CRUSH THE CAVS
-VS-
Game Time Start: 7:00 PM EST
Where: The Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Officials: R. Garretson, D. Collins, J. Williams
Media Notes: Indiana Notes, Cleveland Notes
Television: FOX Sports Indiana / FOX Sports Ohio
Radio: WFNI 1070 AM / WTAM 1100 FM
NBA Feeds:
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PACERS Danny Granger - sore knee (dunzo) CAVALIERS Daniel Gibson - sore right elbow (doubtful) C.J. Miles - forehead laceration/concussion (out) Anderson Varejao - vastus medialis split/surgery (out) Dion Waiters - left knee (out) Luke Walton - right ankle sprain (out) |
Noam Schiller: Danny Granger's Lost Season Breeds an Uncertain Future In the summer of 2008, three young small forwards signed hefty long-term contracts with their incumbent teams. Restricted free agent Luol Deng got 6 years and $72 million from the Bulls, overcoming both contentious negotiations and an injury plagued 2007-08 campaign in which the team inexplicably slipped from an up-and-coming juggernaut to a 33-49 mess. Fellow 2004 draft mate and RFA Andre Iguodala got 6 years and $80 million from the Philadelphia 76ers, who had just completed the free agent snatching of Elton Brand and were hoping to unleash a monster two-man tandem on an unsuspecting conference. Meanwhile, Danny Granger, drafted a year later than those two, got a 5 year, $60 million extension from the Indiana Pacers right before the October 31st deadline, spared the need to muck through the waters of restricted free agency and cemented as the team’s post-Jermaine O’Neal cornerstone. Over the following seasons, these three players (and some might add Josh Smith, another 2008 RFA) became something of a symbol of the perils of paying the supporting actor like the lead. Deng played just 49 games in 2008-09, as the Bulls turned their attention to Derrick Rose; Brand broke down instantly, leaving Iguodala to shoulder too heavy a load and take too large a portion of the blame; and Granger’s Pacers wallowed in mediocrity, firmly entrenched as the best Eastern team outside the playoff picture, even as Granger made his only all-star team in 2008-09. A few years later, the narrative has flipped for two of the three. Deng, health re- discovered, had the burden of a cornerstone lifted, fitting in perfectly as an indestructible workhorse that does everything Tom Thibodeau asks him to. Iguodala lead the Sixers to the second round of the playoffs for the first time since that other AI, and was then shipped out to Denver, where an ensemble cast magnifies his strengths and covers for his weaknesses. If you were to press enough, you would still hear admissions that they are overpaid, but it no longer defined them. Granger, done for the season all of 5 games in, is a trickier story. Even last season, when he was still leading his team in scoring, he was easy to criticize for his declining percentages and all-around contributions. He did not have the luxury Deng had, of a well-defined role in the shadow of a superstar, and he is not nearly the defender Iguodala is, which often helps us excuse players on account of showing effort. Both Deng and Iguodala made the all-star team last year, for the first time in their careers; Granger was left on the outside looking in despite posting the best offensive numbers of the three and his team performing well, as Roy Hibbert took the token Pacer spot. Now, as the Pacers battle...CONTINUE READING AT HARDWOOD PAROXYSM |
Jared Wade: Can an NBA Team Win a Title Living and Dying by the 3? The three-point shot was so irrelevant during its first year in the NBA that the Los Angeles Lakers made just three shots from behind the arc on their way to a title in 1980. Rookie Magic Johnson was their sharpshooter, making two of his eight long-range attempts during his team's 16-game playoff run. Norm Nixon hit the other one, but he missed his five other long-range tries. Yes, they won the title while playing 16 playoff games and making just three three- pointers. That is fewer than one every five games. On the 82-game season, that Lakers team made just 20-of-100 attempts from deep. Los Angeles wasn't alone in not embracing the gimmick. Few teams shot many threes in that first year, and only four attempted more than 3.6 per game. For reference, in 2013, that is the same number J.J. Barea takes every night. That first season, the San Diego Clippers were the one team of true gunners. They launched 6.6 attempts per game—which puts them in line with Klay Thompson's 2013 individual numbers (although Thompson, at 39.3 percent, is much more accurate than those 32 percent-shooting Clippers were). While the three-pointer continued to be seldom used by most good teams throughout the 1980s, the following decade began to feature players who had grown up with the shot, and more and more coaches implemented it into their strategy. Still, it was nothing like it is today. In the 2012 playoffs, for example, Kevin Durant took 110 threes. That's more than the 1979-80 Lakers took collectively over an 82-game season. Durant's 5.5 attempts per game may be higher than some coaches would like mere mortals to be taking, but in the modern NBA, hitting a lot of threes seems to be a prerequisite for team success. Plenty of teams still get by without making it a primary focus, but nearly every team that has made a conference final in the past decade relies on more makes behind the arc than even the longest bombers of the early 1990s ever contemplated. For sure, the idea of "live by the three, die by the three" is outdated. Now, you're more apt to die if don't shoot it. For example, the Dallas Mavericks, who ranked fifth in the league in three-point attempts per game, were able to win a title in 2011. Their 21.6 attempts per night is the most ever by a champion, eeking out the 1995 Houston Rockets, a team that surrounded Hakeem Olajuwon with shooters and fired away from a short three-point line. It is interesting that people generally point to the 2004 season and the "Seven Seconds or Less" Phoenix Suns as the catalyst for the era of increased three-point shooting. They certainly did provide an uptempo spread model to follow. What really introduced the three ball to the NBA in a major way was the league's decision to move in the line right as the Rockets were winning back-to-back titles on the strength of the three ball (Houston led the league in attempts in both of its championship seasons). For three seasons in the mid-1990s (1994-95, 1995-96 and 1996-97), the three-point line was shortened to a uniform 22 feet around the arc. That's the same distance as the current corner three. Three-point shooting went through the roof. The year before, the league average was 9.9 three-point attempts per night. In the first year of the short line, it jumped to 15.3. In all, 14 players attempted at least 400 threes. Before 1994-95, Basketball-Reference lists only four players (Michael Adams, Dan Majerle, Vernon Maxwell and Reggie Miller) who had ever tried that many in a season. It didn't make for the...CONTINUE READING AT BLEACHER REPORT |
Kevin Hetrick: Kevin’s Pre-season Predictions, a Redux This week, Cleveland reaches the 90% point of the season, and the team quit already, so now serves as good a time as any to review my bold, and likely folly, pre-season predictions. Let’s dive in: 33 wins Ouch. If Andy and Kyrie played 75 games, this would have happened. The good health was wishful thinking. Please stay on-the-court next year. Beat an elite team on the road by double digits Not quite. Cleveland’s victory in Los Angeles against the Clippers failed to qualify; the Cavs won by seven. Lose at home to a horrible team by twenty Also, slightly off, but a loss by 13 to Phoenix nearly hits the mark. General idea being that the season would be up-and-down. I wish it was ending as “up” though. CJ Miles finishes second on the team in scoring at nearly 14 points Tom consistently noted his friend projecting CJ as a solid contributor on the Wine & Gold, but I was riding that train, too. Miles currently resides sixth on the team in scoring with 11.3 points per game. His PER is also 13-ish Miles is pairing true shooting that exceeds his previous four seasons with career best defensive rebounding; his PER hits 15. At the beginning of the season, I envisioned Miles receiving more minutes, while scoring frequently, yet inefficiently. Each of Cleveland’s wings post PER between 13 and 14 Only Dion Waiters came through here. Miles exceeded, while Casspi and Gee under- performed. Boobie’s PER would be 11.2, but with 40% from deep Gibson is hitting career lows from the field, from deep, and at the free throw line. Sigh… He gets traded Wrong here. Jon Leuer got sent packing instead. Best of luck in free agency, Daniel. Kyrie receives four points in MVP voting – If Irving played 70 games, no doubt this would have happened. Due to 20 points, 7 assists and 57% true shooting Kyrie’s TS% is 57%, but his scoring is higher, with lesser distribution. All things considered, I would have preferred my prediction. Harangody hits 17 threes I picked the wrong Luke...CONTINUE READING AT CAVS THE BLOG |
Pacers Mike Wells @MikeWellsNBA Jared Wade @8pts9secs Tim Donahue @TimDonahue8p9s Tom Lewis @indycornrows |
Cavaliers M.S. Boyer/J. Valade @PDcavsinsider Bob Finnan @BobCavsinsider John Krolik @JohnKrolik Conrad Kaczmarek @conradkaczmarek |
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