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joeyd
02-23-2012, 12:00 AM
We are now exactly at the halfway point in the season. Looking at Uncle Buck's "Predict the number of wins" thread, the average chosen was about 35 wins for the abbreviated season (and therefore 31 losses), which, if normalized to the standard 82 game season, equates to 44 wins and 38 losses.

I don't see us losing 19 out of the next 33 games, but I admit that I certainly would not have expected us to be 9 games over .500 at the halfway point.

We have 19 of our next 33 games at home. If we keep beating the teams we are supposed to beat, and split the games with teams above .500, I predict we win 22 more games and go 22-11.

Many of the good teams will beat each other up in the second half, leaving us in prime position for a #3 seed.

Predictions?

HC
02-23-2012, 12:04 AM
I would be happy to get to 40 wins. This next 10 games or so is going to tell us a lot about where the Pacers are gonna stand come playoff time.

Day-V
02-23-2012, 12:05 AM
We'll win games. People will still find **** to b*tch about.

joeyd
02-23-2012, 12:08 AM
We'll win games.

A very non-committal type of prediction!

Day-V
02-23-2012, 12:12 AM
A very non-committal type of prediction!

You didn't read the full prediction.

joeyd
02-23-2012, 12:24 AM
You didn't read the full prediction.

Oh, yeah, I did! But I'm not about to b**ch about it!

Will Galen
02-23-2012, 01:11 AM
We are now exactly at the halfway point in the season. Looking at Uncle Buck's "Predict the number of wins" thread, the average chosen was about 35 wins for the abbreviated season (and therefore 31 losses), which, if normalized to the standard 82 game season, equates to 44 wins and 38 losses.

I don't see us losing 19 out of the next 33 games, but I admit that I certainly would not have expected us to be 9 games over .500 at the halfway point.

We have 19 of our next 33 games at home. If we keep beating the teams we are supposed to beat, and split the games with teams above .500, I predict we win 22 more games and go 22-11.

Many of the good teams will beat each other up in the second half, leaving us in prime position for a #3 seed.

Predictions?

I was thinking about this right after the game when I noticed we were exactly halfway though the season and had a 21-12 record.

I thought it would really be great if we could win 2 out of 3 for the whole season. That means we will have to go 23-10 the second half, so that's my prediction.

PG-24
02-23-2012, 01:34 AM
Our april schedule is not tough at all. im expecting under double digit losses. Once we learn to not start every game off so slow, well be that much better.

25-8

Pacers4Life
02-23-2012, 02:26 AM
Our april schedule is not tough at all. im expecting under double digit losses. Once we learn to not start every game off so slow, well be that much better.

25-8

Despite our current streak I haven't forgotten the 5 game losing one either. That was some godawful basketball. I'd be satisfied with 20-13.

My Pacer fan in me says 22-11

Foul on Smits
02-23-2012, 02:49 AM
I think they'll make a serious run at the Central Division, the last 10 games of the season.

Pacers4Life
02-23-2012, 03:46 AM
I think they'll make a serious run at the Central Division, the last 10 games of the season.

How does that work exactly? Best record wins or does your record within your division factor in somehow?

jeffg-body
02-23-2012, 08:31 AM
I see us landing in the 4th or 5th spot come playoff time. I think we end up playing the 76ers in the playoffs and winning a very close and entertaining series.

Mackey_Rose
02-23-2012, 09:24 AM
17-16 to close out a very successful 38-28 season, and a 6th seed in the playoffs.

wintermute
02-23-2012, 09:35 AM
17-16 to close out a very successful 38-28 season, and a 6th seed in the playoffs.

Someone wants that Darksider of the Year award :D :laugh:

Cubs231721
02-23-2012, 10:01 AM
Looking at the rest of the schedule:

Against the top teams (better than .600 win percentage)
8 games left (4 home, 4 away) first half went 4-4 (3 home, 5 away)

The above .500 teams (.500 to .600 winning percentage)
10 games left (7 home, 3 away) first half went 2-4 (2 home, 4 away)

The below .500 teams (.400 to .500 winning percentage)
5 games left (4 home, 1 away) first half went 5-2 (3 home, 4 away)

The bad teams (below .400 winning percentage)
10 games left (4 home, 6 away) first half went 10-2 (6 home, 6 away)

So the schedule is probably a little bit harder in the second half than the first half. But it's pretty close, especially since the Pacers play most of the teams close to their level at home. Considering the Pacers have been a little lucky with injuries so far, I'll go with 19-14 for the second half. That will get them where they are now-5 seed with homecourt over Philly in the first round.

daschysta
02-23-2012, 10:14 AM
21-12.

Roy's confidence will be through the roof, I expect tyler to improve and the bench to be excellent overall now that hill is back, plus most of our tough games are at home. We should roll. Don't forget even during the 5 game losing streak we very well could have beat memphis and denver, and right before that the ORL game was 50/50 too.

ksuttonjr76
02-23-2012, 10:21 AM
Looking at the rest of the schedule:

Against the top teams (better than .600 win percentage)
8 games left (4 home, 4 away) first half went 4-4 (3 home, 5 away)

The above .500 teams (.500 to .600 winning percentage)
10 games left (7 home, 3 away) first half went 2-4 (2 home, 4 away)

The below .500 teams (.400 to .500 winning percentage)
5 games left (4 home, 1 away) first half went 5-2 (3 home, 4 away)

The bad teams (below .400 winning percentage)
10 games left (4 home, 6 away) first half went 10-2 (6 home, 6 away)

So the schedule is probably a little bit harder in the second half than the first half. But it's pretty close, especially since the Pacers play most of the teams close to their level at home. Considering the Pacers have been a little lucky with injuries so far, I'll go with 19-14 for the second half. That will get them where they are now-5 seed with homecourt over Philly in the first round.

Pretty much. Quick question. Why is Orlando currently 3rd over the Division leading 76ers, but we're 5th although we have the better record?

Unclebuck
02-23-2012, 10:23 AM
One thing you really need to look at when you analyze the upcoming schedule is the number of games over a certain period of time. I think that as much as who the Pacers were playing factored into the 5 game losing streak. And starting March 10th until the end of the year the number of games the Pacers play will cost them several games. Being tired and lack of practice time this season is having a huge impact on how teams play. Although the best teams in the end still win more games - but that is because IMO a team like the heat can be dead tired and playing at 60% of what the are capable of and still win games at a really high level where as a team like the pacers cannot.

I'll predict the pacers go 20-13 to finsh the season at 41 wins. 41

Day-V
02-23-2012, 10:26 AM
Pretty much. Quick question. Why is Orlando currently 3rd over the Division leading 76ers, but we're 5th although we have the better record?

Whoever leads their division is guaranteed a top 4 spot. 3 Division leaders and then the 2nd place team in any division with the best record. However, if we were to finish 5th, but have a better record than Philly, we'd still get Home Court Advantage in the 1st round of the playoffs.

Unclebuck
02-23-2012, 10:28 AM
What I do think is significant is that the pacers have 11 road wins and only 3 teams have more. OKC, Heat, and the Bulls.

Ace E.Anderson
02-23-2012, 10:32 AM
Our april schedule is not tough at all. im expecting under double digit losses. Once we learn to not start every game off so slow, well be that much better.

25-8

That's definitely a homer call. We went 6-8 against teams with a plus .500 record, there's no way we finish THAT well. (Barring a serious upgrade on the team)

If we don't make a single change to the team, I say we finish the season with a 19-14 record. That would give us 40 wins and the 5th seed

ksuttonjr76
02-23-2012, 10:43 AM
Whoever leads their division is guaranteed a top 4 spot. 3 Division leaders and then the 2nd place team in any division with the best record. However, if we were to finish 5th, but have a better record than Philly, we'd still get Home Court Advantage in the 1st round of the playoffs.

Thanks for the information. So unless Orlando has a second half collaspe (which could be possible if they trade Howard like some fools), it's pretty much going to be Indiana and Philadelphia in the 1st round? I don't see ATL (gut feeling), NY (chemistry), and BOS (age) catching us anytime soon. Right now, we're just playing for home court advantage.

Nuntius
02-23-2012, 11:51 AM
Nevermind, Day-V answered. I should read down the thread more :p

So, let's make a prediction. I feel that our current record mirrors our team quite nicely. So, I'm gonna predict we go 21 - 12 in the second round as well. 42 - 22 would be a great record :D

OlBlu
02-23-2012, 01:20 PM
I am delighted with the Pacers and I think they have made great progress but I expect them to come back to the pack a bit in the second half even with all of the home games. I think .500 in the second half would be great but I think they will do a little less than that. So, I expect them to come in at four to six games over .500 for the season.

I see the Knicks as having a great second half and I would not be surprised to see them and Boston eventually pass the Pacers. I hope more of you are closer to being correct than me...... :cool:

Brad8888
02-23-2012, 02:03 PM
Barring significant injuries :shudder: my gut says 21-12 again.

My heart thinks a slightly weaker schedule with more favorable spacing and a higher amount of home games could contribute to a finish of 25-8. My head recognizes that the Pacers are a young team that could stumble due to placing too much pressure on themselves, especially if they make a meaningful move towards the Bulls in the standings, which could then leave them falling back to 18-15.

So, I'll stay with my gut, 21-12, 42-24 for the season, 5th seed against Philly, win 1st round 4-2, lose 2nd round to Bulls 4-2 primarily due to physicality causing Roy to disappear at some points.

Eddie Gill
02-23-2012, 02:24 PM
This next 10 games or so is going to tell us a lot about where the Pacers are gonna stand come playoff time.

No doubt. We get Chicago, Miami, Orlando, Atlanta, Philly, Portland, GS, NY (home and home).

Slightly OT bright spot: we only play the Spurs once this year. They've been unbelievable so far. So much respect for Pops.

J7F
02-23-2012, 02:30 PM
My prediction:

Kinda similar to others but with one bold addition...

We finish 44-22...

We face Philly in Rnd.1 as 5th seed winning in six games...

We then face Chi town and WIN IN 7 GAMES...

We then face MIA in the ECF and get swept out...

We then head into a HUGE offseason for the future of the franchise and Larry makes a few more additions to our Pacers that will make us a ligitimate title contender for years to come!

Shade
02-23-2012, 09:49 PM
17-16

Likely a second round exit (probably to Chicago in 6-7 games), though I could see an ECF appearance if we face the right teams. If at any point we face Miami, we will get swept, and it will be ugly.

mattie
02-23-2012, 10:51 PM
Honestly I think we could beat Chicago in the second round no problem. But yeah, I agree with everyone else Miami will mop the floor with us. **** they'll mop the floor with everyone. I doubt we see many losses if any from them prior to the NBA Finals.

Pacerized
02-23-2012, 11:08 PM
3rd. best record in the east at the break.

joeyd
04-14-2012, 12:29 AM
I bumped this thread to couple it with the "predict the number of wins" thread.

Some interesting predictions for the second half of the season....and some may actually be accurate.

Pacersalltheway10
04-14-2012, 12:45 AM
Things have changed for Miami

joeyd
04-14-2012, 06:54 PM
Things have changed for Miami

But not enough to knock them out of the #2 spot. They will have their chance to turn it on again. Most folks expect them to.