense yet and I expect good help defense to deny easy screen and catch plays to Redick, either by hedging on him or challenging the passing lane.
I predicted a loss because of travel. But with an easy 4th and the travel being pretty short between Charlotte and Orlando (plus same time zone) things might not be too bad. Davis will be a problem if he can hit his jumpers.
Damn, they didn't prove me wrong :(
Exactly. Expected loss, nothing to see here, move along.